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5 Holiday Home Staging Ideas


The holiday season is jam-packed with parties, shopping, cooking, gift-giving, and obligations. With all this going on, you might assume that the festive season is the worst time to buy or sell real estate.

However, you may be surprised to learn that the holiday season is actually great for selling your home. Potential buyers are naturally attracted and committed to the process during this time of year. In an especially tight housing market, homebuyers will often kick their home shopping into high gear and take advantage of the reduced competition among other buyers.

Once you’ve decided to sell, you may want to do some reorganizing, cleaning, and home staging to present your place in its very best light. Below are some holiday home staging tips to give your home a festive feel this holiday season.

1. Start with Staging.

Your realtor should be your first stop when staging your home, especially with holiday decor involved. Removing clutter and personal effects is a start, but you also want to consider your furnishings and artwork.

Remove extra furniture to storage (don’t keep it in your garage—buyers will see it there and wonder why it’s not inside the house). And maintain clear sight lines and pathways to add an open, airy feeling to your holiday home.

2. Decorate with Restraint.

Having white lights, Christmas tree decorations, or a menorah on display is fine, but try not to let holiday home decor dominate the entire room. Small, tasteful decorations sprinkled throughout the house give the homebuyer a taste of the holiday spirit and let them envision what they could do with the space during the holiday season. 

Nowadays, many sellers are also interested in virtual showings, which means virtual staging. With that in mind, you need to think about how your holiday decor will be photographed and presented on a virtual video walk-through. What can draw attention in a positive way in person may draw attention in a negative way online, particularly when your rooms are condensed to the size of a smartphone screen.

3. Create a Cozy Environment.

Accentuating your home with subtle touches that create a holiday atmosphere works wonders. 

Add a bowl of cinnamon-scented pine cones in the center of your dining room table. Hang a wreath over the fireplace in the living room or on the front door for a sense of warmth. Christmas decorations are taken to the next level when they involve more than one sense, so bring smell into your home decor by sprinkling in fresh evergreens when possible.

4. Harmonize Your Color Palette.

Be sure your holiday decor complements your current home. Christmas decorations should make the rooms feel festive but never eccentric.

One way to complement your current home decor is to work within the existing color scheme. If your living room is painted a beautiful blue, perhaps skip the red garland and go with a more “winter wonderland” feel with silver bells and snowflakes.

If your dining room is neutral-colored, going with some cranberry garland or earth-toned trimmings will work nicely. Your Christmas decorations don’t have to be the same color as the room, but they should pair nicely with the already existing color scheme.

5. Don’t Forget the Outdoor Decor.

Keep away from large blow-up displays or lights that pulse to the beat of “Jingle Bells.” Stick with simple colored or white holiday lights and a small display on your porch. This brings the curb appeal your buyers are looking for as they browse listings and drive around looking at homes during the holidays. Plus, it’s the first thing they’ll see. 

Remember, you want to make a great first impression, whether you’re selling your home during the winter months or at any time of year.

Ready to Attract Holiday Buyers?

Selling during the holidays can be one of the smartest moves you make all year, especially with the right strategy. Programs like APM’s Seller PreLock can help your listing stand out by offering buyers something they truly value: a lower, locked-in interest rate before they even make an offer.

It’s a simple way to make your home more appealing without lowering your price. Connect with your local APM Loan Advisor to learn how the Seller PreLock program can help you sell faster and with confidence this holiday season. Find your local APM Loan Advisor today.



Alaska Airlines Adds 7 New Routes from Anchorage and Portland


Alaska Airlines Adds 7 New Routes from Anchorage and Portland

Beginning in spring next year, Alaska Airlines will fly three additional routes from Anchorage to Boise, Boston and Spokane, and four additional routes from Portland to Bellingham, Everett/Paine Field and Pasco in Washington state, and Jackson Hole in Wyoming. Tickets for the newly added routes are available for purchase now at alaskaair.com.

Flights between Anchorage and Boise, Boston and Spokane begin in mid-June for service through mid-August – just in time for summertime adventures in the Land of the Midnight Sun, when the days are long and the air is warm.

New flights begin as early as mid-March with all-new daily, year-round service between Portland and Bellingham, Washington. In mid-June, Alaska will start flying twice daily between Portland and Pasco, Washington. The flights will be offered year-round. They will resume daily, year-round flights on June 10 between Portland and Everett, Washington, home of Paine Field Airport – the Seattle region’s second airport. For a long summer stretch, Alaska will fly nonstop between Portland and Jackson Hole, Wyoming, twice a week starting June 10.

New routes from Anchorage and Portland

City Pair

Start Date

End Date

Frequency

Aircraft

Anchorage – Boise, ID

June 10, 2026

Aug. 15, 2026 

Wed/Sat

737

Anchorage – Boston, MA

June 13, 2026

Aug. 15, 2026 

Saturday

737

Anchorage – Spokane, WA

June 10, 2026

Aug. 15, 2026 

Wed/Sat

E175

Portland – Bellingham, WA

March 18, 2026

Year-round

Daily

E175

Portland – Everett, WA

June 10, 2026

Year-round

Daily

E175

Portland – Jackson Hole, WY

June 10, 2026

Sept. 30, 2026

Wed/Sat

E175

Portland – Pasco, WA

June 10, 2026

Year-round

2x Daily

E175

Thread Bank’s $30.5M funding round to support innovation, efficiency, CEO says


Thread Bank has raised $30.5 million in a funding round to support the digital bank’s growth.  “This additional funding will enable Thread to continue to scale, grow new and existing partnerships, and continue to be a leader in the embedded banking market,” Thread Chief Executive Chris Black told FinAi News. “Underpinning each of these objectives is a requirement for innovation, efficiency and transparency.”  “Thread’s usage of AI — and that of the […]



Recent Weak Job Figures May Mask an Even Worse Employment Outlook



Hiring data for October and November show the nation’s labor market continues to sputter, raising concerns that the employment outlook may be weaker than it seems.

The Insurance Mistake That Costs Investors Thousands


This article is presented by NREIG.

Most real estate investors insure their properties based on what they think the home is worth. After all, if the market says your rental is worth $320,000, shouldn’t your insurance policy match that number?

Unfortunately, market value and rebuild value have almost nothing to do with each other. One reflects what a buyer might pay. The other reflects what it would cost to reconstruct your property after a total loss. When those numbers don’t match your insurance coverage—and they usually don’t—you’re either exposed to major out-of-pocket costs or wasting money on bloated premiums.

This misunderstanding is so widespread that investor-focused insurance partners like NREIG see it constantly when reviewing new clients’ portfolios. Most investors are underinsured because no one ever explained how these values actually work.

Here’s a clear breakdown of why market value and rebuild value differ, what insurers really look at when setting your coverage amount, and how to make sure your rental is properly protected. The goal is to help you avoid one of the most expensive, preventable mistakes investors make.

Market Value Explained

When investors talk about what a property is “worth,” they’re almost always referring to market value. It’s the number that shows up on Zillow, in your appraisal report, or in neighborhood comps. Market value only tells you what a buyer is willing to pay, not what it would cost to rebuild the structure. 

Market value fluctuates constantly because it’s tied to dynamic, often emotional forces. A few of the biggest drivers include:

  • Location: Proximity to good schools, jobs, amenities, and low-crime neighborhoods boosts your market price—even if the structure itself is nothing special.
  • Supply and demand: Hot markets can send prices soaring. When demand slows, prices slide, even though construction costs may not change.
  • Comparable sales: What similar homes have sold for recently helps determine today’s price, even if their materials or construction costs differ from yours.
  • Property size and features: Upgraded kitchens, finished basements, and added square footage raise market value, but they don’t necessarily raise rebuild cost in proportion.
  • Land value: Market value includes the land, which doesn’t burn down, blow away, or get rebuilt.

Market value vs. assessed and appraised value

This is another common point of confusion:

  • Assessed value is for taxes.
  • Appraised value is for lenders.
  • Market value is what a buyer will pay today.

These numbers rarely match each other, and none of them determine the correct insurance coverage amount.

Why market value is usually higher than rebuild value

In most cases, demand for the neighborhood, scarcity of homes, or land appreciation push the market value higher than the cost of construction. But in some areas, especially where labor or material costs are high, the opposite can happen.

Either way, market value isn’t the number you insure.

Rebuild Value Explained

If market value is about what a buyer will pay, rebuild value is about what a contractor will charge. And those numbers often live in completely different universes.

Rebuild value represents the full cost to reconstruct your property from the ground up after a total loss, including labor, materials, debris removal, and compliance with today’s building codes.

Reconstruction isn’t as simple as multiplying your square footage by a quick estimate. Carriers factor in highly specific, hyperlocal variables, including:

  • Demolition and debris removal: Before you can rebuild, you must clear what’s left. After fires, storms, or structural collapse, demolition alone can run tens of thousands of dollars.
  • Labor and material costs: Unlike mass-produced new builds, reconstruction is often a one-off project. Custom labor, material shortages, and local contractor rates push costs up.
  • Inflation: Lumber, roofing, drywall, and electrical components have all seen dramatic pricing swings over the past few years. Insurers track these shifts constantly.
  • Code upgrades: Even if your property was grandfathered in under older codes, a rebuild must follow current standards. That often means adding cost for electrical, plumbing, insulation, or structural improvements.
  • Catastrophe surge pricing: After major storms, wildfires, or tornadoes, labor and material costs spike because everyone is rebuilding at once.

Rebuild value doesn’t include land, dirt, or the lot itself. None of this is factored into rebuild value, because land doesn’t get rebuilt.

This is why insuring a property for its market value almost always leads to mismatched coverage.

When rebuild value is higher than market value

While market value is usually higher, certain markets flip the script, especially in:

  • Rural areas with low demand but high construction costs
  • Older neighborhoods require extensive code upgrades
  • Regions with significant labor shortages

In these cases, a property might sell for $180,000 but cost $250,000 to rebuild, leaving massively underinsured investors shocked after a total loss.

When insurers determine how much coverage your rental property needs, they ask: “If this home burned to the ground tomorrow, what would it cost us to rebuild it?”

That is why carriers base coverage on rebuild value, not market value. Your policy is designed to restore the physical structure, not reimburse you for the neighborhood, land, or the market premiums buyers are willing to pay.

The risks of getting the coverage amount wrong

When your insured value doesn’t match the true rebuild cost, you face two major problems:

1. Underinsuring: If your coverage is too low, you’re responsible for the difference during a total loss. Investors are often stunned when a $50,000 gap becomes their problem—not the carrier’s.

2. Overinsuring: If you insure for too much, you’re paying higher premiums for coverage you can never use. Remember, insurance will not typically pay more than the rebuild cost.

Insurers use reconstruction cost estimators that factor in:

  • Local labor rates
  • Material pricing down to the component level
  • Square footage and property layout
  • Construction type and quality
  • Roofing and siding materials
  • Regional cost multipliers

This data is updated frequently, especially in volatile material markets.

Why accuracy matters at claim time

When a major loss hits, the policy amount becomes the limit that determines how quickly and completely your property can be rebuilt. If the coverage is correct, your carrier handles the reconstruction without major financial strain on you. If it’s wrong, you’re writing large checks.

How Investors Can Maintain Proper Coverage

Understanding market value versus rebuild value is the first step. The second, and the one most investors overlook, is making sure your insurance coverage stays accurate over time.

Properties change, materials age, renovations add value, and labor and material costs shift. That means your policy needs regular attention if you want it to perform the way you expect during a claim.

Here are the essential practices every investor should build into their annual rhythm.

Review your policy every year

Insurance isn’t a “set it and forget it” expense. A quick annual review helps ensure:

  • Your coverage amount still matches current rebuild costs.
  • Inflation hasn’t pushed construction pricing beyond your limits.
  • Any recent claims, improvements, or occupancy changes are reflected.

A 15-minute check-in each year can prevent massive coverage gaps.

Report renovations, upgrades, and additions

Upgrades like a new roof, updated plumbing, finishing a basement, or converting a garage directly affect rebuild value. If you don’t report them:

  • You may be underinsured.
  • You risk a reduced payout.
  • In some cases, claims might be partially denied because the policy doesn’t match current conditions.

Insurers need accurate details to calculate accurate coverage.

Verify construction details for accuracy

Rebuild calculations are only as good as the data behind them. Common investor mistakes include:

  • Wrong square footage on file
  • Incorrect construction type (e.g., frame vs. masonry)
  • Outdated roof age
  • Missing upgrades that reduce risk (like electrical or plumbing replacements)

A quick review of your declarations page can help ensure everything matches reality.

Consider inflation guard or extended replacement cost

These policy features automatically increase your coverage annually to keep pace with rising construction costs, especially valuable in times of volatile material pricing.

Even with these features, though, it’s important to verify the base rebuild calculation is correct.

Where Most Policies Fall Short (and How NREIG Fixes It)

Most investors juggle acquisitions, turnovers, leasing, maintenance, bookkeeping, and financing. Insurance renewals feel like just another task—until a claim happens. Being proactive now is far easier (and much cheaper) than trying to fix coverage gaps after a loss.

A reality most investors learn too late is that many insurance policies are built on incomplete or outdated property details. That’s where gaps appear, which are exactly what cause denied claims, delayed rebuilds, and large out-of-pocket expenses.

Investor portfolios are especially vulnerable because properties vary widely in age, construction type, condition, and renovation history. Most traditional insurers aren’t built to track these nuances, and they certainly aren’t designed to manage rapid changes across multiple rentals.

When investors come to NREIG for a policy review, the same issues consistently show up:

  • Incorrect rebuild valuations: Policies are often based on old estimates or generic cost calculators that don’t reflect the property’s actual materials or systems.
  • Missed upgrades: New roofs, replaced HVAC systems, updated electrical panels, or finished basements never make it into the carrier’s file, leaving the home underinsured.
  • Missing ordinance or law coverage: If a rebuild triggers required code upgrades, some policies don’t cover the added cost.
  • Outdated details: Incorrect square footage, wrong construction type, or unlisted features can throw the entire valuation off.

Traditional insurers typically aren’t equipped to catch these details proactivelybut investor-focused insurers are. NREIG works exclusively with real estate investors, which means their entire process is designed to eliminate the coverage gaps that cause problems for landlords.

Here’s what makes the difference:

  • Accurate, investor-focused underwriting: Their team evaluates rebuild value using detailed property characteristics, not generic templates.
  • Portfolio-level consistency: Whether you own one rental or 40, NREIG standardizes your coverage so you aren’t juggling mismatched deductibles, endorsements, or valuation methods.
  • Proactive guidance: NREIG flags missing updates, valuation discrepancies, and potential coverage gaps before they become claim-time surprises.
  • Coverage designed for investors: From rebuild alignment to loss-of-rents protection to code-upgrade coverage, policies reflect actual investor risk, not assumptions.

Most investors don’t have the time (or desire) to micromanage insurance details. But without accurate rebuild values and investor-specific protections, your portfolio is exposed. NREIG fills that gap by making sure your coverage reflects reality, and stays that way as your properties evolve.

Make Sure Your Coverage Matches Reality

If there’s one takeaway here, it’s that your insurance policy is only as good as the rebuild value behind it. If that number is wrong, everything built on top of it—your premiums, coverage limits, claim expectations—falls apart.

Too many investors only discover the gap after a fire, storm, or major loss. By then, the missing tens of thousands come directly out of their pocket.

You don’t have to take that risk. NREIG specializes in helping real estate investors verify rebuild values, identify coverage gaps, and align policies with the way rental properties actually operate. Whether you own a single-family rental or a multistate portfolio, their team can help you:

  • Validate the accuracy of your current rebuild valuations.
  • Identify underinsured or overinsured properties.
  • Standardize deductibles, endorsements, and protections.
  • Ensure code upgrades, loss-of-rents, and liability coverage match your strategy.

Your next step is simple: Get a quick coverage review from NREIG. It’s fast, investor-friendly, and often uncovers issues that would otherwise stay hidden until a claim. 

You’ve worked too hard to build your portfolio to let an avoidable insurance mistake jeopardize it. Protect your investments with coverage that’s aligned to real-world rebuild costs, not guesswork.

How to Build an AI-Enabled Team in Your Practice or Business



We’ve been hearing about AI everywhere lately, right? News headlines, podcasts, social media. Even at the dinner table with friends who suddenly have opinions on ChatGPT.

But here’s what most people don’t talk about… The biggest shift won’t come from the biggest picture. It’s going to come from how we use AI for the little things, the daily stuff that adds up. Inbox management. Documentation. Summarizing notes. The “invisible” tasks that quietly steal hours of our week.

The businesses that are winning right now? They’re not doing anything wild. They’re just building smarter workflows and showing their teams how to use AI in practical ways that actually stick. And it’s not about doing more and adding hours. On the contrary, it’s about doing a bit better, with a little help from technology that doesn’t sleep, take breaks, or forget where it saved that file.

Now, how do you actually do this in your business or practice… without overwhelming your team or blowing everything up? Let’s talk about it!


Disclaimer: While these are general suggestions, it’s important to conduct thorough research and due diligence when selecting AI tools. We do not endorse or promote any specific AI tools mentioned here. This article is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended to provide legal, financial, or clinical advice. Always comply with HIPAA and institutional policies. For any decisions that impact patient care or finances, consult a qualified professional.

What AI Should Do vs. What Humans Must Do

When you’re building an AI-enabled team, the first step isn’t to pick your AI, then go change this and that. It’s to get crystal clear on what tasks belong to the machines, and what decisions require a real person behind them.

Here’s the breakdown.

AI is great at repetition, summarizing, moving quickly, and staying consistent. Think notes, templates, scheduling, and pulling patterns from data. That’s its sweet spot.

But for judgment, ethics, emotional nuance, or empathy? That’s where people come in. That’s where leadership, responsibility, and the human touch are essential.

When teams try to replace people entirely, they actually become more fragile. A tool fails, a system breaks, and suddenly everything grinds to a halt. But when you augment people with the right kind of AI support, you build resilience. Things get smoother, not shakier.

Even better? This mindset alone can lower team resistance. Instead of fearing being replaced, your staff starts to see AI as a tool that helps them do what they already do, just faster and with less burnout.

So as we start, know that you don’t need to overhaul everything. Just shift the lens. Focus AI on what can scale and leave the core decisions to your people.

How to Design Workflows That Actually Benefit From AI

AI only works if the workflow works.

Trying to add AI to a messy, chaotic process is like trying to pour water into a leaky cup. No matter how powerful the tool, if the system around it is broken, the results will be too.

So where do you start? Look for your high-leverage workflows. These are the spots where time gets wasted, errors creep in, or people feel stretched too thin.

In usual cases, this often includes:

  • Documentation and charting
  • Inbox management
  • Patient education and follow-up
  • Meeting notes or knowledge summaries
  • Internal communication or handoffs

Now here’s the important part: distinguish between automation and optimization.

Automation means a task gets done without a person involved. Optimization means AI makes it faster, cleaner, or easier, but a human still reviews or finalizes it. Most teams need both, but the trick is knowing which one fits where.

And you don’t need to touch everything. In fact, fewer AI touchpoints are often better. If you try to AI-ify your entire business in one go, it creates friction and confusion. But if you pick one or two workflows and get them right, it builds momentum fast.

Suddenly, the question isn’t “Should we use AI?” but “Where else can this help us?”

How to Make Sure AI is Safe to Use in the Workplace

AI is powerful. And like any powerful tool, it can do serious damage if used without care. That’s why the most successful teams are the ones that focus not just on what AI can do, but what it shouldn’t do. We don’t want any lawsuits coming right?

This is where trust is built. Not by giving AI total freedom, but by setting boundaries your whole team can understand and feel good about.

Start with some key principles:

  • Document your workflows so everyone knows when and how AI is used
  • Create clear rules about what AI can generate or suggest
  • Make sure every decision still has a human reviewing and approving
  • Build in checkpoints so that mistakes get caught early
  • Respect patient and data privacy every step of the way

This is called human-in-the-loop design. You’re not removing people from the process. You’re keeping them at the center, with AI acting as the assistant, not the boss.

And when done right, this actually lowers your risk, legally, ethically, and reputationally. The boundaries create freedom, not restriction. Teams feel safer using the tools when they know the limits.

How to Train Your Team in AI Literacy Without Overwhelm

Not everyone on your team needs to be an AI expert. But everyone should understand how to use AI responsibly.

The value here is empowerment. Not speed, not flash, just good, solid judgment.

So what do people need to know?

  • When to use AI (and when not to)
  • How to spot poor-quality output
  • When to escalate something to a human
  • How to give feedback or flag issues
  • What success looks like for the task at hand

If you try to train everyone in every possible tool, you’ll lose them. Keep it focused. Train based on workflows, not software. Teach by doing. And make sure people feel comfortable asking questions without fear of looking “dumb.”

Also, treat training as a continuous process. AI is evolving quickly. What works today might be different next quarter. Short learning loops work better than giant one-time sessions. Think micro-trainings, quick updates, and feedback-based refinement.

The goal isn’t to make everyone a tech genius. It’s to build a team that knows how to use tools with confidence and knows what to do when something feels off.

Your Role as a Leader in an AI-Enabled Organization

If you thought you’re off the hook now that there’s AI in your team, well… sorry to say, but it doesn’t take pressure off leaders. It actually raises the bar.

Why? Because when systems become more efficient, leadership becomes the anchor that keeps everything aligned.

You, as the physician or business owner, still have the most important job: setting the tone, protecting trust, and showing others how to use these tools with integrity.

In a well-run organization, the leader is the one who:

  • Sets the vision for how AI should support the mission
  • Models good usage, especially in high-stakes moments
  • Encourages smart experimentation while keeping things stable
  • Holds the ethical line and reassures the team
  • Plans for sustainability rather than chasing novelty

Leadership isn’t about knowing all the answers. It’s about creating an environment where your team feels safe, clear, and confident enough to explore.

And the truth is, most organizations are looking for this exact type of leadership right now. Calm, clear, and willing to evolve without panicking.

This is something you can lead. It’s not something that’s happening to you.


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Final Thoughts

If you’re leading a business or running a practice, it’s easy to feel pressure to adopt every new technology that comes along. AI is no exception.

But here’s what matters most. AI is just a tool. A powerful one, yes. One that can absolutely help your team move faster, stay more organized, and reduce the mental load. But it’s still a tool.

The real value in your business doesn’t come from automation. It comes from the people. From your leadership. From the trust you build with your patients, your staff, and your community.

The goal is not to become more efficient at the expense of connection. The goal is to remove the friction and noise so you and your team can show up more fully where it counts.

So as you think about where to start with AI, stay grounded in what makes your business special. Use the tools to support your mission, not replace the heart of it.

Start small. Keep it simple. Focus on making things a little smoother, a little less overwhelming, and a lot more human.

You’re already doing more than you think. And this next step? You’ve got it.

Download The Physician’s Starter Guide to AI – a free, easy-to-digest resource that walks you through smart ways to integrate tools like ChatGPT into your professional and personal life. Whether you’re AI-curious or already experimenting, this guide will save you time, stress, and maybe even a little sanity.

Want more tips to sharpen your AI skills? Subscribe to our newsletter for exclusive insights and practical advice. You’ll also get access to our free AI resource page, packed with AI tools and tutorials to help you have more in life outside of medicine. Let’s make life easier, one prompt at a time. Make it happen!

Disclaimer: The information provided here is based on available public data and may not be entirely accurate or up-to-date. It’s recommended to contact the respective companies/individuals for detailed information on features, pricing, and availability. All screenshots are used under the principles of fair use for editorial, educational, or commentary purposes. All trademarks and copyrights belong to their respective owners.

If you want more content like this, make sure you subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on the latest trends for AI, tech, and so much more.

Further Reading



Prediction: Bitcoin Will Be Worth $250,000 in 5 Years


Bitcoin’s rate of growth may be slowing, but it’s still on track to hit $250,000 by 2030.

With Bitcoin (BTC +0.30%) down 7% in 2025, it’s no surprise that investors and analysts are starting to ratchet down their price targets for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

It’s a stunning turn of events for Bitcoin, which many were expecting to double in value this year, fueled by all the pro-crypto euphoria of the new Trump administration.

So, where will Bitcoin be in five years? I predict that Bitcoin will reach a price of $250,000 by then, and here’s why.

Bitcoin’s path to $250,000

On the surface, a price tag of $250,000 might sound overly aggressive. Given Bitcoin’s current price of $87,000, it assumes a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of roughly 25% for the next five years. That type of sustained growth by any asset is unlikely, to say the least.

Image source: Getty Images.

However, Bitcoin is not your typical asset. In the time period from 2017 to November 2025, Bitcoin actually grew at a CAGR of 44%. During that time period, Bitcoin was the top-performing asset in the world, routinely turning in triple-digit performances.

Heading into 2025, Bitcoin was coming off back-to-back triple-digit performances. In 2023, Bitcoin soared by 157%. In 2024, Bitcoin increased in value by another 125%. So it’s easy to see why many expected Bitcoin to once again double in price in 2025.

What happened to Bitcoin’s $1 million price tag?

Several Wall Street investors and high-profile figures said earlier this year that the price of Bitcoin should reach $1 million by 2030. They used a base price of $100,000 and assumed that Bitcoin was destined to grow at its long-term CAGR of nearly 50%.

Bitcoin Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(0.30%) $256.30

Current Price

$86888.00

Given that Bitcoin had been growing at an exponential rate over the past decade, this didn’t seem like a notable stretch. Just as Bitcoin quickly grew from $1,000 to $10,000, and then from $10,000 to $100,000, it only seemed to be a matter of time before Bitcoin rose from $100,000 to $1 million.

But as they always say in the investment world: Past performance is no guarantee of future performance. That’s also the case with Bitcoin. You can’t assume that it will grow at an annual rate of 50% in perpetuity.

The Bitcoin four-year cycle

Moreover, there’s the pesky little matter of the Bitcoin four-year cycle. Simply put, Bitcoin tends to follow a boom-and-bust cycle that lasts approximately four years.

That’s not a statistical aberration, either. Bitcoin has a halving event every four years, and it is precisely this event that seems to kick off the bullish phase of the cycle. After the halving, Bitcoin tends to skyrocket in value for a period of anywhere from 12 to 18 months.

Given that the previous Bitcoin halving took place in April 2024, it’s understandable that Bitcoin is experiencing a moment of turbulence right now. It’s now been more than 18 months since the halving, and Bitcoin might finally be entering the “bust” phase of its four-year cycle.

In the past, Bitcoin has suffered massive drawdowns of 75% or higher during the “bust” phase of the four-year cycle. If that’s the case now, then Bitcoin will need to grow at a higher CAGR to make up for the losses.

Let’s say Bitcoin drops all the way back to $69,000, which was the all-time high from the previous four-year cycle. It would then need to grow at a CAGR of 30% from now on.

But that’s perfectly OK. That’s approximately the CAGR of Ethereum (ETH +3.14%) during the period of 2017 to 2025. At a time when Bitcoin was growing at a CAGR of 44%, Ethereum was growing at a CAGR of 28%.

Bitcoin: $0, $250K, or $1 million?

From my perspective, there are three possible outcomes for Bitcoin over the next five years.

In one scenario, Bitcoin hits a price of $1 million, as some crypto bulls expected earlier this year. That’s the bullish scenario.

In another possible path, Bitcoin hits a price of $250,000. That’s my new base-case analysis — a reasonable middle ground between game-changing gains and total disaster.

The other outcome? It’s almost too terrible to contemplate. It’s the ultra-bearish outcome, in which Bitcoin falls all the way to zero. If that happens, it would be Dutch Tulip Mania all over again. Instead of hoarding worthless tulips, are investors now hoarding worthless digital bits?

Obviously, I’m predicting that Bitcoin will hit $250,000, so I don’t put too much credence in this ultra-bearish scenario. However, I also expect the Bitcoin four-year cycle to repeat, just as it has for the past decade.

That’s why I’m keeping my focus on the long term and not worrying about short-term price fluctuations. As long as Bitcoin can continue to grow like a high-upside tech stock, it should have no problem hitting the $250,000 price level in five years.

Managing A Pending IRS Installment Agreement When Applying For A Mortgage


Sometimes, a borrower may owe back taxes to the IRS; having an IRS installment agreement (or one that’s still pending approval) doesn’t automatically disqualify you from getting a mortgage. However, it does require specific underwriting calculations that we must apply to ensure accurate debt-to-income (DTI) ratios.

Here’s How It Works

When a borrower has applied for an IRS installment agreement that is still pending approval, we must follow a defined approach to determine the qualifying payment.

The following documentation and calculations are required:

  1. Provide a copy of the installment agreement application – This application must clearly show both the total amount of taxes owed and the requested monthly payment terms.
  2. Use the greater of two numbers in the DTI ratio
  • The requested monthly payment amount, or
  • The amount of taxes owed is divided by 72 months (a standard 6-year term used for qualification purposes).

By including the higher of the two amounts in the borrower’s debt-to-income ratio, we ensure the loan is underwritten responsibly, even before the IRS finalizes the repayment plan.

This calculation protects both the borrower and the lender. It ensures that future tax obligations are realistically accounted for in your financial profile, helping you avoid surprises later.

Our team specializes in navigating these unique underwriting scenarios. Contact our office for more information about our mortgage programs and guidelines.

 

 

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