According to Forbes contributor David Rodeck, a recession is a “significant decline in economic activity that lasts for months or even years.” Formally, a recession is defined as being two or more quarters during which economic activity contracts. Symptoms of a recession include rising unemployment, falling personal incomes, and lagging industrial output. Although recessions are an unavoidable part of the economic cycle, they can bring intense pain to people and financial markets. One tried-and-true hedge against the negative impacts of such downturns is the acquisition of gold. As a general rule, gold prices appreciate during challenging financial times. But is this always the case? In this blog post, we’ll examine two recent examples of how bullion reacts during severe recessions. The Global Financial Crisis … [Read More...]
Beyond the Emerging Middle Class
For many years, the rise of the middle class in emerging markets has captivated the imagination of investors. We think this is an illusion. It’s the working classes who will be the real engines of consumer growth in developing countries. [Read More...]
Happy Thanksgiving From INO.com
Happy Thanksgiving to all you from everyone here at INO.com. We hope that you have a great day with your friends and family. Our office will be closed until Monday, Nov. 30, 2020. If you need help, please send us an email and we’ll get back to you in a timely manner. Every success, The […] The post Happy Thanksgiving From INO.com appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Disney Becoming A Streaming Juggernaut
Disney continues to exceed all expectations in the streaming space accelerated by the stay-at-home COVID-19 environment. The Walt Disney Company (DIS) has been posting phenomenal streaming numbers that have thus far negated the COVID-19 impact on its other business segments, specifically its theme parks. Disney has had to shutter all its worldwide Parks and Resorts, […] The post Disney Becoming A Streaming Juggernaut appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Friday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 11/20
Good morning friends Check out this video: https://videos.danielstrading.com/watch/QzhfWFkZJvGxYqzJoeXZeq? DAILY BRAZILIAN REAL Subscribe to This Week In Grain This Week In Grain – This Week in Grain (T.W.I.G.) is a weekly grain and oilseed commentary newsletter designed to keep grain market participants on the cutting edge, so they can hedge or speculate with more confidence and precision. Subscribe to This Week In Grain Learn More View a Sample Contact Daniels Trading To open an account or request more information, contact us at (800) 800-3840 or info@danielstrading.com and mention John Payne. Risk DisclosureThis material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction. This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market … [Read More...]
Alarm Clock Goes Off on Dream Stocks
Investors have recently woken up to the reality of overpriced US momentum stocks in technology and biotech. But a knee-jerk shift toward defensive sectors isn’t the answer. [Read More...]
NASDAQ Holds On To Weekly Gain
The NASDAQ is the only one of the three major indexers to hold on to a weekly gain. Early in the week, the DOW was making a run at 30,000, but it ultimately failed to reach that level and has since been stuck in the mud incurring daily losses in the 3 of the 5 […] The post NASDAQ Holds On To Weekly Gain appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Bitcoin: My 1 Reason Why
MarketWatch used to pick up my posts on rare occasion but has not done so for a long time. Maybe they think I make fun of some of their articles or something. I don’t know what would give them that idea. I actually find MarketWatch useful in ironic and non-ironic ways. But anyway, this morning […] The post Bitcoin: My 1 Reason Why appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Are Energy Stocks Cool Again?
What do energy stocks, Steely Dan, and crocs have in common? They all were once considered trendy, fell out of fashion, and have recently made a second run at popularity. Well…that might not be 100% true of energy stocks, which witnessed their first week of sector outperformance in what seems like years just last week The 2010s have not been kind to the companies that profit from doing your dirty work. In fact, the energy sector (XLE) has been reelin’ in the years to the tune of a -41% decline in the last decade. So, in light of the last decade of underperformance and last week’s spark, the question becomes: Will energy stocks rise like the Crimson Tide of technology or continue to sing the Deacon … [Read More...]
New Dawn for Peripheral Europe?
When Mario Draghi pledged to do “whatever it takes” to save the euro in July 2012, nobody expected things to change so quickly. Peripheral bond markets have since turned around sharply, supporting the European economic recovery. But can the improvements be sustained after countries exit their bailouts? [Read More...]
3 Cannabis Stocks To Trade After The Vote
Cannabis has emerged as a big winner in the 2020 U.S. presidential election. All five states that voted on cannabis legalization passed their ballot measures. That list includes: Arizona: recreational cannabis New Jersey: recreational cannabis Montana: recreational cannabis South Dakota: recreational and medical cannabis Mississippi: medical cannabis This is another big step forward for the […] The post 3 Cannabis Stocks To Trade After The Vote appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
COVID Vaccine News Boosts Stocks
On Monday, Pfizer’s news that the COVID vaccine it is developing with BioNTech was more than 90% effective in a trial pushed stocks to record levels with all three of the major indexes triggering new green weekly Trade Triangles indicating that long positions could be in order. But after that significant move higher, the market […] The post COVID Vaccine News Boosts Stocks appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Quantifying Stock Market Sentiments
If anything can be gleaned from the intersection of markets and politics over this election, it’s that stocks delight in stability and abhor chaos. This idea isn’t novel or groundbreaking. In fact, it’s been iterated and reiterated by several pundits across almost every network in the last week. But what does this mean for traders? Can “delight” or “abhorrence” be quantified? Is there opportunity as the collective lens goes in and out of focus on an event such as the presidential election? To answer these questions, assumptions need to be made: Delight = +3% daily move in Small Technology (STIX) Abhorrence = -3% daily move in Small Technology (STIX) Why +/-3% daily moves? They occur about 5% of the time, which equates to two standard … [Read More...]
CAPE Fears Miss the Point
With the recent wobbles in the market, scary headlines about stock bubbles are back in the spotlight. We think all this foreboding overlooks an important point: In today’s low-return world, where better than stocks to put your money? [Read More...]
Best Election Week In Decades For S&P 500
By gaining an impressive +7.1% for the week, the S&P 500 will post its best election week gain since 1932, where it gained +11.6% when Franklin D. Roosevelt defeated President Hoover in 1932. Not to be outdone, the DOW will also post a weekly gain of +7%, and the NASDAQ will lead the pack with […] The post Best Election Week In Decades For S&P 500 appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Options: Positive Returns Despite Volatility
Despite the major averages being in correction territory in September followed by a volatile October, ending with a massive sell-off and heightened election volatility during the first week of November, realized gains were generated. Following the 10 rules in options trading throughout the recent market volatility has generated positive returns in all three market scenarios. […] The post Options: Positive Returns Despite Volatility appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Trade Spotlight: Futures – Weekly Summary: KC Wheat, Canadian $
This is the Weekly Summary Email of the Trade Spotlight advisory service for the week ending on Friday, October 30, 2020. Open Positions Short the December 2020 Kansas City Wheat contract from 558’6 (10/23/20). Market settled at 541’2. Marked-to-market profit of $875. Sold the December 2020 Canadian Dollar contract at .75600 (10/28/20). Market settled at .75095. Marked-to-market gain of $505. Working Orders Buy stop for the Kansas City Wheat contract on 551’0, above Friday’s session high, GTC. (Profit: $387.50, plus including commission and fees) Buy limit for the Kansas City Wheat contract on 500’0, near the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, GTC. (Reward: $2,937.50, minus commission and fees) Buy stop for the Canadian Dollar contract on .75890, above the 20-Day and 50-Day Moving Averages, GTC. (Remaining Risk: $290, plus … [Read More...]
Six Principles for Smart Tax Management
It is well known that taxes began to take a bigger bite out of income for the well-off in 2013. Top marginal tax rates rose, and some exemptions and deductions were phased out. What is less well known is that investors spending from their portfolios—even those investors whose tax rates didn’t rise—may be facing higher tax bills, too. [Read More...]
Stocks Have Worst Week Since March
As we head into Friday afternoon trading and the last trading day of October, the stock market is headed for its worst week since March of this year. Why? There are a few reasons, it’s been a difficult week in which coronavirus cases are on the rise both here in the U.S. and Europe. U.S. […] The post Stocks Have Worst Week Since March appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Gold Miners: Beautiful Pictures
After a well-deserved correction of nearly 3 months, the gold stock sector is still flashing positive signs beneath the surface, as the correction matures. The correction that began in August amid the ‘Buffett Buys a Gold Stock!‘ tout has now ground on for nearly 3 months. As noted in the NFTRH 626 Opening Notes segment: “Thus far […] The post Gold Miners: Beautiful Pictures appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
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