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[CO only] On Tap Credit Union $150 Checking Bonus


Update 8/2/26: Extended until 10/31/26

Update 5/4/25: Available again, no end date listed.

Update 3/3/24: Deal is back and valid through December 2024 (ht reader Heather)

Update 4/15/23: Deal is back through Dec 2023. Recent dp say it’s a soft pull.

Offer at a glance

The Offer

Direct link to offer

  • On Tap Credit Union is offering a bonus of $150 when you open a new checking account and complete the following requirements:
    • Use promo code CHECKING150
    • Mention promotion at account opening
    • Set up a direct deposit of at least $500 and maintain it for six months
    • Make at least 10 debit card purchases

The Fine Print

  • Subject to IRS dividend reporting. Must mention this promotion at the time of account opening to qualify. A $5 par membership share with On Tap Credit Union is required. Checking account and direct deposit must be maintained for six (6) months after the date opened.
  • Offer available through Dec 2022.
  • All bank account bonuses are treated as income/interest and as such you have to pay taxes on them

Avoiding Fees

Monthly Fees

This account has no monthly fees to worry about.

Early Account Termination Fee

According to the fee schedule there is a $5 fee if the account is closed within six months. You need to keep the account open for longer than six months anyway to complete the requirements.

Our Verdict

Very annoying that the direct deposit must be maintained for six months, not worth it for a lot of people.

Hat tip to alopez14

Useful posts regarding bank bonuses:

Colleges Dropping Supplemental Essays 2026-27: Full List


Key Points

  • At least six major universities (including Georgia Tech, UNC-Chapel Hill, the University of Georgia, the University of Miami, Tulane and the University of Washington) have fully eliminated their supplemental essays for the 2026-27 application cycle, with several more cutting prompts back.
  • Admissions officials say the essays stopped telling them anything new, exhausted their reading staff, and may have scared off qualified applicants.
  • Generative AI is a factor at some schools, though only Tulane has said so on the record.

Georgia Tech told applicants on July 29 that it will no longer require its short-answer supplemental essay, a change that takes effect when applications open on August 1 for students entering in fall 2027. Families building out a college application checklist this summer can cross one item off.

The reasoning was blunt. Mary Tipton Woolley, Georgia Tech’s executive director of undergraduate admission, said the supplemental essay “was no longer a differentiating factor in our decision-making process.” Rick Clark, the school’s vice provost for enrollment management, framed the move as part of an effort to make applying “as straightforward as possible” — an unusually direct admission about what admissions offices actually weigh.

Georgia Tech is not acting alone. Over roughly six weeks this summer, a cluster of selective universities announced they were cutting or killing the school-specific writing that has defined the modern college admissions process. Every one of them still requires a main personal statement. What is disappearing is the second, third and fourth essay — the “Why us?” prompt, the values question, the 250-word short answer that students wrote a dozen times each fall.

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Which Schools Have Dropped Their Supplemental Essays

The list circulating on social media and consulting blogs is larger than the list that survives verification. Below is what university sources confirm, separated by how far each school actually went. If you are still deciding where to apply, a free college comparison tool is a better starting point than an aggregator’s essay roundup.

Fully eliminated for 2026-27 (applying fall 2026, entering fall 2027):

  • Georgia Tech
  • Tulane University
  • UNC Chapel Hill
  • University of Georgia
  • University of Miami
  • University of Washington

Reduced, not eliminated:

  • Cornell University (Retired the universitywide essay, but colleges may still have specific essays)
  • Washington University in St. Louis (Removed the optional writing supplement)
  • Wake Forest University (Reduced to one prompt, but added a recommendation letter)
  • Yale University (no “Why Yale” question and short takes trimmed to three)

Dropped in prior cycle:

  • Texas Christian University
  • University of Virginia 

Two cautions worth carrying into any application planning. Honors colleges and scholarship programs frequently still require essays even when the university does not — Morehead-Cain and Robertson at UNC run separate applications with their own writing, and TCU’s honors college and nursing program kept their prompts. That matters because those programs are often where the real merit money lives.

Several universities also have not updated every page of their own websites. Miami’s admissions FAQ still lists a supplemental essay as required, contradicting its own newsroom, and Tulane’s college-planning page still tells students to prepare a “Why Tulane” statement.

Colgate has been named in several roundups but no university source confirms a change, and its QuestBridge partner listing still shows writing prompts, so it is not on this list.

Why Colleges Are Dropping The Essay Requirements

The simplest explanation is math. Through March 1 of the 2025-26 cycle, Common App counted 1,429,747 distinct first-year applicants (up 2% from the prior year) submitting 9,423,621 applications, up 5%.

Applications per applicant reached 6.59. Students are not multiplying but their applications are, helped along by no-fee applications and fee waivers that keep lowering the cost of adding one more school.

A senior applying to eight schools that each want two supplements is writing sixteen essays on top of the personal statement, usually in October and November, usually while taking a full course load.

That same math lands on the other side of the desk. David Graves, the University of Georgia’s executive director of undergraduate admissions, was unusually candid in the blog post announcing UGA’s change: “by the end of our review process, we have a lot of tired eyes and exhausted counselors, and anything I can do to help our team focus and get through the review stage is a bonus.” And his substantive verdict was harsher: “the second essay did not give us much beyond what the Common App prompts essay gave us.”

Then there is the number that likely moved this from a discussion to a trend. Virginia removed its supplemental prompt for 2025-26. Its early action applications went from 41,885 to 57,495, a 37% increase against a five-year average growth rate of about 11%. The early action acceptance rate fell from 16.1% to 12.4%. Total applications rose 27%, to 82,118. Notably, UVA’s binding early decision pool barely moved (up 2.7%) which is worth understanding before you commit to early decision over early action.

No one has proven the essay removal caused those jumps. UVA’s own student newspaper credited out-of-state growth, and both schools changed other things at the same time. But admissions offices noticed. Graves told Inside Higher Ed he was aware of UVA’s application growth, adding that because UGA requires test scores and UVA does not, he did not expect a comparable surge. TCU, which cut its short answers the same year, reported roughly a 14% application increase.

One common assumption deserves correcting: dropping essays to inflate applications does not improve a school’s U.S. News ranking. The magazine removed acceptance rate from its methodology in 2018. The incentive is reputational and about yield management, not the rankings formula, though selectivity does still correlate with outcomes, as data on whether expensive colleges are worth it shows.

The AI Problem

Tulane’s Shawn Abbott, vice president for enrollment management and dean of admission, told Inside Higher Ed the school cut its essay partly because of the rise in students using generative AI to write applications. He is, so far, the only official to say it out loud. WashU’s team explicitly told the same publication that AI was not a factor, and UGA’s announcement never mentions it, which tracks with what 24 admissions offices said when asked directly about their AI policies.

The research suggests the concern is real but complicated. A February 2026 study by researchers at Cornell and Carnegie Mellon analyzed 81,663 applications to a selective university between 2020 and 2024 and found AI use rose sharply in 2024, with the largest increases among lower-income and fee-waived applicants, whose essays also became the most linguistically homogenized.

Increased AI use correlated with larger declines in admission probability for those same students.

Two earlier Cornell studies fill in the picture. One, presented in 2025, compared 30,000 human-written essays against output from eight AI models and found a detector could separate them with near-perfect accuracy. A separate 2024 study found AI-generated essays most closely resembled writing by higher-income male students. 

What This Means For Families This Fall

For most applicants, this is time and money back. A student applying to ten schools may write four to six fewer essays than last year’s senior. That is a real reduction in October stress and it cuts into the billable hours behind what a college admissions consultant costs, which routinely runs into the thousands.

The tradeoff is that when the supplement goes away, the remaining signals get heavier. Grades, course rigor and test scores carry more weight, and testing is coming back.

Miami reinstated a testing requirement starting with fall 2026 entry, UGA has required scores throughout, and dozens of schools are now on the list of colleges requiring the SAT and ACT again. Common App data shows applicants reporting test scores rose 10% in 2025-26 while non-reporters fell 6%.

Behind all of it sits demographics. WICHE projects U.S. high school graduates peaked in 2025 at about 3.9 million and will fall roughly 13%, to 3.4 million, by 2041. Reducing friction in the application funnel is a rational response to a shrinking pool of applications, and the same pressure now showing up in the running list of colleges closing their doors.

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The post Colleges Dropping Supplemental Essays 2026-27: Full List appeared first on The College Investor.

Inside the non-QM market’s shift from fallback to mainstream product


Affluent, self-employed borrowers dominate the space

Hutchens said the typical non-QM borrower profile has remained consistent throughout the year to date.

“It’s staying pretty much the same. It’s pretty affluent – bank statement, self-employed borrowers,” he said. “Those average loan amounts continue to rise, and the credit quality [too]. The average FICO is over 750. So it’s a very well-qualified borrower.”

The second most common non-QM client, according to Hutchens, is the professional real estate investor tapping equity or expanding a rental portfolio. “There’s lots of investor demand, and it speaks back to the lack of supply,” he said.

“Rents are staying high, investors are finding their properties get leased pretty easily and to good tenants, for the long term.”

The Federal Reserve opted to hold rates steady yet again on Wednesday (July 29), a decision that’s unlikely to move the needle for many homebuyers who were sitting on the sidelines or waiting for a sign to jump back in.

Khosla leads $310 million raise for unicorn mining startup Mariana Minerals



The last century was fueled by oil and gas. Turner Caldwell is betting the next century runs on metals. 

“We’re entering a metals-driven economy,” said Caldwell, CEO and cofounder at Mariana Minerals, a software-focused mining startup. “Lithium and copper are going to be core, but our mandate needs to be broader than that. We’re starting to chase aluminum, which goes into lightweight alloys and plays a major part in the electrification of the economy. We’re looking at magnesium, nickel, cobalt, manganese, uranium, and rare earths. The beauty of the software backbone we’re building is that we’re architecting it to be as generalizable as possible for all the metals the modern economy depends on.”

Metals are the unseen but ubiquitous foundation of our economy (and our world) as we understand it. Power grids and motors guzzle copper. EV batteries don’t exist without lithium. Aluminum builds power lines, planes, and cars. The list goes on: steel is the skeleton of the building you’re sitting in right now, and even metals you never think about—like germanium—are irreplaceable in the chip powering the phone in your hand.

And now, the supply chain powering our phones, transportation, and electricity is endangered: China dominates global mining and controls as much as 90% of critical minerals processing worldwide (this number for rare earth magnets manufacturing—essential for smartphones and defense applications—goes up to 92%). The U.S. is locked in what’s been widely described as a critical minerals chokehold, developed through decades of price-cutting Chinese industrial policy and American industrial decline. So, the supply chain is high-risk, and even high-volume essential minerals like copper and lithium can get wildly expensive. 

“Our goal is to reduce the cost of these core inputs to the modern economy over time,” said Caldwell. “That enables us to ensure that everything downstream can move as fast as humanly possible, so we can unlock all the industries [like AI] that everyone is super excited about.”

Mariana—which Caldwell in 2024 cofounded with Baker Tilney and Juan Lozano after nine years working on factory design and construction at Tesla—has been one of a few buzzy startups trying to make waves in the centuries-old mining sector, at a pivotal geopolitical moment. The company, which is based in San Francisco, has just secured a new round of notable funding: Mariana raised a $310 million for its Series B, led by Khosla Ventures, Fortune has exclusively learned. Andreessen Horowitz, a longtime backer, participated in the round, along with Breakthrough Energy Ventures, Greenoaks, Halo Fund, Pax Ventures, StepStone Group, BHP Ventures, Washington Harbour Partners, Greycroft, Mitsubishi Corporation, and others. Mariana has now raised $400 million total and is valued at $1.5 billion. 

That $400 million includes capital that goes to the mines that Mariana runs: Copper One in Utah and Lithium One in Texas. The names are descriptive: Copper One is a previously idled copper mine that Mariana acquired in 2025 and restarted over four months with autonomous software—the company says the site is moving toward producing 50,000 metric tons of refined copper each year. Lithium One, which broke ground in 2025, is expected to enter commercial production in 2027. 

Mariana stands to compete with the massive incumbent miners, from Standard Lithium to BHP Group. But the startup’s betting that there’s not only an opening for Mariana, but that the rising metals demands forced by the AI boom make an efficient, software-based miner existential and essential. 

“The AI revolution, physically speaking, depends on the mining of a huge amount of minerals and metals,” Travis Kalanick, former Uber’s founder who now runs physical AI and robotics company Atoms, said via email. “Data centers, chips, the grid, robots, EVs, defense systems: it all starts with copper and other critical minerals. So how existential is it? You cannot lead in the AI century without a domestic supply chain.”

To Kalanick’s point, consider copper, a chokepoint for electrification, as AI-built data centers are placing more demands than ever on America’s outdated electrical grid. 

“If you look at the modern economy, it’s basically an electrification story,” said Caldwell. “That’s true whether it’s AI infrastructure, renewables and energy storage applications, the reindustrialization initiative, or the electrification of transport—land, air, and sea. All of that is going to be tied to how much electricity we can generate as a country and as the human race.”

Electricity needs copper. So, volatile copper prices alone stall America’s fragile industrial future. 

“If copper prices start to get crazy—and we’ve already seen them increase—all the downstream customers of those metals are going to face cost pressures,” Caldwell said, “which will slow the rate at which we modernize the global economy.”

And copper is just one of dozens of metals that matter to our collective, complicated future.

See you tomorrow,

Allie Garfinkle
X:
@agarfinks
Email: alexandra.garfinkle@fortune.com

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VENTURE CAPITAL

Balance Theory, a Columbia, Md.-based AI platform that helps companies manage cybersecurity spending, raised $19 million in Series A funding. SYN Ventures led the round and was joined by DataTribe and TEDCO.

Smallest.ai, a San Francisco-based AI lab focused on voice AI infrastructure for enterprises, raised $13 million in Series A funding. Seligman Ventures led the round and was joined by Sierra Ventures and 3one4 Capital.

PRIVATE EQUITY

Charterhouse Capital Partners acquired Animalcare Group, a York, U.K.-based animal health care company, for £235.2 million ($317.3 million).

Haudecoeur, backed by Apheon, acquired Natur Food, a Giessen, Germany-based Turkish product wholesaler, and Heliadis, a Vilvoorde, Belgium-based food manufacturing company. Financial terms were not disclosed.

IPOs

Braveheart Bio, a San Francisco-based biopharmaceutical company developing therapies for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and other serious cardiovascular diseases, plans to raise up to $319.6 million in an offering of 18.8 million shares priced between $15 and $17 on the Nasdaq. AH Bio, Forbion, Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals, Orbimed, ES Braveheart Aggregator, and Frazier Life Sciences back the company. 

 – Apnimed, a Cambridge, Mass.-based drug developer focused on sleep-related breathing diseases, raised $192 million in an offering of 12 million shares priced at $16 on the Nasdaq.

FUNDS + FUNDS OF FUNDS

Index Ventures, a London, U.K.-based venture capital firm, raised $3.5 billion across multiple funds focused on seed, venture, and growth-stage technology investments.

Correction: The July 31 edition of Term Sheet incorrectly stated that $3.1 billion across its two funds. The amount raised was instead $4 billion. We regret the error.

How Barnes & Noble CEO James Daunt tapped his indie bookstore cred to revive the big-box chain



When James Daunt was named CEO of Barnes & Noble in 2019, he quickly began making the big-box store more like local indie bookstores.

Barnes & Noble had just been taken private by Elliott Advisors for $683 million after sales declines driven by formulaic stores that had lost their charm. The hedge fund installed Daunt, a Brit, as CEO based on his track record reviving Elliott-owned Waterstones, a large British bookseller, and his experience as owner of the beloved ten-store Daunt Books in London. 

His plan to turn around Barnes & Noble hinged on infusing the retailer’s more than 700 stores with some of the aura of his namesake chain, whose locations are treated as hallowed ground by many book lovers for their browsing‑friendly displays and oak‑paneled galleries.

“There are universal factors that make a great bookstore, and it doesn’t matter whether it’s a huge chain store or a small independent,” Daunt told Fortune in a new episode of the “Behind the Business” series. 

Core to any great bookstore is a welcoming environment for readers with appealing displays, an interesting—even quirky—array of books, and enthusiastic, knowledgeable workers who are eager to talk titles with customers. Early on, Daunt flagged that Barnes & Noble—like Waterstones before it—suffered from uniformity that bored customers. In his view, stores needed far more independence to decide what inventory to carry and how to display it.

Standing in the way was a well-established business practice in the bookselling industry. For years, publishers would give Barnes & Noble a discount on books if it agreed to sell them—and give them prime real estate—at every store. The practice, called “co-op advertising,” is one of the first things Daunt eliminated.

The approach had provided some certainty in revenue, but managing co-op advertising occupied a lot of booksellers’ time, Daunt says; it made their jobs dull and pulled them away from customers at a time when hands-on service was supposed to distinguish Barnes & Noble from buying books on Amazon.

“It created these really dispiriting, anodyne stores because they were all the same, selling the same old books, the same authors, the same bestsellers,” Daunt recalls. “We just said, ‘No more of that.’ We’re going to choose what we sell.” 

“We,” in this case, didn’t mean Barnes & Noble’s New York headquarters like it had in the past. Rather, the retailer gave small regional clusters of outlets wide discretion over what to stock on store shelves. 

“We abandoned [co-op advertising] 100% so now each store curates its own assortment, reorders books according to what its customers are actually interested in and does their own thing,” he says. Readers on the Upper East Side of Manhattan and those in, say, Flint, Mich., don’t read the exact same books, the CEO says.

In another key move, Daunt started placing smaller initial orders of books—even if the retailer expected the titles to sell well—but ordered more titles overall with the goal of carrying a wider selection. It created a sense among customers that a Barnes & Noble store is a place of discovery. For employees, it made the stores a more fun place to work.

As a private company, Barnes & Noble does not disclose financial information. But reports of a possible IPO and store growth indicate it’s on firmer financial footing compared to the 2010s when it seemed doomed to meet the same fate as the now-defunct Borders chain. In that era, Barnes & Noble saw massive sales declines, closed more than 100 stores, went through six chief executives, and lost $1 billion on its Nook e-reader, a device it hoped would compete with Amazon’s Kindle. The missteps left stores understaffed and drained the company of the financial firepower needed to invest in upgrading them.

Now, Daunt’s strategies have given Elliott the confidence to open dozens of new Barnes & Noble stores annually for the past three years, including 50 this past year, with more to come. (Its store count is approaching the all-time high of nearly 800 in the mid 2000s, though many of the new locations are much smaller than the big boxes it shuttered last decade.) Barnes & Noble has also remodeled many of its locations, installing modular shelving, improving lighting, and reorganizing how books are presented. Multiple media outlets reported this spring that Elliott was eyeing an initial public offering for the combined company holding Barnes & Noble and Waterstones, that would value the company at $4 billion. Daunt declined to discuss a potential listing. 

Barnes & Noble has been through expansion cycles before, notably in the boomtime years of the 1990s and 2000s. What’s different this time is that Barnes & Noble’s store openings coincide with a revival of independent bookstores. For decades, Barnes & Noble was accused of killing mom-and-pop bookstores across the U.S. Not anymore: according to the American Booksellers Association, some 605 new independent bookstores opened in the U.S. in 2025, up 87% from the year before. Book sales, meanwhile, aren’t growing nearly as fast. Revenues for the industry hit $14.6 billion in 2025, up 1.1% from 2024, according to the Association of American Publishers. 

Daunt thinks the narrative of the big-box store spelling the end of indies is a trope (to be expected, given his stakes in both kinds of outlets), and he says he’s not surprised that independent stores are flourishing as Barnes & Noble stages a comeback.

“The better our bookstores, the more books are sold, the more the market expands,” he says. “It’s not a zero-sum game.”

Still, the former investment banker who works for a private-equity owned company is capable of taking harsh steps when he sees fit. The Wall Street Journal reported in May that at one point, he made his entire corporate staff reapply for their jobs and let a few dozen employees go.

Another big plank of Daunt’s strategy is to continue improving stores and to open stores in markets Barnes & Noble abandoned during its 2010s-era implosion. As he walks the aisles of the chain’s mammoth Union Square store, which he calls “dated” (it opened in 1995) and a “work in progress,” he points out small details that enhance the browsing experience. Some displays feature a little note from the staff about why a book is a good read, a human touch reminiscent of an indie store. A table at the entrance features dozens of books arranged by theme: current affairs and income inequality, for instance. They were hand-picked by the store staff, not imposed by HQ.

Daunt sees promise in the Union Square store. “It takes time, it takes intelligence,” he says of grouping books to encourage buying more. “These are great books. You’ll walk away with two, three, four, five books, not just one book or no books.”

Stablecoins, Tokenization And Crypto: Digital Assets Thoughts Of The Week


South American stablecoin usage rising

“Brazil’s regulators are already tightening control over stablecoin flows and virtual-asset service providers, and they’re doing it in tiers. Under Resolution 561, virtual assets can no longer settle transactions inside the regulated eFX system, so cross-border payment and receipt flows are pushed back onto banks and traditional foreign exchange.

“Resolutions 519, 520 and 521 reinforce that by capping non-bank providers: virtual-asset service providers are limited to $100,000 per transaction, while banks face no such cap at all. That asymmetry makes these flows unworkable at scale for anyone that isn’t a bank.

“And most recently, the Central Bank moved directly against the fund structure that operators were using as a side door: routing crypto imports through investment funds acting as FX intermediaries, so that payment flows were dressed up as portfolio investment. The BCB has now notified the market that it considers this disguised intermediation illegal and ordered it discontinued.

“The effect is already visible, with stablecoin spreads widening sharply almost overnight. Put together, none of this is a ban on stablecoins. It is something more deliberate: cross-border stablecoin settlement is being moved inside the banking perimeter and closed off to non-bank structures.”

Bernardo Brites, co-founder and CEO, Trace Finance

“The IMF’s scrutiny of Brazil is a graduation as stablecoins now move enough capital across borders to matter to macroeconomic policy, and that changes the conversation entirely.

“The lesson from Brazil is that you can’t bolt compliance onto stablecoin rails after the fact. When crypto flows outpace registered capital flows, the problem isn’t the technology; it’s that identity and compliance were never native to it. The next generation of settlement infrastructure has to embed verified identity, transaction-level auditability, and regulatory visibility at the protocol layer, not wrap it around the edges.

“Regulators don’t want to stop these flows, but rather they want to see them in action as they build identity and compliance into the rails themselves. In doing this, markets like Brazil keep the speed and access that made stablecoins attractive, and central banks get the visibility they need. That’s the standard cross-border finance is heading toward.”

Ryan Kirkley, co-founder and CEO, Global Settlement Network

Crypto investing

“The SK Hynix selloff has evolved into one of crypto’s most fiercely contested AI equity trades, suggesting traders are still actively establishing positions rather than simply exiting risk. SK Hynix is the most actively traded tokenized stock on the platform this week, with gross notional crossing $332 million on July 28 alone. While the stock is down 27% on-chain, open interest grew 64%, indicating new shorts entered as prices fell, rather than longs simply closing positions. Daily funding swung between +84% and -72% annualized across the week, the signature of a market where bullish and bearish conviction remains evenly matched rather than one side capitulating.

“Rather than retreating from AI semiconductor exposure, crypto traders appear to be rotating capital within the sector. The trade nobody is discussing is the rotation into CXMT. The Chinese memory-chip maker saw open interest nearly double to $86 million by July 27, before net positioning flipped sharply long at $16.9 million on July 28. Funding turned negative on July 28 and is running at -2,086% today, meaning shorts are paying an extraordinary rate to maintain positions against a stock that is already up 8% on the week. Capital rotated out of SK Hynix and into its Chinese competitor on the same semiconductor catalyst.

“On-chain positioning suggests crypto traders are expressing highly differentiated views on the AI sector ahead of earnings, rather than treating Big Tech as a single macro trade.  Google has emerged as the market’s most aggressively shorted name, with net short positioning running between $25 million and $30 million through July 27 and 28.

“Microsoft is also attracting bearish positioning despite beating earnings, with long exposure falling to just 12% on July 25. The lowest ratio in the dataset—and net short notional reaching $15 million on July 28. Apple, meanwhile, stands apart as the clear bullish outlier: 85% of positioning was long early in the week, open interest grew 73% to $69 million, and funding turned sharply negative at -31% annualized ahead of its July 31 earnings, suggesting shorts are paying to maintain positions against growing long conviction.”

Nicolai Sondergaard, research analyst, Nansen

Crypto and real estate

“The collapse of RealT is certainly significant because it was one of the highest-profile tokenized real estate platforms, but I think it’s important not to draw the wrong conclusion. This is not an indictment of blockchain technology or tokenization itself; it’s a reminder that technology cannot compensate for poor asset management, inadequate governance, or weak operational controls.

“From what has been reported, the underlying issues appear to have been neglected property management, unpaid taxes, regulatory disputes, and concentration risk from owning hundreds of properties in a single market. Those are traditional real estate problems that would have created serious issues regardless of whether ownership was recorded on a blockchain or in a conventional limited partnership.

“The biggest lesson for investors is that tokenization does not eliminate the need for due diligence. Before evaluating the technology, investors should ask the same questions they would ask of any real estate sponsor: Who is managing the properties? How diversified is the portfolio? How are reserves handled? Who performs independent audits? What legal rights do token holders actually have if things go wrong?

“The industry should also recognize that tokenization and custody are separate issues. A blockchain token can provide transparent ownership records and facilitate efficient transfers, but it does not mow the lawn, collect rent, pay property taxes, or maintain the buildings. The value of any tokenized real estate investment ultimately depends on the quality of the underlying asset and the competence of the operator.

“From my perspective at CryptEscrow, we see a very different use case for blockchain in real estate. We are not tokenizing ownership interests or asking investors to rely on a third-party sponsor to manage assets.

“Instead, we use cryptocurrency as a secure source of funds for traditional real estate purchases. The buyer’s digital assets are converted into U.S. dollars before closing, allowing title companies, lenders, sellers, and regulators to complete transactions within the existing legal and settlement framework. In that model, blockchain serves as a payment rail rather than an investment product.

“I don’t believe the RealT liquidation will slow institutional adoption of blockchain in real estate. If anything, it will accelerate demand for stronger governance, better regulation, independent oversight, and greater transparency. Those developments are healthy for the industry and will help distinguish sustainable real-world asset projects from those that rely primarily on the novelty of tokenization.

“The long-term opportunity remains substantial. Industry analysts project the tokenized real-world asset market could reach into the trillions of dollars over the next decade. However, successful projects will be built on high-quality assets, professional management, regulatory compliance, and investor protections—not simply on blockchain technology itself.”

John Ioannou, founder, CryptEscrow

 



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How Much One “Ordinary” Rental Property Has Made Me in the Last 6 Years


Real estate investors often talk about cash flow, or the profits from flipping a house, but rarely the total impact that buying a rental property and holding it for multiple years can have on your net worth. If you’ve never done the math, it’s significant. In many cases, a single property can create several hundred thousand dollars in wealth.

And to prove it, Dave and Henry have each handpicked a real estate deal from their own portfolios. They’ll walk you through how they found these properties, how they funded them, and some of the biggest challenges they ran into along the way. But then, they’ll reveal exactly what happened once the dust settled and compounding started to do its thing.

These weren’t home-run deals or rare investing opportunities. They were very “normal” rental properties in the hands of patient investors. If you do exactly what they did—buy a quality asset in a good neighborhood and play the long game—you, too, could create life-changing wealth through real estate investing.

Henry:
Real estate investors love to talk about things like cashflow or appreciation, but they rarely talk about the total impact that a single property has on your net worth. You may generate a little bit of cash flow from real estate investments in year one, but the real power comes from buying a great asset, holding it, and letting it run its course. And when you actually do the math on a property you’ve owned for five, 10, or 20 years, the results are eye-opening. Every one ordinary rental property can create hundreds of thousands of dollars in wealth. Today, Dave and I are breaking down a couple of properties from our own portfolios to prove that point. These are actual deals that we own and manage, and we’re going to share all the real numbers. Are there bumps in the road? Of course. As you’re about to hear, you can overpay for a property.
Renovations can go over budget, but real estate is far more forgiving than you think. If you buy a good asset, play the long game, and stay patient.

Dave:
Hey, everyone. Welcome to the BiggerPockets Podcast. I’m Dave Meyer, joined by my friend and co-host, Henry Washington. Henry, what’s up, man?

Henry:
What’s going on, buddy? Good to be here.

Dave:
Yeah, it’s going to be a good show. We’re doing something a little bit different today, and I’m excited to talk about it because we often discuss acquisitions, buying new properties. We debate the benefits of cashflow versus appreciation, but we don’t always talk about what might be the most important thing in real estate, which is sort of the cumulative benefit of real estate and how a single property contributes to your portfolio, to your net worth, to your financial freedom mission over time. So that’s actually what we’re going to be doing today. Henry and I have each wrote down some information about a single deal that each of us has done in the past. And we’re going to talk about the ways that a single deal evolves and changes and grows over time. And I think this is going to help everyone, not just help manage their individual properties and the things they already own, but going back to the acquisition phase, help people pick which deals they should be buying today to maximize that benefit and advantage over time.

Henry:
Yeah, this is super fun because when you study real estate like online, social media, books, podcasts, all of it, it’s all talking about what it’s like to purchase property, what it’s like to disposition property. And there’s tips and tricks for operations, but you never really hear the details of how an individual property is

Dave:
Performing

Henry:
Over time in someone’s portfolio. It’s like this missing link of real estate study.

Dave:
Yeah. People are like, “Oh, I bought it for X and then I sold it for Y,” but they never tell you what happened in between. And although sometimes those equity numbers are real and they are impressive, it’s not the only benefit. Or in between buying it for a hundred and selling it for 300, you put 400 into it and you didn’t actually make any money. So we’re going to go into it. And I picked what I think has been sort of an average deal for me over time. It did well. It’s not the best deal I’ve ever done. It’s not the worst deal I’ve ever done, but sort of just representative of a deal that I think works for people. But let’s do yours first. Tell us about what deal you’re bringing.

Henry:
So I bring this property up because it had a lot of hiccups, but I’ve held on through them and I’m glad I have. It’s an amazing property. So this is an eight unit property that I bought. I closed on it, I believe, January 2nd or 3rd of 2020. So this was literally as the pandemic was becoming a thing.

Dave:
Right before toilet paper weekend.

Henry:
Yes.

Dave:
When everyone was freaking out. When

Henry:
People were wearing grocery bags over their heads, tucked into their clothes, going to the grocery store. When no one knew what was happening, when it was really, really scary still. Oh God. What a
Crazy time to close on a property. And my biggest project to date. So I paid $500,000 for this eight unit property. It’s across the street from the University of Arkansas. So it is a fantastic location, but it needed quite a bit of work. And I made the classic newish investor mistake of underestimating what the rehab was going to take. So given normal times, I underestimated that rehab. But if you remember what happened during that time was it started to get really hard to find anybody that wanted to go outside and do any work. And the cost of materials and labor went through the roof. So I think I budgeted somewhere around $100,000 for the renovation of this property, and we probably ended up spending closer to $250,000 when it was all

Dave:
Set

Henry:
Down. Whoa.

Dave:
And you bought it for five?

Henry:
500,000, yes.

Dave:
Well, that’s a good buy. Eight units.

Henry:
Great

Dave:
Buy. 500,000. Yeah. I mean, 60 something thousand dollars a unit. I imagine even in your area, that’s pretty darn cheap.

Henry:
Phenomenal buy, especially for the location. And so performance-wise upfront, I mean, this property ate my lunch because we blew through that $100,000 pretty quick.

Dave:
How’d you finance that? I mean, if you were budgeting for 100K, how’d you get the other 150?

Henry:
We did a commercial loan from a local bank. It was a commercial construction loan. So they gave me 90% of purchase and $100,000 for renovation. So they gave me 100% of the renovation costs. I had to put down 10%, so I had to put down $50,000. And then we actually got the seller to carry that back on a note for a couple of years. So we paid him 10% interest on that seller carry back of the down payment for

Dave:
Two

Henry:
Years while I was renovating. So I didn’t have to come out of pocket any money to buy this property.

Dave:
But wait, when it went from 100 to 250, where’d you get the extra 150?

Henry:
Yeah, great question. So about 50 grand of that came out of my pocket, maybe a little more. And then the remaining, we were able to tap into the equity because the equity bump that we got during the pandemic years was good enough for us to tap into some of that equity and pull out the rest that we needed. And so the bank essentially gave us a little more on our line of credit to finish up the renovation.

Dave:
Still not looking good for you right now. No. If you’re following along, if you’re betting on this one. No, it’s not great. It’s

Henry:
Not great at this time.

Dave:
Your polymarket odds are very bad.

Henry:
We’re carrying the note during all this time. We’re renovating. There’s nobody living there because we had to essentially put everyone out. Everybody either left and the one or two people that stayed were problem tenants who weren’t really paying anyway. And so we had a completely vacant property that we were renovating. I was carrying the note on it. Those were dark days. Those were dark, dark days. And so when I bought the property, rents were at about between three and $500 a unit. That’s how not great these units were. These people were just slum lording it on this property. And we were able to start getting renovated units leased at between 1,000 and $1,200 per

Dave:
Unit. How big were they? Two bedroom?

Henry:
800 square feet, two bedroom, one bath.

Dave:
I mean, I imagine you get that from a college student all day.

Henry:
All day long we were able to get these rented. We also added laundry to each unit, which helped boost the rent and helped boost desirability. And so once we got that first unit online and saw how quickly we got it rented, we knew we were going to be okay, but it was a long ride to get there. And I want to point that out for people because real estate is truly a long game. When you hear me talk about this property, it sounds great. Yeah, I bought it. I paid $500,000 owner finance on the down payment. I didn’t have to put any money out of pocket. And then we renovated it and we’re renting the units for a thousand to $1,200 a unit. That sounds amazing.

Dave:
I mean, you went into the red for a while, it sounds like. For

Henry:
Several months during the renovation.

Dave:
And even then, your cashflow is still good, but you probably couldn’t have sold it for a profit even though the equity was probably pretty good just with transaction costs and paying off your debt. It just takes time. You have to let the thing run its course.

Henry:
It takes time. And I think the thing that people don’t talk about with real estate is that, yes, I was able to carry that property, but what carried that property? Money from flips and cashflow from my other cash flowing rental properties. Cashflow is great, but you can’t always rely on it. If I was relying to live off of my cashflow, I might not have been able to sustain holding this property through the downtime we had of having to take everybody out. And the renovation, not only was my budget more than doubled,

Dave:
But

Henry:
My timeline went longer because of the state of the country at the time. And there’s literally nothing I can do about that. There was very few people that were working at that time. And so that’s why we say you have to have some other sort of income stream. Just because you bought a great deal doesn’t mean you’re going to be able to hold onto it. My other assets in my portfolio are what kept me afloat with this property. And I’m glad that it did because we talk about real estate being the long game. So now we’ve got eight renovated units. They’re renting very well. And we did an appraisal recently as I was refinancing this property. This property appraised for $1.4 million.

Dave:
Wow.

Henry:
So not only is it cash flowing great now, but it’s got a crap ton of equity in it because of the location that we bought it in, because of the appreciation in this market in general. And that’s the paper appraisal. My agent said that I should be able to sell this for 1.5 to 1.7 all day.

Dave:
And how much debt is on it?

Henry:
$720,000.

Dave:
Okay. So you’re walking with eight after sales expenses? Yeah, it’s amazing.

Henry:
And the cashflow is decent. My note on this property, principal and interest run me somewhere around $6,200 a month. And we’re bringing in over 10 in net cash flow. And obviously it’ll depend. So there’s four units that we did a lighter renovation on and four units that we did a complete gut overhaul on. So the complete gut ones, they get 12, 13, 14 depending on what we can get for it at that time. And the ones with the lighter renovation get anywhere between nine to 11. So we’re above 10 grand in gross rents, paying about 6,200. You take some expenses. It’s not a crap ton of cashflow, but

Dave:
It’s still

Henry:
Positive cashflow and crazy appreciation.

Dave:
Yeah. So what are you going to do with it now?

Henry:
I’m going to keep this one forever.
I love the location. I’d love to be able to give it to my kids. There’s going to have to be some other maintenance items I’ll have to do big ticket. That parking lot in the back will have to be redone at some point. It’s an asphalt parking lot and it’s wearing down. So I’d like to come back with something a little more durable, maybe do some concrete back there. It’s going to be quite a big capital expense on that property. Some of the HVACs are getting older that we’ll have to replace soon. But in terms of location and appreciation and rent growth, you couldn’t be in a better location.

Dave:
So rents are still growing. You think the cash flow will get better over time? The

Henry:
Cashflow will get better over time, especially as I start to pay this unit off. But this is one I plan on keeping in the fold for a long time.

Dave:
So I mean, yeah, the strategy, which I like is you have a great assets that it’s appreciated. Maybe it’s not a great cash cow, but if it’s in a great location, it rents well, that’s like a prime property to pay off over time. Whether you do it quickly or just wait 15 years, that’s just one to hold onto.

Henry:
Yeah, absolutely. The longer I hold it, the more valuable the land and the asset is going to get just because what’s around it. The University of Arkansas has grown since I bought this property. So it’s like they’re inching the campus closer to me. So I’ll take it.

Dave:
Even better.

Henry:
Right.

Dave:
This isn’t some crazy thing. You just bought a good asset at a really good price, renovated it, made it more desirable for your tenants, increased the occupancy and the rents, and that’s it. Yeah. That’s just the formula, but it just takes time. It doesn’t work in the first year or the second year. It sounds like you weren’t trying to pull off a perfect burr and refinance 100% of your money in nine months. It was just like a patient approach. You found a great asset, you figured out what was going to work with this particular property and didn’t try and force anything out of it that wasn’t going to be realistic.

Henry:
Yeah. And I think part of the key here is I didn’t use short-term financing in the terms of hard money. So my interest rate was very reasonable.
And the construction period, so I had a 12-month construction period where I’m paying interest only. That allowed me to keep my holding costs lower than if having to pay principal and interest during a time when it was very hard for me to get this thing up and running due to underestimating the rehab and then the situation that was happening in the country with the pandemic at the time. So yes, this is a very run-of-the-mill real estate deal. Buy a dilapidated asset, add value to it and rent it out. But I don’t think people often understand that sometimes that doesn’t go smoothly. If you don’t want to lose the money you have in the asset, you’ve got to be able to hold. And had I not had other cash flowing assets and had a stream of income through flipping, plus I had my day job for part of this, all of those things allowed me to sustain and carry that property through it bringing in absolutely no income.

Dave:
All right. Well, this is a great example that everyone can repeat. You don’t have to go out and buy commercial property, but what Henry did, buying an undervalued asset, fixing it up, renting it out, getting appreciation, using it to finance other deals. This is the benefits of holding onto real estate for a long time. And we got to take a quick break, but after the break, I’ll share with you an example I have. Very different approach, very different property, but that still showcases how the long game usually wins in real estate. Stick with us. We’ll be right back.

Henry:
All right, we are back on the BiggerPockets Podcast, and Dave and I are talking about properties that we currently own and giving you essentially some behind the scenes on what it’s been like for us to own and operate these properties and what it has done for our portfolios having owned and operating these properties. So I’m very interested to hear what kind of property you brought for us, Dave. I

Dave:
Have the total opposite end of the spectrum. Just a single family home that I lived in for a couple of years. So it’s not a traditional house hack or what most people think of as a house hack where I was renting out one unit and living in the other. My girlfriend at the time, wife now, and I lived in this home for three years.

Henry:
Did you call it a house hack because you charged her rent?

Dave:
I did a little bit. I covered the vast majority. The majority of it, but a little bit. Yeah.

Henry:
Well played, sir.

Dave:
So I bought this house, single family home back in 2016 when I was living in Denver. It was actually right after I started working at BiggerPockets. I got this under contract, I think maybe within a month of working at BiggerPockets, because I remember sneaking out of the office to go cold call someone because I wanted to get houses. Oh, this is your one cold call that you’ve ever made. This is my one direct to seller deal I have ever done. But let me just tell you about why I went out of my comfort zone and did this. I got really into the idea of path of progress and figuring out what neighborhoods were going to be popular in Denver because it was growing a lot, but it was very neighborhood by neighborhood. And the city announced that they were going to be building a brand new light rail that went from downtown Denver at this train station that they were pouring millions of dollars into out to the airport.
That was always this big pain point and it was going to go through this neighborhood that was kind of up and coming. And they were deciding between two different projects. The one route might go north, one route could go south. And so my agent and I went, or he first went to the city planning meeting and figured out that regardless of which one they chose, there was this one sweet spot that they were going to get this park and a train station and the city was going to be investing in it. And I was like, “I got to buy right there.” And so I actually had been in this house six months earlier and though it was too expensive at 425. And knowing what I knew now, I was like, “All right, I’m going to call that guy back.” And so I called him back and was like, “I was in your house.
He didn’t sell it because it was too expensive at 475.” And we finally negotiated for it. And I remember to this day the exact price that was $462,000 is what we agreed on. So more than I thought it was worth. But I was like, “This is crazy because that is the exact price. 462 was the exact same price I had paid six years earlier for a four unit in Denver. And now I was paying that for a single family home and I was like, this is crazy, but I really believe in it.” And so I wound up buying this, and I’ll tell you how much it’s worth and what it’s done for that, but was able to finance it just using money I had saved up and refiing a deal I had bought two and a half years earlier, had done some value add to that and had raised the rents a lot.
So I was able to refi that to go out and buy this.

Henry:
462 for a single family even back then. Wow. Wow.

Dave:
It’s a lot.

Henry:
That’s a lot. So I assume you did just a conventional loan on this one?

Dave:
I did. Yeah. Owner occupied loan. I actually wound up putting 20% down on this. I had saved up enough for 5%, but I did a refi and was able to put the full 20% down. So I got good financing because I really didn’t want to pay PMI. And I think my loan then was five and a half. I refinanced it during COVID, but it wasn’t crazy low rates back then. So even that, I think my mortgage payment was something around 18, 1900 bucks to live there, which to be honest, to rent a two bedroom in Denver, which is what we were doing, it was going to cost 15, $1600 easily. So the payment wasn’t that crazy.

Henry:
And how long would you say it took before you started to realize that your research about what was coming to this area was actually there and giving you the boost you had hoped for?

Dave:
Oh dude, it took a while for the value to get there, but within three months of buying this property, I knew I had hit a home run. But the house that I bought was in decent shape. There wasn’t a lot of value add. The value add I did was living in a very uncomfortable situation for three years because then they just did construction for three years. They eminent domained the houses across the street. Sort of tweakers moved in across the street. They were constantly living in there. There was a triple gang shooting two houses away. Jane and I, they built the train, and I didn’t know this at the time. Sometimes ignorance is split, but the train, when they launch a new train, they have to blow their horn every time they cross a street for two years before it can be quoted a quiet zone.
Oh wow. So 24 hours a day for two years, two blocks away from us, trains were just blowing their horn. So we were just living in this. It was a nice house, but that’s kind of value-add to me. It was like I knew once this was over, it would be worth 700,000.

Henry:
Once you moved out, what were you able to rent this for? And do you still own it?

Dave:
Still own it. So when I moved out in 2019 alone, got 3,000 a month in rent. Rents in Denver have went up and now they’ve kind of come down. And so I think I’m getting 3,250 right now a month. And my payment, because I refinanced it, has actually gone down even though taxes and insurance have gone up. So I’m paying about, I think it’s just under 2,000 bucks a month on my payment for that. And that gives me 1,400 bucks cushion. I do pay a property manager, but it produces 10, 15 grand a year in cashflow.

Henry:
That’s pretty cool. Now, I know Denver has a lot of older inventory in some parts of town, and that can cause you problems maintenance-wise over time. How old is this property?

Dave:
Oh my God. I think it was 1892. I think it was, but it had been renovated. There had been some work done on it. So it’s actually been pretty low maintenance costs for. Man, I moved out of it six years ago. I’ve been renting it out and knock on wood, no major capital expenses. Is it like a cash cow that I’ll hold onto forever? Probably not. I will probably sell it. I’m moving towards selling it maybe even in the next couple of months, which I can get into. But I think it’s worked for me in so many ways from tax benefits to appreciation for cashflow and holding it over the next couple months. It really has kind of checked every box.

Henry:
Absolutely. I think you should get into it because my next question for you was going to be, what’s the plan? Are we keeping this or are you going to sell it? And if you’re going to sell it, what are you going to do with the proceeds?

Dave:
Yeah, so this is the way I’ve been thinking about it is that I still owe 230 on the loan. I’ve just been paying it off. So if I went to sell it, which I think I could sell it on the low end for 720, that’s pretty conservative because after I bought here, I wound up buying another house down the road because I really just liked the neighborhood and saw it was happening. But I sold that other one. It was almost an identical comp. I sold it for 810, but that was in 2022. And Denver market has definitely come down. So I’m just conservatively saying 720, it’s probably somewhere maybe closer to 750, hopefully. So I mean, that’s a lot of equity. That’s like 300 grand in equity. And yeah, it’s making cash flow like 10, 15K, but that’s not a good cash on cash return.
And I would consider holding onto it or paying it down if I thought there was any juice left, but there just isn’t. The neighborhood has done what it’s going to do, which has been fantastic. There’s not really room for value add. The layout is kind of weird. I can’t add another unit. There’s just no way to really get more out of it. And so I think I’m going to sell it because the cashflow’s not amazing. It’s run its course. I’ve done the long game on it. But I think a lot of times with these kinds of plays, seven to 10 years, you kind of peak out and the performance peaks. And so I will likely 1031 into something else. That is sort of what I’m thinking right now, but I’m still getting some quotes on what it’s going to cost me to get it sales ready and kind of make the final decisions, but that’s where I’m leaning right now.

Henry:
Yeah, I mean that makes sense. And that’s absolutely true. If you feel like you’re just going to get your normal modest appreciation bumps from this point forward, then it’s just either you hold it because that fits your investment strategy or you find something else where you feel like you can get a better cash on cash return with that money. I don’t think there’s a wrong decision with a property like this. And I don’t want people to listen to this to think that you have to sell your properties after the seven-year period. Dave’s doing what he feels like best fits his investment strategy going forward, and that strategy fits the lifestyle that he wants. You need to do the same thing for you. So for me and my property, I can’t add a ton of value to it either. It’s just going to appreciate because of the location, but that asset paid off would be a great one to leave to my kids, and that fits my investment strategy better.

Dave:
Exactly.

Henry:
The goal is to get in, force value, ride the appreciation, and then make the determination on is it better to sell or keep based on what you want to do with your portfolio? It’s what’s the right call for your investment strategy.

Dave:
All right. So you’ve heard each of our deals, but we have more analysis and to discuss on today’s episode right after this quick break. Welcome back to the BiggerPockets Podcast. Henry and I are sharing stories about the long-term performance of two deals that we picked out. Let’s jump back in.

Henry:
I think as investors, we have to be very educated on the types of loans that are out there for us to finance these deals and pick the ones that make the most sense for the asset you’re buying. Because like I said, if I would’ve bought my property with a higher interest loan, hard money, something that was a whole lot more holding costs, I probably wouldn’t own that asset today. I don’t know that I

Dave:
Would’ve

Henry:
Been able to sustain through the delays in the underestimating of the renovations. And if you used a different type of loan product, it may be a different story that we’re telling now. So if you can buy a property that’s a good asset in the path of progress, and it takes a little longer to get to your profitability that you’re looking for, you don’t want to put yourself in a position where you’re limited on your ability to hold onto that property.

Dave:
Because

Henry:
That’s how you lose in real estate. You don’t just lose by buying a bad deal. You can buy a great deal with the wrong financing, and then you’re stuck in a position where you either can’t refinance, can’t carry the note, and so you have to sell the property. And if you’re forced out too early, I mean, that’s when you take losses and that’s when you don’t build the wealth. The wealth comes through equity and appreciation. The wealth doesn’t come through cashflow. Cashflow is a measure and it’s a good measure and you want to shoot for it, but that’s not what builds the wealth. And you don’t get to the wealth building if you’re forced to sell because you used the wrong type of loan or because you didn’t have cash reserves. Real estate is about your ability to hold onto your assets for the long haul.
The more you can do that, the more wealth you’ll build.

Dave:
That’s absolutely right. I think what you said before is spot on where you said it’s sort of an educated guess. Because I think a lot of people might listen to my story in particular and say, “That’s speculation.” Or yours even because you were buying it at what, three, $500 rents and you had to tell yourself a story that I can get a thousand plus in rent for this. That’s not speculation, it’s a business plan. I think that’s sort of the key here is I do hear people say like, “Oh, I’m thinking about buying in this neighborhood because it’s just an up and coming area and I just think the prices are going to go up.” Maybe, but I think you need a business plan to really back that up. And I acknowledge that what I did on that deal might come close to speculation, but I had a plan and I knew that at the very least, I was basically net neutral on my own living expenses.
I limited the risk. I had, to Henry’s point, owner occupant financing, very advantage financing. That made that possible. Would I have bought that as a flip or a burr? Probably not. The whole plan, the business plan was to live in it through the inconvenience and through the transitionary period. And that’s why it worked. Just going out and saying, “I’m going to buy on the street because everything goes up,” that is speculation. Holding on for a long time is the goal, but you have to still have a business and an idea of how you’re going to take it from where it is today to where you want it to be in six, 10, 15 years. Otherwise, you’re just guessing and waiting. And it’s not like you have to do that much, but implement a plan and wait is really what we’re saying, not just go buy anything and wait.
So I like these stories because it’s so funny. In retrospect, everything looks like it was easy and genius. But the whole point I think of both of these stories is like mine didn’t look great for the first three years. I overpaid. Or people would’ve said I overpaid. Henry’s didn’t look good in the right way, but we were both following a plan. We both had a business plan and the plan was never, how do I get out of this in nine months? For rentals that you are trying to acquire, the plan can take shape over two years, over three years, over five years, over seven years. It not only doesn’t have to be quick, but often as these stories show, it works better for it not to be quick. Being slow can be a deliberate strategy. It is not necessarily some consolation prize that you’re taking.

Henry:
Very, very Very true. And don’t forget, it could and very well may for other investors who are getting started now, it may take even longer than the time horizon that Dave and I are talking about because we did get a 2021, 2022 bump in equity that none of us were expecting. So buy the best asset you can, try to add as much value as you can, and then make sure you’re in a position to be able to sustain that property if and when it doesn’t perform like you want it to.

Dave:
You’re right that it might take longer, but I want to caveat that with two things. First and foremost, no one knows when these bumps are coming, but they come. And they’ve come throughout history and they’ll come again. No one knows. So that’s kind of the whole point of holding on. No one knew it was going to be 2020 to 2022. That’s when it happened. And the people who held onto things were rewarded for that. The second thing though is that better assets are on sale. It is easier now to buy something that you want to hold onto than it was in 2021 or 2022, at least in my experience. And so I think that’s why we always talk about, you take what the market’s giving you, and that means the bump might not be next year. It probably won’t, right? It’s probably not coming for the next couple of years.
But that’s why you buy good assets now. I bought mine in 2016, it took four years. I bought other assets in 2010, took 12 years, whatever. But you find things that work in the short term that are good, and then the upside comes and that’s what turns them great. That’s what we talk about all the time on this show, and it absolutely can happen and can work right now. All right. Well, this was fun. I liked going through the show. Let us know if you like these shows. We could do more of these, just Henry and I, or we can bring on other investors to share examples of great or bad stories that if going into these kinds of things and showing sort of the life cycle of a deal is useful for us, let us know. Drop it in the comments. Let us know on Instagram.
We would really appreciate it because I learned from you about your deal. I think it’s just a super helpful format.

Henry:
Yeah. If you enjoy talks like this, we’d love to be able to do more. So let us know if it’s helpful to you.

Dave:
All right, that’s our show for today. Thank you all so much for watching this episode of the BiggerPockets Podcast. He’s Henry. I’m Dave. We’ll see you next time.

 

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If Artificial Intelligence Is in a Bubble, These Are the Stocks That Could Benefit Most


Few developments have had as big an effect on the stock market over the last four years as the advancements in artificial intelligence. The promise of productivity improvements from AI has driven significant spending on the technology, including new data centers and equipment to outfit them. However, the market has started to waver in recent weeks, amid fears that all that spending might not pay off in the long run.

Semiconductor stocks are technically in a bear market after falling more than 20% since late June. Hyperscalers are under increasing scrutiny as capital expenditures push free cash flow into negative territory. The results have some investors asking whether artificial intelligence is in a bubble.

If there is an AI bubble, it could lead to further pressure on semiconductor and hyperscaler stocks. One sector that could benefit currently looks extremely cheap, and it’s worth buying now regardless of whether there’s an AI bubble.

Image source: Getty Images.

The stocks that could benefit from too much spending on AI

Earlier this year, software stocks tumbled as investors feared artificial intelligence services like Anthropic’s Claude Code could cut into their growth. Many analysts re-rated the value of current earnings because they felt future earnings growth wasn’t as predictable as it had been for many software-as-a-service (SaaS) companies.

The market indiscriminately sold off software stocks, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV +1.36%) dropping nearly 30% from the start of the year through early April. While the sector has bounced back over the last few months, there are still plenty of values in software.

If there is an AI bubble, those companies hit hardest by the software sell-off earlier this year could be some of the biggest beneficiaries. First of all, it might suggest that AI isn’t as capable of fully replacing existing enterprise software solutions as feared. While many SaaS stocks have considerable moats that would protect their businesses against AI disruption, the fear of AI disruption has remained a significant overhang on stock prices.

iShares Trust - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF Stock Quote

iShares Trust – iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF

Today’s Change

(1.36%) $1.27

Current Price

$94.58

Second, software companies integrating generative AI tools into their core offerings may be able to access the compute power needed to run those features at significantly lower cost. If hyperscalers overbuild and there’s not enough demand to meet the supply, they may be willing to sell access to their services at a lower price. That would transfer gross margin from hyperscalers to their customers, like software companies.

Not every software stock will be a winner. But large software companies with considerable free cash flow and low valuations could be well-positioned to benefit from capital market trends, potential operational flexibility, and financial wherewithal.

Some potential winners if investors move away from AI stocks

If investors move capital away from the biggest AI winners, like semiconductor stocks and hyperscalers, they may want to stay in the tech sector. As such, software stocks trading at attractive valuations could be natural landing spots for many.

Some of the most beaten-down stocks have already seen significant share price recoveries, including Adobe (ADBE +1.01%) and Salesforce (CRM +1.83%). Even after a recent increase in price, the two stocks trade for forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 10.3 and 13, respectively. Meanwhile, both are producing solid free cash flow: $10.3 billion for Adobe over the last 12 months, $14.7 billion for Salesforce.

Both stocks are down due to fears of slower growth. Analysts expect revenue growth of just 9% per year for both companies. Management continues to deliver growth above expectations, but investors remain worried about the future. Salesforce expects revenue to accelerate in the back half of the year after posting growth of 12% in the first quarter. Adobe grew revenue 13% last quarter while showing strong progress on its top-of-funnel freemium offering, which should support long-term revenue growth.

Salesforce Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(1.83%) $3.31

Current Price

$184.02

Additionally, both are using AI to improve their products, increasing their utility and expanding their moats compared to smaller competitors. Adobe offers its own Firefly model, which is trained on its stock photos and videos. Salesforce introduced Agentforce, which uses its Data Cloud to automate some operations within its software.

These are just two examples of opportunities in the software sector. Investors could buy the whole lot with the iShares software sector ETF, but those who buy the highest-quality software stocks could do even better.