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[Targeted] Chase Business Checking: $50 Bonus For Making 15 Zelle Transactions Of $5+ Each


The Offer

No direct link to offer, sent out via e-mail. Subject line is ‘Simplify how you get paid and make payments with Zelle, plus earn a bonus’

  • Chase is offering business checking customers a $50 bonus when they make 15+ Zelle transactions of $5+ each by 7/16/26

Our Verdict

Hopefully this is similar to the Bill Pay bonus where people were able to get it added to their account. If that method works/doesn’t work let us know and we can update the post. If you don’t already have a Chase business checking account you can currently get a $500 or $750 bonus.

Hat tip to reader C F

How Do I Respectfully Ask for the Raise I Was Promised? Ask Johnny


Gemini / Google

Johnny C. Taylor Jr. tackles your workplace questions each week for USA TODAY. Taylor is president and CEO of SHRM, the world’s largest trade association of human resources professionals, and author of “Reset: A Leader’s Guide to Work in an Age of Upheaval.” Question: I was given extra responsibilities with the understanding that I would receive a salary adjustment. It’s been several months…

How America Could Soon Be Oversupplied with Homes


Dave:
People have been screaming about the silver tsunami for more than a decade. But what does the recent data and a new analysis say about housing demand in the generations to come? How will builder sentiment and construction trends potentially offset some lower housing demand? And will one of the hottest asset classes in real estate get banned from major metro areas? Today, we’re going through the most important headlines, making news in the real estate world. This is on the market. Let’s get to it. James, Kathy, what’s going on? How are you, Kathy?

Kathy:
I am doing amazing. I’m in Snowbird’s Business Center. I hope nobody’s planning on doing any business today because I’m dominating this room today. But I had a very surprising wake up this morning. There was eight inches of fresh pow, and I can’t even believe it. It’s somehow this season just came at the end of April.

Dave:
I’m so jealous. James, how are you? Are you as good as you look right

James:
Now? I just got good lighting going on I think right now. That’s really what it is.

Dave:
All right. Well, we got housing market activity to talk about. Me, Kathy, and James each brought a story. Henry, by the way, I think is at his daughter’s dance recital, which is just adorable. So we’re going to let him off the hook for that. But we have important stories to talk about today. And I think I’m just going to go first because I just read this super interesting article. It’s not exactly news, but it is a new data analysis just about housing and demographics in general. This is written by Bill McBride who writes a blog called Calculated Risk. It’s really good. I don’t know if you guys follow this at all, but really good information. I do. Sort of famously called the 2008 crash, Bill McBride. He’s often write about this stuff. And so he released this analysis of the question I think we’ve all been wondering for 10 or 15 years.
Is the silver tsunami a real thing? And if so, what does it mean? So before I get into some of the data Bill shared, Kathy and James, we’ve all been hearing about this for a decade. Kathy, what do you make of the idea that there is a silver tsunami and does it matter to you?

Kathy:
Well, yeah, because I am going to be silver sometime soon.

Dave:
It matters a

Kathy:
Lot. You’re part of the tsunami. I am. No, I looked at the chart. I didn’t like it. I didn’t like it how it’s going real down on the baby boomers. That basically means death.

Dave:
That is what it means.

Kathy:
But it’s very obvious if you just pull back and say the baby boomers were a huge, huge demographic. The millennials as well, which is basically their kids. So when the baby boomers, this huge demographic starts to age, things are going to change. Anything that the boomers did, it affected society. When they all wanted to buy homes, guess what? Prices went up. When they all invested the stock market, stocks went up. Well, as they start to kick the bucket, then we’re going to have more homes on the market. The question is, is it going to be all at once? Of course not. It’s a big generation, 20 years. So yes, of course, the ones on the higher end of that, and facing the 80s, they’re going to basically the article saying historically they’re moving, they might be moving, changing their situation. And then you’ve got the millennials, what are they going to be doing?
But the bulk of those people, that means there’s a big generation, but behind it is a smaller one. If you’ve got a big one, then behind it’s a smaller one. So that’s what so often we fail to see. We kind of failed to see this big group coming. We weren’t prepared for it. Now everybody’s building. And as it moves through the system, there’s not enough people behind them maybe for all the new housing that’s about to be built.

Dave:
Right. And it just feels, to me at least, like a little bit that the timing is a little odd, right? Because all the building is happening as we’re not yet, but sort of entering a time where millennials are going to be sort of past the peak home buying age and will be in Gen Z, which is a smaller generation. I should say it’s not that much smaller of a generation though. It is. I think it really starts to get smaller when you get into like, what is it? Gen Alpha is the one after that. That will have implications, but I’m just curious what you think make of the timing of all of this. Are we building too many homes to the point where, yeah, we’re in a housing deficit now, but could the pendulum swing back all the way in the other direction?

Kathy:
Well, it appears to be, and a part of that, a huge part of it is immigration. And we have seen a dramatic decline in immigration. Of course, we saw a massive growth of it over the prior four years, but that has come down dramatically. And let me tell you, multifamily operators are absolutely feeling that. They’re seeing more vacancies because there’s just fewer people needing those apartments. So yeah, you need people for real estate. And if you start to see a decline, whether it’s immigration or these large cohorts, these groups of people that maybe finally have found housing or there’s just fewer of them behind them. But I agree with you. There’s still a lot of people here in the US. There’s still plenty. But is the shortage of housing as big as the Trump administration just came out and said, it was 10 million or what

Dave:
Was it? They all range. I feel like it’s everywhere from one to 10 million. The more reliable, I feel like it’s like three to five million is kind of like the consensus average. Still a lot though. That’s a lot. And I agree, we’ve seen both ends of the spectrum on immigration, both legal and illegal immigration too, just so everyone knows. We did see a huge spike in, I think it was 22, 23 was the highest. Now both illegal and legal immigration is down nationally. And so we are seeing less demand from housing. And I’m curious, James, what do you make of this? Do you think this plays out in a way where we’re going to see less aggregate demand for housing? Could we go from a supply deficit to a supply glut and how long could that take?

James:
I mean, they have to start trading down. We see this all the time. A lot of the homes that we’re buying, we are buying a lot bigger homes that are, they need an update and then people are transitioning down into other products or they’re moving into … We buy a lot of probate deals and people that are transitioning into new housing. I would say we’ve done, we’re kind of a preferred buyer in our market for a lot of brokers and people that actually relocate people into even senior living. The weird thing is, I would say the deal flow the last three years on that segment has been at least 50% less than I’ve seen.

Dave:
You mean Boomers selling specifically?

James:
Boomers selling, but they’re not transitioning into old folk, at least from our data set. They’re just not transitioning as much. We work a lot of families that want a private sale where they can do it structured on their terms. They just want a dependable buyer. They want to be able to move out in a 90, 10, 20 day window and get relocated. The weird thing is that lead flow in companies that I know do that, they have almost no inventory going on.

Dave:
Interesting.

James:
And so it’s like, are they actually selling or … I think also a lot of these boomers too, I have been seeing that the families are moving back into the houses and now they are becoming just residents of the houses. So the houses aren’t changing hands.

Dave:
Yeah. We’re seeing more multi-generational living for sure for affordability, right?

James:
And is that going to come even more when the alphas come up? It’s like, are people moving back in because they just can’t make a pencil either way. They’re like, “Well, I could sell, get the money, but it doesn’t get me as far now.” And so I do think that could lead to an oversupply of product because the buyers aren’t there.

Dave:
Yeah. I think people have been screaming about the silver tsunami for 15 years. And I guess it was never going to be a tsunami. There was no scenario where all of these boomers sold at once. It’s just kind of crazy. And people say, “Oh my God, there’s like whatever, tens of millions of boomers.” I should mention, like James just said, one of the biggest groups of sellers is always people who are retiring and aging, right? Boomers are a bigger generation, but these people who point to, “Oh my God, there’s 20 million boomers.” Yeah, but there’s usually 15 in that same spot. So it’s not like it’s this huge thing. But then there’s also all these just societal trends, like James mentioned, people moving back in with each other. There’s a higher desire to age in place. We see that more people want to do that.
And then the same thing, boomers are also perhaps even more so impacted by the lock-in effect because downgrading is more expensive than staying in your home. A lot of these homes are paid off. Why would you move out of a paid off home to go pay for an expensive home with a six and a half percent mortgage rate? It doesn’t make any sense. And so I think it will happen. It’s just destiny. People are going to die, unfortunately, but that’s just going to happen. But I think it’s going to be longer and more drawn out than people say it is. But overall, after reading this, and I actually did an episode on the market a couple weeks ago, I do think there’s going to be less aggregate demand, not in the next five years, but if you get halfway into the 2030s and the 2040s, I think the pendulum will shift from under supplied to oversupplied market.
I don’t know if you guys agree, but I’m curious what you think the potential implications of that could be.

Kathy:
I mean, supply and demand is everything, right? If there’s more supply, not enough demand, prices level out or go down. So it’s hard to say what the future will be based on immigration policy, but that’s really the ticket. That’s the key because our birth rates are going down,
So that’s a problem. And when we look at other countries like Japan and China where they have low birth rates, but they also don’t have a lot of immigration, that’s a big problem for them. And so far, the US has been okay because we have been having babies, but that’s slowing down. And we also have been pretty open with our immigration policies and that’s changed dramatically. So something there, either people have to have more babies or we have to open up the gates or stop all the aggressive building. But again, I was right, the Trump administration did come out and say that we are short 10 million homes. And a new White House report lays out a blueprint to fix that. That’s from AP News. So again, if there’s government incentive to build more houses, we could do what we’ve done in the past and suddenly find ourselves overbuilt.

Dave:
Yeah, I agree. I mean, I personally don’t see the birth rate changing much. I have a hard time imagining what changes that. There’s just a new report that came out two days ago that the average cost to raise a child in the United States now is $300,000. It’s crazy.

James:
Wow.

Dave:
For most people, that’s just unaffordable.
So there are other reasons people are having fewer children, but most people who say they’re having fewer children cite the cost of childcare and raising a child is the number one. I don’t see that changing anytime soon. Immigration policy, who knows. We’ve seen the pendulum swing back and forth the last couple of years. We don’t know where it’s going to be, but my feeling is we’re going to have less aggregate demand for housing. And I don’t think that means you can’t be a real estate investor. I actually think it creates some interesting challenges, but also opportunities. When I was reading this report and similar reports on it, it also talks about how baby boomers own some of the best real estate in the country and that we’re going to start to see really good inventory come on board. Now, we might not see the same across the board massive appreciation that we’ve seen when there was higher total demand, but you might be able to get really good assets and good locations.
And actually you mentioned Kathy, Japan. If you look at what happened in Japan, a lot of rural and suburban and tertiary markets have seen falling home prices, but prime locations are fine. They’re still growing. And I think that’s probably what’s going to happen here.

Kathy:
Yeah, you better be very careful what you buy. During 2009 when we had the housing crisis and there was just a glut of houses on the market, the areas like Stockton that are further

James:
Out,

Kathy:
Prices went down 75% because if you could live in the Bay Area, why would you be out an hour out of the city? We even heard of a developer who had built this whole community, 2009 hit. They just tore it all down. They’re like, “We can’t sell any of it. ” So you got to be very careful and more than ever be aware of don’t be too far out from jobs. I always like to be 10 to 15 minutes driving from jobs, from a strong job base, because those are the homes that are going to be in demand.

James:
And one thing about demand, it was interesting actually when we did that value add conference, I was talking to somebody and he was looking to buy a house because they lived in California. I’m like, “Well, where do you want to buy?” He’s like, “My mom doesn’t care. We’re going to the state with the lowest estate taxes.” And in this kind of report, did it talk a little bit about where these things are being bought? Because that’s a lot of the planning now. In Washington, you don’t want to die in Washington and have an estate. It’s the 20% estate tax in Washington
With an exemption of 2.2 million and it is one of the worst. And then the best states with zero estate tax or Arizona, Florida, Nevada, Texas, that might be a big trend for some of the silver tsunami because as people need more capital, I know for me, if I’m going to go, I hate to say this, die somewhere. I want to make sure my kids are being the most taken care of. It’s like, I’m going to go from die in one of these states with my estates, right? Yeah. And I wonder if that’s going to go into some of this planning and development like, “Hey, this is attractive to move your parents here and get their estate and everything rolled into these states.” Because when you’re talking about 20% different on your tax, that’s a huge, huge difference.

Dave:
Yeah. Well, this is something we’re all just going to have to watch. I feel very confident that even if there’s lower overall demand, there will be markets that grow, there will be markets that don’t. We’re just going to have to see how these things develop. Like James said, is it based on where boomers are moving, where I personally think there’s going to be a lot of labor market disruption in the next couple of years. How does that all settle out? Where are the job centers in the future? Maybe they’ll stay the same, maybe they won’t. We’re going to have to see that, but those are the things I’m personally going to keep watching. One of the big variables here though that we haven’t talked yet about is construction because we’ve talked about how much the birth rate and immigration, which is kind of on the demand side, but a big element of whether or not we go into a supply glut is how much we’re building.
And after the break, James is going to share with us some information about builder sentiment. We’ll be right back. Welcome back to On The Market. Kathy, James and I are here sharing the latest news and data we’re reviewing around the housing market. Before the break, we talked about the baby boomers, whether they’re going to sell, what it means, but we only really talked about the demand side, but there’s this whole supply side about how much construction happens in the US. That’s going to be a huge factor in whether this silver tsunami comes true. So James, tell us what’s going on with construction.

James:
US home builder sediment drops to seven month low in April. NABH survey says, and this is something I’ve been kind of paying attention to, especially the last 12 to 24 months, because I’m always looking where the opportunities are. I would say recently we’ve been able to pick up some property that has good development potential down the road and we’ve been able to do that because builders, man, they’re turning into kind of the rain clouds of the industry. When you talk to … I have a lot of clients that are builders, we’re builders. It is not looking good right now. And the P&Ls are saying it. I can say, “Hey, we haven’t made a whole lot of money building houses the last 12 to 24 months.” And the sediment is real. They’re saying now for 24 straight months, over 50% of builders have a negative outlook on the next 12 to 24 months.
And since the Iran conflict and the energy spike, it has now dropped to a seven-month low at 34%. So that means it’s 64% of builders, they just do not feel good about the market. And this is coming from material hits, transport costs, fuels up 35% since this conflict. And as you’re in the middle of your build and you’re going, “Okay, we’re getting hit with more costs in addition to now rates have jumped up.” Since the bombing of Iran, it’s gone from 6% to 6.3, 6.4 in weeks, and we’ve seen it kind of spiking every which way. And builders are just seeing higher costs across the board, whether it is their building costs are up because of energy prices, 70% of them are having problems selling their houses, according to this article. And addition to, they’re saying that over 60% of the transactions are still giving out a lot of buyer concessions.
So even if you’re showing a higher number and they’re dropping price, they’re still giving away a lot of money just to get that deal gone. And I think this is a major problem because even though Trump may have said that we’re short 10 million houses, there’s a lot of inventory coming online that is not being absorbed. Oh
Yeah. I mean, I was looking at in Kirkland, Washington, which is one of our best markets in Washington, it is like people want to live there. If I had to move back to Washington, I’d be moving into Kirkland. It’s great, great neighborhood. The absorption rate on new construction on cottages and daddos is like 13 to 14% right now. My business partner sent this off because we have some we’re building right now and there was like 35 came online and six went pending last month. Wow. And that’s a problem. So the thing about this is we might see a slowdown in builder start because even when I find good lots to sell, builders are like, “Eh, I really don’t want to look at this right now unless we can close on a permit and wait and have a long feasibility because they want to be able to spot check in.
” And so the aggressiveness of builders has definitely pulled back. Me and Dave just recently did a podcast on flipper sediment and that flippers are feeling good. It is completely opposite in the building community right now, at least for the guys that I’m dealing with. And the article talks about it. And when you have cost up, land has not dropped like it should. And 60% of properties are still giving incentives, plus they’re selling them for 5% less off list and they’re cutting price. You’re getting squeezed on all sides. Builders are really getting beat up right now.

Kathy:
Oh yeah. My builder sentiment is very low.

Dave:
The survey size of one is very low.

Kathy:
Yeah. I mean, we’ve got developments in very popular places like Bozeman, Montana. And that development, I mean, it’s a lot of homes that we’re building there, but over the past few years, they were selling steadily. It just came to a screeching halt over the past few months. We’re also in one of the fastest growing parts of Nevada right outside of Reno. And same thing, this is where so much new business is moving. We have a development there. It was really starting to pick up at the beginning of the year when rates went down, now crickets and you know holding costs are insane. And then on our other deal, we’re having to take price cuts. That’s the only way to move it. So great for buyers, very difficult time to be a builder for all the reasons James just said. The prices are high, the costs are high, the debt is high, the labor is high.
Inflation is real and yet the sales price is not inflated. So it’s tough.

Dave:
I want to talk just about sort of the implications for it. Sorry about this. First of all, that sucks. From a buyer perspective, it does present an interesting opportunity. Someone actually just sent me a whole build to rent community that they built and they were offering just off the bat without even negotiating 12.5% off list price. It’s like, okay, there’s some interesting things going on there, right? Yeah. So how do people take advantage of that? Because it was honestly a question I have for myself. I don’t think I’ll do this deal. It’s not in a market that I’m comfortable with, but I was like, where are the rest of those deals because I want to buy something like this?

Kathy:
And that’s the thing is our company is on both sides of this equation. We build houses, but we also buy them and we help people buy them. And we are in our single family rental fund in North Dallas, we are buying new homes at massive discounts for that very reason. Builders, you’ve got holding costs and those holding costs add up really very quickly. The construction loans are high. So if you can’t get out of that, you’re just losing money every single month. They’d rather just take a price cut. So in some cases, we’re getting stupid good deals on the buy side. On the sell side, it’s just one of those things where it’s business, it goes up and down right now. It’s not great. It was really good a few months ago.

James:
My thought is there needs to be housing inventory. If we’re short 10 million houses, where’s the opportunity? When there’s paying in certain sectors, building community, big apartment purchasing, right? The syndicators have been a little beat up on some things. There’s opportunities that come through and that’s what you want to look for is where is the opportunity? And it’s a really good time to snag a Burr property with a little bit of extra yard. If you’re in any kind of metro area, that is just whether it cash flows well or not, and you might get a very average cash on cash return, but there’s a lot of upside in there when you can buy on the dip because we’ve seen some sellers on dirt get a little bit more flexible, but a lot of these are the boomers that we’ve also talked about that are really, they were banking on selling their property for this much and they’re getting very stubborn too.
They’re not wheeling and dealing that property because it’s what they have. But the debt cost is real. If you look at in 2021, the average time to build was six and a half to seven months and they would sell in 45 to 60 days. So that life cycle of a build was about eight to nine months in 2021. Right now in 2026, we’re averaging around nine and a half to 10 months, which that may not seem like a huge jump, but when you’re two months more of extra interest on expensive construction loan, and then the article talks about how they’re selling them for at least 5% off of what they thought, and you have multiple projects on one site, like if it’s town homes or a shore plat, 5% across 10 to 20 homes is a big number. And when you add in the debt cost and construction cost, you are just getting hammered on all sides.
And I feel like this is the first time I’ve really felt like when interest rates shot up, I’ve kind of felt it a little bit, but this is a different … I feel like builders, they just feel beat up and these are sharp people. These are people that know what they’re doing. I’ve dealt with them for years and it is definitely, you can feel the shift in the tone.

Dave:
Do you think this endures, James? Do you think it’s going to stay like this for a while? Because that would have pretty big implications for inventory levels for the next couple of years. And going back to what we were talking about before, just with the baby boomers, right? If there’s just less total construction, that could offset at least some of the demographic shifts that we’re seeing.

James:
I think this could cause a major issue for housing supply. There’s a lot of markets with a lot of starts already going right now, but we are seeing … I know in Seattle, town home permits have been next to nothing getting issued in the city because builders just stopped wanting it. It took too long, it was too hairy, it cost for too much, and the sellers wanted all the money in the world for their land. And there was kind of this stall out and they’re still not moving. And so there could be a shortage of housing in a couple markets, and those are things that you want to look at. Are you in that metro area where it just got too expensive and there could be a shortage of housing supply? And so you can get permit data from your cities, like how many starts are happening, what’s submitted in?
And if you see that gap, there’s a good opportunity for you there. But I think it could cause a major … A lot of the guys I know doing deals the last 12 months, 14, they’re also just trying to keep their crews working. And they’re like, “Hey, we’re going to keep our guys working. We’ll get through this cycle.” And now they’re like, “You know what? I’m going to lay off some people because this is just not working.” And so there is opportunity, but it’s something that could cause a major kink in our system. They got to fix it somehow.

Dave:
All right. Well, another thing we’re going to have to keep an eye on is construction now because this is why we have a job because it’s constantly trying to figure out what’s happening with demand, what’s happening with supply. I think having this conversation should help everyone see that you can’t just focus on the demand issue. I feel like this is one of the main things I try and teach real estate investors all the time is they’re like, “Where are the jobs? Where are the people moving?” Important, but supply is super important. Look at Austin, right? People are moving there. They built a lot too, so it offsets the demand growth. So hopefully you could see just by the articles we didn’t even coordinate, but chose to bring, we have to look at both supply and demand, which is something we’ll be updating you on regularly here.
We do have one more headline for you that Kathy’s brought us, but we got to take one more quick break. We’ll be right back. Welcome back to On The Market. James, Kathy and I are here sharing what we’re paying attention to in the market. Kathy, what’d you bring us?

Kathy:
Well, I thought this was a very interesting article from the Wall Street Journal. It’s called America’s Self-Storage Craze has reached a tipping point. Oh boy, and it was a craze. Wow. Over the last five years, I invested in a friend of mine’s storage fund, so we’ll see how that goes. It’s new construction, and that’s really what this article’s about. The article says that since 2019, bans on self-storage facilities have been enacted in parts of at least 15 states
From Maine to California, according to the industry website, Modern Storage Media. Denver, Colorado prohibits self-storage facilities near light rail stations where officials are hoping for new housing. While Providence, Rhode Island instituted a citywide moratorium in 2023. And that is just fascinating. I had not heard … I mean, Airbnb, we hear about it all the time, banning short-term rentals. I had never really heard about something like this where they’re outright banning it or very much discouraging it. And as I read the article to try to figure out why this is happening, it goes on to say that more than 12% of US households are now renting storage units,

James:
Which is

Kathy:
The highest level ever recorded. So more and more storage units are being constructed, but cities don’t really like it because they’re not that pretty, right? They don’t bring in jobs. Most of them are now just self-serve, so that doesn’t really bring in revenue for the city either, and they need housing. So they would much rather see something else there. So some cities are saying, sure, you could build storage, but it’s got to be out in an industrial park, not anywhere near town. And another reason is they feel that they want higher end and perhaps too much storage units around is attracting a different kind of demographic than that particular city might want. So it’s interesting. Developers are still adding supply. About 164 million square feet of new storage space is currently in development. Wow. And some of these developers are trying … Yeah, I know they’re trying to get it through by making it not look like storage.
They’re having designs that look like apartments or pretty little housing units, but it’s really storage. So if that helps it get through, so be it. I have to say, Rich and I just got our first storage unit. I swore I would never, ever, ever get a storage unit because I just think it’s a total waste of money. Just get rid of your stuff. By the time that you have paid all this money to store your stuff, you could buy brand new stuff. That’s why- I know. They’re not

Dave:
Cheap.

Kathy:
They’re not cheap. No. Anyway, I found that interesting. What have you guys heard about storage or seen?

Dave:
I will say, it sounds like an outright ban, that might be a little extreme in my opinion, but the rest of it just kind of sounds like zoning, right? They’re just

Kathy:
Doing what

Dave:
Cities do, which is restrict what kinds of buildings can go into what kinds of areas. And that is often in service of trying to maximize economic output, especially for industrial or commercial areas. And so I get that. I think a lot of zoning is kind of silly sometimes and it’s often misguided. But I’ll be honest, I used to live in Denver and we had all sorts in this It’s prime area. You’d be walking around a super cool neighborhood and then there’s just this bright orange storage facility. I know. That is really ugly. They’re so ugly and they’re always lit up at night. I kind of get it. I will say, I don’t think most, maybe you know better than me, but from what I hear, most storage facilities aren’t doing great right now. It’s not been a good time for them. So maybe a moratorium I’m building will help the existing operators because it will limit the new supply because it seems oversupplied, at least in what I’m seeing nationally.
I don’t really know any of the regional variances here.

Kathy:
I’m sure it varies by region, but I know several operators who did great in the heyday in 2020 to 2022. People were moving a lot so that you need storage or just they were just traveling so they just put all their stuff in storage.That’s the typical supply demand cycle we were just talking about. And people, myself included, get caught up in it, even though I know better. I know when there’s a frenzy over one asset class, boy, you’re at the peak.

Dave:
Never buy it.

Kathy:
And I did, we invested not much, but in a friend syndication. I remember I was telling Rich, I feel like we’re at the peak. And he’s like, yeah, but I was like, I want to invest with this person. So we might’ve lost that money. But no, I know several who are really struggling. They’re struggling right now. But it depends on the market. There’s some markets that are undersupplied, some that are clearly oversupplied.

Dave:
I think the big thing here is like, it’s the same thing with Airbnb, like you said, Kathy. These niche kind of applications of real estate have risk. There’s just a risk that municipalities are going to change the way that they tax. Even if they allow them, sometimes they’ll add taxes to them. They’ll add restrictions to them. Sometimes they help you, sometimes they hurt you, but it’s just a lot more variable than buying a rental property. It’s very unlikely that anyone’s going to outlaw renting out a home.That’s just a needed service in our country. So I think in these kind of riskier things, huge returns can be earned, don’t get me wrong, but it does sort of add this complexity to your underwriting and evaluation because you just don’t know what’s going to happen. And the demand, at least in my opinion, is a lot less predictable as well.

James:
And I feel like the era of everyone just … There was so much disposable income going around where people are buying all sorts of stuff. They needed storage for it. There was a lot more … Things weren’t so expensive. And so that’s what people are pulling back. I hate storage units. I had one one time. We had it for a year and I didn’t even realize we had it. It was just there. It was through our company stuff and it was the biggest waste of money. It’s just like-

Kathy:
Such away.

James:
Throw this stuff away.

Kathy:
Yeah.

Dave:
Yeah. All right. Well, this is really interesting, Kathy. Thanks for bringing this. I think this kind of regulation is something we’re probably going to see more with different kinds of industrial. I actually saw yesterday Maine, the state of Maine, I think they put a moratorium on new data center construction. So I think we’re starting to see just pushback on these things. Data centers have big implications for local energy prices, for local water, and they don’t bring a lot of jobs. So I think people are getting mad about it. And so these are the kind of things, again, industrial’s been booming in recent years, make a lot of money, but it is something you need to really pay close attention to the regulatory environment as well. All right. Well, Kathy, James, thanks so much for being here as always.

Kathy:
Thank you for having us. I’m going to go back out on the slopes.

Dave:
Yeah, go have some fun.

James:
I’m jealous. Enjoy that powder.

Dave:
Well,

James:
You

Dave:
Enjoy the sun as well, James. And thank you all so much for being here and watching this episode of On The Market. I’m Dave Meyer. That’s James Dainard and Kathy Fettke. We’ll see you all next time.

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Home Renovations with the Best Return on Investment


One of the great things about owning a home is that you can truly make it yours. Don’t like the carpet? Rip it out. Hate the tan walls? Paint them any color. Don’t like the wall between the living room and the kitchen? Tear it down (as long as it’s not a load-bearing wall)!

More homeowners are choosing to renovate their current space rather than buy a new home. Whether you’re updating out of necessity, personal taste, or a desire to build equity, it pays to research which home renovations deliver the best return on investment before you pick up that sledgehammer.

Questions to Ask Yourself

It’s great to tailor your space with home renovations, but keep in mind that these “improvements” can affect your home’s value. This impact can be positive or negative.

Not everyone wants, say, a sunroom at the sacrifice of their backyard space. Or a bathroom where there’s no separation between the toilet and shower (yes, we’ve seen it!).

There are, of course, tons of home renovations that can produce higher returns on investment (ROIs) for the money spent. That’s where you want to focus your time and attention.

Before you get that sledgehammer out, think about how long you plan to keep your home. If the answer is one to three years, you have these questions to answer before you start any home renovations.

  • Will these home improvements be attractive to prospective buyers?
  • Will these updates increase the equity I have in my home?
  • What will my return on investment (ROI) be?

If you plan to stay in your home for a longer period, the questions are a little bit different:

  • What do I wish my home had?
  • What do I value the most in my home?
  • What makes me feel relaxed in my home?
  • Would these home renovations meet my personal needs?

The ROI Calculation

While home renovations can be a good investment, you can’t calculate their exact return on investment—aka ROI net—until you actually sell your house. It’s one of the limitations of ROI. At that time, the value of the project will help determine the home’s resale price and your net profit.

To calculate return on investment, take the resale value of the home renovation and divide it by the total project cost, including labor, materials, and any other associated expenses. That number is expressed as a percentage.

An ROI above 100% means you recouped more than you spent. For example, a garage door replacement that costs $4,672 and adds $12,507 in resale value yields an ROI of 267.7%. An ROI between 0% and 100% means you recovered a portion of your investment but not the full amount. Either way, this formula tells you how much of your initial investment you can expect to get back when you sell.

Remodeling Projects with Good ROIs

The Journal of Light Construction puts together a fantastic cost vs. value report that provides a breakdown of the home improvement projects yielding the highest return on investment. What follows are some national statistics on home renovations that could add the most value to your home.

Garage door replacement

Installing a new garage door can enhance your home’s curb appeal, improve your home’s safety, and increase its energy efficiency. The number of garage door designs and materials is nearly endless!

When you pick out a new door, consider how much insulation you want, whether you want windows or hardware, and what style and materials you prefer. A garage door should match the home’s architectural style, in addition to the windows, doors, and other exterior details of the home.

  • Project cost: $4,672
  • Resale value: $12,507
  • ROI calculation: 267.7%

Manufactured stone veneer

Manufactured stone veneer has an outstanding rate of return. Manufactured stone veneer emulates natural stone, but it’s easier and more cost-effective to install.

For this project, you’ll remove the bottom third of your siding and add manufactured stone veneer around the perimeter of your home (and the archway above your door if you have one).

This really upgrades the entire look of your home. Even better, stone veneer is hardy and virtually maintenance-free.

  • Project cost: $12,150
  • Resale value: $18,460
  • ROI calculation: 151.9%

Minor kitchen remodel

If you have to decide between a kitchen and bathroom remodel, you may want to go the kitchen route. You might be surprised to learn that a minor kitchen remodel has a better ROI net than a major kitchen remodel, where you can recoup more than you spend. Small changes can make a huge difference in how your kitchen looks.

For this project, you’ll replace the cabinet and drawer fronts and hardware but keep the cabinet boxes. You’ll replace appliances with energy-efficient models.

You’ll also install laminate countertops, a mid-priced sink and faucet, and new resilient flooring. This can include vinyl tile and planks, cork, rubber, or polymer floors. Finish your kitchen by painting the walls, ceiling, and trim.

  • Project cost: $28,458
  • Resale value: $32,141
  • ROI calculation: 112.9%

Deck addition

Everyone uses their outdoor living space a little differently, so keep this in mind when you’re looking at getting a good ROI. Something like a wood deck adds diversity, giving you many more options in your backyard!

Consider adding a built-in bench, a planter, and stairs (made out of the same planking as the deck), as well as a complete railing system to make your deck as versatile as possible.

  • Project cost: $18,263
  • Resale value: $17,323
  • ROI calculation: 94.9%

Siding replacement

Want to upgrade your curb appeal? Think about replacing your exterior siding with either fiber-cement or vinyl siding. New siding can completely change the look of your home’s exterior.

You’ll also benefit from better insulation. Modern siding materials have insulation in their design, helping your home retain heat in the winter and reflect heat in the summer, which will save money. Siding also helps to protect your home from the elements and pests. Here’s how the two most popular options compare:

Fiber-cement:

  • Project cost: $21,850
  • Resale value: $19,228
  • ROI calculation: 88.0%

Vinyl siding:

  • Project cost: $18,280
  • Resale value: $14,624
  • ROI calculation: 80.0%

Bathroom remodel

A new vanity and sink, complete with fixtures you love, can change the look of the room.

If you have a standard builder-grade mirror, swap it out for a framed mirror and add updated lighting on either side. If you’re in the market for a bigger upgrade, consider surrounding the shower with tile, or even installing a freestanding soaking tub if space and money allow. Floors are also a great upgrade—and there are tons of options available!

  • Project cost: $26,138
  • Resale value: $20,915
  • ROI calculation: 80.0%

Other High-Impact, Low-Cost Improvements

Paint

Paint is so simple, yet it makes the biggest impact on your home’s interior and exterior. Plus, it’s one of the least expensive changes you can make! Many people opt for neutral colors to give their home a timeless look or to have the freedom of switching up the décor. Neutral colors are also highly recommended if you’ll be selling your home soon.

Flooring

It can be hard to feel comfortable in your home if you don’t love your flooring. Hardwood floors always look fantastic and are great for resale. Maple, oak, and hickory are durable choices, as are bamboo, cork, and other eco-friendly options.

Luxury vinyl tile and wood-look tile are also durable, especially if you have pets or a swimming pool. They’re waterproof and nearly indestructible.

If you have small children, you may want to consider upgrading the carpet instead (with a cushy pad underneath), to keep little crawlers and walkers safer. But if you can, keep carpeting to bedrooms only.

Entry door replacement

Did you know that a new front door could return a great ROI? First impressions are everything, and so is curb appeal. When you’re considering low-cost home improvements to increase your home’s price, this is one you don’t want to ignore.

Making Your Home Stand Out

Of course, there are many other home renovations that can spruce up your home and act as an investment gain when the time comes to sell. Just consider the costs of investing versus the potential rate of return.

In a changing market, a home chock-full of upgrades can really stand out. Plus, you can use the equity in your home to finance or partly finance these home renovations. APM is happy to help. Reach out to us today to learn how you can put your hard-earned equity to work for you.

This blog has been updated from its original posting date of May 31, 2020.



Feud between AI power startup Fermi and fired CEO and top shareholder heats up over proposed sale



The new leadership of the AI power startup Fermi is feuding with its fired CEO and top shareholder over a potential sale of the company.

The struggling Texas company, which went public last year at a nearly $20 billion market cap, aspires to build the largest data center campus in the world, called Project Matador, in the Texas Panhandle, but it has struggled to nail down anchor tenants. Fermi is now advising against recommendations from its fired co-founder and CEO to sell the company.

The company’s market cap has plunged to less than $3.2 billion as of April 21.

The former CEO, Toby Neugebauer, who’s the top Fermi shareholder, said he was fired “without cause” last week and now supports an immediate process to sell the company in order to make “money for all shareholders.” Neugebauer said his family and former executive allies own about 40% of Fermi shares. Neugebauer and former chief financial officer Miles Everson, who abruptly resigned April 20, remain Fermi board members. Also still sitting on the seven-person board is Fermi backer and Neugebauer’s longtime friend, Rick Perry, the former Texas governor and U.S. energy secretary.

Since Neugebauer’s and Everson’s departures were announced, Fermi said April 21 that its “2.0” version “has received significant and positive feedback from multiple potential tenants” and partners. The majority four members of the Fermi board are presumably leading the charge, led by chairman Marius Haas, founding partner of the BayPine private equity firm and a veteran of Dell Technologies, Hewlett-Packard, Compaq, and Intel. 

“Given recent changes in leadership, which position the company for its next chapter of growth and evolution from a startup to a scaled enterprise, the company firmly believes a sale is not in the best interest of its continued momentum on Project Matador, ability to serve potential tenants, and long-term value creation for shareholders,” Fermi said in a statement.

Fermi said it will review “all avenues to maximize shareholder value, which include continued execution of its business plan, strategic investments from third parties, joint ventures, or other transactions.”

Fermi’s “Project Matador” plans are to build 11 gigawatts—enough to power 8 million homes—of nuclear, solar, and natural-gas fired power for a “HyperGrid” to support massive data center complexes on over 5,000 acres of land owned mostly by the Texas Tech University System. Much of the land is leased to the U.S. Department of Energy, which has publicly supported Fermi’s development.

Fermi said a new “office of the CEO” will lead the company while search firm Heidrick & Struggles helps identify a new CEO. The firm will work closely with Haas and two other board members—excluding Perry, Neugebauer, and Everson—to pick a CEO.

The interim office of the CEO will be led by Fermi chief operating officer Jacobo Ortiz and Anna Bofa, who is an observer on the board, and has industry experience with Google and Meta.

In December, an unnamed Fermi tenant canceled a $150 million deal for the data center campus. Fermi had planned to secure an anchor tenant by March, which has yet to occur.

The news also follows reporting by Politico in March that Neugebauer and U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick publicly clashed at the Nvidia GTC conference in San Jose.

Neugebauer reportedly complained to Lutnick about plans for U.S. trade deals with South Korea and the blocking—or slow-playing—of direct Korean investments in Fermi’s project. Fermi already is partnered with South Korea’s Doosan Enerbility and Hyundai Engineering & Construction on the development of its nuclear reactors.

At the time, Neugebauer denied being “loud and belligerent” and admitted only to having a “direct conversation” with Lutnick about perceived interference in Fermi’s progress, according to Politico.

Unrelated to Fermi, Neugebauer also has an ongoing legal feud with prominent billionaires Peter Thiel and Ken Griffin over his failed “anti-woke” banking business, GloriFi. Citadel’s Griffin, Thiel, the cofounder of PayPal and Palantir Technologies, and other prominent names were significant financial backers of GloriFi.

The Wall Street Journal previously reported that GloriFi suffered from a chaotic work environment, highlighted by allegedly erratic behavior from Neugebauer.

Neugebauer, who is best known for cofounding the energy-focused private equity firm Quantum Energy Partners, now Quantum Capital Group, shut GloriFi down in 2022 when it ran out of money. The company filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy protection in early 2023.

Soccer legend Ronaldinho launches Tu Música record label in partnership with Brazil’s Sua Música Group


Ronaldinho, the Brazilian former footballer, has launched a record label called Tu Música, in partnership with distribution company Sua Música Group, talent management firm ASJ, and his brother and manager Roberto de Assis.

The venture will initially focus on Latin America, before expanding into Europe, followed by AfricaAsia and the Middle East, Sua Música said.

The label venture arrives two years after Warner Music Group acquired a minority stake in Brazil-based Sua Música.

Tu Música’s first project will be a compilation album inspired by the FIFA World Cup, bringing together artists from multiple territories. Submissions from songwriters and artists are set to open in the coming weeks, with selected tracks forming part of the release.

“Music has always been a big part of my life. It’s been with me during the most important moments, on and off the pitch,” said Ronaldinho. “Now I want to take that energy everywhere — connecting cultures and creating opportunities for artists from anywhere.”

The project is led by Roni Maltz Bin, CEO of Sua Música Group, and Allan Jesus, CEO of ASJ. The company describes Maltz Bin as a two-time Billboard Power Player, and Jesus as “a seasoned executive in the entertainment industry.” Maltz Bin and Jesus invited Ronaldinho and Roberto de Assis to co-create the label.

“Music has always been a big part of my life. It’s been with me during the most important moments, on and off the pitch.”

RONALDINHO

Operations will be supported by Sua Música Group‘s distribution, recording and digital marketing functions, which the company says comprise more than 170 professionals across Brazil and Latin America, alongside ASJ‘s talent management and brand partnerships work. Roberto de Assis, who has overseen Ronaldinho‘s career, will lead strategic connections for Tu Música across music, media and sports.

According to the company, Tu Música‘s initial phase will focus on developing and releasing projects with selected artists from different countries. In a second stage, the label will begin signing artists directly to build its own roster.

Tu Música says it will soon open its first office and studio in Miami, which it describes as “a strategic hub between the Americas and other markets.”

Ronaldinho — born Ronaldo de Assis Moreira — has more than 160 million followers across social media. He played for clubs including FC Barcelona, Paris Saint-Germain and AC Milan, and won the FIFA World Cup with Brazil in 2002.

The launch of Tu Música places Ronaldinho in a growing category of global sports figures building ownership positions in music.

Latin America was the fastest-growing recorded music region in the world in 2025, with revenues up 17.1% year-on-year, according to the IFPI Global Music Report 2026. Brazil ranked as the world’s eighth-largest recorded music market last year, up one place from 2024.

The 2026 FIFA World Cup, to be co-hosted by the United States, Canada and Mexico, is expected to generate a wave of music and entertainment content tied to the tournament.Music Business Worldwide

Regtech Entrust Teams Up With Vodafone Fiji To Launch Digital Debit Cards


Vodafone Fiji has partnered with Entrust in order to roll out digital debit card issuance through its popular M-PAiSA mobile wallet, marking a significant step toward instant, contactless payments in the Pacific island nation. The collaboration introduces seamless digital-first experiences for customers, allowing them to receive and use virtual cards directly within the app without waiting for physical plastic.

Vodafone Fiji, a telecommunications and fintech player in the region, serves more than 780,000 subscribers and covers 96 percent of the population with its services.

The company, which has operated since 1994, aims to lead the market by becoming the first in Fiji to offer digital cards.

This move builds on its commitment to innovation, transforming traditional mobile services into advanced financial tools that prioritize speed, security, and convenience.

The new system relies on Entrust’s Digital Card Solution, delivered via a software development kit integrated into the M-PAiSA app. Customers can now obtain a digital debit card instantly upon approval.

The technology connects through an Issuer TSP Hub supporting Mastercard’s Digital Enablement Service, enabling users to add the card to e-commerce platforms for smooth, protected online checkouts.

Additionally, Entrust’s NFC Issuer Wallet feature lets Android users store the card in an in-app digital wallet.

This allows tap-to-pay transactions at physical stores directly from their phones, bypassing any third-party payment apps and streamlining everyday purchases.

Deepak Baran, Head of Finance at Vodafone Fiji, emphasized the company’s dedication to excellence.

He noted that since its founding, Vodafone Fiji has continuously pushed boundaries in mobile telecommunications to deliver next-generation innovations.

The latest advancements, he said, reinforce its position as a provider of immediate, secure, and user-friendly financial services for all Fijians.

Tony Ball, CEO of Entrust, highlighted how Entrust’s comprehensive, end-to-end solutions—combined with deep financial sector knowledge and a strong regional presence—make the company suited to support Vodafone Fiji’s digital payment strategy.

Entrust specializes in identity-centric security that safeguards people, devices, and data across the entire identity lifecycle, from onboarding to everyday transactions.

For Vodafone Fiji, the initiative aligns with its status as a fully locally owned enterprise, with 51 percent held by Amalgamated Telecommunications Holdings and 49 percent by the Fiji National Provident Fund.

The company has evolved from a mobile network operator into a digital service provider and fintech leader, focusing on enterprise solutions, e-commerce, and advanced communications technology.

Entrust, a global authority in identity and security, operates in more than 150 countries through an extensive partner network.

Its solutions help organizations combat fraud and cyber threats while ensuring compliance and protecting sensitive information.

This launch not only enhances customer convenience but also sets a new benchmark for digital banking in Fiji.  By eliminating delays associated with physical cards and enabling secure tap-and-pay functionality, Vodafone Fiji and Entrust are delivering a modern payment ecosystem tailored to local needs.



Types of Crypto Trading for Beginners



Everyone wants to be a crypto traders. But they don’t know which type of crypto trading they will be doing. This video is your guide. #bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrency

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South Florida Tops WalletHub List of 10 Best Cities to Start a Business


Gemini / Google

Two South Florida cities are among the 10 best to start your own business in, according to a recently released report by WalletHub. The personal finance company published its list of the best large cities to start a business in on April 20, and Florida dominated the upper rankings. Of the 10 top spots, six were in the Sunshine State. As for South Florida – Hialeah and Miami ranked fourth and…