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Grad School Fellowships vs. Assistantships: How Funding Works


Key Points

  • Fellowships are merit-based awards with no work requirement, while assistantships require 10–20 hours per week of teaching, research, or administrative work in exchange for tuition coverage and a stipend.
  • PhD programs are far more likely to offer full funding packages than master’s programs, though funded master’s positions do exist, especially in STEM and at large research universities.
  • Both fellowship and assistantship income are taxable, but the way taxes are withheld differs – assistantship pay has taxes taken out automatically, while fellowship recipients are responsible for paying taxes themselves.

If you’ve ever heard someone say they’re getting paid to go to grad school, they weren’t lying. Every year, thousands of graduate students attend programs where their tuition is fully covered and they receive a monthly stipend to cover living expenses.

The two most common ways this happens are through fellowships and assistantships and understanding how they work is one of the smartest things you can do before applying to graduate school.

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What Are Fellowships and Assistantships?

A fellowship is a merit-based financial award given to a graduate student. It typically includes a tuition waiver and a stipend (a payment meant to cover living costs). The defining feature of a fellowship is that it comes with no work obligation. You’re being funded to focus on your studies and research. Fellowships are awarded based on academic achievement, research potential, or fit with a program’s goals.

An assistantship, by contrast, is essentially a part-time job at the university. Graduate assistants work 10–20 hours per week and receive tuition coverage plus a stipend in return.

Assistantships come in three main types:

  • Teaching assistantships (TAs), where you help teach undergraduate courses
  • Research assistantships (RAs), where you work on a faculty member’s research project
  • Administrative or graduate assistantships (GAs), where you support a department or office with operational tasks

In both cases, you’re not taking on student loan debt for the portion covered by the award.

How Do You Get Grad School Funding Work?

For most programs, you’re automatically considered for funding when you apply for admission. This is especially true at the PhD level, where many departments build assistantships or fellowships into their admissions offers. You typically don’t need to fill out a separate application—your admission application, personal statement, writing samples, and letters of recommendation serve double duty.

That said, some fellowships do require a separate application. Prestigious awards like the NSF Graduate Research Fellowship or university-wide fellowships often have their own deadlines and requirements. If you’re applying to graduate school, ask each program directly: “How do I apply for funding?” and “What percentage of students in your program are funded?” Those two questions will tell you a lot.

For assistantships specifically, departments sometimes post open positions on their websites or internal job boards. Reaching out to faculty whose research interests align with yours can also open doors to RA positions.

Master’s vs. PhD: Who Actually Gets Funded?

This is where expectations need to be set clearly. PhD programs are significantly more likely to offer full funding. At many research universities, admitted PhD students receive a multi-year funding package that includes tuition, a stipend, and health insurance. It’s standard practice in fields like the sciences, engineering, economics, and the humanities. If a PhD program admits you but doesn’t offer funding, that’s often a signal to think carefully about whether it’s the right fit.

Master’s programs are a different story. Full funding at the master’s level is less common, especially in professional programs like MBA or counseling degrees. However, funded master’s positions do exist – particularly in STEM fields, at large state universities, and in programs that need TAs for undergraduate courses.

Some universities also offer partial assistantships at the master’s level, covering tuition but offering a smaller stipend.

How Much Do You Get Paid?

Stipend amounts vary widely by institution, field, and degree level. PhD stipends for a half-time (20-hour) appointment generally range from about $20,000 to $45,000 per year. Master’s-level stipends are typically lower. To give a few examples from the 2025–2026 academic year: UW Madison set its minimum annualized stipend at $35,636 for half-time appointments, while Georgia Tech’s doctoral minimum was about $27,500 annually and its master’s minimum was roughly $14,200.

These are not salaries that will make you rich, but combined with free tuition (often worth $30,000–$60,000 per year at many institutions), the total value of a funded position is substantial. Many packages also include health insurance, which adds thousands more in value.

How Do Taxes Work For Stipends?

This catches many new grad students off guard. Both assistantship and fellowship income are considered taxable income by the IRS. But the way taxes are handled differs.

Assistantship stipends are treated like wages. Taxes are withheld from each payment, and you’ll receive a W-2 at tax time. This works the same as any other job.

Fellowship stipends are different. Universities generally do not withhold taxes from fellowship payments, and you won’t receive a W-2. Instead, you’re responsible for reporting this income yourself and may need to make quarterly estimated tax payments to avoid penalties. Many first-year graduate students miss this and face an unexpected tax bill in April.

Tuition waivers can also have tax implications. Under IRS rules, tuition benefits for graduate students engaged in teaching or research activities are generally excluded from taxable income under Section 117(d) of the Internal Revenue Code.

However, the rules can be complicated, and some portion of a tuition waiver may be taxable depending on your specific situation. Check with your university’s graduate school office and consider consulting a tax professional during your first year.

What You Should Do Next

If you’re planning on graduate school and are looking for fellowships and assistantships, here’s what to do:

  1. Ask every program you’re considering: “What funding is available, and how do I apply?” Don’t assume the information on the website is complete.
  2. Look at external fellowships early. The NSF GRFP, Ford Foundation Fellowship, and others have deadlines that often fall before or alongside grad school application deadlines.
  3. Contact faculty directly. If a professor has grant funding, they may be able to offer you an RA position. A thoughtful email about their research can go a long way.
  4. Compare the full funding package, not just the stipend. Tuition coverage, health insurance, and fee waivers can vary dramatically between offers.
  5. Plan for taxes from day one. Set aside money for taxes if you’re on a fellowship, and understand what your W-2 or 1098-T will look like before filing season arrives.

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Giant, Stop&Shop, Martin’s: Get 8x Points On Zift Zillions Giftcards (4/10-4/16)


Update 4/12/26: 8x on Zift Zillions from 4/10 – 4/16 (check your local circular to confirm)

The Offer

Stop&Shop, Giant, Martin’s

Giant, Stop&Shop, Martin’s have an offer showing in their circular:

  • Get 4x fuel points on all third-party gift card purchases when you use your store loyalty card.

Gift cards generally don’t earn fuel points at all at Giant/S&S/Martin’s, but occasionally they release offers like this to get points on gift card purchases. Visa and Mastercard gift cards are excluded from this offer, as are Giant/SS gift cards excluded as well.

Gas Points Details

Every 100 points gets you 10¢ off per gallon at Shell, up to 20 gallons. If you have 1000 points, you’ll get $1 off. If you have 1500 points, you’ll get $1.50 off per gallon (max $1.50 discount in most). Points can be used at partner Shell locations.

Points are now usable on groceries as well, with a value of 100 points equaling a $1 discount.

  • You have 30 days to select whether you want to use the points on gas or groceries, then 30 days to actually use them.
  • See the FAQ for more details. Some of the details vary by area and store.
  • Points usually are available immediately, but I’ve had on occasion where it took a day until they showed up and were usable.

Our Verdict

6x is better than we usually see, and it will work on top gift cards like Amazon and Best Buy. Given that points can be used to discount groceries as well these deals are more widely useful. It can potentially amount to 6% back when redeemed for groceries or 12% back when redeemed for gas. Use a card that earns a bonus at grocery stores.

Note, many SS/Giant stores have implemented a $2,000 limit in gift card purchases each day. They also require putting it all on a single card. Also note that some SS/Giant stores now only award points for the first purchase of the deal, so be sure to buy the full $2,000 worth in a single transaction. The fine print of this offer implies that you get $2,000 across the entire week.

Post History:

  • Update 2/26/26: 4x on select third party gift card brands from 2/27 through 3/12: Airbnb, Delta, Disney, DoorDash, Southwest, Hotels.com, Lyft, GolfNow, Starbucks, Uber. (ht gcanywhere) 
  • Update 11/29/25: From 11/28 – 12/4, get 10x points on Zift Zillions of Gifts, Google Play, The Home Depot®, Panera Bread®, Texas Roadhouse® or Topgolf® gift cards
  • Update 11/3/225: Deal is back for 6x on third party gift cards through 11/20/25. (ht MEAB)
  • Update 6/9/25: Deal is back 6/6 – 6/19 (ht readers Gerald S and Moshiach770)
  • Update 10/31/24: Starting tomorrow, they are offering 4x, 5x, or 6x points on all third party gift card purchases. Some chains are 4x, some 5x, some 6x. Valid November 1 through November 21, 2024. (ht reader Gerald)
  • Update 6/7/24: Earn 6x points on all third party gift cards until June 7 – June 20, 2024. Hat tip to GC Galore
  • Update 3/22/24: Check your local circular for 4x fuel points on third party gift cards from 3/22 through 4/4. The fine print excludes Visa/MC and store gift cards which would imply that all regular third party gift cards are eligible. If anyone can confirm that it applies to all third party gift cards (like Amazon, Best Buy, etc) kindly let us know in the comments.

How women leaders in mortgage have paved the way for the next generation


“Mentorship is also incredibly important,” Shelton said. “Many women thrive when they have guidance and support as they grow in their careers. The organizations that help collaborate instead of compete tend to see more women step into leadership roles.”

As the percentage of women grows in the industry, Shelton said it has been important to get into higher-profile positions to have more influence over the future of the industry.

“We had this conversation for a long time, of women wanting a seat at the table,” she said. “Well, we’re 46% of the entire mortgage industry, and so we have a seat at the table. So now, what do we do with it? I think that seeing more women in leadership and having more women mentors just creates an environment for other women to feel confident.”

The industry has changed significantly since Shelton began as a broker. Now, there are women across the landscape of the largest companies holding critical leadership roles.

“I think when I started, there weren’t many women in leadership roles that you could look up to,” Shelton said. “Now we are seeing some of the greatest women, like Melinda Wilner and Sarah DeCiantis at UWM, who lead in huge positions at the number one lender in America. What is better for women than to look at other women who have carved their space in this industry?”

Form 8K Expand Energy Corp For: 6 April




Form 8K Expand Energy Corp For: 6 April

AI Stock Sell-Off: Here’s How to Find the Long-Term Winners


Artificial intelligence (AI) stocks represented a gold mine for investors over the past three years. Companies developing or selling AI products and services saw their share prices take off as investors aimed to get in early on this game-changing technology. In the initial stages of the AI boom, these players were the first to monetize their investments. For example, chip designers’ revenue soared as customers rushed to buy chips to power the training of large language models — these are the workhorses of AI.

But, over the past few months, the path hasn’t been so smooth for AI stocks or their shareholders. In fact, an AI stock sell-off unfolded, with investors rotating out of many AI giants in favor of stocks in other industries. This happened amid various uncertainties — from concerns about the economy to worries about the war in Iran — that damaged investor appetite for growth assets.

This doesn’t mean the AI story is over, though. Buying opportunities remain, so after the recent AI stock sell-off, here’s how to find the long-term winners.

Image source: Getty Images.

Today’s AI environment

First, it’s important to talk about the AI environment today and what’s likely to unfold in the coming years. Over the past several quarters, cloud companies have invested billions of dollars to build out infrastructure — this is to serve demand as it’s exploded higher. And the work is far from over. In fact, major cloud players aim to spend nearly $700 billion this year alone to support this build-out.

Though some investors have worried about the pace of spending, demand for this infrastructure hasn’t relented — and at the same time, the actual use of AI, which will drive the AI market of tomorrow, requires compute. This means capacity is needed today, and it likely will be necessary well into the future, too.

To find AI stocks that will benefit from the AI boom over the long term, it’s important to look for the following four elements — and ideally, each AI stock you buy will have all of these.

1. An AI growth track record

The company has demonstrated its AI strengths and generated revenue growth during the early stages of the AI boom. It’s developed a spot in this exciting market and has shown that its products or services can generate significant revenue.

A great example of this is Palantir Technologies (PLTR 1.86%), which has clearly won over government and commercial customers with its AI-driven software, a platform that helps them make better use of their data. Palantir has been around for more than 20 years, progressively building out its technology, and all of that effort is now generating great returns.

Palantir Technologies Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(-1.86%) $-2.43

Current Price

$128.06

2. Clear long-term prospects

The AI company has set out logical goals and offers goods or services that should result in growth well into the future. For this, look no further than Nvidia (NVDA +2.59%). The AI chip giant aims to update its chips on an annual basis, which should keep its technology ahead of that of rivals.’

And chips are needed to power the actual use of AI in the real world, meaning it’s very likely that, as long as AI is in use, Nvidia will be at the heart of the story.

3. The company isn’t a one-trick pony

A company highly specialized in one area may win in AI — but it comes with more risk than a player that’s diversified across AI or even into other businesses. Amazon (AMZN +2.05%) is a fantastic choice here as it’s a leader in e-commerce and cloud computing — and through the cloud business, it’s also become an AI powerhouse. Amazon Web Services is the biggest cloud provider globally, and Amazon is seeing high demand from AI and non-AI customers. All of this makes it very likely that Amazon will continue delivering significant growth over time.

4. A solid moat

A strong competitive advantage ensures that today’s leader won’t be unseated further down the road. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM +1.40%), as the world’s biggest chipmaker, has the infrastructure and expertise that should keep it in this position. It would be very difficult for a rival to build out a similar presence and lure big tech customers away from TSMC. The bottom line: A moat may separate the AI winners from the AI losers as the AI story unfolds.

A final thought

Above, I mentioned one company as an example of each strength — but these players actually each have all four strengths that should lead to AI success. And there are many others out there that also check off all of those boxes. It’s also key to consider valuation and select stocks that may be trading in bargain territory right now. By doing all of the above, you could take advantage of the recent sell-off and find the AI stocks that are most likely to emerge as winners over the long haul.

Singapore’s Thunes Joins Circle Payments Network To Expand Stablecoin Settlement


Singapore-based cross-border payments firm Thunes is expanding its stablecoin settlement capabilities through a new collaboration with Circle, as payment infrastructure providers step up efforts to connect blockchain-based rails with traditional financial systems.

Thunes said it had joined Circle Payments Network Managed Payments, enabling its customers to access stablecoin-powered settlement while continuing to operate within existing fiat-based workflows.

The partnership is intended to improve interoperability across the global payments landscape by linking traditional banking systems, mobile wallets and digital asset networks.

The move builds on a relationship established in 2024, when Thunes and Circle began working together on stablecoin-powered liquidity.

Since then, Circle’s USDC stablecoin has been integrated into Thunes’ Direct Global Network, which spans more than 140 countries.

According to Thunes, the use of USDC for near real-time settlement has reduced dependence on traditional banking hours and lowered the need for heavy pre-funding in local nostro accounts.

The company said this allows banks, money transfer operators and gig economy platforms on its network to manage liquidity around the clock, improve capital efficiency and broaden connectivity across bank accounts, mobile wallets, and stablecoin wallets.

Circle said the tie-up would support further development of its payments network and widen access to stablecoin-based settlement for financial institutions globally.

The partnership highlights how stablecoins are increasingly being positioned as part of mainstream payment infrastructure rather than solely as crypto trading instruments.

For firms such as Thunes, the attraction lies in reducing liquidity friction in cross-border transfers and freeing up capital that would otherwise sit idle in correspondent banking arrangements.

Still, broader adoption is likely to depend on regulatory clarity and on whether financial institutions become more comfortable using stablecoins deeper within day-to-day payment flows.



Women Leaders Put Nutrition First


What’s your healthiest habit, and why are you investing in it? For the women featured here, the answer begins with food. A sudden loss, a diagnosis, heartbreak, or family health challenges pushed nutrition from the background to the forefront.

Now they cook from scratch and spend more money on high-quality groceries. They set boundaries around what they will and will not eat. These women don’t talk about diet trends. They talk about having the energy to think clearly and handle what comes next. The following excerpts from “Health is wealth: What’s your healthiest habit?” are lightly edited for clarity.

Melek Gür, a health & longevity coach in Istanbul was diagnosed with Hashimoto’s thyroiditis at the age of 35. “This was a real wakeup call for me. After 18 years in high-stakes finance, I knew how to perform under pressure. I was disciplined, consistent, and always fit,” Gür explains.

“But I was also constantly hungry — physically and mentally. I lived in gyms and offices, counted every calorie, and spent years compensating for every meal,” she admits. On paper, she was thriving. But she grew tired of chasing health through restriction and control. “That’s when I decided to create a different approach — one that works with the body, not against it.”

What’s Gür’s healthiest habit today? “I never eat trash.” In Turkish culture, eating what is offered is considered polite, she explains. “But I set boundaries now and say, ‘No, I don’t eat that.” Gür has changed her diet completely and no longer eats gluten or refined sugar. “Importantly, I choose nourishment over convenience even though this comes with a price tag. Healthy food is expensive in Türkiye.”

Azielia Anne, a corporate strategist at Group Maybank Islamic in Kuala Lumpur, reconnected with her passion for movement when she began her career in finance. “The long hours of the job made physical activity a much-needed outlet. In the fast-paced world of finance, where Type A personalities often dominate, health isn’t just a habit, it’s a way of life. We need to be intentional about what we eat, how we rest, and how we move.”

Anne’s healthiest habit lately is prioritizing diet. That’s a challenge in the corporate environment of Kuala Lumpur, she says, where irresistible food is both affordable and everywhere. “The after-work culture often tempts one away from nutritious choices, and healthy options are both scarce and expensive.” Small efforts such as choosing better meals are part of a broader commitment to living with intention, Anne points out. “Health, clarity, and mindful choices shape what I define as a rich and fulfilling lifestyle.”

Cheryl Evans, director at Milken Institute in Washington, DC, was an only child whose parents were healthy eaters. They were focused on the value of eating vegetables and a balanced diet.

Evans’s mother earned a business degree and later passed the state nursing exam with the highest score. “Since she was very interested in health and science, I could ask her medical questions, and because of her influence I know a lot about health.”

Her mother died suddenly of a brain hemorrhage at 67. “This got me thinking about the precariousness of life. I did a lot of looking inward and I became even more focused on fitness and nutrition.”

Evans’s says her healthiest habit is being cognizant of what she eats. “I try to take note of it every day. At times, I forego eating things I like but try to maintain balance. I will eat dessert but try to do so right after a meal so that I don’t spike my blood sugar. I prepare food most days and this can be time consuming.” Evans’s notes that she spends more money on high-quality groceries and eats out less frequently than most of her friends.

Montreal-based Sévrine Labelle, directrice générale at Lab Excelles et Fonds Excelles Repreneuriat, BDC Capital, was influenced by her father’s health challenges. He was diabetic, had heart surgery at age 45, and never worked afterward. Eventually, he died of colon cancer at age 67.

“I was pretty sure I had bad genes, so I decided to help my odds by doing some research. When I was 39, I watched a documentary about the benefits of a whole food plant-based diet, and I decided at that time to go vegan. Exercise came a bit later in my life, but now I do yoga nearly every day, I do strength training a few times a week, and I walk a lot.”

Labelle says her healthiest habit is eating a plant-rich diet with fresh organic food. “I see this as an investment. I know that an omnivore diet probably costs even more, but when I look in my refrigerator I realize I am a privileged person with all my colorful and sometimes expensive fresh food. I have the responsibility to lead some intense work projects, and my way of eating gives me the energy I need to thrive.”

AWAL and lemontank launch ‘Creator Fund’ to find the next generation of British music-focused content creators


AWAL has launched a fund aimed at discovering and developing British content creators working on music-focused formats, in partnership with Gen Z creative consultancy lemontank.

The AWAL Creator Fund, announced on Wednesday (April 8), is a five-month program that will select up to three creators for mentoring, training and financial support. Selected creators will receive a £2,000 grant alongside one-on-one mentoring, learning and development sessions, and the opportunity to work with AWAL artists and campaigns.

Applications are open until Wednesday (April 22), with successful candidates due to be announced in the week commencing May 11 and introduced on a panel at The Great Escape Conference on Friday (May 15).

In a structure mirroring AWAL‘s deals with recording artists, the selected creators will retain ownership and creative control of their work, allowing them to build and monetize their intellectual property independently.

“Whilst the reach and influence of social media for music discovery is important, the British content creator sector needs resources and a robust infrastructure to support their entrepreneurialism,” said Sam Potts, Co-Managing Director of AWAL.

“By investing in cultural curators and music formats, our ambition is to provide a much-needed promotional platform for emerging British music talent. The AWAL Creator Fund is about ensuring the next generation of creators can build sustainable businesses and help shape UK music culture.”

“Whilst the reach and influence of social media for music discovery is important, the British content creator sector needs resources and a robust infrastructure to support their entrepreneurialism.”

Sam Potts, Co-Managing Director of AWAL

The program, running from May to September 2026, will provide training in what AWAL describes as “hard” skills that support income generation, including budgeting, planning and pitching. It will culminate in an end-of-program pitch event aimed at the wider music industry.

Creators will access support from a range of specialists including Rebecca Barry, AWAL Creator Manager; Sinead Mills from Practice Music for public relations; Arif Mahmud, General Counsel at AWAL, for IP law; and Jacob Rickard, former BBC Radio 1 producer and founder of lemontank, for production and format development.

“Huge kudos to the AWAL team for recognising that this needs doing, and for providing investment that will be of huge benefit to rising star creators.”

Jacob Rickard, founder of lemontank

Rickard said: “I’m so excited to spotlight British creators who have innovative ideas for the next iconic format to rival Chicken Shop Date, Tiny Desk Concerts, Fire In The Booth and more.”

“Huge kudos to the AWAL team for recognising that this needs doing, and for providing investment that will be of huge benefit to rising star creators, young artists and the wider industry for years to come. We’re honoured to be able to help make it happen.”


lemontank describes itself as a Gen Z creative writers’ room. The consultancy, founded by Rickard, specializes in connecting brands with young audiences through a community of creatives aged 18–25.

Last year, lemontank partnered with the BPI and music marketing agency Blackstar on a study titled Seeking Community: Gen Z’s true relationship with culture & music consumption. That report, which surveyed 500 respondents across the UK, examined how 18–25 year-olds discover, consume and connect with music.

The Creator Fund’s ownership-first approach is consistent with the model that has defined AWAL since its founding. The company, acquired by Sony Music Entertainment from Kobalt Music Group for $430 million in 2021, allows artists to retain ownership of their copyrights across its tiered service model.

Potts was elevated to Co-Managing Director of AWAL alongside Victoria Needs in July 2025, as part of a UK leadership reshuffle that also saw Matt Riley promoted to President. Potts joined AWAL in 2019 as Vice President of Promotion, having previously served as Head of Radio Promotions at Columbia Records.

AWAL‘s UK roster includes artists such as Jungle, Little Simz, CMAT and James Marriott, the latter of whom reached No. 1 on the Official UK Albums Chart with his second studio album earlier this year.Music Business Worldwide

Mortgage Rates Enjoy Winning Streak, But Could Rebound Even Higher


Mortgage rates have been surprisingly resilient lately, despite all the inflation concerns related to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

At last glance, the price of a barrel of oil was over $110, up from the $60 range in February.

Yes, mortgage rates have risen quite a bit since that time, but they remain only about a half point higher.

And it’s important to remember that mortgage rates were at 3.5-year lows at the end of February.

So bouncing off those levels isn’t as bad as it appears. The question is does it get worse again before it gets even better?

Mortgage Rates Fell Nearly 0.25% Last Week

Mortgage rates actually had a winning week, falling about 20 basis points from the end of March to last Friday, per MND.

They had risen as high as 6.625% for a 30-year fixed before dropping to around 6.45% to close out the week.

While it’s still well above the 5.99% rate briefly hit in late February, it’s not far off and it beats going even higher.

Many, including myself, expected the 30-year fixed to climb to 6.75% and perhaps 6.875% in the near-term.

We somehow eked out a win in the midst of a seemingly unprecedented conflict in Iran, which has caused oil prices to just about double.

That has many economists worried about a second wave of inflation, overriding any benefit you’d normally see from a geopolitical event.

Typically, mortgage rates go down during wars or conflicts because there is typically a flight to safety in bonds, increasing demand and lowering associated yields (interest rates).

But this time it’s a little more complicated because global energy prices have surged due to the veritable closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The Trend Is Not Mortgage Rates’ Friend

While we got a good week to start off April, something tells me things could still get worse before they get better.

Simply looking at the rhetoric from President Trump should make you worry that mortgage rates could be due for another jump higher.

On Easter, he used expletives in a Truth Social post demanding that Iran open the Strait of Hormuz or face its wrath, including destroying bridges and power plants.

Meanwhile, “Israel struck a key petrochemical plant in the massive South Pars natural gas field,” illustrating that any attempts at a ceasefire will be very difficult.

There have been efforts to establish a 45-day ceasefire, but there’s also a deadline of 8 p.m. EST Tuesday to carry out new attacks on Iranian infrastructure.

If the U.S. follows through, that would likely jeopardize any negotiations and lead to a response from Iran, further exacerbating the already dire situation.

As such, mortgage rates could suffer a second wave of increases after appearing to settle down in recent days.

Will Mortgage Rates Suffer Another Setback?

Since this conflict got underway, I’ve felt 30-year fixed mortgage rates would come close to 7% again.

If you’ve watched mortgage rates for any extended period of time, you know they don’t move in a straight line up or down.

Instead, they ebb and flow, often bouncing around, even if trending higher or lower over time.

Just look at their move from 7%+ to sub-6% over the past year. They didn’t just go down, down, down.

There were bad weeks and even bad months, but they still managed to improve over time once we zoomed out.

Similarly, this could be a situation where they worsen over time, despite having good days and good weeks here and there.

So while last week was encouraging for mortgage rates, it’d be foolish to think the worst is behind us here.

The best-case scenario is we get some sort of ceasefire or peace deal as soon as possible, and perhaps some movement in the Strait.

But one should also prepare for the worst, a ratcheting up of the situation that leads to even higher energy prices, an uptick in inflation, and another leg higher for mortgage rates.

How high they might go remains to be seen, but I wouldn’t completely rule out the very high 6s or even low 7s if things don’t get under control soon.

Colin Robertson
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