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AI in Investment Committees: Four Tests Every Memo Should Pass



AI in Investment Committees: Four Tests Every Memo Should Pass

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Sensus Healthcare (SRTS) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript


Image source: The Motley Fool.

DATE

Thu, Nov. 12, 2026

CALL PARTICIPANTS

  • Chairman and Chief Executive Officer – Joseph Sardano
  • President, Chief Commercial Officer and General Counsel – Michael Sardano
  • Chief Financial Officer – Javier Rampolla
  • Investor Relations – Leigh Salvo

Need a quote from a Motley Fool analyst? Email [email protected]

TAKEAWAYS

  • Revenue — $6 million, representing a 13% decrease driven by product mix shifts and the absence of sales to the company’s historically largest customer.
  • System Shipments — 26 units, including eight systems carried over from the second quarter of 2026 due to third-party financing delays.
  • Shipment Mix — 18 systems excluding carryover units, compared with six shipments to nonmajor customers in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Gross Margin — 55%, compared with 39.1% in the prior-year period due to a higher proportion of higher-margin SRT-100 units shipped.
  • Net Loss — $1.5 million, or $0.09 per share, compared with a net loss of $900,000, or $0.06 per share, primarily reflecting the inclusion of a $1.5 million income tax benefit in the prior-year period.
  • Cash Position — $12.9 million as of Sept. 30, 2026, a decrease from the $15.2 million reported at the end of June 2026.
  • Research and Development Expense — $1.1 million, representing a 38.9% decrease due to reduced lobbying costs and lower headcount.
  • General and Administrative Expense — $2.3 million, reflecting a 21.1% increase primarily driven by higher legal and professional fees.
  • Operating Expenses — $4.9 million, compared with $5.3 million in the prior-year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA — negative $1.5 million, representing an improvement from negative $2.4 million in the third quarter of 2025.
  • Installed Base — 1,000 systems, a milestone reached subsequent to the end of the third quarter of 2026.
  • Hospital Reimbursement Proposal — 26% increase, proposed by CMS for hospital-based radiation treatment delivery codes expected to take effect Jan. 1, 2027.
  • Revenue Recognition Models — three systems shipped during the quarter under Fair Deal Agreements or rental arrangements, where revenue is recognized over the agreement term rather than at shipment.
  • Private Equity Footprint — two large dermatology groups, representing a combined footprint of more than 450 practices, signed initial contracts during the quarter.
  • Consumer Education Engagement — 1,000 visits, recorded during the initial launch period for the new TreatSkincancer.com website.
  • Cost of Sales — $2.7 million, representing a 35.7% decrease due to the lower average manufacturing cost of SRT-100 units relative to SRT-100 Vision units.
  • Total Inventory — $18.0 million, compared with $18.5 million as of June 30, 2026.
  • Notes Receivable — $3.3 million, representing the total of current and noncurrent portions as of Sept. 30, 2026.

SUMMARY

Sensus Healthcare, Inc. (SRTS -5.57%) reported a decline in quarterly revenue that management attributed to product mix shifts and the absence of shipments to its historically largest customer. The company reported an increase in total system shipments during the quarter, supported by the fulfillment of orders previously delayed by third-party financing approvals. Management noted a gross margin expansion driven by the higher proportion of SRT-100 units sold compared to the SRT-100 Vision model. The company’s strategic focus involves diversifying its customer base through engagement with large private equity-backed dermatology groups and expanding recurring revenue streams from utilization-based models and software services.

  • Michael Sardano noted that customer conversations have shifted from validating reimbursement mechanics to discussing the practical integration of SRT into clinical workflows.
  • The company reported that three systems were placed under Fair Deal Agreements or rental arrangements, where revenue is recognized over the agreement term rather than at shipment.
  • Joseph Sardano indicated that the company is engaging with larger dermatology groups that possess the potential to adopt SRT technology across multiple locations.
  • Management stated that the CMS proposal for a 26% increase in hospital-based SRT delivery codes is expected to take effect Jan. 1, 2027.
  • Michael Sardano stated, “You can literally do 50 patients a day on our machine because it’s less than 5 minutes total for the blocking in, setting up and the radiation is only 40 seconds.”
  • The company reached a milestone by placing its 1,000th SRT system subsequent to the end of the third quarter of 2026.

INDUSTRY GLOSSARY

  • CPT Codes: Current Procedural Terminology codes used by healthcare providers to report medical, surgical, and diagnostic procedures for reimbursement.
  • Fair Deal Agreement: A commercial shared-service model where the company provides equipment in exchange for recurring revenue tied to system utilization.
  • IG-SRT: Image-Guided Superficial Radiation Therapy, a type of radiation therapy that incorporates imaging technology, such as ultrasound, to plan and monitor treatments.
  • Keloids: Raised scars that occur where the skin has healed after an injury, which can be treated using radiation therapy.
  • Mohs Surgery: A precise surgical technique used to treat skin cancer by removing layers of cancer-containing skin until only cancer-free tissue remains.
  • Nonmelanoma Skin Cancer: A group of skin cancers that includes basal cell carcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma, which develop in the upper layers of the skin.
  • Sensus Link: A cloud-based software solution that allows clinicians to manage patient data and access remote radiation oncology or medical physics services.
  • Superficial Radiation Therapy (SRT): A low-energy X-ray technology used to treat nonmelanoma skin cancer and other dermatological conditions without surgical excision.

Full Conference Call Transcript

Operator: Good afternoon, and welcome to the Sensus Healthcare Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Leigh Salvo, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Leigh Salvo: Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining today’s call to discuss Sensus Healthcare’s Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results. Joining me from Sensus are Joe Sardano, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Michael Sardano, President, Chief Commercial Officer and General Counsel; and Javier Rampolla, Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, some of the matters that will be discussed during today’s call contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. All statements other than historical facts that address activities Sensus Healthcare assumes, plans, expects, believes, intends or anticipates and other similar expressions will, should or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements are management’s beliefs based on currently available information as of the date of this conference call, November 12, 2026. Sensus Healthcare undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements, except as required by law. All forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties as described in the company’s Forms 10-K, 10-Q and other SEC filings. During today’s call, references will be made to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Sensus believes these measures provide useful information for investors, yet they should not be considered a substitute for GAAP nor should they be reviewed as a substitute for operating results determined in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP results is included in today’s press release.

With that, I’d like to turn the call over to Joe Sardano. Joe?

Joseph Sardano: Thank you, Leigh, and good afternoon, everyone. At the beginning of this year, we laid out 5 priorities for Sensus: educate the market about SRT and the new reimbursement environment, accelerate customer adoption, expand recurring revenue opportunities, broaden our commercial reach and move Sensus towards sustainable profitability. Those priorities have not changed. I want to take a minute to start with the bigger picture because it’s important to understand what we’re building at Sensus. For decades, surgery, including Mohs surgery, has been a primary treatment option for non-melanoma skin cancer. Mohs is an effective and well-established procedure, but surgery isn’t the right choice for every patient.

Many patients want to avoid cutting, stitches, scarring or the recovery associated with surgery, particularly when the cancer is in the cosmetically sensitive area. SRT gives physicians and patients another option. It’s a noninvasive treatment that can address certain skin cancers without surgical excision. We believe patients should understand their treatment choices and physicians should have the technology to offer those choices when clinically appropriate. That’s our vision for Sensus. We’re not simply selling equipment. We’re working to make SRT a more widely understood and accessible treatment option. And we’re making progress.

During the first half of the year, we concentrated on educating the market about the dedicated CPT codes and what the new reimbursement landscape means for physicians and their practices. Now we’re seeing that groundwork translate into a stronger pipeline, more inbound interest and engagement with a broader range of customers from independent dermatology practices to larger physician groups. To me, that’s the real opportunity. We’re building a broader, more diversified and direct customer base, including organizations with the potential to bring SRT to multiple locations. That’s how we intend to build the business with a wider geographic reach and more sustainable, predictable growth.

The dedicated CPT codes are an important part of that transition, giving physicians greater clarity about the economics of incorporating SRT into their practices. We’ve expanded those efforts beyond the physician community. Our recent launch of TreatSkincancer.com is designed to help patients better understand their options, including noninvasive alternatives and have informed conversations with their physicians. And our ambitions extend beyond U.S. dermatology. We continue to pursue international opportunities, particularly in Asia Pacific, while exploring adjacent markets and applications where our technology offers value. Another important part of our strategy is what happens after a system is placed.

As our installed base grows, we have opportunities to support greater treatment utilization and develop revenue streams through programs such as our Fair Deal Agreement and Sensus Link. Over time, our goal is to combine equipment sales with software, services and utilization-based revenue. We believe that can create a stronger, more scalable business. I also want to recognize a milestone I’m especially proud of. We recently placed our 1,000th SRT system. That represents years of building this company, developing the technology and earning the trust of physicians. We’re building a stronger, more diversified Sensus. We have the technology, the reimbursement framework, the commercial programs and the expanding base of physicians who recognize the value of what we offer.

Our focus is on bringing those pieces together to drive adoption, increase utilization and build consistently growing profitable business. At the start of this year, we said that each quarter would be better than the previous one. In the next few minutes, Michael and Javier will highlight 3 areas that I believe clearly indicate our progress so far in 2026. But in short, we delivered more units directly to dermatology practices in Q3 than in the prior 2 quarters combined. In addition, excluding sales to our historically largest customer, both revenue and gross margins increased year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter. We expect to build on this momentum in the fourth quarter.

Importantly, every system we place creates a revenue opportunity for Sensus, whether through an outright sale or recurring revenue generated over time through our alternative commercial models. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Michael to discuss our commercial activities in more detail. Michael?

Michael Sardano: Thank you, Joe. I’d like to start by giving some color on what we’re seeing in the market because the nature of our customer conversations in the United States has evolved considerably since the beginning of the year. When the dedicated CPT codes took effect on January 1, our first job was education. Physicians needed to understand the codes, the economics and most importantly, see reimbursement working in practice. That conversation is changing. Increasingly, we’re no longer explaining whether reimbursement works. We’re talking about how to bring SRT into their practices. We continue to support that process with physician education and training in the technology, treatment workflows and system operation.

Our pipeline strengthened during the third quarter through physician education, inbound inquiries and follow-ups from our commercial initiatives. We are seeing engagement across independent dermatology practices and larger physician groups, and we’re increasingly spending time with organizations that have multiple locations. Those discussions can take longer than a single practice sale, but one relationship can ultimately create opportunities for multiple systems. During the quarter, we secured initial system purchases from 2 large private equity-backed dermatology groups. These new relationships illustrate the type of customer we are now reaching. Customers also have more ways to access our technology. They can purchase the system outright, use financing, enter a rental arrangement or participate in our Fair Deal Agreement program.

Those options allow us to meet practices where they are. We’re seeing customers evaluate direct ownership as they better understand the reimbursement economics, while larger groups, in particular, may find our Fair Deal shared service model an attractive way to introduce SRT across multiple practices. We are continuing to focus on increasing utilization within the Fair Deal Agreement program. That will allow us to participate in treatment activity as adoption expands. At the same time, we’re continuing to develop Sensus Link and other software and service opportunities across our installed base. These initiatives are part of our longer-term strategy to complement equipment sales with recurring utilization-based revenue.

On the patient side, we launched treatskincancer.com in September to help people learn about skin cancer treatment options, including noninvasive approaches and to encourage informed conversations with their physicians. It complements the work we’re doing with dermatologists. Early engagement included nearly 1,000 visits during the initial launch period and more than 2,000 social media views. Internationally, I spent a significant amount of time during the quarter developing opportunities across Asia Pacific, particularly in Australia, New Zealand, China and Hong Kong. During the fourth quarter, Sensus will additionally be attending conferences in Europe and Korea. We continue to see physician interest in SRT across these markets.

China remains an important market for us, and the response we’ve seen in Australia has been especially encouraging. Australia and New Zealand have a substantial skin cancer burden, which underscores the potential need for additional treatment options such as SRT. We’re actively developing relationships that could support our commercial presence, and we intend to be disciplined as we pursue international expansion. Our priorities are straightforward: convert the pipeline, expand adoption across a broader customer base, increase utilization of systems already in the field and give customers the flexibility to bring SRT into their practices. We have more opportunities in front of us today than at the beginning of the year. Now it’s about conversion.

With that, I’ll turn the call over to Javier for a review of the financials. Javier?

Javier Rampolla: Thank you, Michael, and good afternoon, everyone. I will walk through our third quarter financial performance and provide some context around the shipment activity we discussed earlier. Revenue was $6 million compared with $6.9 million in the third quarter of 2025, a decline of 13%. The year-over-year difference was driven primarily by product mix, with more lower-priced SRT-100 systems relative to SRT-100 Vision systems and no sales to our historically largest customer during the quarter. Let me put the system shipments into perspective because the customer mix is an important part of the story. We shipped 26 systems in the third quarter compared with 16 a year ago.

8 of this quarter’s systems were originally expected to ship in the second quarter but were delayed by third-party financing delays as we discussed on our last call. Excluding those 8 carryover systems, we shipped 18 systems in the third quarter of 2026. Of the 16 systems we shipped in the third quarter of 2025, 10 went to our historically largest customer and 6 went to other customers. Shipments also do not always translate into revenue at the time of delivery. 3 systems were shipped this quarter under Fair Deal Agreement or rental arrangements compared with none in the year-ago period. Revenue under those arrangements is recognized over the applicable agreement term rather than entirely upon shipment. Turning to profitability.

Cost of sales decreased to $2.7 million from $4.2 million. Gross profit increased to $3.3 million from $2.7 million, and gross margin improved to approximately 55% from 39% a year ago. That margin improvement was primarily driven by the mix of systems shipped, including a greater proportion of higher-margin SRT-100 units. On operating expenses, general and administrative expense was $2.3 million compared with $1.9 million a year ago, primarily reflecting higher legal and professional fees, partly offset by lower insurance costs. Selling and marketing expense was essentially flat at $1.5 million. Research and development expense decreased to $1.1 million from $1.8 million, primarily reflecting reduced lobbying costs and lower headcount.

Adjusted EBITDA was negative $1.5 million versus a negative $2.4 million a year ago. As a reminder, adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure and the reconciliation is included in today’s earnings release. Net loss was $1.5 million or $0.09 per share, compared with a net loss of $0.9 million, or $0.06 per share in the prior year quarter. An important difference in that comparison is that the third quarter of 2025 included an income tax benefit of approximately $1.5 million. On the balance sheet, we ended September with $12.9 million in cash, restricted cash and cash equivalents compared with $15.2 million at the end of June. Prepaid inventory declined to 0 from $0.6 million at June 30.

We had no outstanding borrowings under our revolving line of credit at quarter end. Looking ahead, we remain focused on converting commercial opportunities into revenue while managing costs and working towards sustainable profitability. With that, I’ll turn the call back to Joe.

Joseph Sardano: Thank you, Javier. Before we open the call for questions, I want to leave you with one important point. We spent years developing our technology, building our installed base and demonstrating the value of SRT as a noninvasive treatment option for non-melanoma skin cancer. What provides an exciting catalyst for our business is the new reimbursement environment. The dedicated CPT codes that took effect at the beginning of this year represent an important change. For the first time, physicians have the procedure-specific codes that provide greater clarity around reimbursement and the economics of offering SRT in their practices. We believe that changes the commercial opportunity for Sensus.

We’re now seeing conversions move beyond educating physicians about reimbursement to discussing how they can incorporate SRT into their practices. We’re engaging with a broader range of customers, including larger dermatology groups with the potential to adopt our technology across multiple locations. And we’re building a business model that extends beyond equipment sales with opportunities for recurring revenue tied to system utilization, software and services. I continue to be inspired by the commitment of our team, encouraged by our progress and confident in the opportunity ahead. Our focus is on capitalizing on that opportunity, converting interest into sales and building a profitable, more diversified business. Thank you for joining us today. And operator, we’re ready to take questions.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Anthony Vendetti of Maxim Group.

Anthony Vendetti: So Joe, obviously, getting these CPT codes as of 1/1/’26 is, I know, something you and the firm has worked hard towards achieving. I think you mentioned in the last call that in addition to those CPT — dedicated CPT codes for SRT that CMS has proposed a 26% increase in hospital-based SRT delivery codes. Can you give us an update on where that’s at? And what’s the likelihood that, that gets approved and finalized? And if so, the timing there, please?

Joseph Sardano: Yes. Thanks for the question, Anthony, and thanks for being on. The 26% is very, very unique. It’s been proposed by CMS and usually, as they propose it when they announce it as they did last year about our reimbursement, things go into effect January 1 of the upcoming year, so 2027. As of right now, that has been a very good proposal and has been very well accepted by ASTRO and the other societies that are involved. So quite frankly, we fully expect that 26% to take effect on January 1 in the hospital environment.

Michael Sardano: Yes, just to add to that, Anthony, this is Michael. Yes. So that reference that you’re talking about is going into effect. It’s for Level 1 radiation treatment delivery in hospital coding, and it just so happens that we are part of that Level 1. So that’s why it’s going up.

Anthony Vendetti: Okay. Great. And so that should go into effect 1/1/’27?

Michael Sardano: Correct.

Anthony Vendetti: Okay. Excellent. And then obviously, you talked about some new APAC markets, including Australia and New Zealand. And I think you mentioned you were pursuing a regulatory application in Australia. Where is that at? And any type of time line on that application?

Joseph Sardano: Michael, you go ahead since you just came from there.

Michael Sardano: Yes, exactly. Yes, great question. So SRT is already cleared for use in Australia, actually. So we are good to go or greenlighted to sending machines over there. However, we haven’t really pushed into the market over the last decade. I think that a lot of that has to do with the reimbursement structure of that society in general, but that is changing dramatically as far as the last 2 dermatology and radiation oncology meetings that I attended there in Australia, we’re seeing a desperation from patients. And again, the numbers are staggering there. There’s only 26 million people in Australia, but 30% of them will get skin cancer. So it’s a staggering number.

And then there’s keloids there as well. Yes. So there’s such an amount there. And the craziest part about it is where here in the United States, we have dermatologists, a lot of them being Mohs surgeons and the primary — the way to get rid of the skin cancer besides SRT is Mohs surgery. In Australia, they barely have Mohs surgeons. There’s only 600 total dermatologists in the entire country and only about 60 of them are actual Mohs surgeons. So they don’t rely on that either. They just excise you.

So imagine if you’re an 80-, 85-year-old woman or man going into a dermatology facility, you’re not getting Mohs, you’re not getting SRT, you’re going to get your entire nose chopped off. That’s literally what’s happening. So there are numerous private equity-backed groups with a lot of money pushing into the market and garnering the attention of patients, especially in larger areas like Sydney. So we’re working with a couple of those groups, and they’re very interested in getting SRT and marketing that in those larger areas in Australia, like in Sydney and New South Wales. So we’ll continue to update you on the progress there, but we’re pretty excited to be working with those groups.

Anthony Vendetti: Okay. So you’re already — it’s already cleared, it’s just a matter of educating them and getting into the hands of the dermatologists there, which obviously there seems to be a huge need. Okay.

Michael Sardano: Yes. I mean these groups are treating 1,000 patients a month for skin cancer. So it’s astronomical, the numbers. So imagine putting some of those on SRT. And that’s really the only device that can do more than 10 patients a day. You can literally do 50 patients a day on our machine because it’s less than 5 minutes total for the blocking in, setting up and the radiation is only 40 seconds. So you can scale it.

Anthony Vendetti: Okay. And then maybe just lastly, you mentioned on the call and in the press release, a mix of lower-priced SRTs. Is that because you just had more sales internationally? Or is that just — sort of just a slight mix shift that you think is temporary?

Joseph Sardano: We’re starting to see the shift towards the SRT-100, plain and simple, versus the Vision, and we do have higher margins with our SRT-100 versus the Vision product. So we’re going to see larger margin numbers, and now we’re catching up with our revenue as well in selling multiple units as well as the revenue that we’re starting to see from our FDA programs and all of the other recurring revenue programs we have.

Anthony Vendetti: Is that partially because the Vision systems were the primary purchase of your former largest customer and now you’re getting more discerning customers saying, “Hey, do we really need to spend this with the Vision product when we can get the SRT without the ultrasound capability?”

Joseph Sardano: Yes. I think the reimbursement is pushing a lot of customers towards the SRT-100. And so we’re excited for that opportunity because of the opportunity it gives us for our margins and profitability. The Vision product, it was just very factual. It costs more to manufacture.

Michael Sardano: We are seeing — However, I just want to add to that. We are seeing some interest internationally for the Vision product now. A lot of our sales that are upcoming are on the Vision most likely because with just socialized medicine over there, they want something with imaging. And again, we’ve said this in the past, every form of radiation oncology, whether it’s breast cancer, colorectal, they’ll do some form of imaging prior to treatment with radiation. And so a lot of the international community in radiation oncology wants a form of imaging as well. So the natural interest is on the SRT-100 Vision.

But to Joe’s point and to what you already reiterated, because of the reimbursement, the SRT-100 became a lot more likely as a purchase than the SRT-100 Vision in the United States.

Operator: Our next question comes from Benjamin Haynor of Lake Street Capital Markets.

Benjamin Haynor: First off for me on the couple of private equity-backed practices or groups that bought units. It sounds to me, maybe I’m reading too much into this, that they kind of sharpened their pencils and decided that purchasing was a better option for them rather than going with the FDA program. Is that true? And then have others kind of made similar decisions? And do you think that, that — the capital direction is the more likely that these guys will go in the future?

Joseph Sardano: Michael, I’ll let you answer that because it’s quite the opposite of that, Ben, but let me have Michael explain that.

Michael Sardano: So essentially, we announced that we had 2 private equity groups go with us and sign contracts in this past quarter. And your question is asking which one did they go with, which model did they go with, a Fair Deal Agreement or recurring revenue or do they outright purchase? And the answer to that is both because one decided to purchase and one decided to go with the Fair Deal Agreement. So I can tell you that much, and we’ll see where that goes.

It really — that’s the type of thing we’re talking about where our flexibility of our model gives us a leg up on any competitor in the market because one private equity-backed group or one single practice wants one thing and the other one wants another thing. And it could be a personal preference. It could be a personal life of the dermatologist or just the way one is funded versus the other. You’re seeing a lot of things going on right now in tech. You see like a company like CoreWeave has a ton of debt, whereas another company may not have a lot of debt.

It just depends on how they went and got their compute, and that’s the way we’re modeling ourselves here.

Benjamin Haynor: Okay. That’s helpful color. And then just with these groups, are the models that they’re kind of going with are hub and spoke in the cities that they’re in? Or are they eventually looking at putting it in every practice? And then maybe give us — if you can give us a sense of how large collectively in terms of number of practices these guys are, that would be helpful.

Michael Sardano: Yes. Great question. Between the 2 groups that are with us now, I think their footprint is about 450-or-more practices nationwide.

Benjamin Haynor: And are they — is there the opportunity to get into every one of them at a given time? Or is it more likely that it’s going to be a handful of them in each MSA or what have you?

Michael Sardano: That’s certainly our goal, I’d rather say …

Joseph Sardano: It’s already mentioned, Ben. We want to put it in every one of those facilities. Some might start off as a hub and spoke. We’ve got some of the smaller groups that are putting them in every site, but — and a lot of the larger groups are doing a hub and spoke, but those hubs begin to grow very, very quickly.

And so I think that in the long run as well as the short run, we’ll be putting as many units as we possibly can, and we’ll be showing and they’ll be demonstrating the value of those units in every one of those regions that they have practices because you’re going to have patients that are going to start to migrate towards a noninvasive treatment.

Benjamin Haynor: Okay. That’s more helpful color. And then lastly for me, on Sensus Link, how is that going? A lot of takers thus far?

Michael Sardano: Absolutely, absolutely Sensus Link …

Joseph Sardano: Yes, we see that growing on a monthly basis. Go ahead, Mike.

Michael Sardano: No, absolutely. Sensus Link, again, it’s a new form of technology that we’ve developed for the SRT-100 system mainly, but it allows customers to have a Sentinel-type technology that allows them to put all of their patient data along with the machine and pair it with the machine. And it also gives them access to remote radiation oncologists or remote medical physicists if they need it. And so it’s something that they’re all signing up for.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Seeing no additional questions, this concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Joe for any closing remarks.

Joseph Sardano: Thank you, again. And as you’ve heard today, we’re making good progress and believe we’re well positioned to finish the year on a strong note. We have a growing pipeline and expanding customer base and a lot of opportunities ahead of us. We’re excited about what the future and where the business is headed. We look forward to continuing our conversations with investors in the coming weeks and updating everyone on our progress during our next earnings call. Thank you for joining us today, and I want to wish everyone a very happy Thanksgiving and a very happy and safe holiday season. Thank you.

Operator: This concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.

Jane Street more than doubled its Nvidia stake last quarter, filings reveal



Jane Street, one of Wall Street’s leading quantitative trading firms, more than doubled its Nvidia holdings in the third quarter, according to regulatory filings released Thursday and reviewed by Fortune. The securities filings show the firm’s positions as of Sept. 30—just over six weeks before Jensen Huang resigned as Nvidia CEO following reports of extramarital affairs, including one with a woman U.S. authorities suspect of spying for China. The scandal has led Nvidia shares to fall nearly 13% over the past five days, reaching a 17-month low intraday Thursday. The regulatory disclosure, known as a 13F, doesn’t reveal exactly when Jane Street purchased the shares, or how much the firm has gained or lost on its bets though.

The market maker held 23.8 million shares worth about $5.44 billion at $228.38 at quarter end, according to the 13F. That’s over double the 11.8 million shares held, worth $2.4 billion, in the second quarter. Nvidia was its second-largest holding behind SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust. Jane Street did not immediately respond to Fortune’s request for comment. 

The filings show what Jane Street held in late September, not what it owns now, and leave out short positions. Jane Street traders could, in theory, have shorted Nvidia after the reporting period ended and made money from the subsequent decline. The filings alone cannot tell us whether they did, though.

Options add another layer of complexity to this. The 13F also discloses that Jane Street holds a large amount of puts and calls, which are reported using the value of the underlying shares, rather than the market value of the options themselves. Those notional figures can make positions look far larger than the sums actually invested, while revealing little about the firm’s overall exposure once offsetting trades are taken into account. A large reported position, in other words, is not necessarily a huge directional bet.

Huang stepped down on Thursday after more than three decades at the helm of the company he cofounded in 1993. In his place, Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress was named interim CEO. Huang’s departure comes days after bombshell media reports about his relationship with Alice Huang, a former exec at Singapore-based cloud company Megaspeed who U.S. intelligence authorities suspect of working for Beijing. 

In a message to employees on Sunday, Huang admitted that he had been “unfaithful” to his wife and apologized. He also said he supported an independent investigation into whether he had been targeted by a foreign intelligence operation. 

The bad news didn’t stop there for Huang, though. Just three days later, the New York Times reported that the 63-year-old also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, Nvidia’s vice president of healthcare. Reuters reported Thursday, citing two people familiar with the matter, that he had an intimate relationship with another Nvidia employee, as well. 

Reuters reported in August, citing a person familiar, that Jane Street had so far generated more than $40 billion in trading revenue in 2026. That surpassed its $39.6 billion total for all of 2025 and comfortably beat trading revenues for the nation’s largest banks.

Still, there have been some signs of cracks. That same Reuters report over the summer said Jane Street took a $15 billion hit, partly from its exposure to AI-focused hedge fund Situational Awareness. Situational Awareness, started by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, sold the bulk of its equities portfolio to Ken Griffin’s Citadel after the market downturn triggered margin calls. Jane Street told employees that the drawdown had left its investment roughly flat for the year, though it remained profitable over the full period, per Reuters. Jane Street has not confirmed this report. 

B.C. home sales slide 11% in October as Lower Mainland struggles




British Columbia recorded 5,670 home sales last month, a drop of almost 11% from October last year.

S Naren’s 36 Years of Investing Wisdom in 45 Minutes | The Legend Speaks | Rahul Jain



What does it take to survive and succeed in the stock market for more than 35 years?

In this episode , We sat down with Sankaran Naren, ( Executive Director & CIO , ICICI Prudential AMC) for a deep conversation on how experienced investors think about markets, cycles and risk.

From his first 30x stock and his journey from momentum investing to contrarian investing, to understanding asset allocation, market cycles, valuation, sentiment and triggers, Mr. Naren shares the frameworks that have shaped his investing philosophy.

We also discuss a question every investor eventually struggles with: When should you sell or switch from an investment? Mr. Naren explains why he prefers thinking in terms of buying, sizing and switching rather than simply buying and selling.

The conversation also covers contrarian opportunities, FMCG, small & midcaps, US AI stocks, SIFs, top-down vs bottom-up investing, portfolio sizing, asset allocation and the biggest mistakes retail investors make.

Chapters:
00:00 Teaser
00:35 Intro – 35+ Years in the Stock Market
01:57 What Brought Sankaran Naren to the Stock Market?
03:17 What Was His First Stock?
05:10 How Do You Hold a Stock That Becomes 30x?
06:11 From Momentum to Contrarian Investing
07:52 Handling Bull Runs as a Contrarian Investor
09:29 What Is Still Challenging After 35+ Years?
10:57 What Should Investors Do When Returns Are Poor?
12:17 What Still Makes the Stock Market Interesting?
13:29 How Does He Analyse Different Asset Classes?
16:31 Do Valuation, Cycle, Sentiment & Trigger All Need to Align?
18:13 Where Are the Opportunities in the Current Market?
19:38 Top-Down vs Bottom-Up Investing
21:40 The Secret Behind Hybrid Strategy & Asset Allocation
24:03 Value Investor vs Contrarian Investor
26:27 Is FMCG a Contrarian Opportunity?
28:24 How Does an AMC React to Bad News or Fraud?
30:06 What Is SIF & Who Is It Suitable For?
31:04 SIF vs Mutual Funds – What’s the Difference?
32:10 When Should You Sell or Switch a Stock?
35:25 How Should Investors Decide When to Switch?
37:02 What Has Been His Biggest Investing Success?
37:52 What Would He Have Done Better?
38:29 One Rule Every Retail Investor Should Follow
38:44 Lessons From His Investment Gurus
39:17 Rapid Fire

Towards the end, Mr. Naren shares his thoughts on the next market cycle, bubbles and crashes, investing lessons from his mentors, books that influenced him, and what investors should stop doing immediately.

A conversation packed with investing lessons from more than three decades in the market.

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Disclaimer:

1. Rahul Jain is registered with SEBI as Individual Research Analyst vide Registration number INH000023287 dated September 15, 2025 pursuant to which it provides Research Analyst services to its clients.
2. Any matter displayed in this content are purely for Knowledge purpose and shall not be treated as an advice or opinion of any kind. Neither Rahul Jain nor the marketing agents related to the firm shall be held liable/responsible in any manner whatsoever for any losses the viewers may incur due to acting upon this content.
3. Investment in securities market is subject to market risks. Read all the related documents carefully before investing.
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5. Any opinion on a specific position, such suggestion/view under any circumstances shall not be considered as an advice. I am not liable for any losses whatsoever the client may incur in accepting this opinion.
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7. The securities quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory.

#contrarianinvesting #ValueInvesting #investmentstrategy #stockmarketlessons #SankaranNaren

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Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Bets $600M on Housing


Dave:
In just 11 trading days this fall, Warren Buffet’s company, Berkshire Hathaway, put roughly $600 million into one stock. Lennar, one of the two biggest home builders in America. And if you think about this, the timing is pretty wild because mortgage rates just hit their highest level in nearly three years. At the same time, builder confidence is the lowest since 2012. Cancellations on homes hit their highest point on record in September, and almost every analyst on Wall Street is telling you to stay away from home builders. So why then is the most famous value investor on the planet backing up the truck and investing in these stocks? Is Berkshire seeing a bottom that the rest of us are missing or is this a very expensive mistake? Today on On the Market, we’re breaking down exactly what Berkshire bought, the much bigger housing bet hiding behind the headlines, what the bulls and bears are saying, and what this means for you as an investor.
This is On the Market. Let’s get to it.
Hey everyone. Welcome to On the Market. I’m Dave Meyer, chief investment officer at BiggerPockets. And today on the show, we’re following the smart money or at least the big money. I guess we’ll decide if it’s smart money throughout this show. We’re talking about some interesting investments into the home building industry that kind of caught my attention because for months now on the show, we’ve been talking about a tough housing market. We got high rates, affordability, multi-decade lows, builders slashing prices. They’re getting hammered right now. And then right in the middle of all of that, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffet’s company goes on a buying spree in home builders. And I just think that when one of the most famously patient, famously disciplined investors in the world starts to zig while everyone else is zagging, I want to understand why. And why this is happening does really matter because on a macro level, it tells us how sophisticated long-term investors are actually reading this housing cycle.
And on a personal level for our investors, it sort of raises the question every one of us is wrestling with right now. And to borrow Warren Buffett’s quote, “Is it a time to be fearful or is it a time to be greedy?” Let’s discuss it. Let’s get into it. First up, what did Berkshire Hathaway actually do? So back in September, between September 17th and October 2nd, they bought nearly $600 million of Lennar stock. If you’re not familiar with Lennar, they’re one of the two biggest home builders in the entire country. And Berkshire Hathaway, during this weird time that we’re in in the housing market, went out and bought 29 million shares, which is about 12% of a company, which is a lot for a publicly traded company. Taking a 12% stake in a home builder is pretty notable. It seems a little curious why a company like this, like Berkshire Hathaway, would be going out and buying Lennar during what is pretty famously and commonly known as a terrible time for home builders right now.
And I have been saying Warren Buffet, I just wanted to call out that there’s a new CEO, Greg Abel. Warren Buffet is still involved. He’s the chairman of Berkshire Hathaway. So we were talking about Warren Buffet’s company, but the person actually making the decision on this was probably Greg Abel. Anyway, regardless of who signed on the dotted line and made the decision, I think it matters because even if it’s not Warren Buffett, it’s still this Berkshire Hathaway philosophy. They’re value investors. They’re looking for stocks that are cheap relative to their long-term outlook, and they are investing famously in this. And to me, that’s worth looking at. And I think this headline has made a lot of news recently, but I think a lot of what the coverage is missing is that this $600 million investment that they made into Lennar isn’t even their biggest bet in housing.
They actually made an even bigger bet into housing over the summer. In July, they actually bought the entire company, Taylor Morrison. This is a company that was worth almost $7 billion. This company, Taylor Morrison, does about 13,000 home closings. That’s what they did last year. And they have a net income of almost $800 million, and it was the new CEO’s first major acquisition. So again, it may not be Warren Buffet, but of all of the industries that the new CEO of Berkshire Hathaway could be choosing to invest in, they’re picking housing, they’re picking home building, and that tells us something. Berkshire Hathaway also owns Clayton Property Groups, which is 15 regional builders that they have all rolled up together. They’ve done 23,000 closings last year. And if you actually look at this, Berkshire Hathaway, if you combine all of their assets and just think about the volume that they are doing, they’re actually the fourth largest home builder in the US behind D.R.
Horton, Lennar, and Pulte Group. That’s crazy, right? On top of that, it also includes a company called Yardley, which is a build to rent business. So Berkshire is also getting into the single family rental business as well. I could keep going on, but I don’t want to bore you, but I will just mention they also bet on a lot of things. They have Clayton Homes, that’s factory built manufacturer homes. They bought that way back in 2013. They have building products. They have Berkshire Hathaway Home Services, one of the largest broker franchises in the country. They have small stakes in other builders like D.R. Horton. So when you just look at it, Berkshire now touches almost every layer of a home transaction. The bricks, the carpet, the builder, the agent, this is not just like a single trade. I know that’s making the headlines right now.
It is a strategy that they have been working on for years. So what is going on here? What are they seeing that everyone else is not seeing? We’ll get to that right after this quick break. Stick with us.
Welcome back to On the Market. I’m Dave Meyer. Today we’re talking about Berkshire Hathaway, one of the most famous value investing firms in the world, making a huge bet over a sustained period of time into the US housing industry, even though things aren’t looking great right now. And to understand the bet that they are making, you sort of have to understand the backdrop of what’s going on in the industry. And you probably know this, but the backdrop is pretty ugly. I’m not trying to fearmonger here. I’m just going to share with you what is going on in the home building industry and in the housing industry that makes the timing of these investments a little bit curious. Probably know this, but rates are one thing, right? Freddie Mac 30-year average as of today is about 7.4%. It’s the highest that it’s been since November of 2023.
It’s been fluctuating a little bit, but it’s up a lot year over year. And so just in the last year, home builders have been under more pressure than they were even a year ago. Combine that with builder sentiment index. This is something I always keep an eye on. It’s builder transactions, it’s a reasonably good recession indicator. And so one of the things that I like to look at is this National Association of Home Builders. They put out a confidence index. They basically ask builders how good they’re feeling about their industry. And right now, the answer is really not good. It is the lowest it’s been since June 2012. It’s an index, so 50 is kind of even. Anything under 50 is not good. We’re at a 29 right now. People are not feeling very good about building new homes right now. We look at buyer traffic, that index again out of a hundred is at 18.
It’s the lowest since April 2012, if you exclude the little blip during COVID when no one could go outside. I’ll keep going. Look at builders cutting home prices. 43% of builders cut prices in October, and that doesn’t even include incentives. Builders hate cutting home prices and 43% of them still do that. They did that even though that lowers their comps for future sales, 43% still did that. The average cut was 6%, that is notable. And 65% of builders are using incentives. So builders not looking great. And if you look at the sort of macro numbers, it backs up the same thing, just new home sales. It was 676,000 annualized back in September, which is 5% below a year ago and it was already low. That’s a pretty big drop year over year when you’re already starting low. Inventory is above eight months right now, so you’re definitely in a buyer’s market and pairing that with what’s going on in the existing home market, not even home builders.
We’re at an extreme low with transaction volume, cancellations and contracts are up. I don’t need to go on. You get it? It’s not great. And that is true of the industry in general, but it’s true of Lennar also. So if you look at Q3, the last quarter, some companies have weird quarters. They ended their quarter on August 31st. Their revenue is down 8.5%. Their gross margins were down. And if you look at the data, it was Lennar’s weakest quarter since 2009. Not great. And actually, sorry, I’m dumping stats on you guys, but I have one more with you because this one kind of stood out to me when I was doing research for this show. But according to their own CEO, Lennar’s CEO, Stuart Miller, he said that 50% of people who come to our Lennar home cannot immediately qualify for a mortgage. So that’s just garbage visitors.
I don’t mean that about the individuals, but for them as a business, that’s basically useless. These people can’t qualify for the homes they’re coming to go look at. And so they’re getting less traffic, right? Remember, the index was 18 out of 100 and the traffic that they’re getting is not even qualified to buy these homes. So it’s just not good, so much so that their stock is now down 26% year to date just since January and 40% over the last year. So again, I’ll ask the question, why is Berkshire buying the largest volume builder in the country in what the data shows is the weakest new home market in over a decade? Here’s the bull case. Why invest in these markets? Well, Berkshire hasn’t gone out and explained why they bought all the stock in Lennar, but Greg Abel has talked about housing broadly and the logic, I think, isn’t really hard to piece together.
So here’s how I see it. First and foremost, they’re explicitly not betting on a quick recovery. Actually, if you look at what Greg Abel said on CNBC on September 2nd, right before the buying spree, he said, “We don’t envision a quick recovery there, but we do see it as an industry that we definitely want to be invested in and we’re invested for the long term.” And on the Taylor Morrison acquisition, they’re taking a very long-term view that the American dream will still continue to exist, even though all the skepticism about that right now and that five or 10 years from now, it’s going to be a really strong asset. So the main thing to take away here is that Berkshire isn’t calling a bottom. They’re not saying this is going to turn around tomorrow. They’re saying, “We don’t actually really care when the bottom is because we’re betting on this for five, 10, 15, 20 years down the line.” And that is classic Berkshire Hathaway approach.
They’re not get rich quick firm. They just don’t operate that way. They buy value. And so when they see Lennar at 40% off what it used to be worth in an industry that they believe will come back, that’s the first reason they’re making this bet. The second reason is that the structural shortage that we talk about hasn’t really gone away. Realtor.com estimates that the US entered 2026 still short more than four million homes. New construction in 2015 didn’t even keep up with household formation, so we probably fell behind again. And although there is weak demand today, the weak demand is really an affordability problem. It’s not a nobody wants a house problem. There’s something I talk about all the time. People ask me this question. Demand, quote unquote demand in economics doesn’t mean how many people want something. It’s how many people want something at a specific price.
And so there is less demand right now because the prices are too high. That does not mean people do not want to buy homes. And so in the future when cycles shift as they do, if homes become more affordable, Berkshire is probably betting on a lot of demand because we have this structural shortage that frankly we haven’t made any progress on. And so it is likely that building is going to be needed in the future to solve that shortage. And again, we’ve talked about on the show that shortage, people debate it, but if they believe that shortage is real, this bet does make sense. The third reason is just classic Warren Buffet. He has coined that famous saying to be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy. People are certainly fearful about the home buying industry right now. When you look at builder sentiment at a 14-year low, almost every stock analyst is saying sell on Lennar.
It’s not a good stock. Well, this is what Warren Buffet’s always been doing and been doing it very predictably. The last time builder sentiment, just as an example, the last time builder sentiment was this low was 2012. People probably though you were crazy to buy home buy other stock, but you were pretty happy if you bought in 2012, right? Now it took a while for them to recover, but you probably did very well on this investment and maybe that’s how Berkshire Halfway is seeing it. And then fourth is just details about Lennar itself. Lennar is pretty stable. Even though their stock price is down, they’re cutting forecasts, all that kind of stuff. They only own about 2% of their home sites and they have this model where they’re not taking on as much risk as a lot of other builders. They have modest amounts of debt.
They’re able to build faster than they ever were before with only 116 days and they have margin to give up. They can lower prices and still earn a profit. And they are actually, their CEO said they’re deliberately compromising margin in order to maintain volume. Basically, they’re trying to use their size to keep selling things right now while smaller builders can’t afford those incentives. And so it seems that Berkshire is saying, okay, home builder’s not great, but this industry might consolidate and there’s going to be winners and losers. A lot of them are going to go under. They’re trying to pick a winner and Lennar might be a winner even though it’s a bad time. It’s not going to be their best month ever, but can they emerge from this bad time stronger? Maybe so. And then the fifth reason I just kind of mentioned it was consolidation.
High rates, these kinds of environments, they hurt small builders most. These small builders don’t have the same ability to buy down rates or they have more debt and they just get in a harder situation. And so maybe Lennar goes out and buys some of these companies or just waits for them to fail and then picks up some of their market share. So that is another bull case, right? That’s another reason this could go well. But there are ways this could go wrong. Absolutely. So let’s talk about the bear case. What could actually go wrong here? And I should call out that yeah, they could be wrong because Buffett, super famous, maybe the most famous investor in the world, but he’s been pretty wrong on housing before. Actually in 2009, he wrote a letter to investors saying that his housing problems in the US economy should be largely behind us in a year or so.
That was in 2009. He was not correct about that. It took at least till 2013 until the market bottomed. And for home builders, it was quite a while after that until they really regained their footing. And Buffet admitted this. Two years later in 2011, he wrote another letter that said he was “dead wrong,” so he was honest about that, but said even though he was wrong, that housing will come back, you can be sure of that. And he was right about that. It was just a couple of years later than he thought. So good lesson here. Even the best investors, they can be right, let’s say, on direction about where they think things are heading, but timing always very difficult. But Berkshire, lucky for them, they can afford to be early. Not all of us can, but they’re big enough. They can be patient, they can wait, they can afford to be early, and they’ve earned that.
And to me, that’s kind of the biggest risk is that they’re early because I do think home building will come back. It’s just how long are you willing to sit on the opportunity cost of owning that stock before it recovers? For you and me, that might not make sense, but for Berkshire, it’s really a question of opportunity cost. The other risks are if rates stay higher for longer, again, it just hurts their opportunity costs and it could put a lot of pressure on them to lower their margins further. And it’s the stuff we talk about all the time. There is no clear path back to affordability in the housing market right now. It’s going to take a while. And so there might be pain for Berkshire before this recovers, but generally speaking, I’ll just give you my take. I think this makes sense. If you have the capital to go out and buy 40% off of their stock for one of the biggest home builders in America right now, it kind of makes sense to me if you’re not trying to get rich overnight.
Even the risks that I said, it doesn’t really break the thesis that they’re probably operating on, all the stuff I shared with you before. If their time horizon on this investment is five to 10 years, kind of makes sense. Next year, two years, three years, who knows? But long-term, it makes sense. That sort of brings us to the question, what does this mean for you as an investor? We’re talking about one of the biggest companies in the world. Does this relate to you as an investor and what you should be doing? And I would say yes, and I will share with you exactly what I think right after this quick break. Stick with us.
Welcome back to On the Market. I’m Dave Meyer. Today we’re talking about why Berkshire Hathaway is making a huge bet on home building, and let’s turn our attention to what this means for you. I’m not here to say go out and buy Lennar. I have a considerable stock portfolio, but I do not pick a lot of individual stocks. I do some for fun, but I am not an expert on Lennar stock, so I’m not telling you to go out and buy that. But what I do think is really interesting and something that we can all learn from here is that to borrow the thesis that they’re using, not necessarily the trade, because it’s the way that Berkshire is thinking about this that I think is really applicable to real estate investors right now. They’re saying, “Yeah, there is short-term pain in the home building industry, but there are long-term structural reasons to think that this is going to come back.
And if you are willing to buy while sentiment is in absolute gutter, you could absolutely benefit from that.” And this sentiment, this thesis to me, at least personally, when I was researching this and reading about it, doesn’t just apply to home building, it also goes to rental properties. We talk about this all the time. Is right now a buying opportunity? I would say yes. Everyone is fearful right now. Prices are going down. Is it going to recover next year? We don’t know. Probably not in my opinion. I think we’re at least two or three years out. It could be five or six years. But think about how Berkshire Hathaway, one of the most successful investing firms in the world is thinking about this. You’re going to buy at better prices than you’ve been able to in quite a while, and if it’s going to recover, which I believe housing will eventually, then why wouldn’t you be buying right now?
There’s still going to be a shortage. There’s still going to be a demand for rental housing. You have to be careful and buy good assets. But I think the way they’re thinking about this is a model for buy and hold real estate investors right now. The second thing to remember about this is even though we should have a similar thesis to them, their business model is different than all of ours because they have more money than they know what to do with. I think Berkshire has hundreds of billions of dollars in cash just sitting there. So if their stock, if Lennar stock goes down, it’s a drop in the bucket for them. It doesn’t really matter. They’re in this for the long run. But for you and I, if you go out and buy a property right now, you don’t need it to be a home run next year, but you do need to stay in the game.
They’ve got that covered, but for us, we need to assume a slow recovery. I hope that’s not the case, but you have to assume no appreciation, no rent growth, don’t count on a refi, get fixed rate debt, all the stuff we talk about. You need two or three years minimum, in my opinion, of cushion on that. That’s sort of the key right now to the strategy that Berkshire’s using and we should be learning from, buy when things are really low and hold on for the long term. You have to have staying power. You have to be able to stay in the game and you do that through conservative underwriting. That’s number two. The third thing to remember, and I’ve been saying this for a year at least now, but man, new constructions, there is good deals out there. 43% of builders cutting prices, 65% using incentives, Lennar giving up 12% of purchase price and incentives, right?
These are significant savings on newly built homes. Builders need volume. They have to sell. They’re the most motivated sellers in the whole market right now. So ask about rate buydowns, closing costs, ask about price reductions, even though they’re loath to do that. They probably will still do that in certain areas. And for buy and hold investors, getting a newly constructed home below market value with concessions and low CapEx and maintenance costs for a while, pretty good. My one knock on new construction just generally is a lot of times it’s just in the middle of nowhere and I don’t like buying in the middle of nowhere. I like buying near cities where jobs are. So keep that in mind, but there are plenty of good newly construction homes in good areas, but just make sure you’re still buying in a good area. Don’t just buy new construction because it’s new and you’re getting a good deal.
You have to make sure there’s demand for rentals and there’s going to be a resale demand for that as well. The fourth thing I want to call out is just when you look at Lennar and why of all the home builders, Berkshire chose to invest in them. I don’t know, they haven’t said this publicly, but just when I’ve been doing my research on this, I would say that Lennar has a strong balance sheet. If you look at them as a business, they have generally low debt. They don’t have a lot of debt. And I say this all the time, but why do companies fail? Why do bubbles collapse? Why do we go into a session? It’s almost always debt. It is always because we borrow too much and then eventually you can’t service that debt and something breaks. That happens on a macro level, but it happens with individual companies as well.
And if you look at Lennar, they’re pretty well poised to get through this cycle because they have low debt and they have a lot of liquidity. They have a lot of cash on hand. And I think that’s a really important lesson for us to think about here because this is the same thing for smaller, medium-sized real estate investors. The people who come out of this cycle stronger are the ones who don’t get forced to sell, who have strong balance sheets. And so if that means paying off debt, selling properties that have bad debt, raising cash, raising liquidity, that’s what I’ve been doing. I’m sitting on a lot of cash relative to my net worth right now. One, because I want to protect myself, but two, because I want to find opportunities as they come around for the next couple of years. I’ve sold rentals that are good properties because I want cash to buy even better deals in the next couple of years, and I’m going to do that with low debt.
So think about your own personal balance sheet in that way. How do you position yourself to not just get through this time, but to benefit from it, to take advantage of the pricing and negotiating leverage that you’re going to have for the next couple of years? So overall, just to recap, Berkshire Hathaway making a big bet on housing because they’re long-term investors, and I would hope to think most people who listen to this show are the same way. And so just think about how they’re thinking about this. To me, I found this whole exercise of researching and learning about this pretty encouraging because this is kind of how we talk about on this show thinking about real estate investing. Yeah, it’s a rough market right now, but you can find good opportunities. And if you’re in it for the long run, you’re probably going to do pretty well.
If you can be greedy when others are fearful to see through the fear, the hype and all the doom and gloom in the media, underwrite conservatively, maintain a good balance sheet, you’re going to be able to find good deals. And I think you’ll look back on this time and say, “Man, it was good to be active in that market.” That traditionally happens. That’s why that famous quote from Warren Buffet exists, right? People are always piling into an asset once it’s already hit its peak, right? This happens all the time. And then once it crashes, they don’t buy anymore because they’re like, “It’s over.” But we all know these things work in cycles. Eventually it’s a year from now or two years from now, four years from now, we don’t know, but it will come back. And if you bought at good discounts, that will pay off for you.
It really will. And I think that’s the most important part. It’s not saying that the housing market’s going to turn around next week. It’s not. What I am saying and what I think Berkshire Hathaway is doing here is betting on the long-term prospects of the housing market. And historically speaking, you’ve never really gone wrong doing that. I just want to remind everyone of that fact. Yes, stay in it, get good deals, but the long-term bet on housing still does make sense to me, and it certainly makes sense to Berkshire Hathaway. That’s our show for today. Thank you so much for watching this episode of On the Market. I’m Dave Meyer, and I’ll see you next time.

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Wyze Smart Scale Deals at Amazon: BodyScan $66.48, Scale Ultra $39.98


Wyze Smart Scale Deals: BodyScan $66.48, Scale Ultra $39.98

This article contains Amazon affiliate links.

Amazon has two Wyze Smart Scales on sale, with prices starting at just $39.98. Both models track weight and body composition, connect to the Wyze app, and support multiple users.

The more affordable Scale Ultra has a large color display and Wi-Fi connectivity, while the BodyScan adds a handle for more detailed body composition measurements.

Wyze BodyScan Smart Scale with Handle for $66.48

The Wyze BodyScan Smart Scale is on sale for $66.48, down from $99.98, when you use a promo code at checkout.

This model features a built-in handle with eight electrodes that measure different parts of your body, including your arms, legs, and torso. It also offers detailed body composition reports through the Wyze app.

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Wyze Scale Ultra Smart Scale for $39.98

The Wyze Scale Ultra Smart Scale is on sale for $39.98, down from $49.98, when you apply a promo code at checkout.

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Nvidia suddenly changed how it reported revenue in Singapore, correlating with Megaspeed scrutiny



A sudden change in how Nvidia reported some of its financial results last year is getting renewed attention, raising questions about its relationship with Megaspeed, a major Nvidia client at the time and now at the center of chip smuggling allegations.

The financial change under scrutiny involves Nvidia’s accounting for revenue from Singapore, where Megaspeed is based.

Nvidia cofounder Jensen Huang stepped down as CEO of the semiconductor chip giant on Thursday, following stunning revelations of his affair with former Megaspeed executive Alice Huang (no relation), a woman suspected of being an operative for China. Nvidia CFO Colette Kress will lead the company in the interim, Nvidia announced on Thursday.

Megaspeed, one of Nvidia’s largest buyers in Asia, has been suspected of diverting Nvidia’s advanced chips to China, in violation of U.S. export laws. Megaspeed, and its Malaysian subsidiary Speedmatric, moved at least $7.5 billion in Nvidia chips to China, tech news site The Information has reported.

Singapore authorities said on Thursday that they investigated Megaspeed and its former executive Alice Huang beginning in February 2025 and did not find sufficient evidence of espionage. However, Singapore barred Alice Huang from re-entering the country. The U.S. is also investigating Megaspeed for export control violations. Jensen Huang has previously said there is no evidence of Nvidia chips being smuggled to China, and Megaspeed has denied wrongdoing.

In June 2025, Nvidia added Megaspeed to its internal block list, prohibiting sales to the company, according to the Wall Street Journal. Around the same time, Nvidia stopped reporting revenue from Singapore, one of the five geographic areas Nvidia had previously listed in its breakdown of global revenues (they were U.S., Singapore, Taiwan, China, and “Other”).

In the fiscal quarter ending in July 2025, Nvidia reported $10.2 billion in revenue from Singapore, 22% of the company’s total revenue, and an 81% increase in year-over-year revenue from the country. In the next quarter’s earnings report, for the three months ending in October 2025, Singapore had disappeared from Nvidia’s geographic revenue breakdown, which now listed only four markets: U.S., Taiwan, China, and Other.

According to the October 2025 earnings report, Nvidia was now separating out markets based on “location of the customers’ headquarters” instead of “customer billing location.” The change was made even though Nvidia’s previous earnings reports had clearly stated that “customers use Singapore to centralize invoicing while our products are almost always shipped elsewhere.”

Nvidia did not respond to Fortune’s request for comment, including an inquiry if the change in how it reported its earnings was at all connected to it adding Megaspeed to its block list.

Making sense of the unlisted Singapore revenue

Shiva Rajgopal, a professor of accounting and auditing at Columbia Business School, told Fortune correlation is not causation, and it is impossible to say with just public information whether concerns around Megaspeed’s export control adherence or Alice Huang’s alleged espionage caused Nvidia to change how it reported revenue. However, he noted, Nvidia’s changes in the filings will no doubt become part of the Department of Justice or Department of Commerce’s investigations into Nvidia’s export control compliance.

“The timing is curious,” Rajgopal said. “Even if it is not curious, people are going to raise questions given all this information now.”

Auditors will likely look at what Nvidia knew about where the Megaspeed chips were ending up, how Nvidia checked and documented customer end-use, and if Huang’s affair was related to Nvidia’s business with Megaspeed. But they will also look at whether investors were given an accurate picture of the risks associated with potential smuggling in China and Southeast Asia. Rajgopal made it clear that as CFO, Kress’ role in how finances were disclosed publicly, will certainly be scrutinized, but based on public filings alone, there does not appear to be evidence at this time showing Kress was aware of whether an earnings reporting change could have potentially been related to Megaspeed.

“I wouldn’t say Kress must have known,” Rajgopal said. “These are just financial statements. Nothing is illegal. It’s disclosed.”

Rajgopal argued Kress’s biggest challenge has little to do with the company’s past or immediate finances. Finance executives who take interim chief executive roles in tech companies rarely stay because they lack the buy-in of the tech community, he said. Nvidia’s priorities will soon shift from sustaining its financial momentum today to working to recreate or build upon the forward vision Huang gave the company, which is a decidedly different role than a finance head.

“A CFO running a tech company is not a good idea,” Rajgopal said, “especially something that’s so deeply tech-heavy.”