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S&P challenges all-time highs

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Once the Nasdaq broke through resistance (former support) defined by the July and August swing lows it has managed to hang on to regained support. Technicals are net positive and the index is again outperforming the Russell 2000. It still has some way to go before it challenges the September high and finished today with a small bearish candlestick. The S&P has managed to reacha point to challenge the August high. It managed to do so on higher volume accumulation, although following the sequence of bullish white candlesticks I would expect it to now consolidate – perhaps forming a ‘bull flag’ before forming new highs. The Russell 2000 retains its range bound action, although I have drawn in a second resistance level which may be enough to qualify it … [Read More...]

The Possibility of the Tail Wagging the Dog

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Photo Credit: miketransreal || Truly when the small seems big, and the big seems small, reality may intrude and reverse matters Today I tweeted: Fed's Preferred Libor Replacement: SOFR Rate Drop Fuels Jitters Over Transfer https://t.co/oqHADuh2YZ As SOFR gets bigger it could screw up short-term lending markets.— David Merkel (@AlephBlog) October 21, 2021 What I am about to say is speculative. For the last nine years, I have thought that the move away from LIBOR could be a case of “The cure is worse than the disease.” If you are going to have an index for short-term lending it can be created in a few ways: Off of surveys, like LIBOR.Off of transactions, like SOFR [Secured Overnight Financing … [Read More...]

Sun Ingress Impact on Nifty

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FII sold 6.7  K contract of Index Future worth 610 cores, Net OI has decreased by 7.7 K contract 7.2 K Long contract were covered by FII and 498 Shorts were covered by FII. Net FII Long Short ratio at 1.62 so FII used FALL to EXIT longs and EXIT shorts. As discussed in Last… Read More » The post Sun Ingress Impact on Nifty appeared first on Bramesh's Technical Analysis. [Read More...]

New Way To Hedge Bitcoin Exposure

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FEEDEd Carpenter Racing’s Bitcoin-themed number 21 Chevrolet from last spring’s Indy 500. Update On Our Hedgedable Bet On Bitcoin In a previous post, we mentioned that Bitcoin miner Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA) had been one of our top ten names over the summer. ; Screen capture via ;Portfolio Armor ;on 6/3/2021. ; Since then, it was up 114% asRead More 0 Comments [Read More...]

Morning Post 10/22/2021 SPX

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It’s Friday. Dawgs are off, Braves headed home in good shape, time to relax and enjoy freedom and plenty while we still can. I really appreciate seeing some backbone from our citizens. There’s more out there, we just gotta deprogram the sheep. On to the lie – Minis were off double digits. Were is the operative word there. I’m not sure when, but when will happen. More to come below. Have a good day. GL and GB! [Read More...]

Week Ahead – Between a rock and a hard place

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Inflation is a growing concern For years central banks have been operating under the assumption that inflation will eventually return to target while having the flexibility to wait until the economy is fully ready for higher rates. That luxury is a thing of the past and many now feel stuck between a rock and a hard place. Most are hoping that a modest tightening of monetary policy will begin the address the problem and buy them enough time for inflation to show itself to be as transitory as they believe. Some are taking more drastic action with larger rate hikes to quickly bring inflation under control. And then there’s the CBRT. Next week it’s the ECB’s turn to shed some light on how it … [Read More...]

Tightening range as gaps fill

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While markets may be feeling the pinch of the gap fill from the swing low rally, we have a narrowing of the intraday range in an attempt to confirm support from the gaps. In the case of the Nasdaq, we have the gap fill on declining volume which is a point of optimism that what we have is a valid swing low. Technicals are net negative and relative performance is not improving enough to suggest we may have a real swing low, but take things one step at a time. The S&P also closed with a similar fill of the gap from the swing low. Unlike the Nasdaq, volume did pick up as confirmed distribution on net bearish technicals. The downward trend is conforming to a … [Read More...]

Astrological Aspects And Their Influence Over Financial Markets

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Astrological phenomena can drive price action and create trend changes across both short and longer term time horizons. The below Videso  book has introduced you to an extensive range of astrological phenomena and shown you numerous examples to illustrate how these phenomena impact various markets. In this article we will discuss about “important aspects” in… Read More » The post Astrological Aspects And Their Influence Over Financial Markets appeared first on Bramesh's Technical Analysis. [Read More...]

Market Insights Podcast (Episode 250)

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Jonny Hart looks back on the week’s business and markets news with OANDA Senior Market Analyst Ed Moya in New York.  This week they discuss bank earnings, the global energy crisis, and almost decade-long push for an ETF.  They also discuss what the week ahead has in store for financial markets. [Read More...]

Morning Post 10/15/2021 SPX

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Everything is breaking. Just the way the satan worshiping democraps want it. You will have no Christmas and like it. Good vs evil On to the lie – Minis up 18. That should get cash to the 4450 area which is about the limit for my wedge target and where I wanted price to be next week not today. Well, at least I got the satisfaction of calling a formation again. Time for the Fed to get involved and screw up TA again. More to come below. Have a good day. GL and GB! [Read More...]

Week Ahead: Rising prices raise stakes for rapid rate increases

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All about Inflation Wall Street still remains upbeat despite growing an energy crisis that threatens the economic recovery, widespread price increases, and mixed economic data.  It seems that inflation will remain elevated for a lot longer than the Fed imagined, but a rapid rate-hiking cycle will not translate into an immediate ending of negative real yields.  If US real yields remain negative throughout next year, that should provide some underlying support for investing in equities. The focus will stay on energy prices, which should show continued pressure on energy producers to ramp up output as the colder months near.  If energy costs seem poised to head much higher, the unbalanced global economic recovery could dent risk appetite and lead to some diverging market moves. Pricing pressures … [Read More...]

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