Investors pulled back as geopolitics, rates and insurance risks squeezed returns
Investors pulled back as geopolitics, rates and insurance risks squeezed returns
Tens of millions of taxpayers may be able to get money back from the IRS for certain penalties and interest they were charged during the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a recent blog post from National Taxpayer Advocate’s Erin M. Collins.
But the refunds are not automatic, and most taxpayers who may qualify need to file a claim by July 10.
The stakes are significant. In fiscal 2022 alone, the IRS levied more than 12 million estimated-tax penalties and over 16 million failure-to-pay penalties totaling more than $12 billion. The IRS previously refunded about $1.2 billion in penalties to roughly 1.6 million taxpayers under a narrower 2022 relief notice, but tax professionals say the legal theory at issue here reaches far more taxpayers.
The possible refunds stem from Kwong v. United States, a November 2025 ruling by Judge Molly Silfen of the U.S. Court of Federal Claims that turned on how long pandemic-era tax deadlines were paused.
FEMA’s COVID-19 disaster incident period ran from Jan. 20, 2020, through May 11, 2023, and tax law added another 60 days, extending the period to July 10, 2023, for tax purposes.
In Kwong, the court interpreted the law to mean that the filing and payment deadlines were automatically extended for the entire 3.5-year window.
“The plain meaning of that statute is that the automatic extension runs from the beginning of the disaster declaration, through the end of the declared disaster period, and until 60 days after the end of the declared disaster period,” the court wrote.
If that view holds up, taxpayers who were charged late-filing or late-payment penalties or interest during the COVID period may have been charged on returns and payments that, by the court’s reading, were never actually late.
The ruling did not come out of nowhere. It builds on a 2024 U.S. Tax Court decision, Abdo v. Commissioner, which similarly held that the disaster postponement was mandatory and self-executing. Together, the two decisions reject the IRS’s narrower regulatory reading that capped pandemic relief at one year.
Tax practitioners say the cases are also a downstream effect of the Supreme Court’s 2024 decision in Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, which ended the longstanding Chevron doctrine requiring courts to defer to federal agencies’ readings of ambiguous statutes. Courts now interpret tax statutes independently—and in Kwong, that reading favored the taxpayer.
Taxpayers may also have a second, independent legal basis for some claims. In December 2025, Congress passed the Disaster Related Extension of Deadlines Act (P.L. 119-64), which requires the IRS to treat disaster-related postponements as extensions of return deadlines for refund-lookback purposes. A properly filed claim can rely on both.
The affected taxpayers could include individuals, small businesses, large corporations, estates, and trusts. The issue could apply to several kinds of taxes, including income, employment, estate, gift, and excise taxes, according to Collins.
In other words, if you filed or paid certain taxes late during the pandemic period and the IRS charged you penalties or interest, you may want to check whether you have a potential claim.
Taxpayers who filed late international information returns may also be affected, because those filings can come with large penalties even when no tax is owed, Collins said.
A good first step is to review your IRS account transcript, which shows penalties, interest, payments, account adjustments, and refunds, according to the Taxpayer Advocate Service. Taxpayers should look for penalty or interest charges and check whether the dates fall between Jan. 20, 2020, and July 10, 2023.
To request a refund or reduction, taxpayers generally use IRS Form 843, Claim for Refund and Request for Abatement, to claim a refund or request an abatement of certain taxes, interest, penalties, fees, and additions to tax.
Collins said taxpayers should also consider filing a protective claim, which preserves their right to a refund while the legal issue is still being resolved. To file one, taxpayers would write “Protective Refund Claim Pursuant to Kwong Case” or similar language across the top of Form 843.
But Form 843 cannot be filed electronically. Taxpayers must mail it on paper, and the IRS does not provide confirmation that it received the claim. Collins recommends sending claims by certified mail, and has called on the IRS to build an electronic portal to handle what could be a flood of filings.
There is no guarantee taxpayers will get money back.
The Kwong ruling is not yet a final, appealable judgment—as of early May 2026, the parties were preparing a stipulated judgment that would clear the way for the government to appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit, according to tax practitioners tracking the case. The government has argued for a narrower reading of the law, and Collins said she expects the Department of Justice to appeal. Final resolution could take years.
Still, the deadline matters. If taxpayers wait too long to file a claim, they may lose the chance to get a refund later if the courts ultimately side with taxpayers.
For this story, Fortune journalists used generative AI as a research tool. An editor verified the accuracy of the information before publishing.
Incubated by Blockchain.com, SnapMarkets prediction market has announced its launch.
According to Blockchain.com, SnapMarkets will transform the “traditionally slow prediction markets with lightning speed.” The platform promises moves in seconds, not minutes. SnapMarkets claims to be the fastest prediction market in operation.
SnapMarkets aims to provide real-time changes:
“It is a high-speed, skills-based environment where users can call direction with precision and feel the outcome almost instantly.”
SnapMarkets is described as the future of prediction markets. Blockchain.com explains:
“Every 30 seconds, a new BTC prediction round begins. You get a short window to read the market, make a call, and lock it in. Up or down. You choose your entry level. As low as one dollar, scaling up depending on how confident you are. When the clock closes, the market decides. If you call it right, you win. Simple as that. We added a social layer because markets are not isolated. Instead of just individual calls, SnapMarkets is an interactive experience. There is a live chat alongside real-time price action. You can see how others are thinking, track streaks, and climb a global leaderboard. Over time, it becomes clear who actually understands market momentum and who is guessing.”
Users can connect with Blockchain.com or any other DeFi wallet. While Bitcoin may be the first event-driven option, more are in the queue.
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Carbon allowance allocation methods in global compliance carbon markets (CCMs) are key market design choices. The allocation of allowances influences the formation of carbon prices, the emission costs for covered entities, and market efficiency. The decision to allocate allowances freely or via auction mechanisms is a critical design feature that affects all stakeholders in the carbon market ecosystem, including covered emitters, market operators, financial intermediaries, and investment firms. In recent years, global CCMs have shifted from free allocation toward auction-based allowance distribution. The calibration of auction mechanisms is a policy choice that plays a critical role in determining market outcomes.
This report reviews the auction mechanisms of global CCMs and evaluates their effectiveness, measured by various indicators of market quality. The research is designed to inform the investment industry about various auction mechanisms and to provide practical guidance on participating in auction markets. By reading this report, financial intermediaries and investment firms will be better informed to guide their decisions to participate in the primary market, while policymakers and market operators will be able to determine how best to calibrate allowance allocation in their respective markets.
This report is the latest addition to CFA Institute Research and Policy Center’s carbon market research portfolio. Given the global expansion of carbon markets, An Effective Tool for Net Zero and Enhancing the Voluntary Carbon Market: Gaps and Solutions provided detailed overviews of global compliance and voluntary carbon markets, respectively, to help investment industry participants better understand their mechanisms. In light of the rapid growth of carbon-related trading products in secondary markets, Global Compliance Carbon Markets: Structure Explained provided an in-depth analysis of the market structure of global CCMs’ secondary markets, offering practical guidance for the investment industry on engaging with CCMs.
Given the significant increase in carbon auction market participation by financial intermediaries and investment firms, as well as the broadened global impact of carbon pricing on firms arising from the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), this report complements previous studies by focusing on the primary markets of global CCMs. The report consists of three main sections:
Investment professionals can use this report to guide their participation in global carbon auctions, such as by determining which CCMs to participate in and whether it is profitable to engage in the primary markets. Policymakers can draw on this report’s findings to make targeted improvements to auction mechanisms.
John Burke has run Trek Bicycle for nearly three decades, long enough to have lived through bike booms and busts, a pandemic that briefly made his company one of the hottest businesses in the world, and a post-COVID hangover that has left internal sales dashboards “all red” for more than a year and a half. He’s also read enough books — about 52 a year, every year, meticulously cataloged in a personal spreadsheet of 1,100 lifetime lessons — to have strong opinions about nearly everything.
One of the strongest: a company’s legacy is measured by its impact on the world, not its financial returns.
“Making a profit is the lifeblood of a business,” he told me in Las Vegas, backstage at the Great Place to Work For All Summit. “But the success of the business is not just measured in how much money you make — it’s in the impact that you make.”
Burke said he couldn’t speak for other companies, since he’s “been playing for the same team for 42 years,” but when he looks out at corporate America, he said, “there’s been a decay in the purpose of companies over the last 25 years.” And then he got historically minded. “If you go back, an economist once said that making a profit is the only responsibility of a company … and that’s not Trek.”
(The actual quote was published in a New York Times op-ed in 1970 as the great University of Chicago economist Milton Friedman wrote: “There is one and only one social responsibility of business—to use its resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and free competition without deception or fraud.”)
Just consider, Burke said, what Trek has done for women’s cycling.
In 2018, he recalled, someone walked into his office and told him how women’s professional cycling teams were actually treated: flown in the night before races, competing on secondhand bikes, earning almost nothing. Burke vowed to add a full-scale women’s team from that day onward.
From that day onward, Burke said, Trek treated its women athletes the same as its men — same bikes, same resources, same investment. The team won nearly everything for three years running. And then, Burke said, something bigger happened: every other major team in professional cycling followed suit. “No Trek, no change in women’s cycling,” he said flatly. “Milton Friedman wouldn’t have approved that decision. If he was on the board, he would not have approved it.”
It’s the kind of story Burke returns to when people ask what Trek’s 50th anniversary is really about. The company is marking the occasion with a coffee-table book cataloging 50 ways it has changed the world and a 43-minute documentary premiering June 18 at the Orpheum Theatre in Madison, Wisconsin, with author Jim Collins in attendance. “What I’m most proud of at Trek is how we’ve changed the world, not what the financial results have been. When I’m gone, I don’t think anyone’s gonna make note of that.”
Trek’s current headwinds are real. After a COVID-era demand explosion that strained supply chains and pushed bikes off shelves faster than they could be built, the market reversed sharply — and Trek has been working through excess inventory and restructuring pressure ever since. The company, which generates roughly $2 billion in annual revenue and employs more than 5,000 people globally, has faced layoffs and product line reductions as it recalibrates.
But even in the downturn, Trek has been rapidly moving up the Fortune 100 Best Companies to Work For list — No. 42 in 2026, up from its first appearance at No. 94 in 2023. (It was actually No. 4 on the best places to work in retail.)
Burke said he sees the two things as connected rather than contradictory. The survey, he told Great Place to Work CEO Michael C. Bush, “is the centerpiece of how we run HR.” And the best time to take its temperature, he argued, is when things aren’t going well.
Burke’s contrarianism extends well beyond corporate purpose. When asked what advice he would give to Gen Z workers, he nearly exploded. Burke is a no-nonsense Midwesterner, and he insisted that work has always been work, just like when he got his first job, diving ponds at a Wisconsin golf course to pick balls up off the soggy bottom.
“There’s no such thing as Gen Z,” he told me. “All this generational stuff is overblown. If you go back and study the last 100 years of what’s made successful people, it’s all the same.” He recalled being in Germany in the late 1980s as the Berlin Wall fell, listening to older Germans lament that the younger generation was lazy. “That’s what they’re saying today in America, is Gen Z doesn’t work. It’s like, that’s true. People want to be successful at work.”
“Every generation has probably had its quirks,” he allowed, but people have always had to work hard to get ahead, and that has never changed. “That doesn’t work today and it didn’t work 20 years ago. It didn’t work 50 years ago.”
On artificial intelligence, Burke said he arrived late — but he’s convinced it’s not hype. For most of the past few years, it felt abstract. His IT director kept telling him something big was coming, but the tangible applications weren’t obvious. Then, about six months ago, something clicked.
“Holy shit,” is how Burke describes the moment. “Look at what can actually be done.”
He said he thinks AI’s adoption curve will make the internet and the iPhone look gradual. “The internet affected business like this,” he said, gesturing slowly. “The iPhone, maybe a little steeper.” Then his hand shot up. “AI — I don’t know if society’s ready. But we’re going to find out, because it’s unleashed. And you’re going to know here pretty quick.”
Trek, by Burke’s own accounting, is not ready. He placed the company at 13 out of 100 for AI readiness relative to its peers, but his eyes bugged out when I told him that didn’t sound like a good rating. “Thirteen is good! It’s a great rating,” Burke said. “One of the things we do best as a company is take a concept and spread it throughout the company.” He said he’s tried to build a culture at Trek that “confronts the brutal facts,” moves fast, and always seeks to learn. When people tell him he’s wrong, he said, he gets curious. “I’m more interested in how we improve. I’m not interested in proving that we’re right.”
Burke said his office has two massive whiteboards and he spends his day framing puzzles for himself and his staff, “and getting the smartest people in the company to solve the puzzles. That’s how I spend my time.”
Burke’s embrace of AI exists in sharp tension with a deep, personal hostility toward smartphones. His conversion on that front came from an unlikely source: a chance meeting with Dr. Richard Davidson, the University of Wisconsin-Madison neuroscientist and founder of the Healthy Minds Center, who has spent decades studying mental health and the meaning of happiness. Burke said he was ashamed because he tried to postpone the meeting, thinking he was too busy. His assistant overruled him. “She goes, ‘You know, that meeting with Dr. Richie is Wednesday, and you will be there.’”
As he got to know Davidson, he learned of a remarkable life story: graduating from high school at 14, then NYU at 16, then a PhD from Harvard by 21 years old, and a later meeting with the Dalai Lama, who told him, “Richie, your mission in life is to bring joy to the world.”
“Now I’m kind of slithering under the table as I blew this guy off,” Burke told me in his typically blunt fashion. But he had a question for Davidson: he asked where mental health in America stood today, on a scale of 100, relative to 1984. Davidson’s answer: 23, down from 100 in 1984. “It’s in the toilet. Unbelievable.” The culprit, Davidson said, was the phone.
Consider the Masters golf tournament, Burke said, one of the last major public events where phones are banned from the grounds. “What’s everybody doing? They have a smile on their face. Nobody’s trying to take a picture of somebody else. No selfies. They’re talking to each other.” He estimated the happiness level is three times what it is at a comparable phone-permitted event. “It’s the greatest experiment in the world.”
Burke is not a politician and does not want to be one. He served on the President’s Council on Physical Fitness under George W. Bush and has written three books about American civic life, but describes himself as neither Republican nor Democrat. What he is, unmistakably, is frustrated.
The $39 trillion national debt strikes him as a moral failure as much as a fiscal one. “Somebody’s all proud they just came out with a $1.5 trillion defense budget,” he said. “You shouldn’t be proud. You should be embarrassed. We can’t afford a $1.5 trillion [budget]. Why not make it two-and-a-half [trillion dollars]? Well, you can’t make it two-and-a-half because you can’t afford it … the answer is no. We’re 5% of the world’s population, and we spend 38% of the world’s defense dollars. It makes no sense.”
On trade and geopolitics, Burke was equally unsparing. Trek manufactures globally and has navigated years of tariff disruptions, but it framed America’s current isolation as something deeper than a supply chain headache. “To accomplish things in life, you need to have friends. To accomplish things as a country, you need to have friends. And we’ve pissed off just about everybody.” He ticked through the list: Canada, Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia. “I can’t tell you why we’re pissed off at Canada,” he said. “I genuinely cannot tell you.”
The root problem, in his view, is a leadership class that has confused self-preservation with public service. “We elect leaders whose primary motivation is not the success of the United States — it’s to perpetuate their own jobs. And it’s embarrassing. It is absolutely embarrassing.”
Burke said he reads 52 books a year, almost exclusively nonfiction. His reading system, refined over the past four years, is rigorous. He reads the first sentence of every paragraph. If it grabs him, he reads the rest. If it doesn’t, he moves on. “I’ve never read a bad sentence to start a paragraph which turns into a good paragraph,” he said. “Doesn’t happen.” (While this might imply that he’s a skimmer or speed reader, this method suggests that he starts roughly 100 books a year, and only finished around 50.)
When he finishes a book, he goes back through his underlines and enters only the lessons he wants to carry for the rest of his life into a personal spreadsheet — now more than 1,100 entries deep. The system was inspired by Jim Collins, who visited Trek in 2018 and suggested writing down one lesson per book. Burke took it further. The impetus was a bike ride with his wife, during which she asked him to summarize the lessons from one of his favorite books, Simon Sinek’s The Infinite Game. His answer, he recalled, was “lame. Really bad retention.” He went home, reread the book, underlined it, and built the spreadsheet.
Current reading: The Algorithm, about a former Elon Musk lieutenant now on the board of General Motors, focused on simplification and speed — themes Burke is applying directly to Trek’s supply chain overhaul, which benchmarks Toyota and aims to triple the company’s operational efficiency score by 2028.
For all his impatience with American institutions — corporate, political, technological — Burke’s worldview is ultimately an optimistic one, grounded less in ideology than in a belief that self-improvement is always available to anyone willing to do the work.
At Trek, he said, the lesson applies to the company as much as any individual in it: focus on what you can control, confront the brutal facts, and keep moving. “85% of the opportunities in the business,” he said, citing The Founder’s Mentality, “are within their four walls. And sometimes you get a lot of people who want to look out the window instead of looking in the mirror, 85% of the opportunities in the business are looking in the mirror.”

Wolfe Research lowers Sotera Health stock price target to $19 on valuation
Here’s something creative I haven’t seen many try (other than the home builders) to close the affordability gap.
The State of Rhode Island is using treasury deposits placed directly with local banks and credit unions to subsidize mortgage rates.
The end result is helping a first-time home buyer secure a 30-year fixed mortgage at below-market rates, starting as low as 3.99%.
In addition, there’s no private mortgage insurance (PMI) required on these loans either, regardless of down payment.
Collectively, it might be enough to get more homeowners in the door, despite ongoing affordability woes.
While it kind of sounds like the temporary and permanent rate buydowns being offered by home builders, it operates quite a bit differently.
Instead of the state handing out grants or becoming the actual mortgage lender, they’re strategically depositing public funds in local depositories.
In turn, those participating banks are armed with more liquidity, giving them the ability to offer below-market mortgage rates to select applicants.
The program is known as “RI AnchorHome,” and is being facilitated by Treasurer James A. Diossa’s office.
How it works is fairly simply. A qualifying first-time home buyer gets approved for a mortgage through one of the participating lenders (such as Navigant Credit Union, Coastal 1, or Washington Trust).
Then the State of Rhode Island deposits matching funds into that same financial institution to offset the cost of offering a below-market interest rate with no PMI.
Those deposits provide the bank with a source of low-cost funding, and in return they can offer the buyer a special 30-year fixed rate as low as 3.99%, despite rates being around 6.50% currently.
Importantly, the home buyer still gets a traditional mortgage issued and serviced by the bank. And the state doesn’t take on any credit risk.
The program started as a pilot with $60 million in deposits and was recently expanded to $80 million after unanimous approval from the State Investment Commission.
The deposits are short-term, fully collateralized, and renewed annually, so the state keeps control of its cash while earning a modest return.
It’s a clever public-private partnership designed to make homeownership more attainable in a high-rate environment without the usual gimmicks.
Whenever I see deals like this, I tell people to look at the big picture. There is no free lunch, though in this case borrowers might actually win.
The state is essentially giving up some potential yield on its deposits to make these lower mortgage rates possible in order to better its state, with no real downside to the homeowner.
Sure, buyers still have to qualify under normal underwriting guidelines, complete mandatory first-time homebuyer counseling, and meet specific program rules.
Those include being a first-time buyer with no other property, buying a primary residence in Rhode Island, and having an income of no more than 110% of the statewide median.
Lastly, the maximum loan amount is $525,000 for a single-family home and $575,000 for a duplex.
But other than that, if you can snag the low advertised rate of 3.99% and there aren’t excessive closing costs, what’s not to like?
Oh, and if you put down less than 20% and can avoid PMI at the same time, it’s even sweeter.
After all, one might argue that the more money borrowed at 3.99%, the better.
The RI Treasurer’s office says the goal is to build generational wealth and strengthen local communities.
It’ll be interesting to see if other states start emulating this deposit-based model in the future.
Here in California, we’ve relied on other approaches, such as the “Dream For All Shared Appreciation Loan,” which requires zero down payment in exchange for a share of future equity.
While they’re all good initiatives on the surface, you do wonder if they mostly address the demand side as opposed to the supply side of the problem.
Read on: Try out my new mortgage rate calculator to see how much you can afford at different interest rates.
Emails are going out to Chase United cardholders with an offer to earn 10,000 bonus miles for adding an authorized user. There’s no direct link, so you just need to check your inbox.
Earn 10,000 bonus miles when you add a new authorized user to your United credit card by June 30, 2026. For the first authorized user added to your account, you will earn 10,000 bonus miles. Any additional authorized users added to your account during the promotional period will not earn bonus miles. Bonus miles will not exceed 10,000 bonus miles.
This is an easy bonus. You get 10,000 miles just for adding an authorized user.
Just remember that you’re fully liable for any charges the authorized user makes, so only add someone you trust. With this bonus you don’t even need to make a purchase so you don’t need to give them the physical card. Once the bonus is secured, you can remove the authorized user at any time without affecting your account standing.
Another thing to note is that if someone adds you as an authorized user on their card, that account may show up on your credit report and count against your own 5/24, potentially blocking you from being approved for new Chase cards. You can just call the Chase reconsideration line and ask them to exclude authorized user accounts from their review, which they’re often willing to do.
HT: itrytopaytaxes
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