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Limited Time Venture X Business Offer: Up to 300K Miles + $1,000 Travel Credit


Limited Time Venture X Business Offer

Capital One Business has launched a limited time offer for new cardholders, with an advertised value of up to $4,300 in travel value across bonus miles and credits through Capital One Business Travel.

Beginning October 20, 2026, eligible new Venture X Business cardholders can earn:

  • 150,000 miles after spending $40,000 in the first four months

  • An additional 150,000 miles and $1,000 Capital One Business Travel credit after spending $120,000 in the first four months

  • $395 annual fee
  • OFFER LINK

Together, that’s up to 300,000 miles total, and with an additional $1,000 Capital One Business Travel credit for spending $120,000 in the first four months in addition to an annual $300 credit for bookings through Capital One Business Travel.

Additionally, cardholders can receive their fourth night free at select Premier and Lifestyle Collection hotels when they book a stay of at least four nights through Capital One Business Travel, a complimentary travel booking platform designed specifically for business owners.

About the Card

Venture X Business is designed for business owners who want premium travel benefits paired with straightforward rewards. In addition to the limited time offer, Venture X Business features for primary cardholders include:

  • Unlimited 2X miles on every purchase, everywhere
  • 10X miles on hotels and rental cars booked through Capital One Business Travel
  • 5X miles on flights and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Business Travel
  • Receive a fourth night free at select Premier and Lifestyle Collection hotels when booking an eligible stay of four nights or more through Capital One Business Travel
  • A $300 annual travel credit
  • A 10,000-mile anniversary bonus
  • Complimentary access to Capital One Lounges and Capital One Landings
  • No preset spending limit, providing purchasing power that adapts to business needs
  • $395 annual fee

Cardholders also have access to Capital One Business Travel, an all-in-one digital travel portal which enables businesses to track travel spend, manage expenses and policies, while accessing preferred rates and 24/7 dedicated travel support.

Mortgage Rates Move Lower Thanks to Record Low Pending Home Sales


Mortgage rates are a little better today, but it might not be worth celebrating.

The reason isn’t great, as it typically isn’t.

This time it’s pending home sales, which just hit a fresh record low going all the way back to 2001.

That pushed bond yields lower on the day, which will translate to slightly lower mortgage rates as well.

In other words, the soft housing market is somewhat ironically leading to lower mortgage rates, which is arguably soft to begin with because mortgage rates are so high.

Pending Home Sales Just Hit a New Record Low

Pending home sales, which are contract signings on existing homes that haven’t closed yet, fell 7.3% in September to their lowest level on record per the National Association of Realtors (NAR).

The data goes back 25 years to 2001 so this is the worst sales environment we’ve seen this century.

Home sales were only forecast to fall about 0.4% on the month, meaning the report was much, much worse than expected.

They were also down 11.3% from a year ago, which makes sense because back then mortgage rates were more than a full percentage point lower.

As expected, the folks at NAR blamed the quick run-up in mortgage rates, and it’s hard to argue with them this time.

A year ago, the 30-year fixed was averaging around 6.25%. Now it’s closer to 7.50%.

Affordability was already bad before rates rose, and this latest move might be the straw that broke the camel’s back.

Is Bad Housing News Good News for Mortgage Rates?

Strangely, it can be, at least for today.

Like other weak economic data, cooler-than-expected housing data can help push mortgage rates lower.

Though it’s important to point out that this doesn’t exist in a vacuum, nor is the movement sizable by any stretch.

Ultimately, bond yields are only a few ticks lower today, so mortgage rates might just fall a few basis points as well.

Weak economic data helps take pressure off bond yields because it means inflation concerns ease, which are an enemy of bonds.

If you get enough weak data, it makes the Fed less likely to keep hiking, which can also help bond yields move lower (or at least not keep going up!).

And as we all know, when bond yields go down, mortgage rates usually follow.

The 10-year yield is currently down about 3 basis points to roughly 5.10%, thanks to both pending home sales and a weaker-than-expected September housing starts report.

It’s not massive, but it does ease the pressure and ensure rates don’t start rising again after enjoying a nice, lower week thanks to the AI-selloff.

[Compare mortgage rates and monthly payments side by side with my mortgage rate calculator.]

Not a Great Way to Achieve Lower Mortgage Rates

Unfortunately, mortgage rates tend to like “bad news.”

It’s why they drop when unemployment rises, or jobless claims increase, or in today’s case, when housing activity sputters.

But if you want mortgage rates to go down, a collapsing housing market probably isn’t how you want to get there.

At least if you’re a lender, real estate agent, home seller, or another industry participant.

Conversely, those looking to buy a home might be winning twice here.

Fewer buyers could mean sellers will likely need to get a little more flexible on price, which would be a double benefit.

A lower mortgage rate and a lower sales price.

But with rates already hovering at near-term highs, it’s probably awash for a lot of would-be buyers.

And sellers might have little interest listing their properties in the current sales environment, which reduces supply and keeps pressure on prices.

So it’s not a massive win for anybody really, but it is yet another way to keep mortgage rates from going any higher, for now.

Colin Robertson
Latest posts by Colin Robertson (see all)

ESPN Producer Quit After 24 Years Over Sports Betting. The Fallout Could Get Worse



The network is increasingly under fire for its frequent promotion of gambling.

Social Security benefits could be cut 22% in 2032—and one fix would mean a 40% payroll tax hike



Millions of Americans are getting a raise from Social Security next year. But the bigger story may be what happens a few years later, when the program’s main trust fund is projected to run dry.

The Social Security Administration (SSA) announced a 3.6% cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) for 2027 on Oct. 14, raising monthly payments as the program faces a long-term funding shortfall that could trigger automatic benefit cuts in the early 2030s.

The adjustment, which takes effect in January 2027 for nearly 72 million Social Security beneficiaries, will raise the average retirement benefit by about $75 a month, to an estimated $2,170 from $2,095, according to the SSA’s 2027 COLA fact sheet. Higher payments for about 7.3 million people receiving Supplemental Security Income (SSI) will begin on Dec. 31, 2026. Some people receive both types of benefits; in all, the agency says the increase will reach 76 million Americans.

COLAs are designed to help Social Security and SSI payments keep pace with inflation. The adjustment is based on changes in the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W), as measured by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Still, some retirees and advocates say this year’s bump isn’t enough to cover rising costs.

When Social Security’s trust funds are projected to run out

The increase comes as the program faces mounting financial pressure. According to the 2026 Social Security trustees report, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund, which pays retirement and survivors benefits, is projected to run out of reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032.

At that point, incoming revenue would cover an estimated 78% of scheduled benefits—effectively a 22% cut—with that share projected to decline to 62% by 2100 if lawmakers don’t change the program’s financing.

The combined Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance (OASDI) trust funds are projected to be depleted in the third quarter of 2034. At that point, incoming revenue would cover 83% of scheduled benefits, a share projected to decline to 65% by 2100.

Trust fund depletion would not mean Social Security stops collecting payroll taxes or paying benefits. Instead, without additional revenue or legislative changes, the program would only be able to pay the share of scheduled benefits that its incoming revenue covers. Budget watchdogs have warned that the program is on a “collision course toward insolvency.”

Social Security commissioner says the program will last another 90 years

Social Security Commissioner Frank Bisignano, who also serves as CEO of the IRS, said the program would continue for decades despite its funding challenges.

“This is a long journey. It’s 90 years old, and it’ll be around for another 90 years. The president has promised to protect and preserve and that’s what we’re doing,” Bisignano said in an Oct. 12 interview with CNBC’s “Squawk Box” ahead of the COLA announcement.

Bisignano, a former Wall Street CEO who has been overhauling how the agency operates, also said SSA was working to fix erroneous records. “When you have 30 million records that are wrong, [the job] is fix the place,” he said, adding that the agency had cleaned up about 10% of them, according to Fox.

He declined to discuss potential changes to benefits or the taxes that finance the program.

The trustees’ projections underscore the challenge facing policymakers: without congressional action, the program’s incoming revenue won’t be enough to cover all scheduled benefits once its reserves are depleted.

How Social Security benefit cuts could be avoided

Congress could close the funding shortfall through higher revenue, benefit changes, or a combination of reforms. The trustees’ report does not prescribe a specific solution.

One option would be to raise payroll taxes. Social Security is primarily financed through a 12.4% payroll tax on covered earnings, split equally between workers and employers at 6.2% each, up to an annual cap. That taxable maximum will rise to $192,300 in 2027 from $184,500 in 2026, according to the SSA.

An analysis by Advancing American Freedom, a conservative advocacy group, estimates that maintaining scheduled benefits through higher payroll taxes alone would require a combined rate of 17.3% in 2034—a roughly 40% increase from the current 12.4%. Acting sooner would cost less: Raising the rate immediately to 16.65%, a 34% increase, would prevent any benefit reductions, according to the group.

The organization also estimates Social Security faces a $29.3 trillion long-term funding shortfall, or about $215,000 per household.

“Social Security’s $29.3 trillion shortfall ($215,000 per household) won’t fix itself,” said Rachel Greszler, a senior research fellow at Advancing American Freedom. “Lawmakers can either allow automatic 22% benefit cuts in 2032 or enact gradual, targeted reforms now to protect lower- and middle-income retirees, strengthen the economy, and demonstrate fiscal fortitude before markets force abrupt action.”

The estimates illustrate the trade-offs lawmakers face as they weigh how to shore up the program’s finances while ensuring future retirees continue to receive benefits—a debate that’s growing more urgent as the national debt climbs past $40 trillion.

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New Bill Would Pay College Tuition For Children Of 20-Year Teachers, Police, And Firefighters


Key Points

  • The Public Service Educational Assistance Act would cover tuition, fees, and books for up to four years at public colleges for dependents of public servants with 20 years of full-time service.
  • Teachers, police officers, firefighters, EMTs, and social workers would qualify, and dependents must be under 26 and attend school where they get in-state tuition.
  • The bill has a Republican cosponsor and police union support, but it carries no funding, and it dies if Congress doesn’t act before January 3, 2027.

Rep. Shomari Figures (D-AL) introduced the Public Service Educational Assistance Act (H.R. 10551) on September 24, 2026. The bill would pay for tuition, fees, and books for up to four academic years for the dependents of public employees who complete at least 20 years of qualifying service.

It works like a civilian version of the GI Bill benefits that military families use for college, though the sponsors don’t make that comparison themselves.

Figures announced the bill with Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ), Rep. Jahana Hayes (D-CT), and Rep. Mike Ezell (R-MS). A Senate version (S. 5566) was introduced the same day. Booker said the goal is that the children of these workers “can go to college without drowning in debt.”

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Why It Matters

Four years of in-state tuition and fees at a public four-year college costs about $47,800 at today’s prices. The College Board puts 2025-26 in-state tuition and fees at $11,950 a year, up 2.9% from the prior year. That’s before books, which the bill would also cover, and before housing, which it wouldn’t.

Our breakdown of the average cost of college in 2026 shows housing and food often cost more than tuition at public schools.

The number of potential beneficiaries is large. The Bureau of Labor Statistics counts about 3.2 million elementary, middle, and high school teachers, plus roughly 824,200 police officers. Those totals include private-sector workers, so the eligible group would be smaller.

Many of these same workers already rely on Public Service Loan Forgiveness for their own student loans, and this bill would effectively extend a benefit to the next generation.

How The Benefit Would Work

The bill text (PDF File) sets out these rules, which differ in several ways from the Post-9/11 GI Bill’s transfer rules:

  • Who earns it: Full-time public employees (40 or more hours a week) with 20 years of service, counted in total rather than consecutively. Eligible fields include first responders, public K-12 educators, and government-employed social workers in mental health and child welfare.
  • Timing of service: The worker must be serving when the law takes effect or join afterward. Public servants who retired before enactment appear to be left out.
  • Who receives it: A dependent under age 26, using the tax code’s definition of a dependent with the age limit raised from 19 to 26.
  • What it pays: Tuition, fees, and books, with no dollar cap, for up to four academic years.
  • Where it applies: Public colleges and public training programs that lead to a recognized credential, in a state where the student qualifies for in-state tuition. Private colleges are excluded.
  • Other aid: Students could receive the benefit alongside Pell Grants and federal loans, and the benefit would be exempt from federal income tax.

The in-state rule matters for families near a border. A student who wants a flagship across state lines would lose the benefit, which reinforces the math in our look at why out-of-state colleges cost families thousands more.

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Public Service College Benefit Vs. GI Bill Transfer
Rule Public Service Act (Proposed) Post-9/11 GI Bill Transfer
Who Earns It Teachers, first responders, government social workers Military service members
Service Required 20 years of full-time public service 6 years, plus agreement to serve 4 more
Who Can Use It Dependents under 26 Spouse or children under 26
What It Covers Tuition, fees, and books Tuition, housing allowance, and books
Length Up to 4 academic years Up to 36 months
Eligible Schools In-state public colleges and training programs Public and private schools
Status Proposed Current law
Source: H.R. 10551, U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs. The College Investor.

Who Would Benefit Most?

Families where one parent has a long public-sector career, and a child plans on a public college or trade program, would gain the most. The bill covers training programs that lead to a credential, so it would also pay for programs at public technical colleges.

That mirrors how 529 plans now cover trade schools and certificate programs. A student at a public community college could stretch the benefit further, since in-district tuition averaged $4,150 in 2025-26.

The 20-year bar is high, and it rules out a lot of teachers who have children younger. A teacher who starts at 25 reaches 20 years at 45, when many children are already in college or close to it. The age-26 cap on dependents means some long-serving workers would hit the service mark after their kids age out.

Families in that spot should still look at state tuition waivers and loan forgiveness programs, several of which target teachers and first responders.

The bill also differs from existing state programs. Alabama’s Police Officers’ and Firefighters’ Survivors Educational Assistance Program pays only when a parent dies in the line of duty. H.R. 10551 would reward a long career instead, and that’s closer to the state benefits for military dependents that many states already offer.

How This Connects

Congress has spent the last two years cutting federal borrowing limits, and the changes to college financial aid put more pressure on families to cover costs without loans.

Recruitment is the other argument. The Fraternal Order of Police endorsed H.R. 10551 in an October 1 letter, saying the bill would help officers stay in the profession during “a critical recruitment and retention crisis.” The International Association of Fire Fighters and the National Association of Social Workers also back the bill, according to Figures’ office.

What’s Next

H.R. 10551 went to the House Education and Workforce Committee and to the Ways and Means Committee, which handles the tax exemption. The bill has no authorization of appropriations, so it doesn’t say how the benefit would be paid for or what it would cost.

With midterm elections on November 3 and only weeks left in the 119th Congress, the bill would have to be reintroduced in 2027 if it doesn’t move. Watch for a Congressional Budget Office cost estimate and more Republican cosponsors.

In the meantime, teachers and first responders can lower their own costs through the student loan forgiveness programs open to public servants.

Editor: Colin Graves

The post New Bill Would Pay College Tuition For Children Of 20-Year Teachers, Police, And Firefighters appeared first on The College Investor.

BeFrugal: Spend $25, Receive $5 Bonus


Update 10/20/26:

  • make a Cash Back eligible purchase of $25 or more at any of the stores listed below between October 19, 2026 and October 23, 2026 and a $5 bonus will be added to your BeFrugal member account. Limit 1 bonus per BeFrugal account.

Update 10/5/26: Deal is back through 10/7/26. Hat tip to reader RM

The Offer

Direct link to offer

  • BeFrugal is offering a $3 bonus when you spend $15+ by Nov. 27, 2024

Our Verdict

BeFrugal is offering a $35 bonus if you don’t already have an account.

Millennials are ‘kidulting’ through their parenthood stage, spending their free time on blind boxes and claw machines



Most arcades in the 1980s and ’90s had one. A glass box in the corner, stuffed with plush bears and off-brand cartoon characters, where you would throw away your money for the chance to claw at something you didn’t really want. The claw would drop, close on a bear’s head and lift it, then either lose its grip or hand you something else.

This is the impulse behind the “blind box” economy, the most visible piece of a trend marketers call “kidulting,” adults buying the toys, games and experiences of childhood for themselves. A new Harris Poll report, shared with Fortune ahead of its release, measures how far it has spread. In a survey of 2,158 U.S. adults conducted June 25–27, 80% said they’d done something playful for their own enjoyment in the past year. Among millennials who’d done something playful in the past year, 92% spent money on it and 78% spent $100 or more. Fifty-seven percent of Gen Z and millennials bought a blind box or mystery box for themselves, compared with 16% of Gen X and boomers.

“It’s got the same kind of psychological draw as a slot machine,” Libby Rodney, chief strategy officer at The Harris Poll, told Fortune in an interview. “It’s like a fun, physical lotto ticket that you can buy and then play with and then display.”

The blind box economy is the claw machine scaled to a generation. It sells small, affordable gambles on joy, wrapped in the characters of childhood.

Older millennials, born between 1978 and 1988 by BofA’s definition, spend more per customer on hobbies than any other generation, Fortune reported last month. BofA’s category covers arts and crafts, hobby shops, ski resorts, outdoor retailers, educational toys and some toy stores. It excludes video games, golf and travel, so it is not a direct measure of blind-box buying. In the three months through August, they spent a little more than twice what Gen Z did per customer, according to BofA card data, and a larger share of them have hobby spending than any other generation. Overall hobby spending rose 7.9% year-over-year in August, more than double the 3.4% growth in transactions.

Perhaps impressively, their free time is the shortest of any age group in BofA’s data. Americans ages 35 to 44 average about four hours and 15 minutes of leisure a day, the lowest of the age groups cited in the report. “Older Millennials seem to have more in common with younger Gen Xers than they do with Gen Z or even younger Millennials,” Bank of America Institute economist Joe Wadford previously told Fortune. The data can’t show how much of that money goes to their own collections versus their kids’ hobbies, but BofA says it likely reflects both.

Rodney sees a positive story in the numbers. “I see this as kind of Americans taking a deep exhale and wanting to play,” she told Fortune. It’s emerging as nothing less than a form of self-care in the nostalgia-soaked, screen-riddled economy of the 2020s.

The nostalgia hook

Nostalgia is a big draw for millennials, the Harris survey found. Among millennials, 87% say they feel more emotionally connected to a brand when it taps into their childhood memories, and 86% appreciate it when brands make adult versions of things they loved as kids. Asked what makes a product feel designed for adults rather than kids, 39% of Americans picked “nostalgic references adults understand.”

A separate Harris survey for printing company Quad, released Oct. 14, found 68% of Americans collect at least one type of physical item, including toys and figures (26%) and trading cards (22%). The top reason was nostalgia, cited by 46%.

The toy industry has rebuilt itself around the grown-up buyer. Adult-only households accounted for 55% of U.S. toy sales in the first half of 2026, according to Circana, and that segment grew 16% through June. “At a demographic level, the toy industry’s growth continues to be fueled increasingly by older consumers,” Circana said, as reported by Retail Dive. Wall Street sees it in earnings, too. Hasbro reported Tuesday that revenue at Wizards of the Coast, home of Magic: The Gathering, rose 31% in the third quarter, and that Magic topped $600 million in quarterly revenue for the first time. Wizards produced $367 million of Hasbro’s $517 million in operating profit, according to its earnings release. Even Toys”R”Us, which liquidated its U.S. stores in 2018 after a 2017 bankruptcy filing, plans to open 120 new standalone stores this holiday season.

Arcades are coming back, too, Rodney said: claw-machine stores are opening in New York, Los Angeles and other big cities, Rodney said, with 20 or 30 machines on a single retail floor. “You spend like $70 for 20 minutes and get these mini toys,” she said. “It is a really fun, actually, relief.” Survey respondents describe a similar effect. Fifty-two percent of Americans, and 66% of Gen Z and millennials, call kidulting one of their main forms of self-care. Half of Americans said they’d rather buy blind boxes, build models or collect toys than talk to a therapist. “Therapy is expensive,” Rodney said, suggesting that kidulting “can give you that same kind of relief.” The survey measured what people prefer, not whether play works as a substitute for treatment.

Rodney also framed the trend as a backlash against the past decade’s grind and her own generation’s infamous tendency to work themselves to the bone. “We’ve moved away from hustle culture, and even if we hustle, we don’t talk about it anymore,” she said. People are pushing back against “optimization and maxing culture,” she said, and “the idea that everything we do has to be monetized.” Eighty-three percent of Americans agree that “in uncertain times, small moments of joy feel more important than ever,” and 74% say play makes them feel more hopeful when the world feels heavy. That rises to 80% among millennials.

Rodney also said there are some clearly healthy benefits to this trend. “I think a lot of this money is being redirected from bars and other things into play,” Rodney said. Fifty-three percent of Gen Z and millennials would rather do kidult things than go out for drinks.

Something to hold

The third draw is physical. After a decade of living through their phones, consumers want things they can touch. In the Quad survey, 84% of Americans said owning physical items feels more satisfying than owning digital ones, and 80% said they’re drawn to real-world experiences that don’t revolve around screens. Seventy-five percent said a simpler relationship with technology feels like a lifestyle upgrade, not a sacrifice.

Ernesto Pagano, global sector leader for media at Boston Consulting Group, sees the same shift in his firm’s research. “There is now a social stigma about spending too much time on screens,” he told Fortune. A recent BCG report led by Pagano estimates that “location-based entertainment,” the category that includes theme parks, has the highest revenue yield of any type of media, averaging $3.47 per hour of consumer time, about nine times video’s 39 cents. BCG also asked consumers which media they regretted spending time on, he said. Many named social media and gaming. “What you find is they don’t regret the experiences.”

Rodney said she thinks collecting is partly about proving you exist offline. Younger consumers, she said, “are just collecting things because they want to showcase that they have a physical presence in the world.”

The stigma fades

Adults playing with toys used to be a punchline. Rodney pointed to The 40-Year-Old Virgin, the 2005 comedy whose hero’s action-figure collection was the joke. That was “basically making fun of kidulting,” she said. “Whereas now kidulting is mainstream. It’s cool.”

Some embarrassment lingers. Forty-nine percent of Americans, and 60% of millennials, sometimes feel judged for enjoying things considered childish. But only 12% say embarrassment stops them from spending more.

Critics see something darker. Author Keith Hayward, a University of Copenhagen criminologist, argued in his 2024 book Infantilised: How Our Culture Killed Adulthood that Western culture has stopped people from growing up. Rodney rejected the premise. “The idea that people can be multidimensional and have careers, mortgages and families and still want to play with Legos and go to theme parks isn’t a horrible thing,” she said. “There’s just so many more ways to adult in this world than we’ve ever imagined.”

There are daunting economics behind the retreat. The median first-time homebuyer in the U.S. is now 40, the oldest on record, and first-time buyers made up just 21% of purchases, a record low, according to the National Association of Realtors’ 2025 Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. Fifty-one percent of millennials told Harris they’d rather spend on kidult things than save the money. Among everyone who plays, 46% said affordability makes them more likely to buy, second only to relaxation.

Generative AI was used for research assistance and/or transcription of this article. The reporter independently reported and verified the factual claims in this article, and a human editor reviewed it before publication.

Bank of Canada hike bets grow among economists, traders




More economists and traders expect the Bank of Canada to hike interest rates next week after the central bank’s latest surveys showed inflation expectations rising.

Apple vs. ASML: Which Tech Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?


Should you bet on the world’s most iconic consumer device brand, or the company that builds the machines required to make them? Comparing Apple (AAPL -0.15%) and ASML (ASML +0.34%) reveals two different ways to play the tech sector.

Apple dominates the high-end consumer electronics market through a tightly integrated ecosystem of hardware and services. ASML provides the essential lithography equipment used by every major chip foundry to produce advanced semiconductors. While one interacts directly with billions of users, the other operates as a critical bottleneck in the global technology supply chain.

The case for Apple

Apple generates revenue by selling consumer electronics like the iPhone while growing its services segment. Indirect distribution channels, including third-party cellular network carriers and resellers, account for roughly 60% of total net sales. The company also maintains a licensing arrangement with Alphabet (GOOG +0.96%) (GOOGL +1.05%) to offer search services on its various platforms.

In fiscal 2025, revenue reached nearly $416.2 billion, representing growth of approximately 6.4% over the prior year. Net income was close to $112 billion, yielding a net margin of 26.9%. This reflects a steady increase from the $93.7 billion in net income reported in fiscal 2024.

As of Apple’s September 2025 balance sheet, the company reported a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.5. This indicates that total debt is 1.5 times shareholder equity. The current ratio of 0.9 suggests liabilities outpace liquid resources, while free cash flow reached roughly $98.8 billion in fiscal 2025.

The case for ASML

ASML manufactures the lithography systems that enable chipmakers to print patterns onto silicon wafers. This equipment is vital for the production of advanced microchips used in everything from smartphones to artificial intelligence hardware. The company operates as a primary supplier to global semiconductor manufacturers and maintains more than 60 locations worldwide.

In fiscal 2025, ASML reported revenue of nearly $36.8 billion, a 15.6% year-over-year increase. Net income for the fiscal year reached $10.8 billion, resulting in a net margin of roughly 29.4%. This performance improved upon the 2024 fiscal year, when the company earned approximately $8.5 billion in net income.

As of ASML’s December 2025 balance sheet, the company maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.2. The current ratio stands at nearly 1.3, indicating the company has sufficient liquid assets to cover its upcoming liabilities. During fiscal 2025, ASML produced approximately $12.5 billion in free cash flow.

AAPL & ASML: Performance Comparison

AAPL – Apple

$342.94

–0.15% (–$0.52)

ASML Stock Quote

ASML – ASML

$1,647.12

+0.34% (+$5.60)

Risk profile comparison

Apple faces intense global competition in its primary hardware markets, which are characterized by aggressive pricing and rapid technological shifts. The company is currently subject to significant antitrust litigation, including an ongoing 2024 DOJ lawsuit regarding alleged monopolization. Furthermore, a heavy reliance on single-source suppliers in Asia makes the business vulnerable to geopolitical tensions and trade restrictions.

ASML operates in the highly cyclical semiconductor industry, where shifts in demand can lead to volatile spending by chip manufacturers. Because its lithography machines are essential and expensive, any delay in customer orders can significantly impact quarterly results. The company also faces geopolitical risks, as governments may impose export restrictions on advanced technology to certain countries.

Valuation comparison

Apple appears more attractive based on its sales multiple, though both companies trade at similar premiums relative to future earnings estimates.

Metric Apple ASML Holding N.V.
Forward P/E 35.8 36.3
P/S ratio 10.7 14.2

Valuation metrics include sourcing from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from other data providers.

The P/S ratio measures a company’s market value against its sales over the past 12 months.

Which stock would I buy in 2026?

Best to say it up front: I’m a longtime Apple shareholder, having bought my first shares in 2012. It’s my best-performing stock, and it’s not even close. So I’m a bit biased here; I obviously already think Apple is a great company, otherwise I wouldn’t still own shares.

I don’t think my investing thesis was particularly sophisticated. If memory serves, it was basically something along the lines of, “Shares look undervalued, seemingly everyone owns an iPhone, and I like my MacBook.” (Warren Buffett, I am not.)

That said, I find ASML’s positioning in the industry extremely appealing. Having a near-monopoly on the machines needed to manufacture the most advanced microchips is a great place to be. Its net margin compares favorably to Apple’s, and its valuation doesn’t seem unreasonable given its strong moat.

Now, turning to the historical data, Apple’s stock has absolutely crushed ASML shares over time:

AAPL Chart

AAPL data by YCharts

But that leads me to a final, perhaps counterintuitive point that I think is in ASML’s favor. Sure, Apple was a good investment for me in 2012, but we’re talking about 2026. The iPhone maker is one of the biggest companies in the world now, valued in the trillions. How much more growth can we expect Apple to have in the tank? The tech titan also got a new CEO recently, which is likely nothing too worrisome; a ham sandwich can probably run the company at this point. But former CEO Tim Cook presided over the stock’s incredible performance over the past 15 years, so any new person has really big shoes to fill.

This is a long way of saying that, between the two companies, Apple looks closer to a ceiling to me than ASML. Apple’s not going anywhere, to be clear. People will keep buying iPhones and MacBooks, and the company’s “walled garden” strategy will continue to grow and retain users. But I think if you’re looking for growth, ASML looks more attractive. That’s why I’d be more likely to buy shares of ASML here.