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Mortgage rates could fall as Treasury yields slip after surprise jobs beat


The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.37% as of May 7, according to Freddie Mac’s weekly survey, up from 6.30% the prior week — with the 15-year fixed at 5.72%. 

However, after the surprise jobs beat, the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield fell more than 4 basis points, reaching 4.35%. The 2-year note slipped more than 3 basis points to 3.88%, and the longer-dated 30-year bond shed a similar amount to settle at 4.937%. 

Wages the real story for rate watchers

While the headline payroll number was the data point that grabbed initial attention, it was the wage figures that most directly shaped the bond market’s immediate reaction.

Selma Hepp, chief economist at Cotality, previously noted that cooler-than-expected wage growth, specifically lower-than-expected annual earnings, would be the signal to push bond yields lower. Friday’s print delivered on that front. 

In April, the Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady for the third consecutive meeting, with an unusually contentious 8-4 vote — the most dissent on a single decision since 1992.

Fashion Business Management BA – Course Overview | The University of Westminster



Learn more about our Fashion Business Management with Professional Experience BA. In this video, Denise Francis-Brown, a member of the course team, introduces the course content, industry connections, and career opportunities available to students.

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India’s Zee Entertainment sues Reliance-Disney venture JioStar over alleged music copyright infringement (report)


Zee Entertainment has sued JioStar, the joint venture formed by Reliance Industries and The Walt Disney Company, alleging that the entity used Zee‘s copyrighted music after licensing agreements had expired.

That’s according to Reuters, which reported on Wednesday (May 6) that Zee is seeking $3 million in damages over what it alleges was the unauthorized use of works from its music division on JioStar‘s streaming platform and TV channels.

The lawsuit was filed in New Delhi and marks the latest legal clash between Zee and the group formed from Reliance and Disney‘s $8.5 billion merger in 2024, according to Reuters.

According to the court documents reviewed by Reuters, Zee‘s lawsuit, filed on April 14, alleges that the RelianceDisney venture used its music at least 50 times after certain licensing agreements expired in 2024 and 2025 and were not renewed due to disagreements over commercial terms.

“The illegal exploitation thereof amounted to copyright infringement,” Zee said in the filing, according to Reuters, asking the court to stop any ongoing infringements of its music works.

Both Zee and JioStar declined to comment, Reuters reported.

JioStar operates a library of thousands of shows and broadcast rights for top sporting events across its TV channels and its streaming app, JioHotstar, which according to Reuters is India’s largest streaming platform with approximately 500 million monthly users.

Zee, described by Reuters as one of India’s oldest media groups, says it owns a catalog of more than 19,450 songs in 17 languages.

Zee Music‘s catalog was at the center of a licensing dispute with Spotify in 2023, which saw the label’s music removed from the streaming platform.

According to Reuters, court papers show that Zee and JioStar have exchanged several letters and legal notices over the disputed use of music in recent months.

In December, JioStar told Zee it had “taken extensive steps to remove any infringing content across its portfolio,” including legacy programming, the report said.

The two companies are also locked in a separate arbitration in London, where Reliance is seeking around $1 billion in damages from Zee for exiting a cricket licensing deal in 2024, according to Reuters.

Zee denies any wrongdoing and is contesting that demand, the report added.

The lawsuit against JioStar comes amid a broader push by Zee to enforce its music copyrights.

Reuters also reported this week that Zee has separately sued fashion and beauty retailer Nykaa, alleging it used Zee‘s copyrighted songs in Instagram reels to promote products, and is seeking $210,000 in damages in that case.

JioStar was formed in November 2024 when Reliance‘s media business merged with Disney‘s Star India and Hotstar assets in a deal valued at $8.5 billion.

India added nearly 4 million paid music streaming subscriptions in 2025, taking its total to 14.4 million, according to a joint report from EY and the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI).Music Business Worldwide

What Makes an Ideal Leveraged Buyout Candidate?



What Makes an Ideal Leveraged Buyout Candidate?

Morgan Stanley’s Spot Bitcoin ETF Posts Steady First-Month Results With Steady Inflows And No Net Outflows


Morgan Stanley’s (NYSE:MS) spot Bitcoin exchange-traded product has recorded a solid opening month, attracting nearly $194 million in net new capital while experiencing no days of net redemptions. The Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (ticker: MSBT), which began trading on April 8, 2026, has rapidly gained traction as a competitive offering in the Bitcoin ETF space, supported by its institutional interest and new features.

As of early May 2026, the fund’s assets under management stood at approximately $240 million, with holdings of roughly 2,620 BTC. Data from industry trackers show positive net inflows on 17 trading days and neutral flows on the remaining sessions during this period.

This consistent performance stands out against a backdrop where some larger Bitcoin ETFs saw occasional withdrawals.

A key factor in MSBT’s appeal is its industry-low expense ratio of 0.14%, which undercuts many competitors and enhances long-term cost efficiency for investors. The fund has also generally traded at a modest premium to its net asset value in early sessions, indicating sustained buying interest from participants.

Initial demand has been notably organic. Morgan Stanley’s head of digital asset strategy, Amy Oldenburg, shared at industry events that the majority of early inflows came from self-directed clients who independently sought out the product, rather than through the firm’s advisor network.

This client-initiated activity occurred before full integration into broader wealth management platforms, reflecting genuine interest in regulated Bitcoin exposure via a trusted financial institution.

As the first major U.S. bank-affiliated manager to launch a spot Bitcoin product, Morgan Stanley brings substantial scale and expertise.

The firm oversees trillions in client assets through a network of around 16,000 financial advisors, creating significant potential for future growth as advisor adoption increases.

MSBT serves as a compliant, transparent vehicle for investors seeking Bitcoin allocation without the operational complexities of direct cryptocurrency ownership.

The ETF’s debut aligns with broader positive trends in the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF category, which has seen extended periods of net inflows in recent weeks. While the market has shown volatility, MSBT’s outflow-free record demonstrates resilience and growing investor comfort with Bitcoin as part of diversified portfolios.

Analysts interpret these early results as a positive indicator for traditional finance’s expanding role in digital assets.

The fund’s combination of competitive fees, strong brand trust, and self-directed uptake highlights opportunities for established institutions in this evolving space. As more advisors incorporate the product, MSBT could build on its foundation to achieve greater scale.

In its first month, Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin Trust has shown steady momentum and stability. This performance now seemingly validates the firm’s strategy of providing accessible, regulated access to Bitcoin for a range of clients seeking exposure in a maturing asset clas.

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What Microsoft’s new research tells CFOs about the ROI of AI



Good morning. In Microsoft’s 2026 Work Trend Index, the tech giant examined who is building the skills and habits needed to succeed in an AI-powered workplace. Several findings should interest CFOs, particularly those trying to determine whether AI spending is translating into measurable business value.

For starters, Microsoft frames AI value as an operating-model issue, not simply a technology-adoption issue. The report finds that organizational factors, including culture, manager support, and talent practices, account for 67% of reported AI impact, compared with 32% attributed to individual mindset and behavior. For CFOs, that suggests AI ROI will depend on whether companies redesign workflows, incentives, and performance metrics around AI-enabled work. And finance chiefs are increasingly at the center of organizational AI strategy.

The research draws on expanded Microsoft 365 telemetry data, a survey of 20,000 AI users across 10 countries, and leadership perspectives from the 14 organizations in the Harvard Frontier Firm cohort.

The productivity findings are also notable. Microsoft reports that 66% of AI users say AI has allowed them to spend more time on high-value work, while 58% say they are producing work they could not have produced a year ago. That positions AI not only as a cost-efficiency lever, but also as a capacity-expansion tool that could reshape how companies allocate labor.

In addition, the report highlights a management challenge. Just 26% of AI users say their leadership is clearly and consistently aligned on AI strategy, and only 13% say they are rewarded for reinventing work with AI even when results are not immediate. That should matter to finance chiefs because misaligned incentives can turn AI investments into underused software rather than productivity gains.

Governance is another relevant theme. Microsoft says the number of active agents in the Microsoft 365 ecosystem grew 15-fold year over year, and 18-fold among large enterprises. As agents take on more, they also generate valuable signals: what worked, what failed, where outcomes drifted, according to the report. CFOs will likely want assurance that, as agents proliferate, companies have strong controls over identities, permissions, policy enforcement, lifecycle management, monitoring, and auditability.

Microsoft highlights productivity gains and organizational change, but there isn’t a focus on tying AI adoption to margin improvement, cost reduction, or payback periods. For CFOs evaluating large AI investments, that gap underscores that measuring AI’s financial impact at scale remains a work in progress.
 
Sheryl Estrada
sheryl.estrada@fortune.com

Leaderboard

Vitor Roque was promoted to EVP and CFO of BD (Becton, Dickinson and Company) (NYSE: BDX), a global medical technology company, effective May 7. Roque has served as interim CFO since December 2025. With more than 25 years at BD, Roque has held senior finance and operations roles across the company, most recently as senior vice president of finance and corporate financial planning and analysis.

Youssef Annali was appointed CFO of ICAT Logistics, a specialized logistics company. Annali brings more than two decades of senior finance leadership across global logistics and supply chain businesses. Annali joins ICAT from OIA Global, where he served as CFO for four years. Before OIA, he spent 11 years at CEVA Logistics, rising to CFO and EVP of finance for North America. Earlier in his career, he served in senior finance roles at Abbott, KPMG, and PricewaterhouseCoopers.

Big Deal

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that the U.S. labor market added 115,000 jobs in April, which beat economist expectations. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.3%. Job gains occurred in health care, transportation and warehousing, and retail trade. However, federal government employment continued to decline.

Meanwhile, the “information sector”—where the BLS counts tech, telecom, data processing, and media jobs—lost another 13,000 jobs in April, while finance shed 11,000, Fortune reported. The monthly average this year has been about 9,000 jobs lost in information, and 12,000 in financial activities. 

Going deeper

In a new episode of Fortune 500: Titans and Disruptors of IndustryFortune’s Editor-in-Chief Alyson Shontell sat down with Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon to learn how he leads and what the next primary device after the smartphone could be. 

Many major smart device manufacturers use Qualcomm’s technology, ranging from physical chips in our phones to the 4G, 5G, and soon, 6G networks that connect them. But in the lightning-fast tech industry, what’s cutting-edge today can become obsolete tomorrow. Amon is prepared to bet the farm to stay ahead. 

Overheard

“The U.S. is currently suffering from a barbell economy, where growth is concentrated in capital-intensive AI at the top and low-wage services at the bottom. The middle, where the bulk of professional women sit, is being hollowed out.”

Katica Roy, the CEO and founder of Denver-based Pipeline, a SaaS company, writes in a Fortune opinion piece titled “America is shorting one of its best assets as the $38 trillion national debt runs out of control.”

Redesigning Your Marketing Organization for the Agentic Age


Organizations that move early will define how marketing operates in the coming era and capture compounding returns.

Chase Business Checking Bonus for Existing Customers: Earn $50 with Zelle


Chase Business Checking Zelle Bonus

🔄️ Update: The offer seems to be available for everyone at this link with promo code HA2276922C9FVY6R. (HT: DoC)

Chase has a new targeted offer for business owners looking to pick up an easy bonus. Eligible customers can earn $50 for using Zelle. The offer was sent out via email but you may also find it in your accounts.

Offer Details

This is a targeted promotion, so you will need to check your email or Chase mobile app to see if you are eligible. Here is the breakdown of how to trigger the $50 bonus:

  • Requirement: Complete 15 or more qualifying Zelle® transactions.
  • Minimum Amount: Each transaction must be for $5.00 or more.
  • Reward: Receive a $50 bonus deposited into your account.
  • Eligible Transactions: These include sending money to vendors, contractors, or other business-related recipients, as well as receiving payments from customers.
  • Timeline: Most targeted versions of this offer require the transactions to be completed within 60 days of receiving the invitation.

Guru’s Wrap-Up

If you are a Chase Business Checking customer, it is worth a quick search in your inbox for “Chase” and “Zelle” to see if you can take advantage of this. An easy $50 for transactions you might already be making is a solid win. Just keep in mind that since this is a targeted offer, it won’t work for everyone. 

Just keep in mind that even if you weren’t officially targeted, a quick message to customer service might be all it takes to get enrolled in this offer.

HT: DoC

How To Invest in ETFs for Beginners (starting with $5,000)



How To Invest in ETFs for Beginners (starting with $5,000)

If you’ve ever had money sitting in a savings account and thought — I should probably be doing something with this — this video is for you.
Maybe you’ve asked yourself: Is $5,000 even enough to start? Do I need more before it’s worth it? What if I invest and the market crashes tomorrow? What if I pick the wrong ETF and lose everything? What if I’m already too late?

If you liked this video and would like to see more videos like this, we would be happy to welcome you as a subscriber. Thank you very much

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Thank you for watching this video:

#etf #investing #etfinvesting

In this channel, John explores a wide variety of money topics. Join the journey and experience the different money and investment aspects. Let’s go 🏁💯

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Mortgage Rates Are Lower Today, But Should They Be?


There was yet another twist in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East today.

Renewed hope of a deal after President Trump said, “Great Progress has been made toward a Complete and Final Agreement with Representatives of Iran.”

That was yesterday afternoon though, and his latest Truth Social post carried a much different tone.

In it, he said, “If they don’t agree [to terms], the bombing starts, and it will be, sadly, at a much higher level and intensity than it was before.”

Simply put, it sounds like hopes of an end to the war are once again super tenuous at best.

As such, the drop in mortgage rates today might not be warranted nor lasting.

Mortgage Rates Drop on Possible End to the War

If you’re wondering why mortgage rates are lower today, it’s because there were new whispers about an end to the war.

Sound familiar? Probably. Because this isn’t the first time it’s happened, only to be a head fake at best.

So what happened this time, Well, the “White House believes it’s getting close to an agreement with Iran,” per a so-called exclusive from Axios.

Of course, in the same exclusive article, they said “it may be hard to forge consensus across the different factions.”

And that “U.S. officials remain skeptical that even an initial deal will be reached.”

In other words, it sounds like more of the same back and forth rhetoric we’ve been hearing for weeks if not months now.

And it’s always flanked by new threats to ratchet things up even higher if a deal isn’t reached.

So for the bond market to rally today on lower oil prices, all tied to a potentially flimsy report seems questionable at best.

Yes, I want resolution like everyone else, but to think we wake up one day and all is agreed to while threats are being hurled seems silly.

So if you’re watching mortgage rates closely, perhaps take today as a gift, but be warned they could easily turn higher again.

Jobs Comes In Hotter Than Expected Too!

The other head-scratcher here is that the ADP jobs report released today came in above expectations.

A total of 109,000 new jobs were created in April, well above the median forecast of 84,000 jobs and nearly double the 61,000 from a month earlier.

In addition, it was the biggest monthly gain for jobs in 15 months, signaling strength in the labor market.

If we assume labor is holding up better than expected and inflation is rising again, in part due to the war in Iran and oil prices, that would put a lot of upward pressure on mortgage rates.

While I’m not totally convinced on the strength of the labor market, another hot jobs report on Friday would surely push mortgage rates higher.

And really any strength there right now coupled with renewed inflation concerns should realistically push mortgage rates higher.

So again, take the win today if you’re locking a mortgage rate, but be super cautious if you’re thinking rates might get better and are floating your rate.

Things can change fast and for me at least, there’s still more upward pressure than downward pressure.

Sure, rates could ease more, but there appears to be more room to run higher than lower right now. And rates are always quick to rise and slow to fall!

Keep going: Use my mortgage rate calculator to quickly compare rates an .125% or .25% apart.

Colin Robertson
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