Each month, Fannie Mae releases a forecast for home prices, sales, and mortgage rates, among other things.
Between September’s report and October’s, they raised their estimate for the 30-year fixed a staggering 80 basis points (0.80%).
The unusually large move reflects just how bad mortgage rates had it over the past month and change.
But the last week saw a bit of a recovery and raising their forecast so aggressively month-to-month might be unwarranted.
Depending on how things go, mortgage rates could actually move lower in 2027.
Fannie Mae Says Mortgage Rates Will Average 7.5% for All of 2027
In Fannie Mae’s October 2026 Housing Forecast, they increased the expected 30-year fixed average to 7.5% for all four quarters next year.
Previously, these estimates were 6.7% for each quarter, representing a massive 80-bp increase.
The reason is pretty straightforward. There was a global bond rout over the past month that led to the highest bond yields in decades.
And it seemed like it was just going to keep getting worse, with no relief in sight.
But then we got a reversal last week, which is not reflected in Fannie Mae’s latest report, dated on October 12th.
So there is some matter of timing here, with Fannie capturing the absolute worst of the mortgage rate increase (and none of the recovery).
Of course, mortgage rates are still pretty elevated, around 7.40% at last glance, per Mortgage News Daily.
In other words, they remain very much near the top of their recent range, even if they enjoyed a little pullback last week.
That means Fannie’s estimate doesn’t sound crazy here, but it does feel a little like they’re overshooting.
To raise your forecast nearly one full percentage point from one month to the next seems excessive.
However, they could turn out to be right if the economic data keeps coming in hot and bond yields stay elevated.
Is Fannie Being Too Pessimistic on Mortgage Rates?
Ultimately, Fannie Mae and other forecasters just look at the data in front of them when drawing up their reports.
So if the 10-year bond yield was 5.25% when they drafted the report and they saw an implied spread of say 230 bps, it wouldn’t be much of a surprise to say mortgage rates will average 7.6% next year.
But yields have since come down to around 5.15%, and it’s possible they could keep falling if the story of last week (tech selloff) continues.
There are some who feel the bond rout was overdone and yields could be attractive at current levels.
The logic is tech stocks are risky now and might yield negative returns going forward, while a government bond is guaranteed and paying more than 5%.
All of a sudden there’s a shift from equities to bonds, especially if investors also sour on AI-related bonds, which are getting labeled high-risk nowadays too.
Long story short, if we see the recent flight to safety hold, mortgage rates could actually move lower in 2027.
[Compare mortgage payments side by side with my mortgage rate calculator.]
How Mortgage Rates Could Defy the Predictions and Get Back Below 7%
Right now we’ve got basically everything working against low mortgage rates.
We have a war in the Middle East (and elsewhere), all of which is putting pressure on energy prices and thus inflation.
We have (had) a global bond rout where investors were balking at buying bonds, even with the highest yields in decades.
And we’ve had economic data continue to come in hotter-than-expected, whether it was a healthy jobs report, CPI, or retail sales.
So on the one hand, you could argue that mortgage rates are priced for the absolute worst.
That means you get one or several of the above issues to reverse course and mortgage rates can come down as well.
In that sense, there are a lot of possible levers to pull to get mortgage rate relief, but none are guaranteed to materialize.
But if they do, it wouldn’t be improbable to get the 30-year fixed back below 6% in 2027 and beyond.
Read on: How to track mortgage rates.
Before creating this site, I worked as an account executive for a wholesale mortgage lender in Los Angeles. My hands-on experience in the early 2000s inspired me to begin writing about mortgages 20 years ago to help prospective (and existing) home buyers better navigate the home loan process. Follow me on X for hot takes.
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When Elon Musk and Space Exploration Technologies (SPCX +1.89%) announced the company’s third-quarter earnings results on Oct. 20, there was incredible news for Nvidia (NVDA -0.59%) and its shareholders. On the Q3 earnings call, Musk said the space and artificial intelligence (AI) company plans to aggressively ramp up its AI infrastructure spending to deliver annual recurring revenue (ARR) between $500 billion and $1 trillion by the end of 2027.
Musk had already announced in August, during the company’s first earnings conference call, that SpaceX would use Nvidia chips exclusively moving forward. At that time, he said Nvidia’s Vera Rubin architecture was the best on the market and that SpaceX greatly valued its partnership with Nvidia. The two companies are also working together to develop chips that can withstand cosmic radiation and work in orbital data centers.
NVDA – Nvidia
$210.96-$1.25 (-0.59%)
NASDAQ · As of 4:00 PM ET 10/23/26
10 gigawatts of SpaceX 2027 compute power will translate to huge revenue for Nvidia
During that August conference call, Musk anticipated that SpaceX would end the year with 2 gigawatts of compute power. Meanwhile, he expected the company’s end-of-2027 cumulative computing capacity to be closer to 10 gigawatts than 5 gigawatts. That was a strong indication that SpaceX could triple its AI spending in 2027.
However, Musk shocked investors during the company’s recent Q3 conference call when he projected that SpaceX would have up to 3 gigawatts of computing capacity by the end of 2026 and is expecting to add an incremental 10 gigawatts of compute power in 2027. However, he said the goal was to add 20 additional gigawatts and that there was a “non-zero possibility” of this happening.
Musk and SpaceX standardizing on Nvidia’s Vera Rubin architecture is huge news for the chipmaker. With Vera Rubin, Nvidia is getting an estimated $40 billion in revenue per gigawatt. This comes not just from its graphics processing units (GPUs) but also from its entire ecosystem, which includes its Arm-based central processing units (CPUs) and networking components.
On top of that, with Vera Rubin, Nvidia has added language processing units (LPUs) that it acquired as part of its “acquisition” of Groq, which are designed to handle the memory-intensive decode phase of inference. It’s also expanded its software layer, which now includes its Nemotron open-weight models. As a result, semiconductor research outlet SemiAnalysis estimates that Nvidia is getting 39% more revenue and 42% more profit per gigawatt with Vera Rubin NVL72 configurations than with its older Grace Blackwell setup.
Image source: Nvidia.
$400 billion to $800 billion in revenue from SpaceX in 2027
For Nvidia, SpaceX’s projected 10 gigawatts of additional computing power would equate to around $400 billion in revenue. If SpaceX were somehow able to add 20 gigawatts, which is still a long shot given it is dealing with power cooling and electrical equipment infrastructure constraints, that would be an additional $800 billion in revenue next year.
Nvidia is currently projected to generate just under $412 billion in revenue this fiscal year, ending in January 2027. It has projected that its revenue will grow by 70% in fiscal 2028, and the current analyst consensus is for revenue of around $692 billion. Based on SpaceX’s new estimate of AI infrastructure spending, it will add at least 4 more gigawatts of compute capacity in 2027 than previously projected. Assuming Nvidia can sell more Vera Rubin systems to SpaceX without having to pull capacity from other customers, its fiscal 2028 revenue would be closer to $850 billion.
Based on my model below and that revenue number, Nvidia would produce around $20.72 in adjusted earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal 2028, well above the current $15.91 consensus. Assuming another 50% revenue growth in fiscal 2029, its adjusted EPS would be $30.59.
Below are my projections:
Metric
Fiscal 2027
Fiscal 2028
Fiscal 2029
Revenue
$412 billion
$850 billion
$1.28 trillion
Revenue growth
90%
106%
50%
Gross profit
$309 billion
$629 billion
$931 billion
Adjusted operating expense
$35 billion
$53 billion
$81 billion
Operating income
$274 billion
$576 billion
$850 billion
Net income
$233 billion
$489 billion
$722 billion
EPS
$9.66
$20.72
$30.59
Calculations by author.
Even if Nvidia stock were to just maintain its current forward P/E of 13.5 times, it would be valued at around $415, nearly double its current price. However, an argument could certainly be made that the semiconductor stock should trade at a market multiple of 19, which would value the stock at around $580. This also only assumes that SpaceX doesn’t come close to hitting its more ambitious computing capacity target.
Any way you slice it, SpaceX’s spending plans are great news for Nvidia and are a great reason to buy the semiconductor stock.
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Syracuse Chancellor J. Michael Haynie told the University Senate on October 22, 2026, that an administrative portfolio review of executive and administrative offices will start later this fall.
The review follows the April 2026 decision to close or pause 93 academic programs and a 1.5% annual operating deficit Haynie disclosed in August.
The review follows the April 2026 decision to close or pause 93 academic programs and a 1.5% annual operating deficit Haynie disclosed in August.
Syracuse University is turning its cost review from the classroom to the administration building. The private New York university spent the spring trimming its degree list after missing its fall enrollment target and posting its first budget deficit in years. Now the chancellor wants a hard look at the offices that run the place.
If you haven’t followed the Syracuse saga, this comes after several years of missing enrollment targets and now facing budget issues, driven both by economic headwinds and the school’s own unforced errors.
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The News: What Did Syracuse Announce?
Syracuse will launch an “administrative portfolio review” later this fall, Haynie said in remarks to the University Senate on October 22, 2026. He described it as “somewhat akin to last year’s academic portfolio review,” the process that ended with Syracuse closing or pausing 93 programs.
That earlier review is one of several moves putting Syracuse alongside other schools cutting jobs and degrees as international graduate students disappear.
The new review will assess “the executive and administrative offices, units and functions” across the university. Haynie said the goal is an administration “sized and organized and resourced for the university we’re building.”
He did not say which offices are in scope or whether positions will be cut. He also gave no savings target. The process design is still being finalized, and Syracuse says more details will follow. That staged rollout mirrors the University of Oregon, which closed a dorm as it cut $65 million from its budget.
Why It Matters For Syracuse Families
Syracuse leans heavily on tuition revenue, and the price is steep. The university lists 2026-27 undergraduate tuition at $69,180, with a total estimated cost of attendance of $95,676 before aid. That puts Syracuse in the same price tier as the most expensive colleges in the country.
Administrative spending is one of the forces behind rising tuition, so a leaner administration could ease pressure on future price increases. A review could also reach the offices students use every day, from financial aid to advising. Haynie hasn’t said which way it will lean. Families comparing what a private college really charges should wait for that detail before reading too much into the news.
The workforce at stake is large. In the same remarks, Haynie said the search for a new chief people officer will “impact all 7,000 of our employees.” Both the search and the review land as Syracuse works through the enrollment shortfall behind its deficit.
How Did Syracuse Get Here?
Syracuse’s trouble started with enrollment. In September 2025, then-Chancellor Kent Syverud told the Senate that traditional enrollment was falling by about 3.5%. Most of the drop came from international and master’s students. He also warned against complacency. “It would be hubris to say that we’re doing better than them because we’re smarter or better,” Syverud said of peers facing layoffs and steep budget cuts.
In April 2026, Provost Lois Agnew announced the closure or pause of 93 programs affecting 258 students, about 1.2% of the student body. Every enrolled student will get the chance to finish, and Agnew said the goal was “a portfolio that is more focused, more distinctive and more aligned with student demand.” Students in a closing program should still know their options, including how college refunds work if they leave early.
Syracuse then rolled out a 2026 voluntary retirement incentive for faculty with 35 or more years of service or in departments with closing or shrinking programs. It paid two weeks of salary per year of service, capped at 100% of base pay. Eligible faculty could also collect up to $15,000 in supplemental pay. About 175 faculty were offered the packages as the university braced for a shortfall.
By August, Haynie put a number on the issue. His August 31 message to campus described a 1.5% annual operating deficit. He called it “far from a crisis” because the university is “financially and structurally strong.” That framing separates Syracuse from the schools on our list of colleges closing in 2026.
Syracuse University’s Road To An Administrative Review: 2025–2026
When
What Happened
The Number
Fall 2025
Enrollment falls, driven by international and master’s students
About 3.5%
April 2026
Academic portfolio review closes or pauses programs
93 programs, 258 students
Spring 2026
Voluntary retirement incentive offered to eligible faculty
Up to 100% of base salary
Summer 2026
University says it will miss its fall undergraduate target
First deficit in years
August 2026
Chancellor discloses the size of the shortfall
1.5% operating deficit
October 2026
Administrative portfolio review announced
Starts later this fall
Source: Syracuse University. The College Investor.
What Else Is Pressuring Syracuse’s Budget?
Federal policy is adding a second strain. At the same Senate meeting, Agnew walked faculty through the new federal earnings accountability standards. Under that law, the Education Department will cut federal loans to programs whose graduates don’t out-earn high school graduates. Haynie said that “for some programs, the implication of this new law could be prohibitive.”
That warning matters for a school that just finished pruning its degree list. Programs that survived the academic review could still face a second test based on graduate earnings. Families comparing schools can track which low-earning degrees could lose federal loan access as the rules phase in.
How This Connects
Syracuse is following a path many colleges have embarked on. Penn State targeted 47 programs for closure, mostly at its Commonwealth campuses. Fitch downgraded Xavier University to BBB+ as enrollment fell to 4,358. Program cuts and layoffs appear on our list of warning signs that a college could close. That list pairs them with low enrollment and thin endowments, which don’t fit a school of Syracuse’s size.
While academic bloat has been on the radar of higher education observers for over a decade, it’s rarely been something that’s been discussed or addressed by university administrators. This is likely a good step forward to help schools like Syracuse get back on track with academic excellence.
What’s Next For The Syracuse Review?
Several deadlines will shape the review. A faculty committee on the university’s identity, structure and financial model is due to report to Haynie by November 15.
The chief people officer search targets a pick by January 1, and Agnew will stay on as provost through June 2027 while Syracuse finds a successor. Current students and admitted families should ask the financial aid office how any changes could affect their package, and our steps to appeal a financial aid award still apply.
Editor: Colin Graves
The post Syracuse University Will Review Its Administrative Offices After Cutting 93 Programs appeared first on The College Investor.
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Executives at MPC’s national conference outlined ambitious growth plans despite an uneven housing market, while highlighting AI investments, funding pressures and growing competition for customers.
Also along for the ride: an entourage ranging from aging boxing champions to Cabinet members to relatively unknown aides who help craft Trump’s words and ideas. The passenger list for Trump’s marathon through the sky signals who has the ear of the president.
“It can say what his priorities are,” said David Cohen, a professor of political science at the University of Akron. “Who he surrounds himself with are the people he is going to be listening to. They’re the ones who are going to be whispering in his ear and talking softly in private quarters to the president of the United States.”
Here’s a look at who has had access to power in the confines of Trump’s plane this month.
The inner circle
White House chief of staff Susie Wiles, who recently finished treatment for breast cancer, is a frequent flyer. Trump has called Wiles, who co-managed his 2024 campaign, the “most powerful woman in the world.” As Air Force One ascended from Greenville, North Carolina, after Trump’s 15th rally in 20 days, Wiles gave reporters her take on how it went as she walked up the aisle.
“Great,” she said. “They’ve all been great, honestly.”
Other insiders who’ve made the manifest: special envoy Steve Witkoff,who has been trying to negotiate an end to the Iran war that has weighed on Republicans’ midterm fortunes; deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller,the architect of Trump’s immigration crackdown; Housing and Urban Development Secretary Scott Turner; Treasury Secretary Scott Bessentand Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins.
The most frequent Cabinet member aboard has been Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, a billionaire who previously ran the financial services firm Cantor Fitzgerald. A Trump buddy going back to the 1990s, Lutnick can often be heard laughing at the president’s jokes. His role at Trump’s rallies has been to highlight new factory investments that Trump uses to try to convince his supporters that the economy is doing well.
Punching above their weight
Bill Pulte has joined Trump for at least five legs of the midterm marathon so far, a sign that his status inside the administration is far higher than his title — director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency — would suggest.
The scion of a homebuilding company, Pulte is a Trump pal who was for a brief period also the acting director of national intelligence and oversaw layoffs in that office. He has led pressure campaigns on Federal Reserve officials such as Jerome Powell and Lisa Cook. Pulte has also passed along policy ideas such as changing the 30-year mortgage to 50 years, an idea that has since been abandoned.
Federal Communications Commission Chairman Brendan Carr has also flown with the president, notably on Oct. 13 and Oct. 14 on a lengthy West Coast swing. Carr has sought to use his regulatory powers over broadcast networks to chastise them over their coverage of the president.
Personal aides who keep Trump going
Chief among the retinue of assistants around the president is Natalie Harp, an executive assistant who is on most of Trump’s trips. Walt Nauta,the director of Oval Office Operations, is not far behind her in air miles. Chamberlain Harris, Nauta’s deputy, is another frequent traveler. She also serves as a member of the Commission of Fine Arts, one of the government bodies with a role in reviewing the White House ballroom and other Trump construction projects.
Although Trump likes to ad-lib, the speechwriting director, Ross Worthington, has joined him repeatedly on the plane this month. The president’s stump speech features a promise of $5,000 checks if Republicans keep their House and Senate majorities after the Nov. 3 election. He also tends to highlight new factory projects and investments in the communities he visits.
Margo Martin, a communications adviser who posts videos of Trump on social media, has joined the tour, as has White House communications director Steven Cheung. Katie Zacharia, who was the White House press secretary for five days, spent two of them with the president on a trip to Alaska, Nevada, Arizona and Montana.
Plenty of political strategists
Trump is surrounded on these trips by White House and external consultants making strategic choices for the midterms, including Matt Brasseaux, his political director, who previously worked at the Republican National Committee.
Johnny DeStefano, who was a top aide in Trump’s first term, temporarily rejoined the White House this summer to work on midterm strategy and has been seen on Air Force One, as has former White House deputy chief of staff James Blair.
Celebrities hitch a ride
Going into what could be some rough midterm races, Trump has brought aboard with him some of the biggest names in boxing: Mike Tyson,Floyd Mayweather Jr. and Evander Holyfield. In a 1997 heavyweight championship bout, Tyson bit off a piece of Holyfield’s right ear. They did not fly on Air Force One at the same time.
Towson University professor Martha Kumar said that presidential travel during a campaign can be intense and that presidents often have passengers who can keep the environment relaxed even as the work continues. “You want to have people around you that make you feel comfortable,” Kumar said. “When you think about it, it is really stressful. You want some relief.”
On Sunday, Cheung posted a video in which he was interviewing the rapper Nicki Minaj aboard Air Force One as it took Trump to Michigan for a campaign rally. Minaj praised the president, and the White House’s goal is to have Trump wrap up his midterm blitz by having a celebrity with him at each stop.
Who else has hitched a ride with Trump? Retired NASCAR champion Richard Petty went to North Carolina, former NFL coach Jon Gruden to Ohio, and retired NFL running back Todd Gurley to Georgia. Influencer-turned-boxer Jake Paul also traveled with the president. The celebrities have had cameos in Trump’s rallies.
Congress gets onboard
The goal of Trump’s travel over the past month has been to help Republicans keep control of Congress.
As the White House’s liaison with the House, Jeff Freeland has been on Air Force One with multiple lawmakers. Rep. William Timmons of South Carolina flew with the president, as have multiple Texas House members, including Reps. Beth Van Duyne and Brandon Gill, as well as Reps. Brian Jack of Georgia, Tim Moore of North Carolina and Anna Paulina Luna of Florida.
John Barrasso of Wyoming, the second-ranking Republican senator, has flown multiple times with the president this month, as has Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who is considering a presidential bid in 2028.
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