Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 272 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast Today we take a look at the macro market, the potential for a big summer rally in the grain markets, and why farmers should look to the OTC markets with myself and StoneX for hedging 2022 crop this summer. Make sure you take a listen to this week’s Turner’s Take Podcast! If you are not a subscriber to Turner’s Take Newsletter then text the message TURNER to number 33-777 to try it out for free! You may also click here to register for Turner’s Take. Corn and Soybean Oil Lead CBOT Higher Corn has been the upside… [Read More...]
Are Bank-Loan Investors Getting What They Bargained For?
Investors who chose high-yield bank loans over high-yield bonds earlier this year, expecting to be insulated against rising rates, might be surprised to find that bonds might have worked out better. [Read More...]
World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, April 2021
The Energy Information Administration released its Short-Term Energy Outlook for April, and it shows that OECD oil inventories likely peaked at 3.208 billion in July 2020. In March 2021, it estimated stocks dropped by 19 million barrels to end at 2.932 billion, 32 million barrels lower than a year ago. The EIA estimated global oil […] The post World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, April 2021 appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
What Is Cryptocurrency Anyway?
When you take your first look at cryptocurrencies like bitcoin, it can make your head swim. I know it did mine. But in this article, we’ll break down cryptocurrencies into bite-sized chunks so you can understand them just as well – or even better — as the cash in your wallet. First off, if you […] The post What Is Cryptocurrency Anyway? appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Trade Spotlight: Futures – Weekly Summary: Australian Dollar
This is the Weekly Summary Email of the Trade Spotlight advisory service for the week ending on April 09, 2021. Open Positions Long the June 2021 Australian Dollar contract from .76675 (4/06/21). Market last at .76185. Marked-to-market loss of $490. Working Orders Sell stop for the Australian Dollar contract at .75855, below recent low, GTC. (Remaining Risk: $820, plus including commission and fees) Sell limit for the Australian Dollar contract at .78270, near the top of the Channel Formation, GTC. (Reward: $1,595, minus commission and fees) Closed Positions None. Step into the “Spotlight” Send questions specific to current or past trade recommendations, or any commodity related questions to tradespotlight@danielstrading.com. Beyond the Spotlight Watch your inbox Monday mornings for the Beyond the Spotlight video that will “spotlight” two to three markets… [Read More...]
Dig Deep—Then Dig Some More—to Uncover Risks in EM Corporate Debt
Emerging-market (EM) corporate debt returned big numbers for investors in recent years, as the sector rode a general wave of optimism about the future. But those days are gone. In 2013, successful investors have had to take a more painstaking path. [Read More...]
Here’s Why Cryptocurrency Is So Important!
You can’t escape the attention that cryptocurrency is getting. And just about everyone knows that it’s super-important today and in the future. But they don’t exactly know why it’s so important. In this first article of a multi-part series, we’ll tackle this important question and much more. We’ll ask ourselves: • What is blockchain? • […] The post Here's Why Cryptocurrency Is So Important! appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
DOW Makes Record Run Late Friday
The U.S. stock market climbed to record levels and closed out Friday trading at their session highs, with Wall Street wrapping up the week with solid gains amid rising optimism that a full reopening is right around the corner. The DOW rose fell just short of a +300 point day, gaining 297.03 points or +.89% […] The post DOW Makes Record Run Late Friday appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Top Tips for Trading Candlestick Patterns
Candlestick patterns are among the most frequently used technical tools by active futures traders. No matter the strategy?whether it is trend, rotational, or reversal?chart patterns can be valuable for position management or market timing devices. Let’s take a look at the top three tips for trading Japanese candlestick chart patterns. Tip No. 1: Be Aware of Volume Trading volume is the total number of shares, contracts, or lots that have changed hands over a given period. Traded volumes may be measured on any time frame, from minute-by-minute to yearly durations. In practice, volume tells us two things about the market conditions of a security: High volume: High or “heavy” volumes are indicative of liquid and volatile markets. Tight bid-ask spreads and reduced slippage are common … [Read More...]
Snookered
Did Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, get himself into a pickle? With bond yields still on the rise, it´s starting to look that way. The markets seem to be testing the Fed chief’s pain threshold, which could result in an interesting game of chicken. The press conference on 17 March was arguably his best to date. It contained neither doubts nor unexpected digressions to difficult topics. Powell was as clear as he could possibly be: don’t expect tighter monetary policy until maximum employment has been reached, and there is a sustained rise in inflation to 2% in sight. Well, that’s going to take a while. But this powerful confirmation of the forward guidance may lead to an interesting showdown with markets in the coming months. … [Read More...]
Another Step Forward for US DC Plans: Managing Volatility
We’re seeing more US defined contribution (DC) plan sponsors looking at a variety of ways to help their participants manage volatility—and the accompanying anxiety and doubts that can often push participants to abandon their long-term investing goals. [Read More...]
Disney – A Discounted Reopening Play
As the economy is on the fast track to reopening with a robust vaccine rollout, Disney (DIS) is set to benefit across the board. Disney’s Parks are set to reopen in stages starting in April, with its Disneyland and California Adventure theme parks slated for April 30th. The theme parks reopening will be a major […] The post Disney – A Discounted Reopening Play appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
S&P 500 Hits Record Close
The S&P 500 crossed $4,000 for the first time in its history on Thursday, rising +1.2% to a fresh record close of 4,019.87 as Wall Street built on a solid March following the rollout of President Joe Biden’s infrastructure plan. The DOW climbed 171.66 points or +0.5%, to 33,153.21, and the NASDAQ jumped +1.8% to […] The post S&P 500 Hits Record Close appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Bullish Pig Crop Report Sets Stage for Summer of Expensive Pork
Good morning hog traders Prices will likely be limit up on the open. The headline will read, US Hog Supplies shrink for the first time in seven years. 2014 highs are likely given pork prices. This comes at a time when pork demand is record high in both exports and domestic demand. Get ready for sticker shock at the grocery store, meat inflation is going to be a story. Here are the questions in my mind over the next few months. Who rations first? The Chinese import markets or the US consumer. Neither is happening at these prices. How will the packer manage production this spring? Normally they slow for maintenance and seasonal reasons. How aggressively will the pork producer expand at these feed prices? The saying used… [Read More...]
Bank of England’s Growth Focus Might Stir Inflation Ghost
The Bank of England appears to have moved the goalposts. After 30 years of focusing almost exclusively on inflation, monetary policy is now being more explicitly directed toward generating faster growth and lower unemployment. [Read More...]
Stocks Finish Volatile Week On High Note
Stocks soared on Friday, finishing the volatile week on a high note, having their best day in more than two weeks. The DOW closed 453.40 points higher or +1.4%, to 33,072.88. The S&P 500 rose +1.7% to 3,974.54, hitting a record closing high, and the NASDAQ erased a -0.8% loss to end the session +1.2% […] The post Stocks Finish Volatile Week On High Note appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Weekly Stock Market Forecast
This week we have a stock market forecast for the week of 3/27/21 from our friend Bo Yoder of the Market Forecasting Academy. Be sure to leave a comment and let us know what you think! The S&P 500 (SPY) Not a lot has changed in my forecast since last week… I believe the S&P […] The post Weekly Stock Market Forecast appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
The Basics of Equity Futures Trading
Enjoying success in futures, options, forex, and equity trading requires a collection of unique attributes. And, although “buying low and selling high” (or vice versa) might sound easy, doing so over the long run is a major accomplishment. In fact, many traders spend huge sums of money and years pursuing this goal before finally quitting the markets altogether. However, if you become familiar with a few basic tenets of active trading, achieving longevity in the marketplace is possible. Read on to learn tips vital for building a rock-solid trading foundation. Tip No. 1: Go with the Flow Although “the trend is your friend” is often considered a cliché, it is still great advice. However, despite the winning track records of countless trend followers, many traders choose to … [Read More...]
Patterns of US Economic Recovery Suggest Faster Growth Ahead
Recoveries from past financially driven recessions have tended to be slow, and so far the current US recovery is following that pattern. But abundant liquidity and fading headwinds suggest to us that growth is likely to accelerate. [Read More...]
How To Achieve A 98% Options Win Rate
Achieving an options win rate of 98% requires following a core set of 10 basic rules supplemented by some general guidance. Following these rules while deploying an array of option types (i.e., put spreads, call spreads, iron condors, and diagonal call/put spreads) across a diverse large-cap ticker list is the foundation of this success. Staggering […] The post How To Achieve A 98% Options Win Rate appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
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