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Saving, Investing, and Storage

June 14, 2020 by David Merkel

Saving, Investing, and Storage

Photo Credit: Jason Woodhead || Forget the United States Oil Fund — if you want to own oil, buy a tank and store the oil on your own property. This should be a short post. Buffett likes to own T-bills when he doesn’t have anything that he wants to buy. Why? He is storing value until the time comes when he can buy something that he thinks offers a superb return over the long haul. And now for something that seems completely different: commodity investing, when it was introduced in the nineties, offered “yield” from rolling the futures contracts from month-to-month. That ended when the trade got too crowded, and the “yield” went negative. The ETFs that pursued these strategies were … [Read More...]

The Worst Policies are Made During Crises

April 19, 2020 by David Merkel

The Worst Policies are Made During Crises

Photo Credit: Mike Licht || As a culture, we are very much “live for the moment.” But what happens when buyers of Treasuries decide that it’s not worth it anymore?I am not a fan of the Democrats or of Big Government Republicans like Bush Jr. and Trump. In general, I think we need to shrink our government, decentralize, and de-lever our economy such that we make debt a smaller component of how we finance our lives. The Democrats talk about inequality, but they don’t really mean it. Increasing marginal tax rates is good show, but the real game is how income is calculated, and they won’t touch that, because their richest donors find ways to hide their income — the … [Read More...]

Too Much Debt

April 5, 2020 by David Merkel

Too Much Debt

Photo Credit: Steve Rotman || As Simon and Garfunkel sang, “The words of the prophets are written on the subway walls…”Debt-based economies are unstable. Economies with a lot of short-term debt are more unstable. The Fed is like Johnny One-Note, or Fat Freddie with a hammer. They only know one tool, and it will solve all problems.Are there problems from too much debt? More debt will solve the problem. Shift debts from the private to the public sector. Don’t let the private market solve this on its own.Though the bed debt is not in the same place as the last crisis, we are once again trying to play favorites through the Federal Reserve and rescue entities that took … [Read More...]

Squawk: EURUSD – Euro positive short-term The Euro has managed a…

March 22, 2020 by MarketChartist

Squawk: EURUSD – Euro positive short-term The Euro has managed a…

EURUSD – Euro positive short-term The Euro has managed a decent rebound effort from early April having been setting up last week to try to make a more bearish signal into the European Central Bank… [Read More...]

Are Bonds Still Relevant?

March 1, 2020 by George Yacik

Are Bonds Still Relevant?

Do bonds have a place anymore in your portfolio in the new Federal Reserve paradigm? The Fed has a long history of creating asset bubbles, then later – sometimes years later – letting the air out of the balloon through monetary policy or regulatory change, leaving investors licking their wounds. The most recent and most […] The post Are Bonds Still Relevant? appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]

Focus on the Long-term

February 23, 2020 by David Merkel

Focus on the Long-term

Photo Credit: Sacha Chua || Planning is a good thing.In any investment decisions, one must look at the long term. Don’t pay any attention to news that does not permanently change business conditions.The thing that drew my attention here is the rather weak coronavirus. Stalin supposedly said, “A single death is a tragedy; a million deaths is a statistic.” My sympathies to the families of those who have died from the coronavirus. But to society as a whole, the coronavirus has done less damage than influenza does every year.As such, I don’t pay attention to the coronavirus. Stocks are long-term assets, and if the coronavirus will have no impact on the economy past 2025, I don’t see why I … [Read More...]

Why Longer-Term Bonds Have Greater Price Volatility (Interest Rate Risk)

January 19, 2020 by Mike

Why Longer-Term Bonds Have Greater Price Volatility (Interest Rate Risk)

A reader writes in, asking: “I am aware that bonds and bond funds with longer duration have greater price changes in response to interest rate moves than shorter-term bonds do. And given that, I understand that longer-term bonds generally have higher yields because of that higher risk. That makes perfect sense. What I have never been able to wrap my head around is why do the prices of longer duration bonds fluctuate more severely?” A bond’s market price is really just the result of a net present value calculation. That is, the price of a bond at any given time is the sum of the present values of each of the cash flows from the bond (i.e., the present value of … [Read More...]

Squawk: USDCAD poised for an intermediate-term bear shift; USDJPY neutral A…

June 16, 2019 by MarketChartist

Squawk: USDCAD poised for an intermediate-term bear shift; USDJPY neutral A…

USDCAD poised for an intermediate-term bear shift; USDJPY neutral A broadly more negative tone for the US Dollar has been seen in early 2019 given a more dovish tone from FOMC Members including the… [Read More...]

Squawk: USDJPY poised into US Employment report The US Dollar has…

May 5, 2019 by MarketChartist

Squawk: USDJPY poised into US Employment report The US Dollar has…

USDJPY poised into US Employment report The US Dollar has been the strong global currency against most major currencies since March of this year despite a corrective setback at the end of April US… [Read More...]

A quick note about the bond market

November 4, 2018 by Edward Harrison

A quick note about the bond market

I don’t have a daily post for you today. So, in lieu of a daily, I wanted to make some more general comments about interest rates that I have been making in my market commentary pieces. The accelerated hike timetable In February, I wrote a post saying, “The march higher in US interest rates will […] This website is now reader-supported via Patreon. Full-text emails are available on that platform, including the new daily and weekly newsletter posts. Become a Patron! [Read More...]

Why the ten-year’s hitting 3.25% has spooked asset markets

October 14, 2018 by Edward Harrison

Why the ten-year’s hitting 3.25% has spooked asset markets

This is how Fed tightening regimes work We’re bracing for another big sell off in equities today. I don’t know if you saw my piece yesterday on market groups breaking below 50- and 200-day daily moving averages. I said “I don’t have a view on whether this is important. But the technicals are weak.”  For […] This website is now reader-supported via Patreon. Full-text emails are available on that platform, including the new daily and weekly newsletter posts. Become a Patron! [Read More...]

The Balance: On Private Activity Bonds

September 30, 2018 by David Merkel

The Balance: On Private Activity Bonds

Photo Credit: Thomas Hawk=================For about two months, I wondered when I would write this.  Now I know… I’m writing it now.  To all my readers, I am letting you know that Aleph Blog is not ending, but it is changing.  I accepted a writing assignment with The Balance.  I am going to write 4-5 articles for them per month, and correct some old articles as well.  I will publish links to them here.  Like Aleph Blog, The Balance is free, so you don’t have to do anything more than click on the article link here to read it.Why did I do this?  I felt I was getting stale in my writing.  I was a little bored; that’s why I wasn’t writing so much.  … [Read More...]

Squawk: The Fed the key focus today with rate hike priced…

September 30, 2018 by MarketChartist

Squawk: The Fed the key focus today with rate hike priced…

The Fed the key focus today with rate hike priced in Today Wednesday 26th September will see the financial markets focus firmly on the Fed and the FOMC Meeting which is expected from market pricing… [Read More...]

Opinions on the Market, Redux

April 12, 2015 by David Merkel

Opinions on the Market, Redux

Here’s the second half of my most recent interview with Erin Ade at RT Boom/Bust. [First half located here.] We discussed:Stock buybacks, particularly the buyback that GM is doingValuations of the stock market and bondsEffect of the strong dollar on corporate earnings in the USEffect of lower crude oil prices on capital spendingInvesting in Europe, good or bad?Seven minutes roar by when you are on video, and though taped, there is only one shot, so you have to get it right.  On the whole, I felt the questions were good, and I was able to give reasonable answers.  One nice thing about Erin, she doesn’t interrupt you, and she allows for a few rabbit trails. [Read More...]

Bitcoin news

Venture Capital Fund Yolo Invests in Digital Marketing Specialists eCartic

February 21, 2021 by Bitcoin PR Buzz Feed

China/blockchain: digital realm

February 21, 2021 by

Why Bitcoin Price Rally Could Extend To $60K, Uptrend Seems Intact

February 21, 2021 by Aayush Jindal

  • Daily Discussion, February 20, 2021
  • Bitcoin Foundation Releases a Primer on Jurisdictions for BTC Businesses
  • 2021 Bitcoin Investment Research Report
  • Major Companies Flocking Into Crypto | This Week in Crypto – Feb 15, 2021
  • Bitcoin Brokerage River Financial Raises $17M: SEC Filings
Coin
BTC
BTC
Exchange
BTC-E
BTC-EBitStamp
Period
24h 7d 30d
Currency
$
  • Buy $0.00
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  • Volume 0 BTC
Period
24h 7d 30d
Currency
$
  • Buy $0.00
  • Sell $0.00
  • High $0.00
  • Low $0.00
  • Volume 0 BTC
Exchange
BTC-E
BTC-E
Period
24h 7d 30d
Currency
$
  • Buy $0.00
  • Sell $0.00
  • High $0.00
  • Low $0.00
  • Volume 0 LTC
Last updated: 5 minutes ago

Bitcoin Exchange Chart

Daily Forex Signals

NZDCAD, Expecting Bullish Movement

February 21, 2021 by R.Roy

Monday morning open levels – indicative forex prices – 15 February 2021

February 21, 2021 by

Midday Forex Prediction For February 19, 2021

February 21, 2021 by GainScope

  • Gold Versus Real Yields: Are Inflation Bets Fully Priced Into XAU/USD?
  • USDCAD, Expecting Bullish
  • Forex for February 12, 2021. Prediction and Analysis
  • CFTC commitments of traders. EUR and GBP longs increased. JPY longs trimmed
  • US Dollar Fundamental Forecast: Downtrend to Resume Course as Stocks Climb?

Financial Markets Breaking News

Live currencies

Live Exchange Rates

Forex Research & Tech. Analysis

Low volume selling finds support

February 21, 2021 by

Blog: 71st day of $QQQ short term up-trend; Post-earnings lull period?

February 21, 2021 by Dr. Wish

Psychology of Day Trader

February 21, 2021 by Bramesh

  • Week Ahead – Powell to the rescue
  • Roaring Cycles
  • Morning Post 02/19/2021 SPX
  • Cardano Price Forecast: Negative RSI divergence signals caution for ADA bulls
  • Market Insights Podcast (Episode 166)

Macro Economics

COVID-19, experts and the media

February 21, 2021 by Mainly Macro

We Need a Plan for Militias

February 21, 2021 by Peter Dorman

Media radicalisation in the US and UK

February 14, 2021 by Mainly Macro

  • Economic insecurity, redux
  • Why vaccines alone are not enough, how the UK government could mess things up again and which European country will eliminate COVID first?
  • What Game Are You Playing?
  • Debt and Taxes IV:This Time It’s Personal
  • The two sides of austerity.

Stocks Markets

Subs: Out

February 21, 2021 by ToddSullivan

Top Insider Buys Highlight for the Week of Feb. 19

February 21, 2021 by

‘Young Rock’: Why Is Randall Park Playing Himself in the Series?

February 21, 2021 by Trey Mangum

  • Broker Adalah – Memahami Apa Itu Broker
  • Biden declares ‘America is back’ in welcome words to allies
  • Here Comes 27% Earnings Growth. Plus, Bitcoin Goes Legit.
  • PhilStockWorld February Portfolio Review – Part 2
  • Options Expiration – February 2021
  • Begini Cara Deposit Olymp Trade Lewat Bank Lokal

Equities

Turner’s Take Podcast | Ag Forum Bullish Chinese Corn Demand

February 21, 2021 by Craig Turner

Thinking Outside the Emerging-Markets Box

February 21, 2021 by Sammy Suzuki

Yellen Calls For More Stimulus

February 21, 2021 by Jeremy Lutz

  • Disney – 146 Million Streaming Juggernaut
  • Trade Spotlight: Futures – Weekly Summary: Currencies, Wheat, Notes
  • Back to the Future: What Time Is It for Bonds?
  • Revenge of the old economy
  • Records, Records and More Records

Business News

All About the DealBook DC Policy Project

February 21, 2021 by

Robots Aren’t Stealing Jobs — They’re Making Them Better

February 21, 2021 by Boyd Bell

Upcoming Webinar Reveals the Best States to Incorporate

February 21, 2021 by Small Business Editor

  • Texas weather, power outage and water news: Live updates – CNN
  • Harrowing video from inside United flight 328 shows the engine on fire as plane spews debris across Colorado neighborhoods
  • "Working Backwards" and the Secrets of Amazon’s Success
  • Biden responds to Trump’s acquittal, says the ‘substance of the charge is not in dispute’ and we must ‘end this uncivil war’
  • The ‘Sexy’ and Weird Little Truth of the First Year of Business

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