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Prediction: SOXX Is About to Outperform SMH. Here’s Why.


The two largest semiconductor exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX 1.64%) and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH 2.18%). Combined, they have more than $115 billion in assets under management and are the two most popular ways to play the current chip rally.

At a high level, the two are pretty similar. Both have portfolios of around 25 to 30 names. They have nearly the same expense ratio. You might think the two are interchangeable.

They’re not. In fact, some very simple differences in their construction strategies produce two very different portfolios. One factor in particular makes me think that the iShares Semiconductor ETF is the better choice moving forward.

Image source: Getty Images.

SOXX vs. SMH: Creating two different semiconductor portfolios

These two ETFs hold mostly the same individual companies. SOXX holds a couple more, but that’s only because of a slight variation in how the funds define semiconductor companies.

The biggest difference is in the weighting scheme. Both are market-cap-weighted portfolios. Both also apply caps on the weighting of any one component in the portfolio. The VanEck Semiconductor ETF has a 20% limit at each quarterly rebalance. The iShares Semiconductor ETF has an 8% limit on the top five holdings and a 4% limit on remaining holdings at each quarterly rebalance.

Take a look at each fund’s top five holdings.

SOXX Top Holdings (weight) SMH Top Holdings (weight)
Advanced Micro Devices (8.6%) Nvidia (20.3%)
Micron Technology (8.2%) Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (9%)
Nvidia (8.1%) Broadcom (6%)
Broadcom (7.1%) Advanced Micro Devices (5.8%)
Intel (5.5%) Micron Technology (5.3%)

Data sources: VanEck, iShares.

As you can see, SMH is more top-heavy and concentrated. And that’s a risk I don’t prefer to take.

Why SOXX has the edge over SMH

There are relatively few pure-play semiconductor companies, so any ETF focused on them will have some concentration risk. But any time an individual company accounts for more than 20% of a fund, it’s a red flag.

Yet those outsize Nvidia and TSMC positions come with significant idiosyncratic risks.

iShares Trust - iShares Semiconductor ETF Stock Quote

iShares Trust – iShares Semiconductor ETF

Today’s Change

(-1.64%) $-8.69

Current Price

$521.81

Nvidia’s China market is still essentially closed, and tariff risks could affect the overall growth story. Meanwhile, TSMC is already forecasting some margin dilutions related to its $50-plus billion capital spending plans. Near-term profitability could be constrained. As we saw with IBM‘s recent crash, the consequences could be severe for any slowdown.

Those catalysts may or may not turn into something bigger. But it’s a risk you’re taking when you invest in an ETF with a combined 30% allocation to those two companies.

Overall, I prefer the diversified approach of the iShares Semiconductor ETF and believe it will provide the opportunity for the fund to outperform over the next six to 12 months.

David Dierking has positions in iShares Trust-iShares Semiconductor ETF. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Broadcom, Intel, International Business Machines, Micron Technology, Nvidia, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, and iShares Trust-iShares Semiconductor ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Great Leaders Change Feelings Before Minds


Catch The Full Episode

Overview

What does state propaganda have in common with the voice in your head telling you to play it safe? According to social psychologist Owen Fitzpatrick, more than you’d think. In this episode, Fitzpatrick joins John Jantsch to unpack the psychological machinery behind belief change, and why the same principles that drive nation-level propaganda campaigns also drive marketing, leadership, and personal transformation.

Fitzpatrick introduces a three-part framework for how beliefs actually form and shift: a belief has to feel right, it has to fit in with who a person believes they are, and only then does it need to make sense. Marketers and business leaders often jump straight to the logic and reasoning stage, missing the emotional and identity work that has to happen first. Fitzpatrick draws on examples ranging from Apple’s iconic ad campaigns to internal AI adoption struggles inside organizations to show how this plays out in practice.

This conversation is for marketers, business owners, and leaders who want to understand why logical arguments so often fail to change minds, and what to do instead. Fitzpatrick also draws a clear line between ethical influence and manipulation, offering a useful lens for anyone in the business of persuasion.

Guest Bio

Owen Fitzpatrick is a social psychologist, keynote speaker, and author of nine books translated into more than twenty languages. He has worked with leaders at organizations including Google, LinkedIn, Pfizer, Coca-Cola, Morgan Stanley, and Citibank, and has studied propaganda firsthand in North Korea, Rwanda, and Afghanistan. His newest book, Inner Propaganda: Leading Hearts and Minds Through Turbulent Times, explores the psychological forces that shape belief formation in individuals, organizations, and nations.

Key Takeaways

  • Beliefs form through three gates in order: feels right, fits in, makes sense. Logic is the last gate, not the first.
  • Affective realism means people perceive reality through the lens of whatever they’re feeling in the moment, which shapes what they notice and remember.
  • Strong brands work because they connect to identity. People buy products that reflect who they are or who they want to become.
  • Ethical influence focuses on what the other person genuinely wants and is honest about intent. Manipulation relies on deception regardless of what the other person wants.
  • Resistance to change, including AI adoption, often comes from psychological reactance. People push back when their autonomy feels threatened, not necessarily because the idea itself is wrong.
  • Leaders get more buy-in when they help people see who they can become in a new scenario, rather than just presenting the logical case for change.

Great Moments

  • [00:01] – The propaganda-versus-personal-beliefs framing that opens the episode
  • [01:12] – Fitzpatrick shares the personal story behind the question that changed his life
  • [03:40] – Introduction of the feels right, fits in, makes sense framework
  • [06:27] – The Apple and identity-based buying example
  • [07:36] – Drawing the line between influence and manipulation
  • [10:51] – Why teams say yes to a plan while not actually believing in it
  • [14:19] – The staff member who went from hating AI to mastering it
  • [20:01] – Revisiting the classic Mac versus PC ad campaign
  • [21:00] – The Old Spice commercial as an identity-driven marketing example

Memorable Quotes

  • “People don’t follow plans, they follow beliefs.” – Owen Fitzpatrick
  • “Being right is not enough. If you want it to be successful and it to work, you need to make it feel right.” – Owen Fitzpatrick
  • “The stories that you sell to yourselves become the beliefs that you buy into.” – Owen Fitzpatrick
  • “Influence is about figuring out what is it that they want and is good for them, and how can we connect the dots to what is it that I want them to do.” – Owen Fitzpatrick

Resources

emotional intelligence, great leaders, owen fitzpatrick

I Reached Financial Independence Before 40 (Everything You Know is Wrong)


I reached financial independence before 40. I set out to do the impossible, and achieved it. I bought rental properties, worked hard at my job, saved and invested most of my money, and got to my goal. Then I realized something I wish someone had told me—everything I thought I knew about financial independence was wrong. 

If you are on this journey to free yourself from your job, retire early, or reach the magic “FI number” that will give you lasting security, I urge you—listen to this episode.

While most financially independent influencers constantly stress saving all your money, effort-maxing to extremes, delaying vacations, trips, luxury purchases, or even your wedding, I did the opposite. I spent a lot on my wedding. I spent a lot on nice vacations. I eat out regularly. And sometimes…I just didn’t want to buy another rental.

But at 39, financially free, I enjoyed my journey to the “goal.” Because the truth is, there isn’t a financial freedom number; there’s a financial freedom process, and if you don’t get it right, it won’t be worth any of the effort.

Dave Meyer:
Everything you’ve been taught about financial independence is wrong. I started pursuing financial independence two decades ago, but I didn’t follow the usual path of effort maxing and extreme delayed gratification, but I hit every number I set out to achieve. So from the other side, I can tell you there is a better way. There are entire books and communities based on the idea that you have a magical net worth number and if you reach it, you’ll be set free from having to work. You’ll have no problems and you can retire early. But I think that entire concept is misguided. So today you are getting a rant. This is my aproach to financial independence, how I bought the stuff I wanted, prioritize happiness and unique life experiences, and still achieve financial freedom faster than I ever expected. This is how you get the financial future you want while enjoying the life you have right now.
Hey everyone. Welcome to the BiggerPockets Podcast. I’m Dave Meyer. Today on the show we’re going to talk about, and frankly, I’m going to challenge one of the core beliefs of the real estate investing and financial independence communities. I have a bone to pick with the way financial independence is talked about and pursued and I want to share it with you. Don’t get me wrong. I am all about financial independence. I’ve been pursuing it for a long time, but having pursued it for so long and having accomplished a lot, I see the faults in the approach that is taught. And frankly, I think I have a better framework to help you achieve the financial stability you want while still enjoying your life right now. Financial independence has been a really big part of my life for a long time. And if you’re not familiar with this term, financial independence just means having the money to comfortably and confidently live life on your own terms.
Basically, you have a little bit more of control and more say over how you spend your time and your money. And although I am going to challenge some foundational assumptions about the financial independence movement today, I love the idea of financial independence because who doesn’t want to live life on their own terms? I think everyone does. And my belief in the need for and the importance of financial independence has not changed. I just think the way people pursue it should change. I started my financial freedom, I’d say at least 16 years ago when I bought my first rental property. But really, I probably started more like 25 or so years ago when I was pretty young because my dad, who’s a smart, hardworking guy, he lost his job in the dot-com bust and that came pretty quickly after my parents got divorced and it just put our family in a tough financial spot.
And that experience gave me a drive for most of my life to have more control over my financial wellbeing than my parents did, who relied solely on W-2 income. Right after college, I was already looking for ways to invest. I found real estate and I did what everyone pursuing financial independence does. I came up with a fi number, a financial independence number, F-I. A fi number is this concept in financial independence that is basically having enough money where you don’t have to work or where you have complete control over your time. Some people would call this F-U money, whatever you want to call it. Most people in the financial independence community call it your fi number, but it’s an idea that you reach a certain net worth and then you are magically financially free. It makes sense in many ways. And I actually did it.
I personally have always though about it more in terms of income than net worth, but I still had a number in my head that I wanted to get to. I wanted $10,000 per month in passive cash flow and I set my sights on that from the beginning of my working life. And it worked for a while until it didn’t really work anymore. Eventually I realized this idea of a fi number or a magical net worth number is wrong. It’s actually just kind of a myth. This idea that you hit some number, become free, your problems dissolve, it’s not real. It wasn’t real for me. And it hasn’t been real for pretty much any other investor I know. And I talked to a lot of investors and no one has had that experience. And here’s why financial independence is actually a moving target. The number that you need to get to, your sense of security, what you want out of life, it changes and that’s okay.
I think there’s an orthodoxy in the financial independence movement that you need to get to some number and have the discipline to stick to that number. I don’t think that is true because it has to change for a couple of reasons. First and foremost, as we’ve all seen over the last couple of years, inflation raises the bar every year. Your spending power goes down. So having a fixed number for your fi target doesn’t really make sense because I imagine a lot of people, in fact, I know a lot of people who retired early in the 2010s or the early 2020s probably need to change their fi number right now because everything has gotten more expensive. The second reason your fine number is going to change and I think should change is because of lifestyle creep. Now I know I’m going to get a lot of comments about this and this is one of the things that I want to challenge about the financial independence movement is that lifestyle creep, which if you haven’t heard that term, it basically just means as you make more money, your lifestyle becomes more expensive.
You want a nicer car, you want nicer things. And in the conventional thinking about financial independence, people say you can’t have lifestyle creep because that goes against the idea of having this fixed number. But I’m going to defend the idea of lifestyle creep. I know no personal finance person would say this, but I think some amount of reasonable lifestyle creep is okay. And I would actually argue that some amount of lifestyle creep is kind of the point. A reasonable amount of upgrading your life as you grow is not a failure of discipline. It’s the reward for working hard. Just think about it. When I started investing, I was living with roommates. I lived in my friend’s grandma’s basement for three years. I drove a dangerously beat up car that had a bent frame and I was one accident away from a catastrophe and I was living paycheck to paycheck.
The number I thought at that point in my life that would equal what I wanted and the lifestyle wanted was just straight up wrong. And it’s not because I live some lavish lifestyle now. I don’t. It’s just that my standards went up in what I believe is an appropriate way. I wanted a nice house for my wife and my family. I still do drive an old beat up car, but we have a nice one for my wife. We take expensive vacations. I’ll be honest about that. I take very expensive vacations very frequently because travel is my passion and that’s what I want to do with my money. So yeah, my number went up and that may have delayed the amount of time it took me to get to that magical number I set out at the beginning, but I have really gotten to enjoy my life.
And we’ll get back to that in just a minute, but I just want to give you the third reason why I think financial independence is not a fixed number, but a moving target is because even if you do no lifestyle creep, you set a number, you go out and hit it. I’m going to tell you something that most people won’t like. Hitting that number is not going to fulfill you. It is not going to make your problems go away. You’re not all of a sudden going to feel some sense of purpose and satisfaction and contentment. Retiring or not working rarely is fulfilling to people. And I know this is hard for people to believe and people are going to argue with me, but look around you. People who become financially free, they often go back to work. The people on social media who claim they are financially free are working.
All of them, right? Look at every real estate influencer who says they’re financially free. They’re all working in some way. Look at seniors. They lack meaning. I see this with people in my community. Once they stop working, they lack some purpose. And it’s because hitting a goal sometimes has the opposite effect people think it will. And this isn’t just my experience, this is real. It’s actually been studied. There’s something you can look it up. It’s called the arrival fallacy. It was coined by a psychologist called Tal Ben Shahar. And basically it’s the false belief that achieving a specific goal is going to bring some lasting satisfaction. And while reaching goals does provide a temporary sense of accomplishment, the anticipated happiness, it fades quickly, leaving people discouraged and frustrated. And that’s the third reason along with inflation and lifestyle creep that I think the idea in general of having a quote unquote fine number is wrong.
And I’ll just tell you from my personal experience, I have been very fortunate in my career and in my investing and have reached a level of wealth that I honestly did not ever think I would get to. My net worth is well above what I ever expected to be, but I still think about money. I don’t feel entirely free. I continue to work. I continue to challenge myself and to work on things, not because I want to be some tycoon, but because that’s just the reality of life. You don’t escape your problems by hitting some magical number. And the lesson for me, because I’ve thought about this quite a lot being in this industry and having gone through this process is that if your outcome, your five number or whatever it is, if the outcome is the source of your meaning and that is the only thing that you are pursuing, the meaning evaporates the moment you arrive.
You hit that number and all of a sudden you’re sort of left with this void. And instead, what I have tried to do and what I encourage you all to do on this journey, because remember, I’m not knocking financial independence. I think it is so important. What I’m encouraging you to do is not always focus on this end goal. You can have a goal, but you need to learn to love the process. Becoming someone who enjoys investing, becoming the type of person who likes thinking about finance, who takes pride in making good financial decisions, that will give you more meaning than accomplishing some magical number that is probably going to change. All right everyone, we do have to take a quick break, but I’ll be back with more of my rant right after this.
Welcome back to the BiggerPockets Podcast. Today we’re talking about financial independence and how to think about it in a more productive way than is conventionally taught. Let’s get back into it. To underscore the story, I actually want to tell you all a story. It has nothing to do with investing and financing. Never really talked about this publicly, but it’s something that’s shaped my opinion on financial dependence and goal setting in general. About 20 years ago, I found myself pretty out of shape and I was not happy about it. I always liked sports, but for reasons I won’t bore you with, I saw my weight get to a number I was not happy with at all and I sincerely wanted something different. So I spent years, many, many, many years working to bring down my weight and be in shape. And I had set my goal.
I set a goal for myself at the beginning of that process. I wanted to lose 50 pounds. And I did by eating really healthily. And yeah, I know you probably hear me talk about eating a lot of sandwiches and going out to eat. I still love to eat, but the majority of the time I am very disciplined about it and I exercise pretty much every day. And eventually by following that process of being disciplined and thinking and enjoying eating healthily and enjoying exercise, I reached my goal and then some. I actually lost over 60 pounds. And you know what I did when I hit my goal? I kept eating a healthy diet. I kept exercising every day. And I still do because I learned to love the process. The results still do matter to me. I still want to have a certain weight, but hitting my number for my weight was not some big event in my life, to be honest, because I wasn’t on a diet.
I just became the kind of person who wants to be healthy and active. The process is what gives me joy and a sense of accomplishment, not some number on a scale. And the same thing is true with your finances and financial independence. I didn’t stop investing or thinking about money once I hit my number. I continued to practice the habits that got me there because the practice and the process is the thing that I actually enjoy. So what I’m encouraging you all to do is to learn to love the process. Don’t invest in real estate with one foot out the door wanting to quit. There are a million ways to succeed in this business. Find one that you enjoy. And not only will that make the process more enjoyable, but I promise you, it will give you the longevity and the perseverance and the staying power to actually hit your goal.
So that’s the big picture lesson I want to impart today, but here are just a couple of other thoughts on how you can actually go about doing this because it is tempting to just set a goal and pursue it. It’s easy, right? It is super easy to say, “I want to make $5 million and just go after that. ” But I encourage you not to just think about the destination and instead to treat financial independence as a journey. And instead of marking every single success against this far off goal that may be five or 10 or 20 years down the line, just focus on getting better every day. Financial independence is a spectrum, right? Because if the goal is going to change, the only thing you can do is become more financially independent. So a way to think about it or the way I try to think about it is does this real estate deal make me more financially independent?
If I’m weighing two deals against each other, does one make me more financially independent than the other? Then that’s the one I’m going to hit. I am not focused on some magical number in the future anymore. I am just trying to get better every day because financial independence is a spectrum. Now I am saying try and get better every day, but you also, you kind of have to hold both of these ideas in your head at the same time. You also need to recognize that it is a journey and it is not a linear one. It is a bumpy, curvy road and that’s okay. That is just how goals work. Sometimes you’re going to be becoming more financially independent rapidly. Other times it’s going to stall out. Sometimes you might take a couple steps back and that’s fine because it is a journey. The goal is to try to keep moving forward and to keep getting better.
And honestly, I actually think this is one of the most freeing ideas in financial independence. Well, it’s not really in the mainstream financial independence though, but for me, it has been one of the most freeing ideas in my own pursuit of financial independence because financial independence is not the sum of my life. It is not everything that I am trying to do. There are other things that I care about. And I have to not just be a steward of my own finances, but I have to be a good steward of my own satisfaction. And if you just start pursuing financial dependence in the way a lot of people propose, which is extreme effort maxing and spending all of your time working and real significant budget cuts and not spending your money on anything, if you do that for a long period of time, aren’t you missing the entire point?
The point is to enjoy and gain control of your life. And if you just become beholden to your fine number, doesn’t that miss the mark? No, I’m not saying you should go out and spend recklessly. There have absolutely been times in my life where I have buckled down. I told you I lived in my friend’s grandma’s basement for three years to save money. I have buckled down. I have scrimped and saved and invested my money at times. But there are also times when I though, now’s not the time for that. I’m going to enjoy myself a little bit. For a lot of my financial independence journey, I was in my 20s and my early 30s. That’s some prime living right there and I didn’t want to miss it, right? There are times where I’ve deliberately taken my foot off the gas and they have pretty much always been worth it, probably more worth it than most of the real estate deals that I’ve done.
Just as examples, I decided instead of investing in a new property around 2015 to go back to grad school and I used my money that I had saved up to pay for my tuition. And that was well worth it. I really enjoyed it. It raised my salary and it helped me a lot down the road. I spent a good deal of money on a wedding with my wife because we were wanted to prioritize that. And although I think everyone who has planned a wedding knows that bill gets really big, really quick. I have not regretted spending that money for one minute in my life. It was absolutely worth it. Could I bough a duplex with that money? Sure. But I had a wonderful wedding and it was one of the best days of my entire life and I think about it all the time and I wouldn’t trade it for anything.
I like to travel. I told you I go on expensive vacations. Sometimes that delays my next property, but I’m not going to just keep acquiring properties and missing the things that I want to do with my money. Sometimes if you have the money to go do the thing you’re hoping to do in the distance sometime in the future, just go do it right now. It is okay to sometimes take your foot off the gas as long as you are being deliberate about it. Don’t go out and spend money on nonsense. But if this is something you care about and you prioritize in your life, it is okay for your financial independence journey to not be linear and for it to plateau sometimes and even go backwards a little bit. That’s okay. Just go back to my fitness example. Do I ever go off track? Yeah, all the time.
Absolutely. Ask Henry how much I eat when I let loose, but I do it when it’s my choice, when it’s something that I prioritize because I’m in it for the long run. I’m not sprinting to this and I need to make it sustainable. And I don’t think that you should see this as a failure. I think that’s what gets me so riled up about this when people say, “Oh, instead of buying a car or a vacation or whatever’s important to you, that you are somehow lacking discipline.” But I think that by becoming more financially independent, by doing those times when you scrimp and save and work really hard, you are earning those experiences, right? Optimizing purely for your fine number means missing the life, that number you designed to fund in the first place. So you don’t have to sacrifice your entire 20s or 30s or any decade on the altar of some number.
Sometimes you go hard, you save and invest aggressively, and sometimes you ease off and enjoy the fruits of your labor. Both are correct at different times. It is not black and white. And although I am passionate about this, I will say that it is a skill. You have to sort of work on this, this ongoing calibration, this balancing act between building wealth and living well. But I encourage you all, if you have bought a couple deals and you have gotten more financially independent, if you want to take some time off, if you want to celebrate, if you want to enjoy your life, go do it. You got one of them. Okay. So we got to take one more quick break, but I’ll be back in just a minute and share with you some thoughts on how you can reframe your own thinking of financial independence.
Stick with us.
Welcome back to the BiggerPockets Podcast. Let’s get back into our conversation about financial independence being a process and not an event. So remember, financial independence is a spectrum. And the question you should be asking yourself is how financially independent I am. It is a relative assessment. It is not this number’s going to make me financial independent. How financially independent are you? Should be the question. And please celebrate your wins. I think that’s the last thing that drives me nuts is that if you are planning 10, 15 years into the future and that’s the only thing you’re looking for, you miss all of the amazing stuff that you’re doing right now. Celebrate every damn win that you get along this process. It is hard. Entrepreneurship is lonely. You should be celebrating every time you become more financially independent. If you buy a deal that makes you more financially independent, that’s a win.
If you decide you can take your foot off the gas and go on a trip because you have two duplexes that are bringing you cashflow and have set you up long term, that is a win. If you decide to just pause because you’re busy and you don’t want to think about it right now, that is also a win. Stamina, endurance, perseverance, celebrating the wins. This is how it’s done. Think about why you’re doing this in the first place and never let some number or some door count. I won’t even get started on that rant, but don’t let some number or door count stop you from celebrating the wins you’ve earned and the progress that you’re making. So that is my rant. I am hoping that it frees you up to see that anything you’re doing to make yourself more financially independent is success and a win.
And it is a lifelong journey to become more financially independent. Financial independence is a process. It is not an event that happens to you one day. Truly, if you think about it hard, is your goal really a number or is it a good life where you have a sense of control? Focus on that. That is the thing that every real estate investor, anyone who’s interested in personal finance should really be thinking about as they make decisions about their portfolio, about their spending and about their lives. And with that, my rant is over. Thank you for listening to this. As you can tell, this is something I’ve thought a lot about and is something I’m very passionate about because I believe in all of you. I am proud of everyone in the BiggerPockets community and what they are accomplishing. And I don’t want you all to see some distant life as the goal when everything you’re doing right now is already success and already progress.
Thank you so much for listening to this episode of the BiggerPockets Podcast. I’m Dave Meyer. I’ll see you next time.

 

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Bank of America Offers Up to $175 Through Virtual Assistant


Bank of America Offers Up to $175 Through Virtual Assistant

Multiple reports on USCF and DDG Facebook Group suggest that some Bank of America credit card holders are receiving targeted retention offers of up to $175 after chatting with Erica, Bank of America’s Virtual Financial Assistant, instead of calling customer service.

The offers appear to vary by account and card type, but the general process is simple. Open the Bank of America mobile app or website, start a conversation with Erica, and select “Close credit account” to see whether there are any retention offers available for your credit card. If your account is eligible, Erica may present a statement credit offer that requires meeting a minimum spending requirement within a specified timeframe.

This is working even for Bank of America credit cards with no annual fees. As always with retention offers, not every cardholder will receive one. The amount of the statement credit and any required spending thresholds are targeted and can differ significantly from one account to another.

It’s worth noting that you will likely receive only one of these retention offers across your all cards. So choose wisely. Once you accept one offer, you will not receive another retention offer from Erica.

Most people are seeing a retention offer for $175 after spending $1,500 in three months.

Guru’s Wrap-up

If you’re thinking about canceling a Bank of America credit card, it doesn’t hurt to check with Erica first. It only takes a minute, and you may find a targeted retention offer worth up to $175 that makes keeping the card another year an easy decision. Just remember that these offers are targeted, so your results may vary.

Leave a comment and let me know if it works for you!

Logan urges higher rates as inflation misses Fed’s 2% target


But with the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index running at 4.1% for the 12 months through May and consumer prices still up 3.5% year-over-year in June, Logan said the central bank has unfinished business.

“One month of relief is not enough,” she said. “It is time to finish the job of restoring price stability.”

Inflation signal remains muddled

Logan cited a range of measures to support her case. The Dallas Fed’s Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate, which filters out the most volatile monthly price swings, stood at 2.4% for the 12 months through May.

Core PCE, which strips out food and energy, held at 3.4% and had climbed four-tenths of a percentage point since December, she noted.

Non-housing core services inflation has made no material progress in two years.

Goldman Sachs CEO says he’d hire someone ‘smart enough’ over the smartest person in the world



It’s easier to get into an Ivy League school than it is to land a job at $337 billion banking giant Goldman Sachs. But unlike the colleges, the business isn’t chasing the most intelligent minds floating into its talent pools. David Solomon, the CEO of Goldman, says he’s in the “camp of smart enough.” 

“You have to be smart enough, but the smartest person in the world without a whole package of other things [is] not going to navigate Goldman Sachs well, not going to be successful in Goldman Sachs over the long run,” Solomon revealed on Sequoia Capital’s Long Strange Trip podcast last year.

There are a few key qualities Solomon looks for in new hires, over educational pedigree. The CEO said the most attractive candidates are in touch with “human elements” like the ability to connect and to be resilient and determined. They always need to be striving for excellence—and on top of everything else, they should come to Goldman Sachs with a proven track record. 

Experience, Solomon said, is “hugely underrated” and “a big differentiator for the firm.” It’s not impossible to do very well without it, he added, but relying on book smarts over real-life expertise won’t get one hired at the bank.

“You can’t teach experience,” Solomon explained. “Experience matters in these big organizations and when it matters it doesn’t matter when things are going well. It matters when the bumps come. You’ve got to make difficult judgments.”

CEOs aren’t always going for the brightest Ivy League grads

Solomon isn’t the only CEO choosing life skills over intellectual excellence. Even the former CEO of LinkedIn, Ryan Roslansky, has cautioned that instead of chasing candidates with Ivy League backgrounds, hiring managers today will be on the hunt for AI-savvy talent. 

“I think the mindset shift is probably the most exciting thing because my guess is that the future of work belongs not anymore to the people that have the fanciest degrees or went to the best colleges,” Roslansky said during a 2025 fireside chat.

Even Berkshire Hathaway’s former CEO Warren Buffett looks past Ivy League degrees when it comes to hiring. The hedge fund mogul, worth $147 billion, doesn’t care if his employees went to Stanford or Princeton—or any college at all. 

While discussing Berkshire Hathaway’s 2005 acquisition of Forest River, an RV manufacturer led by Pete Liegl, he said “no competitor came close to his performance” despite Liegl not hailing from an incredibly prestigious university.

“I never look at where a candidate has gone to school. Never!” Buffett said in his 2025 annual letter to shareholders. “Of course, there are great managers who attended the most famous schools. But there are plenty such as Pete [Liegl] who may have benefited by attending a less prestigious institution or even not bothering to finish school.”

Even elite college degrees—once the benchmark of intelligence—have fallen flat, according to business leaders. The iconic Harvard University dropout himself, Meta’s Mark Zuckerberg, said colleges aren’t skilling graduates for the jobs they need. The Facebook creator cautioned the tide is changing as people figure out whether pursuing a degree makes sense anymore, especially as employers hunt for new talent skills.  

“There’s going to have to be a reckoning,” Zuckerberg said on the This Past Weekend podcast last year. “People are going to have to figure out whether that makes sense. It’s sort of been this taboo thing to say, ‘Maybe not everyone needs to go to college,’ and because there’s a lot of jobs that don’t require that…People are probably coming around to that opinion a little more now than maybe like 10 years ago.”

A version of this story was published on Fortune.com on December 22, 2025.

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Landon Donovan: ‘There is zero chance I could have played club soccer’ because of high costs



Soccer veteran Landon Donovan warned U.S. sports have a problem—and it’s the prohibitively high costs keeping out potential talent.

In a recent episode of the The Late Run podcast, the all-time leading scorer for the United States Men’s National Team explained that the early stages of his career were contingent upon outside benefactors sponsoring his participation in high-level youth sports, such as a club or travel teams. Donovan played in three FIFA World Cups for the U.S. team and was inducted into the National Soccer Hall of Fame in 2023.

“Growing up, there is zero chance I could have played club soccer,” Donovan said. “My mom made $34,000 a year as a single mom raising three kids. She couldn’t pay $4,000 for me to play club soccer—are you kidding? She couldn’t pay $400.”

“Somebody let me on the team and paid for me,” he added. “Otherwise, I couldn’t have. That’s not a good system to create good players. How do you create good players by doing that? You can’t.”

Youth sports have become increasingly expensive to participate in, with costs soaring 46% from 2019 to 2025, according to a 2025 Aspen Institute report. By some calculations, travel soccer leagues can set a family back by up to $15,000 for year-round coaching and travel.

Beyond club fees and uniforms becoming more expensive, travel is the largest expense for families putting their kids through youth sports, Tom Farrey, executive director of the Aspen Institute’s Sports & Society program, told The Athletic.

The exorbitant costs of participating in club sports, not just soccer, isn’t just detrimental to kids with dreams of scoring goals for Team U.S.A. in the World Cup. It risks shutting talent out of the sport and weakening a pipeline for gifted but less-resourced players who could someday bolster professional teams.

The U.S. sporting world “is not a youth-centered or a talent-development system,” Farrey said. “It’s primarily a system set up to use kids to make money for adults.”

How did club sports get so expensive?

Despite the cost to play, youth sports participation in the U.S. has remained high, with about 55.4% of youths aged 6-17 playing a sport as of 2023, according to federal data.

However, the way organized sports in America are set up creates the need for equipment, referees, and travel, but little way to subsidize those costs. The Amateur Sports Act of 1978 prohibits the U.S. government from funding any Olympic sport, meaning the organizations that emerged to create amateur sports teams were usually in higher-income areas.

High demand for clubs means various leagues—such as MLS Next, USL, NPL, and Girls Academy—charge higher costs, arguing they are able to offer prospective players a shot at honing their talent.

That’s on top of private equity firms taking interest in youth sports. In 2023, Swedish private equity firm EQT acquired the sports-oriented boarding school IMG Academy Bradenton, Fla., for $1.25 billion. For the school, the deal means greater access to global athletes, particularly rising football and tennis stars. But with high tuition and the need to demonstrate strong returns, these private equity projects could price out many families.

While Donovan did not disclose who paid his club fees, he began his sporting journey in earnest at IMG Academy, formerly called Bradenton Academy, supported through the U-17 national team’s residency program.

He had his big break at age 16, when he signed a six-year contract with Bayer Leverkusen, a German club competing in the Bundesliga, for more than $1 million. The team loaned him to the San Jose Earthquakes, where he began his MLS career. Donovan suggested he wants other kids to be able to find the same support he did.

“Think about how many kids you’re missing out on in this country because they can’t afford to play the game,” he said. “The clubs are winning, and the kids are losing.”

Franki – The Cash Back Restaurant App [20% Cashback]


Update: They are offering 20% back on Fridays (7/17, 7/24, and 7/31). Seems like you just need to activate on a Friday and then have 7 days to claim.

Valid only on Fridays from July 10 through July 31, 2026 at participating businesses. Offer must be activated by 11:59 PM local time on an eligible Friday during the offer window and redeemed within 7 days of activation. Cash back is limited to $10 per eligible transaction and will be awarded within 10 business days after the transaction date

(Editor’s note: below is a guest post from reader Vince)

I discovered this app a few weeks ago and I have fallen in love with it. It is in NO WAY sustainable as a business model, but for now it is ridiculously generous and free money for eating out at restaurants.

Franki Restaurant App

Franki app direct link (but you’ll want to signup with a referral link for additional bonus, we included Vince’s referral link below)

At its core, Fanki is like Yelp + Instagram + Payment processing data collector that is getting me 5% to 20% cash back at certain restaurants.

Connect your credit card in the app via Plaid in the app. AmEx, Visa, Mastercard all work. Then, use the connected card to pay at the restaurant.

When you open the app you can search by what is nearby using the map feature to find restaurants that are near you. This will also show any restaurants offering increased percentage back. Most of the offerings are for 5%, and 20% is the highest I’ve seen. For perspective, within walking distance from my home, I can see 37 restaurants on the app giving 5%, one giving 10%, and two giving 20%.

The real pro tip is to search for a familiar restaurant by name since even more restaurants seem to show up there that are not found on the map screen.

You must first link a card in order to see the available offers at nearby restaurants. Once you find a restaurant, tap on the Get Cash back button. Then pay with linked credit card and boom you are done.

Eligible Restaurants

If you have used Rakuten before, it is almost exactly the same. EXCEPT unlike Rakuten: Almost. Every. Single. Local restaurant is on here (at least in Los Angeles area).

AND it stacks with Rakuten as well.

Currently the app only works in the United States, and certainly tends to favor larger cities. I’ve heard from friends using it in Denver, Tampa, Phoenix and multiple cities in Texas that there are an insane amount of restaurants that it works at. According to the company they are constantly adding more cities and restaurants.

They are clearly just using VC money to front all of this, so make hay while the sun is shining.

What is NOT on here currently are massive fast food restaurants such as Starbucks or Wendy’s. No fast casual here either like Chipotle. That being said, they do appear to be adding more mid size chains (BJ’s Brewery appears to have been added to Franki in my neighborhood since last weekend) so YMMV.

Additional Notes

  • Cash back takes about a week to hit your Franki account and then you withdraw to your connected debit account (again via Plaid). No minimum required as of right now.
  • There is also a leveling system, that as you level up they throw you $ when you level up past a certain point, which you do by visiting places and leaving ratings, showing off videos etc. At higher levels (9 and up) you become a Franki insider and start getting paid $10 per video you post at places.
  • For the most part it doesn’t seem to have a cap on the cash back per restaurant either. My $600 anniversary dinner paid earned 5% on the entire purchase.
  • As noted, the Franki app stacks with Rakuten too; my brunch yesterday got me 5% back on Rakuten + 10% back on Franki.

Referral Program

Referral bonus details can be found here.

Someone who signs up using a referral link gets a special intro cashback rate of 10% back (up to 20%) on all purchases at qualifying restaurants for a month. After the first month it goes back down to the regular 5% (up to 20%).

The new member will also get $2 for signing up. And, if you are located in California, Texas, and Illinois, then you’ll also get $10 after making your first purchase.

The referrer also gets a $2/$10 bonus. You can find your own referral link on the cash tab in the app.

Our Verdict

Like I said: no way this is sustainable, but take advantage while you can. Your mileage may vary for the restaurants where you live.

Here is my referral link, thanks for using: https://frankiapp.com/referral?user=user_790494941

(Editor’s note: thanks to Vince for doing this write up. Feel free discuss the Franki app in the comments below. You can also leave your own Franki referral links in the comments below, but do so in a separate comment with no addition words in the comments other than the referral link. Non-conforming comments will be sent to spam.)

HSA Rollover: How To Do It And What To Know


If you’ve changed jobs a few times, there’s a good chance you have more than one Health Savings Account (HSA) sitting with different providers. The good news: you can roll over or transfer your HSA funds from one provider to another, consolidate your accounts, and simplify your financial life.

There are four main ways to move money into (or between) HSAs: a trustee-to-trustee transfer, an in-kind investment transfer, a 60-day HSA rollover, and a one-time IRA-to-HSA rollover. Each has different rules, and picking the wrong one can cost you taxes and penalties.

Here’s what you need to know about each option.

Related: If you’re looking for a place to rollover your HSA, check out our list of the best HSA providers.

Table of Contents

Transfer Your HSA
In-Kind Investment Transfer
HSA Rollover
IRA To HSA Rollover
Tax Consequences Of An HSA Rollover
Conclusion

Transfer Your HSA (Trustee-to-Trustee)

When you have multiple HSAs, paying for medical expenses and tracking balances becomes cumbersome and you may be paying maintenance fees on each account. Consolidating into one account simplifies everything.

A trustee-to-trustee transfer is the simplest and safest way to do it. Your new HSA provider requests the funds directly from your old provider, and the money never touches your hands.

Key rules for transfers:

  • There is no limit on how many transfers you can do per year
  • Transfers do not count toward your annual contribution limit
  • There is no tax reporting required — nothing shows up on your tax return
  • You must be the owner of both HSA accounts
  • Processing typically takes 2 to 6 weeks

For almost everyone, this is the method to use.

An HSA transfer can be done as many times as you like — there’s no limit. These transfers will also not impact your annual HSA contributions or income. Additionally, there’s no tax reporting involved with an HSA transfer.

For example, if you want to use Fidelity as your new HSA provider, you can do this whole process at Fidelity and never have to speak to your old company (except if you want to close the account).

In-Kind Investment Transfer

With this type of transfer, you’re transferring investment holdings (i.e., stocks, bonds, mutual funds) to another HSA account. The positions are transferred with their cost basis retained (in most cases). This keeps you from having to liquidate positions just for a transfer.

However, not all HSA administrators allow this. In that case, you will need to liquidate your holdings. Liquidations may trigger tax consequences in some states (looking at you California and New Jersey). You’ll want to work with your HSA administrator and tax advisor before initiating this type of transfer.

Note: Some administrators (especially at larger companies) offer very special or specific funds that aren’t offered elsewhere. These will never likely transfer in-kind.

HSA Rollover

An HSA rollover is different from a transfer, and the distinction matters. With a rollover, your old provider sends you a check, and you must deposit the full amount into another HSA within 60 days.

Key rules for rollovers:

  • You can only do one HSA rollover per rolling 12-month period, so you must wait 12 months from the date of your last rollover before initiating another
  • If you miss the 60-day deadline, the money is treated as a taxable distribution, and you’ll owe income tax plus a 20% penalty if you’re under age 65 (the penalty doesn’t apply if you’re 65 or older or disabled, but you’d still owe income tax)
  • Rollovers do not count toward your annual contribution limit
  • You must report the rollover on Form 8889 with your tax return, and your old provider will issue a Form 1099-SA

Because of the deadline risk and the once-per-year limit, only use a rollover if a direct transfer isn’t an option.

IRA To HSA Rollover (Qualified HSA Fund Distribution)

There’s a little-known, once-per-lifetime option to move money from your Traditional IRA into your HSA, called a qualified HSA funding distribution (QHSAFD). It effectively converts tax-deferred IRA money into never-taxed HSA money (when used for qualified medical expenses).

Key rules:

  • It can only be done once in your lifetime
  • The amount is capped at your annual HSA contribution limit
  • It must be done as a direct trustee-to-trustee transfer
  • Testing period: you must remain HSA-eligible for 12 months after the transfer. If you lose eligibility (other than by death or disability), the amount becomes taxable income plus a 10% penalty
  • Roth IRAs technically qualify, but it almost never makes sense since Roth withdrawals are already tax-free

Note: you can’t roll a 401(k) over directly into an HSA. You’d have to roll the 401(k) into an IRA first, then do the one-time QHSAFD.

Tax Consequences Of An HSA Rollover

For 48 states, there are no tax consequences for an HSA rollover.

There are currently two states (California and New Jersey) that don’t conform to Federal law when it comes to HSAs. There are currently bills in progress, but as of now, an HSA is basically treated like a taxable brokerage account in these states.

For example, you don’t get to deduct your HSA contribution for state income-tax purposes, and you should be reporting your capital gains and dividends on your state income tax return as well.

When it comes to rollovers, a transfer of custodians is not a taxable event (although your underlying HSA may have its normal taxable events). However, a rollover that you’re required to report is a taxable event, and you will pay taxes on any gains as part of the rollover. 

As such, California and New Jersey residents are encouraged to only do an HSA transfer. 

Conclusion

Getting money into an HSA account can be done in a few ways:

  • New Money (up to the HSA contribution limits)
  • Transfer Funds
  • Rollover
  • IRA to HSA Rollover

Each method is used for a specific reason, and some come with restrictions. The simplest ways to get money into an HSA account are direct contributions and transfers. Rollovers are more involved, and rules must be carefully followed to avoid taxes and penalties.

It’s highly encouraged you speak to a tax professional about your rollover and ensuring that you report it correctly on your tax return.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many times can I roll over my HSA in a year?

You can do one 60-day rollover per rolling 12-month period. Trustee-to-trustee transfers, however, are unlimited — which is why transfers are almost always the better choice.

Does an HSA rollover count toward my annual contribution limit?

No. Rollovers and transfers between HSAs don’t count toward the 2026 limits of $4,400 (self-only) or $8,750 (family). The one exception is the one-time IRA-to-HSA rollover, which does count against your annual limit.

What happens if I miss the 60-day rollover deadline?

The money is treated as a taxable distribution. You’ll owe ordinary income tax on the full amount, plus a 20% penalty if you’re under 65 and not disabled.

Can I roll over my HSA into an IRA or 401(k)?

No. Money can go from an IRA into an HSA (once per lifetime), but never the other direction. HSA funds must stay in an HSA to keep their tax benefits.

Can I keep my HSA if I leave my job?

Yes. Your HSA is yours forever, regardless of employer. You can leave it where it is or transfer it to a provider of your choice — you don’t need to be enrolled in an HDHP to hold or spend HSA funds, only to make new contributions.

Can I combine my HSA with my spouse’s HSA?

No. HSAs are individually owned and can’t be merged while both spouses are alive. If you inherit your spouse’s HSA as the named beneficiary, it becomes your own HSA and could then be consolidated.

Do I have to report an HSA transfer on my taxes?

A trustee-to-trustee transfer requires no tax reporting at all. A 60-day rollover must be reported on Form 8889, but it isn’t taxable if completed on time.

Can I move my 401(k) into an HSA?

Not directly. You’d need to roll your 401(k) into an IRA first, then use the once-per-lifetime qualified HSA funding distribution — subject to that year’s contribution limit.

How long does an HSA transfer take?

Typically 2 to 6 weeks, depending on the providers involved. Some older custodians still process transfers by paper and mailed check, which is the slow end of that range.

Is an HSA rollover taxable in California or New Jersey?

The rollover itself isn’t, but these states don’t recognize HSA tax benefits — so any investment gains realized when liquidating your account can be taxable at the state level. If you live in CA or NJ, use a direct transfer (in-kind if possible).

Editor: Clint Proctor

Reviewed by: Colin Graves

The post HSA Rollover: How To Do It And What To Know appeared first on The College Investor.