investing for idiots

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Benjamin Felix is Chief Investment Officer at PWL Capital.
Youtube channel –
The Case for Index Funds –
Investing in Technological Revolutions –
Rational Reminder podcast –

Academic References – full list is at

Anarkulova, A., Cederburg, S., & O’Doherty, M. S. (2023). Beyond the status quo: A critical assessment of lifecycle investment advice. SSRN Electronic Journal.

Arnott, R., Kalesnik, V., & Schuesler, T. (2018). Is your alpha big enough to cover its taxes? A quarter-century retrospective. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 44(5), 78–102.

Ben-David, I., Franzoni, F., Kim, B., & Moussawi, R. (2023). Competition for attention in the etf space. The Review of Financial Studies, 36(3), 987–1042.

Berk, J. B., & Van Binsbergen, J. H. (2015). Measuring skill in the mutual fund industry. Journal of Financial Economics, 118(1), 1–20.

Bernstein, W. J., & Arnott, R. D. (2003). Earnings growth: The two percent dilution. Financial Analysts Journal, 59(5), 47–55.

Bessembinder, H. (2018). Do stocks outperform Treasury bills? Journal of Financial Economics, 129(3), 440–457.

Bessembinder, H., Chen, T.-F., Choi, G., & Wei, K. C. J. (2023). Long-term shareholder returns: Evidence from 64,000 global stocks. Financial Analysts Journal, 79(3), 33–63.

Bessembinder, H., Cooper, M. J., & Zhang, F. (2023). Mutual fund performance at long horizons. Journal of Financial Economics, 147(1), 132–158.

Busse, J. A., Goyal, A., & Wahal, S. (2014). Investing in a global world*. Review of Finance, 18(2), 561–590.

Carhart, M. M. (1997). On persistence in mutual fund performance. The Journal of Finance, 52(1), 57–82.

Cornell, B., Cornell, S., & Cornell, A. (2023). Big market delusion: The case of electric vehicle stocks. The Journal of Investing, 32(5), 39–47.

Ellis, C. D. (1975). The loser’s game. Financial Analysts Journal, 31(4), 19–26.

Fama, E. F. (1965). The behavior of stock-market prices. The Journal of Business, 38(1), 34.

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1992). The cross‐section of expected stock returns. The Journal of Finance, 47(2), 427–465.

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2010). Luck versus skill in the cross‐section of mutual fund returns. The Journal of Finance, 65(5), 1915–1947.

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1–22.

Fleming, F., Passmore, M., Kan, M., Whelan, C., & Lockhart, J. (2022). Investor Knowledge Study. Ontario Securities Commission/Innovate Research Group.

Heaton, J. B., Polson, N. G., & Witte, J. H. (2017). Why indexing works. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 33(6), 690–693.

Jensen, M. C. (1968). The performance of mutual funds in the period 1945–1964. The Journal of Finance, 23(2), 389–416.

Kerzerho, R. (2024). The Passive vs. Active Fund Monitor. PWL Capital Research.

Kinnel, R. (2016). Predictive power of fees: Why mutual fund fees are so important. Morningstar Manager Research.

Malkiel, B. G., & Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work*. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383–417.

Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection*. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91.

Robertson, A. Z. (2019). Passive in name only: Delegated management and “index” investing. Yale Journal on Regulation.

Rowley, Jr., J., & Plagge, J.-C. (2022). The case for low-cost index fund investing. Vanguard Research.

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44 COMMENTS

  1. My mom says she thinks trump is Jewish. She was maga and q anon, untill it came out trump was in the files. Now she's just racist and anti Semitic, and pretends to not like trump.

  2. @Coffeezilla, I studied ChemEngr (2 degrees from a top 5 uni) but I don't have a job and don't do anything related to ChemEng lol. I'm happy to know that I'm not alone 😅

  3. Coffee. Look up SEC (Rule 203(b)(2) Bona Fide Market Maker Exception. And go down all the loopholes about reporting/ creating and failing to deliver shares. Worth talking to Biggums.
    I would be curious as to you doing a video on market maker manipulation.

  4. Diversification reduces risk only when it’s informed.
    Owning many businesses you don’t understand is not diversification — it’s uncertainty. investing in international markets blindly is actually very dangerous if not knowledgeable about the market. I think Ben should mention his advice is for people know little about investing and don’t want to spend too much on investing. In that case, just buy SP500 with DCA in the faith of US economy. if people really want get serious in investing, it takes time to learn, patience, and risk of losing money along the way. But I don’t think Ben suggestion is limited for people who want to learn how to invest and a bit risk reverse.

  5. TLDR: Nobody actually knows, keep fees low, skew towards indexes with equity exposure. I wish they got into Ray Dalio's changing world order risk, and the US losing world reserve currency… Segway into Gold, Bitcoin discussion.

  6. One of the most popular Boglehead portfolios is VTI (entire USA stock market) + VXUS (entire world stock market minus the USA), at a ratio of about 70/30 or 60/40. I have no idea where Coffee got the idea Bogleheads dislikes int'l diversification.

  7. You guys are too afraid of risk. You can buy and hold invest profitably using the CANSLIM method and the turtle soup trading method for better entries.

    Also then do what Buffet aid to buy stocks which you see future for the next 10 years. You can learn from profitable mentors who show legit proof of consistent profitability, and backtest and forward test the strategies.

  8. Hi Ben – So should we not take exposure to factors (small & value) all the time? Rather only in downturn if I can? It seems thats what you said in this session.

  9. Basically, there is investing, and then there is day trading. The majority of people have no business day trading because they don’t have the money or the time to get it wrong.

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