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Back to the Future: What Time Is It for Bonds?

February 14, 2021 by Douglas J. Peebles

Investors often ask us how they should think about bond markets in a time of rising yields. Are we facing a situation similar to 1994? Or worse, could it be like 1981, when five-year US Treasury yields soared to 15%? Our answer often surprises them: we don’t think it’s either. [Read More...]

Reaching for Yield: Worth the Risk?

December 27, 2020 by Gershon Distenfeld

Reaching for Yield: Worth the Risk?

Investors seeking more robust returns in a lower-interest-rate environment often look to high-yield bonds for answers. But it’s critical that they don’t reach too far down the credit spectrum in search of higher yields—as tempting as it may be. [Read More...]

Muni Investors Should Watch Both Ends of the Curve

October 25, 2020 by Guy Davidson

Muni Investors Should Watch Both Ends of the Curve

In early 2013, we urged investors to take a hard look at the interest-rate risk in their bond portfolios. If they didn’t do it then, they have a chance to do it now. [Read More...]

Keep an Eye on LBOs, but Don’t Fret Just Yet

October 11, 2020 by Jeff Skoglund

Keep an Eye on LBOs, but Don’t Fret Just Yet

This year’s leveraged buyouts (LBOs) are being financed with more debt and include fewer protections for creditors. Regulators, the press and market participants are watching this closely, and so are we. But we don’t think it’s worth losing sleep over—at least not yet. [Read More...]

Multisector Plan Can Help Avoid the Crowd in Credit

September 20, 2020 by Douglas J. Peebles

Multisector Plan Can Help Avoid the Crowd in Credit

Chasing returns into—and out of—specific credit sectors happens so often in bond markets that it hardly rates a raised eyebrow. But running with the herd can be risky, which is probably why Federal Reserve officials reportedly have discussed slapping exit fees on bond funds to avoid a disorderly rush to the exit. [Read More...]

Bank Regulation: A New Opportunity in Credit?

September 6, 2020 by Jorgen Kjaersgaard

Bank Regulation: A New Opportunity in Credit?

European banks are issuing new subordinated bonds that can be written off in a crisis. For investors who are willing to take the risk, our analysis suggests these bonds may provide a way to beat the low returns in today’s corporate bond market. [Read More...]

The Core of the Modern Bond Strategy: Go Global

May 31, 2020 by Douglas J. Peebles

The Core of the Modern Bond Strategy: Go Global

“Keep Calm and Carry On” reads a popular World War II–era British motivational poster. We think the first half of the slogan is good advice for bond investors in today’s uncertain markets, but we’d substitute the second with “Go Global.” [Read More...]

The Right Fit: Global Bonds and DC Plans

May 10, 2020 by Alison Martier

The Right Fit: Global Bonds and DC Plans

At a time when US defined contribution plans are seeking to control risk and enhance returns, hedged global bonds can improve outcomes for participants and sponsors. But how do plans incorporate global bonds in core menus and target-date funds? [Read More...]

CLO Rule Change Clouds Outlook for Bank Loans

May 3, 2020 by Gershon Distenfeld

CLO Rule Change Clouds Outlook for Bank Loans

Retail investors fell out of love with US bank loans this year, but demand from issuers of collateralized loan obligations (CLOs) has remained strong. New regulations may change that. Should investors be concerned? We think so. [Read More...]

Divergent Interest Rates: A Golden Opportunity

April 26, 2020 by Alison Martier

Divergent Interest Rates: A Golden Opportunity

US interest rates look set to rise in 2015, and that’s unsettling for some fixed-income investors. But here’s the good news: US bonds aren’t the only game in town. [Read More...]

High-Yield ETFs: Don’t Get Fenced In

March 29, 2020 by Gershon Distenfeld

High-Yield ETFs: Don’t Get Fenced In

Few high-yield investors have weathered the recent plunge in energy prices without experiencing at least a few bumps and bruises. But those who relied on broad market exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to gain market exposure are nursing the most serious wounds. Coincidence? We don’t think so. [Read More...]

Lesson of the Oil Collapse? Do Your Own Credit Homework

February 23, 2020 by Jeff Skoglund

Lesson of the Oil Collapse? Do Your Own Credit Homework

The plunge in oil prices has hurt many highly-leveraged energy companies and their creditors. But it also reinforced an important lesson that investors and asset managers probably learned when they were schoolchildren: Always do your own homework. [Read More...]

Moving Beyond Municipals

June 16, 2019 by Douglas J. Peebles

Moving Beyond Municipals

Taxable US investors usually invest the fixed-income part of their portfolios in municipal bonds. But a tax-aware strategy with the flexibility to look for the highest after-tax return across sectors is likely to be more rewarding over time, as my colleague Terry Hults explains below. [Read More...]

Don’t Be Caught Long: Strategies to Curb Interest-Rate Risk in the Municipal Market

April 7, 2019 by Douglas J. Peebles

Don’t Be Caught Long: Strategies to Curb Interest-Rate Risk in the Municipal Market

A municipal portfolio full of bonds with maturities in the 20- to 30-year range is exposed today to the high risk of rising interest rates. Now may be the right time to shorten your duration and lower your credit quality. [Read More...]

Stockton’s Bankruptcy: Not a Harbinger of Things to Come

March 31, 2019 by Douglas J. Peebles

Stockton’s Bankruptcy: Not a Harbinger of Things to Come

The financial failure of Stockton, California, is a sad tale of inflated expectations and poor decision making, but it’s not a harbinger of things to come in the US municipal bond market. Stockton is a unique case, as my colleague Guy Davidson explains below. [Read More...]

Squawk: US equity averages threaten deeper corrections US equity averages have…

March 31, 2019 by MarketChartist

Squawk: US equity averages threaten deeper corrections US equity averages have…

US equity averages threaten deeper corrections US equity averages have taken a lead on the downside this week with the previously more vulnerable European equity indices having taken global markets… [Read More...]

The Underfunded Pension: States Take Action

March 10, 2019 by Douglas J. Peebles

The Underfunded Pension: States Take Action

State and local governments with significant pension funding shortfalls are coming under increased political pressure due to new transparency rules in accounting. My colleague Joe Rosenblum examines their options. [Read More...]

Emerging-Market Credit Has Come of Age

February 17, 2019 by Douglas J. Peebles

Emerging-Market Credit Has Come of Age

While investors have flocked to emerging-market government bonds in recent years, some still perceive emerging-market corporate bonds as an immature asset class. Shamaila Khan, who manages global credit portfolios, questions some assumptions about emerging credit. [Read More...]

LDI: How Large an Allocation to Global Bonds?

February 3, 2019 by Douglas J. Peebles

LDI: How Large an Allocation to Global Bonds?

Liability-driven investors can reap significant benefits from globalizing their long-duration bond portfolios, but how much should they sow? How large an allocation to nondomestic bonds is appropriate? Our research suggests that even a modest allocation can meaningfully improve an LDI portfolio’s risk-adjusted return potential. [Read More...]

Global Bonds: Protection in Down Markets

January 13, 2019 by Douglas J. Peebles

Global Bonds: Protection in Down Markets

As US Treasury yields continue to plumb record lows, some have quipped that government bonds have gone from offering risk-free returns to “return-free risk.” Indeed, when interest rates inevitably rise from their current levels, bondholders face the prospect of poor or even negative returns. [Read More...]

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Bitcoin news

Venture Capital Fund Yolo Invests in Digital Marketing Specialists eCartic

February 21, 2021 by Bitcoin PR Buzz Feed

China/blockchain: digital realm

February 21, 2021 by

Why Bitcoin Price Rally Could Extend To $60K, Uptrend Seems Intact

February 21, 2021 by Aayush Jindal

  • Daily Discussion, February 20, 2021
  • Bitcoin Foundation Releases a Primer on Jurisdictions for BTC Businesses
  • 2021 Bitcoin Investment Research Report
  • Major Companies Flocking Into Crypto | This Week in Crypto – Feb 15, 2021
  • Bitcoin Brokerage River Financial Raises $17M: SEC Filings
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Daily Forex Signals

NZDCAD, Expecting Bullish Movement

February 21, 2021 by R.Roy

Monday morning open levels – indicative forex prices – 15 February 2021

February 21, 2021 by

Midday Forex Prediction For February 19, 2021

February 21, 2021 by GainScope

  • Gold Versus Real Yields: Are Inflation Bets Fully Priced Into XAU/USD?
  • USDCAD, Expecting Bullish
  • Forex for February 12, 2021. Prediction and Analysis
  • CFTC commitments of traders. EUR and GBP longs increased. JPY longs trimmed
  • US Dollar Fundamental Forecast: Downtrend to Resume Course as Stocks Climb?

Financial Markets Breaking News

Live currencies

Live Exchange Rates

Forex Research & Tech. Analysis

Low volume selling finds support

February 21, 2021 by

Blog: 71st day of $QQQ short term up-trend; Post-earnings lull period?

February 21, 2021 by Dr. Wish

Psychology of Day Trader

February 21, 2021 by Bramesh

  • Week Ahead – Powell to the rescue
  • Roaring Cycles
  • Morning Post 02/19/2021 SPX
  • Cardano Price Forecast: Negative RSI divergence signals caution for ADA bulls
  • Market Insights Podcast (Episode 166)

Macro Economics

COVID-19, experts and the media

February 21, 2021 by Mainly Macro

We Need a Plan for Militias

February 21, 2021 by Peter Dorman

Media radicalisation in the US and UK

February 14, 2021 by Mainly Macro

  • Economic insecurity, redux
  • What Game Are You Playing?
  • Why vaccines alone are not enough, how the UK government could mess things up again and which European country will eliminate COVID first?
  • Debt and Taxes IV:This Time It’s Personal
  • The two sides of austerity.

Stocks Markets

Subs: Out

February 21, 2021 by ToddSullivan

Top Insider Buys Highlight for the Week of Feb. 19

February 21, 2021 by

‘Young Rock’: Why Is Randall Park Playing Himself in the Series?

February 21, 2021 by Trey Mangum

  • Broker Adalah – Memahami Apa Itu Broker
  • Biden declares ‘America is back’ in welcome words to allies
  • Here Comes 27% Earnings Growth. Plus, Bitcoin Goes Legit.
  • PhilStockWorld February Portfolio Review – Part 2
  • Options Expiration – February 2021
  • Subs: Biden’s Gift Continued

Equities

Turner’s Take Podcast | Ag Forum Bullish Chinese Corn Demand

February 21, 2021 by Craig Turner

Thinking Outside the Emerging-Markets Box

February 21, 2021 by Sammy Suzuki

Yellen Calls For More Stimulus

February 21, 2021 by Jeremy Lutz

  • Disney – 146 Million Streaming Juggernaut
  • Trade Spotlight: Futures – Weekly Summary: Currencies, Wheat, Notes
  • Back to the Future: What Time Is It for Bonds?
  • Revenge of the old economy
  • Records, Records and More Records

Business News

All About the DealBook DC Policy Project

February 21, 2021 by

Robots Aren’t Stealing Jobs — They’re Making Them Better

February 21, 2021 by Boyd Bell

Upcoming Webinar Reveals the Best States to Incorporate

February 21, 2021 by Small Business Editor

  • Texas weather, power outage and water news: Live updates – CNN
  • Harrowing video from inside United flight 328 shows the engine on fire as plane spews debris across Colorado neighborhoods
  • "Working Backwards" and the Secrets of Amazon’s Success
  • Biden responds to Trump’s acquittal, says the ‘substance of the charge is not in dispute’ and we must ‘end this uncivil war’
  • The ‘Sexy’ and Weird Little Truth of the First Year of Business

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