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Lincoln’s Blueprint for Ethical AI


In his First Annual Message delivered to Congress on December 3, 1861, Lincoln declared, “labor is prior to and independent of capital,” adding that capital is only the “fruit of labor”.8 In this speech, where he uses the word “labor” thirty-one times, Lincoln argues for maintaining a moral foundation for business operations in which human labor, creativity, and dignity are the dominant factors over capital, profits, and efficiency.

That perspective resonates amid modern debates over AI and automation. While some business leaders predict widespread job displacement, Lincoln viewed labor as central to human purpose and self-worth. Innovation, in his view, should expand opportunity rather than reduce people to expendable inputs. Rather than viewing labor as merely a means to an end whose sole purpose is the generation of financial profit, Lincoln considered labor an essential element in defining one’s purpose in life, a core foundation of one’s own human dignity. 9

In today’s AI paradigm, Lincoln’s message remains as relevant as ever. Some of the nation’s most prominent business leaders predict that AI will eventually eliminate all human work10 and the largest corporations plan to invest in automation at the expense of human labor and welfare.11 A recent report suggests algorithmic scheduling systems in retail and logistics tend to prioritize speed and profit at the expense of employee stability and well-being.12

By contrast, AI-powered education platforms that allow workers to retrain and advance into roles with higher skills echo Lincoln’s belief that labor should be elevated rather than replaced.13 Lincoln’s belief that innovation should elevate rather than replace human work suggests he would support that latter and reject the former— used solely to maximize profits by displacing labor.

You’ve Been Thinking About ‘Impossible’ All Wrong



The biggest barrier to breakthroughs is usually what you assume is true.

Chick-fil-A Bringing Back Cow Appreciation Day with Free Food


Chick-fil-A Cow Appreciation Day 

Chick-fil-A is bringing back its popular Cow Appreciation Day on July 14, 2026. Customers who visit participating locations dressed in cow-themed attire can score a free entrée, reviving one of the chain’s most beloved promotions.

The event originally launched in 2005 and became famous for rewarding guests who showed up in everything from full cow costumes to simple cow-print outfits. Chick-fil-A confirmed the return as part of its 80th anniversary celebration.

Offer Details

Bring your whole herd in-restaurant on July 14 from 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m. to help celebrate Cow Appreciation Day®. Every customer who dresses like a cow can receive one free entrée from the following list, subject to availability:

  • Breakfast: Chick-fil-A® Chicken Biscuit (Original) or 4-count Chick-n-Minis®.
  • Lunch/Dinner: Chick-fil-A® Chicken Sandwich (Original or Spicy); 8-count Nuggets (Original or Grilled); or 3-count Chick-n-Strips.
  • Kids: A 5-count Nuggets Kids’ Meal (Original or Grilled), which includes a side, drink, and premium.

Guru’s Wrap-up

Time to dig that cow costume out of the closet, or something way simpler should work as well. Mark your calendars!

Looking to Start Making Passive Income? Buy These 3 High-Yield Dividend Stocks First.


Investing in dividend stocks is one of the simplest ways to generate passive income. Many companies pay dividends, with several offering attractive yields. However, not every high-yielding dividend stock will provide a sustainable passive income stream.

Here are three high-yielding dividend stocks ideal for those looking to start generating passive income. They have an excellent record of paying a growing dividend, which should continue.

Image source: Getty Images.

Brookfield Infrastructure

Brookfield Infrastructure (BIPC 0.25%)(BIP 0.17%) operates a globally diversified portfolio of critical infrastructure assets. It focuses on owning assets in the utilities, transport, midstream, and data sectors secured by long-term contracts and government-regulated rate structures. Those frameworks provide it with stable, durable cash flows.

The infrastructure company currently yields over 4%, several times higher than the S&P 500‘s 1.1% dividend yield. Brookfield Infrastructure has increased its dividend in each of its 17 years as a public company, growing the payout at a 9% compound annual rate. The company aims to increase its dividend at a 5% to 9% annual rate over the long term.

Verizon Communications Stock Quote

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It’s in a strong position to achieve that goal. Brookfield Infrastructure estimates that its organic growth drivers, which include inflation-indexed rate increases, volume growth as the global economy expands, and expansion projects, will deliver 6% to 9% annual growth in funds from operations (FFO) per share. Meanwhile, acquisitions should push its long-term FFO growth rate above 10% annualized.

Realty Income

Realty Income (O 0.20%) is one of the world’s largest real estate investment trusts (REITs). The company owns a diversified portfolio of more than 15,500 retail, industrial, gaming, and other properties across the U.S. and Europe. It invests in properties secured by long-term net leases with many of the world’s leading companies. Those leases supply it with very stable rental income.

The REIT pays a monthly dividend that currently yields more than 5%. Realty Income has increased its dividend 134 times since its public market listing in 1994, growing it at a 4.2% compound annual rate. It has raised its payment for 114 consecutive quarters and 31 straight years.

Realty Income Stock Quote

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Realty Income is in a strong position to continue increasing its dividend. It has a conservative dividend payout ratio, fortress balance sheet, and a growing list of strategic partners, giving it ample financial capacity to continue expanding its portfolio. Meanwhile, the REIT sees a $14 trillion total addressable market, giving it a very long growth runway.

Verizon

Verizon (VZ 0.42%) is a leading mobile and broadband provider. The company generates recurring revenue by delivering these vital services to customers.

The telecom giant currently offers a dividend yielding nearly 6%. Verizon has raised its payment for 19 consecutive years.

Verizon Communications Stock Quote

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Verizon’s dividend costs it about $11.6 billion annually. It generates plenty of cash to cover that payout. The telecom giant is on track to produce at least $21.5 billion in free cash flow this year, after funding capital expenditures of up to $16.5 billion to maintain and expand its networks. That’s a 7% increase from last year. Verizon uses its surplus cash to maintain its balance sheet strength and repurchase shares (at least $3 billion planned for 2026). The company’s growing free cash flow should support continued dividend increases.

Core income holdings

Brookfield Infrastructure, Realty Income, and Verizon are ideal dividend stocks to buy for passive income. They generate very stable cash flow to support their high-yielding dividends and continued growth. Their combination of stable cash flows, higher-yielding dividends, growth track records, and financial strength makes them some of the first dividend stocks to buy if you’re seeking to start generating some passive income.

Xactus turns a rival’s tool into its own fintech bet


Xactus bought a platform used by its competitors and turned it into a new subsidiary and company leaders say the deal is less about market share than where fintech is heading.

Processing Content

The purchase of Mortgage Credit Link, the web-based order fulfillment platform serving consumer reporting agencies, by Xactus’ parent company brought with it a range of questions among the former’s staff and customers, some of whom are direct competitors. Xactus leaders immediately went to work addressing concerns and said the future direction of its new unit will involve input from all parties. 

“They want to see the roadmap; that was the question I got the most,” said Xactus President Shelley Leonard, referring to longtime MCL clients. “My canned response was, ‘I don’t know yet. I need you to help me figure that out.'”

With the acquisition, Xactus rebranded the former MeridianLink unit to XedaLink, transitioning thirteen of the employees to the new subsidiary. While Xactus provides a range of mortgage-related services, its dual role as a consumer reporting agency and a software technology firm able to provide the same type of data as MCL had now means some CRA competitors and resellers have become customers, albeit on a different tool.    

“We understand that they could be concerned. We are confident in our ability to serve them as customers, while continuing to operate Xactus as a competing business separate and distinct from XedaLink, which is why we renamed it,” Leonard said. 

The consumer reporting agency community is tight-knit, with many long-standing relationships that go back decades, which meant Xactus had to make its intent clear from the start, she continued.

“What I heard repeatedly is ‘I appreciate the approach. We understand the approach. It’s going to take time for us to trust the approach.’ Which is fair,” she added. 

Among XedaLink’s first priorities is to assure customers a smooth transition, with no changes planned for existing agreements. Xactus plans for XedaLink to operate as a separate standalone subsidiary, with guardrails in place to wall off its customers’ data from the Xactus platform, a move other acquiring businesses have prioritized in the recent wave of mortgage consolidation. 

“Our number one goal is to work towards no disruption. As a part of the acquisition, those contracts were assigned to this new entity, so we don’t anticipate there being any heavy lift,” Leonard said.  

Financial terms of the agreement were not disclosed, and no regulatory or antitrust reviews were required.

Leonard also pointed to Xactus’ previous acquisition of SharperLending in 2021, a subsidiary that also serves CRAs, as proof such business models work. 

“We’ve been very successful in keeping it separate and distinct and walled off to ensure confidentiality with those clients and their data.”

XedaLink serving bigger technology goals

With technology a key incentive for many companies in acquisition activity over the past two years, the MeridianLink deal can be seen in the same light, its president said.

Xactus understood what the MCL platform offered as a prior user before it eventually moved all of its business onto its own proprietary software.

“Xactus has over the last five years really moved from what I would have defined as a technology-enabled services business to a true fintech. This acquisition is more aligned to our fintech strategy, if you think about it that way, than maybe our historical verification strategy.”

As its tenth merger deal, the XedaLink addition represented a “pure technology acquisition” in an adjacent space to its core business and offers clues to where Xactus sees financial services heading.  

“You could expect Xactus to continue to be acquisitive, not as much focused on market-share acquisitions, but more on technology and capability,” Leonard said.



I worked with Steve Jobs at Apple, where every OS update killed startups. AI founders are about to face the same thing



Apple famously rendered scores of startups and third-party tools obsolete with nearly every OS update since the mid-2000s. “Sherlocking” regularly kicked promising companies to the curb by effectively erasing their reason to exist — in many cases, by delivering nearly identical features and functionality.

I saw it firsthand when I worked on the iPhone, iPod, and iPad under Steve Jobs. Every product launch and OS upgrade generated excitement for users and existential fear for founders. Founding teams spent years building capabilities that Apple could absorb into the operating system overnight. Life’s work became dead on arrival.

Sherlocked, but Not Forgotten

There are several companies that folded worth mentioning, but here are three that stand out to me:

Tile kept pace with AirTag for a while because even though Apple made a slightly nicer tracker, Tile had years of market leadership, retail distribution, meaningful hardware revenue, and a defensible head start. But the balance did eventually tip toward Apple when they launched AirTag with deep integration into the Find My network and the U1 chip. Suddenly, Tile no longer had access to the same system-level advantages. It lost access to the oxygen that mattered: defaults, permissions, hardware integration, and distribution. The company was eventually acquired by Life360 in 2021 for approximately $205 million — a fraction of its peak valuation. 

Pebble invented the modern smartwatch category years before the Apple Watch hit shelves. The company built a passionate developer ecosystem and sold millions of devices. But Apple reserved the deepest iPhone integrations — notifications, payments, health data, system hooks — for itself. Pebble wasn’t outcompeted feature-by-feature. It was boxed out structurally.

Even f.lux, which pioneered blue-light reduction software to help us sleep better at night, learned the same lesson. Apple initially rejected its iOS implementation for using private APIs. It wasn’t until Apple launched Night Shift directly inside iOS itself that f.lux experienced existential competition.

Other tech giants, like Google with search and Microsoft with Office, also shuttered numerous companies with authority and efficiency. But they weren’t destroying startups simply because they built better products. They entered the market with viable alternatives, consistently improved those products, and then maintained control over the platforms.

The key thing for founders facing similarly harrowing dynamics to remember: when a platform decides to compete, it’s impossible to win with price alone. Survival requires understanding how platforms collapse distribution, bundle features into defaults, and remove the dependencies third parties rely on. 

Survived, Thrived, and Still Alive

Recent history also provides examples of companies that survived platform attacks by evolving beyond standalone consumer features.

Dropbox should have disappeared the moment Apple and Google bundled cloud storage directly into their operating systems. Instead, it became a multi-billion-dollar enterprise software company because it expanded beyond consumer sync into collaboration, team workflows, e-signatures, and cross-platform infrastructure.

Spotify survived Apple Music despite Apple owning the operating system, the App Store, the hardware ecosystem, and the distribution advantage. In addition to investing in brand and artist partnerships, Spotify built network effects around playlists, discovery, creators, podcasts, and social behavior that could not simply be copied into existence overnight. Its value came from the ecosystem surrounding the platform, not merely the app itself.

1Password faced extinction once Apple and Google bundled password management directly into their platforms for free. Instead of competing feature-for-feature at the consumer layer, it moved upmarket into enterprise identity management, developer tooling, secrets infrastructure, and organizational workflows. The consumer feature became the wedge. The enterprise system became the business.

As we saw with Dropbox and 1Password in the last cycle, offerings from smaller companies that deeply integrate with customer architecture and offer tailored features can become the wedge in enterprise AI.

AI Is Firmly in Its Sherlocking Era. Be Aware.

Every new Claude release, ChatGPT capability expansion, or workflow agent launch creates excitement among users and customers. It should also unsettle founders.

Products historically most vulnerable to Sherlocking shared a common trait: they were single-purpose features built on platforms they did not own — small enough to bundle, and lacking network effects, alternative distribution, or deep operational integration.

AI-native companies need to operate as more than model wrappers or generalized copilots. To compete with foundation models in any given vertical, startups must become operationally embedded inside enterprises, law firms, financial institutions, and medical facilities. 

The best enterprise AI companies will integrate deeply into internal operations spanning approvals, compliance systems, procurement flows, analytics pipelines, reporting structures, and institutional knowledge. Once that happens, ripping them out becomes painful.

This matters because the frontier labs are optimized for horizontal scale, not deep operational integration. OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google can build extraordinary foundation models. But they cannot realistically provide white-glove implementation and workflow redesign for every logistics provider, hospital system, insurer, law firm, or manufacturer in the world.

That asymmetry creates enormous opportunities for startups facing fight-or-flight moments. Margins and automation capture attention and investment. But customer integration and high-touch service make up the moat.

A Parting Word to My Fellow Founders

The next generation of great AI companies can’t beat hyperscalers and tech giants with endless budgets on price. They definitely can’t win by competing head-on with OpenAI or Anthropic on generalized intelligence. However, it’s possible to thrive — and grow — if you can accomplish what giant platforms historically struggle to do: become indispensable to the operation of a customer’s business.

We’re in the early days of AI-for-everything. As in previous cycles, scores of young companies will be Sherlocked. The model I’ve used to build and scale Nest and now Mill — going deep on vertical integration — works. Founders interested in longevity should build and forward-deploy teams vertically around specific offerings or products. Hardware, software, and product design should all work on something together. The hyperscalers are delivering world-class innovation on a nearly daily basis. But they’re also clunky and siloed. If you want to survive and grow in the face of fierce competition, make sure you never join that group.

The opinions expressed in Fortune.com commentary pieces are solely the views of their authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions and beliefs of Fortune.

Chase Now Offering Business Customers Free Credit Score Through Dun & Bradstreet


Chase is now offering customers with a Chase business login a free business credit score through Dun & Bradstreet. This feature is not currently available for everybody but is rolling out. For those unfamiliar Dun & Bradstreet are the equivalent of TransUnion, Equifax or Experian, although Dun & Bradsheet are a behemoth with 70-75%+ marketshare (whereas in the personal sector TU, EQ & EX have roughly a third each). Dun & Bradstreet made some changes to business credit reporting back in 2024. 

On a personal note this hits close to home, this site was originally set up because I was unhappy with the information regarding credit reports and credit scoring models for consumers. We originally started covering credit cards and bank accounts as they begun to offer free scores for cardholders and customers. Over time that has obviously morphed into the content you (hopefully) enjoy today. 

I doubt this product from Chase/Dun & Bradstreet is particularly useful for most people and it seems like a lot of the data is currently inaccurate. 

Hat tip to CobaltSunsets

How to Pay (Much) Less in Taxes as a Real Estate Investor (Rookie Reply)


Rental properties can give you cash flow, appreciation, and loan paydown from tenants. But tax benefits are often the unsung hero of real estate investing. Today, we’re sharing some of the best real estate tax strategies so you can keep more of your hard-earned money from Uncle Sam!

Welcome back to another Rookie Reply! Should you do a cost segregation study? Many investors use this tax strategy to accelerate depreciation and create massive paper losses, but what’s the catch? Stay tuned as we break down the potential pitfalls and everything you need to know before getting started. What about a 1031 exchange? This strategy allows you to defer capital gains taxes when selling a rental property, but what if you’re flipping houses?

Every landlord wants a great tenant in their rental property, but how do you find them? From credit scores and income requirements to employment verification and background checks, we show you how to dial in your tenant screening criteria so that you make the best possible decision!

Ashley Kehr:
What if on tax strategy you think is reserved for big investors only could wipe out a huge chunk of your W2 tax bill on your very first rental?

Tony Robinson:
Or maybe you’re about to hand a stranger the keys to a property you just spent every last dollar on and you have no idea what to actually put on your tenant application.

Ashley Kehr:
And finally, what happens if you fall in love with the idea of flipping houses, but you want to roll every dollar of profit into the next deal without losing a chunk to capital gains? We’re answering all three of those questions and helping you keep more of every deal you do.

Tony Robinson:
This is The Real Estate Rookie Podcast. I’m Tony J. Robinson.

Ashley Kehr:
And I’m Ashley Kerr.

Tony Robinson:
And with that, let’s get into today’s first question. So today’s first question comes from Arenze in the BiggerPockets Forums and this question says, “I need help making a decision on whether to use a cost segregation or not. I’m still a new investor, but I bought a six unit residential property this year in central Massachusetts and I do plan on holding the property for a long time. I have a high W2 plus another side business with six figures. My question is whether using a cost segregation will help in dropping down my taxes. What are the pros and cons and then what are some referral companies that can do this cost segregation study? I think first let’s talk about what a cost segregation study is. It’s basically like an engineering study where instead of taking standard depreciation on a piece of real estate and I believe for a single family home, it’s 27.5 years.
I think for commercial property it’s 39.5. Don’t quote me on those. Somewhere in that ballpark. But instead of taking the depreciation across that standard schedule, you reclassify different components of the property. The roof, the appliances, flooring, whatever it is, and you accelerate that depreciation. Some get bunched into the first year, some get spread out over five years, but there’s a scale there. So it allows you to basically accelerate a lot of that depreciation. So instead of waiting almost three decades, you can get a big portion of that depreciation in year one. Now the cost segregation study can be combined with something called bonus depreciation, which again is where you get all of that. You can take 100% of that in year one. Now I think the trap here where a lot of folks get confused is that if you generate this massive paper loss from your cost sex study, it typically does not offset your W2 income or your other forms of active income unless you qualify for what’s called real estate professional status or you use the short-term rental tax loophole.
Now, again, we should have said this from the beginning. Ash and I are not CPAs, so go talk to a qualified tax professional for your specific situation. But typically reps, real estate professional status or the short-term rental tax loophole are the easiest ways to kind of unlock the benefits of the cost segregation study. If you don’t qualify for either of those, well then all of that paper loss can only be applied against your other forms of passive income from your real estate. So basically the income produced of cash flow from your property, that can be offset by the cost segregation study. Now it is incredibly difficult to qualify for real estate professional status if you’re working a full-time job because you have to prove that you spent more hours in real estate than you did in your full-time job. So if you’re spending 40 hours a week working full-time, well, then you have to prove and show that you’ve spent more than 40 hours per week every single week working in real estate.
And for most people, that’s just unreasonable and not possible. That’s part of the reason why these short-term rental tax loophole is so popular today, because it is significantly easier to apply the short-term rental tax loophole than it is rep status. For the short-term rental tax loophole, there are a few different kind of tests you can meet. One test is the 100-hour rule where you spend at least 100 hours working on your short-term rental. And if you add up all of the other time that other folks have spent, your cleaners, your maintenance folks, whoever may be, they haven’t exceeded the 100 hours. The other approach is the 500-hour rule where regardless of how many other hours other folks have spent, if you spend at least $500 for the whole year, you can qualify for material participation through the short-term rental tax loophole. So that was a lot, but I just wanted to make sure I’ve kind of laid the foundation there for the differences and when you can and can’t apply the benefits of the cost segregation study.

Ashley Kehr:
We actually have a couple resources and I was just trying to look for the links of them, but I’m going to put them in the YouTube description if you’re watching this. We do have a sponsor and I’m going to link their blog posts, but you can get discounts on some of the cost segregations too if you guys are interested in doing that. I did a cost segregation on a property and when it was my first time going through and doing this process, I invested for so long without ever doing one. And it was such a huge regrets of mine that I didn’t know about this sooner. I literally found out about this several years ago and at that point I’d already been investing for like eight years. So I think this is a really beneficial tool. I recently went to Florida and go ahead, put your hate comments on about investing in Florida.
But I wanted to look at property while I’m there. So when I looked at this market as it’s a buyer’s market, there’s not a ton of cash flow. Your biggest opportunity there is renting to a snowbird for six months out of the year. But the real benefit if you were to purchase a property there would be doing a cost sag on the property and getting tax savings. It wouldn’t be cashflow right now. It definitely wouldn’t be appreciation in that market either. So I think that was something that took me a long time to realize are the tax benefits of actually owning a property besides just your regular depreciation that you’re getting off of standard amortization of depreciation.

Tony Robinson:
Now one last piece that I’ll comment on is that even when we do something like a cost segregation study, we get this bonus depreciation, we qualify for material participation or rep status. It’s not like the taxes that are due that they just disappear. We’re basically just kind of getting a loan from the IRS to say, Hey, we’re not paying this today, but the IRS is still keeping track of what you owe them. It never just kind of goes away. And then if you do sell that property in the future, there’s a recapture of those taxes that’ll be applied. But in order to, again, continue to delay those taxes due, you can do what’s called the 1031 exchange where you’re able to defer both the recapture and the capital gains on that sale. So a lot of folks, they’ll use the 1031, it’s called swap to you drop where you basically never actually sell or you’re just recycling that capital into the next deal, or you can just hold the property forever, like just never sell the property and you can do things like a refinance to try and get some of that equity back.
But I just wanted to highlight that because people think that, okay, hey, if I do this and it’s just like free money from the government, when that’s not quite the case, it’s just deferring that tax liability to some point down the road.

Ashley Kehr:
I’ve heard several people that have retired and they said the second best day of their life was when they bought their rental property and the best day of their life was when they sold it. But if you’re going to hold it forever and you’re going to keep that, not have to recapture that depreciation, that’s not going to work. But you could also put it into a trust for a family member, your kids or whatever, just so that when you pass, they get the benefit of the trust or the beneficiaries and they will only pay taxes on what the value of the property is when they inherit it. So instead of paying taxes on what you bought it for 20 years ago compared to what they could sell it today, that can be a huge difference. So you can even continue on the tax benefits until after you have passed away.
Okay. We’re going to take a short break, but coming up, we’ve got one shot to pick the right tenant. So what criteria should you actually set before you list? We’ll break it down right after this quick word from our sponsors. Okay. Welcome back. Our next question comes from the BiggerPockets Forums. “Good morning all. I am set to close on my first investment property tomorrow. This is a two unit multifamily with one unit occupied and the other has been turned over and is ready for rent. What criteria does everyone here set for tenants? Minimum credit score, criminal history, income amount, and so on. I have a good idea of what I want but would love to hear input from some more seasoned investors and anything to look for or to avoid at all cost. “Okay. So to recap, set to close, two unit, multifamily. They don’t need to start screening tenants to look for them.
So it is very important to set your criteria. Easiest thing to do, go into AI, ChatGPT, go into Claude and have them give you a checklist, create a checklist of what is the screening criteria I should have. Okay? Now, I don’t want you to use what it actually says for your screening criteria, but I want you to look at these different things and see if it maybe even gave you more. But you want to set a minimum credit score, you want to set criminal history and you want to set if they have a violent criminal past, you’re not going to accept them. What the income amount is and by this, I usually do it as to how much more income they need than what the rental is. So common is three times what the rent is or three and a half times what the rent is.
This also depends on your class and your neighborhood too that you’re investing in. So these are diferent criteria that you want to set and I would put it right into your listing so it’s very clear what it is when someone fills out the application, I would put it in there so they’re not wasting their time and you’re not wasting your time, but also you don’t want to violate any fair housing laws. So this criteria cannot be no kids allowed or anything like that. And you want to check your state laws as to how specific you can get on what you can deny for criminal history too, but also evictions. In New York State, you cannot deny someone a rental because they have been evicted in the past. It has to be for some other reason. So you can’t say no past evictions if you’re in New York State.
So I would start with that as to kind of setting your criteria for what you want and then set up some property management software that has the screening process. There are companies out there that are just the tenant screening. I really like it integrated with the property management software because you can go ahead and do the full process from start to finish of renting out your unit. So you’re going to set the listing inside. You’re going to hit one button and the property management software is going to push it out to multiple websites. Every time you get a lead, someone clicking that they’re interested, it will go right into the property management software. So even though you’re listed on apartments.com, Facebook Marketplace or realtor.com, Zillow.com, whatever it is, it all comes into one place for you, Craigslist Steven. And so then from there you could send a pre-screen, you could send the application, you can send them a link to schedule a showing for the apartment.
And then from there, when they fill out the application, you can select the screening to be done. So a background check and a credit check. I like to do a verify their income. Some property management software has that integrated where it will do that for you based on their pay stubs. We’ll verify that. If not, you’re going to want to call and verify any documents they give you. So their pay stubs. I’ve had people before submit to me fake pay stubs. I would literally just Google that the address they put on there didn’t even match the company. And then I would call the company and ask and they would have no record of this person at all. Sometimes it’s that easy to catch them, but I would verify as much as you can references, ask them for personal references, ask them for past landlord references.
I also like to … The character references I don’t take much weight in because they can literally put down anybody and they’re usually going to put down people, give them a good recommendation. But the previous landlord, I tried to do a little research and make sure like, okay, this is where they said their last address was. I look up who actually owns that property, see if I can find any correlation to the name they actually gave me, the phone number to coordinate with the address or whatever. And then when I am doing the phone call verifying with the landlord, I try to ask some questions that don’t make me accuse the landlord of being an imposter, but maybe something they would only know about the property if they were the landlord or something like that. You can look up the tax record history or something like that.
But I’m more just trying to compare that they actually own it. It’s not just their friend’s phone number they’re giving me to pretend to be their landlord.

Tony Robinson:
Ash, have you ever actually experienced that where you caught someone red-handed in that kind of situation?

Ashley Kehr:
Not for a landlord, but for an employer reference. I thought I did. I thought I did because it was so sketchy and it was so weird. The email was like a Gmail account, not for a company or anything. And I actually called where it was for a bakery that they said they were starting employment at. They just moved to the area or whatever. But any interaction with the landlord was through a Gmail or a text. It was very, very weird. And I thought I was catching them lying because they didn’t even have a first pay stub yet. They just had a letter written up and then I called the bakery and they actually, I asked to speak to that person and so I got to talk to them there. But the fake pay stubs, I got the fake pay subs before and I didn’t even take it a step further because they were fake.
I wonder if you could run them through AI, like some of this verification and ask, “Do you see anything that stands out that this is fraudulent?” I wonder.

Tony Robinson:
And I was going to say the inverse, I feel like it might be even harder now to catch those things because of AI where someone can make an incredibly easy looking, not only a pay stub, but someone could build out an entire fake website with a few prompts to say like, “Hey, I was the VP of finance at this company.” And there’s a whole digital presence behind it now. But yeah, I was just curious if you’ve ever caught someone red-handed.

Ashley Kehr:
I mean, look at the people that there’s documentaries on where they’ve inserted themself into the wealthy of New York City or whatever and pretend that they are part of that society and everything and people believe it. It goes along with it and all this stuff and it’s like someone can do that. Someone can easily rent an apartment on fraudulent information.

Tony Robinson:
Fake it till you make it at the highest level.

Ashley Kehr:
Unless you’re renting from me, don’t do that. All

Tony Robinson:
Right guys, we’re going to take a quick break before our last question, but while we’re going, be sure that you are subscribed to the Real Estate Ricky YouTube channel. You can find us @realestatericky and we’ll be back with more right after this. All right, let’s jump back in. Our last question today is one that could save you maybe a lot of money in your taxes as well or cost you if you get it wrong. So the question says, “I purchased an off market fix and flip property in New Jersey using hard money and I plan to list it within about two months or a month, eight weeks, give or take after closing. I’m wondering if I can utilize a 1031 exchange when I sell it to defer capital gains taxes from my understanding. 1031 exchanges are typically for investment properties held for rental or business use, but I’m curious if there’s any way my flip could qualify, especially since I haven’t sold it yet.
Would holding it for a short term period automatically disqualify me or are there strategies to structure the sale to make it eligible? Has anyone ever done a 1031 exchange with a flip?” Okay, we talked a litle bit about 1031 exchanges in the first question, this is kind of like a good kind of part B to that. The short answer is no. You cannot leverage a 1031 exchange on a flip property. Flips are inventory, right? They’re commodities. They’re not true investment properties and because of that, they don’t qualify for a 1031 exchange. So again, just to clarify, going back to question one, the benefit of a 1031 exchange is that you can defer any capital gains taxes on the sale of a rental property if you use those proceeds to buy another rental property. When you’re flipping, that’s not quite the case because it was never truly a rental and the IRS looks at intent, not just timing.
So even if you hold it for say 14 months, if your plan was always to sell that property, well, then you could still very quickly get disqualified. We’ve actually done a 1031 before on a property that we held for, I believe it was nine months, but we bought that property with the intention of renting it out and we did rent it out, but the market shifted in our favor where we had a lot of equity during that nine month period. There was another larger set of properties we wanted to purchase and we were able to 1031 the proceeds from that property that we held for nine months into another rental. But we had a lot of proof.This is a short-term rental for us. It was on a bunch of platforms. We had a lot of guests coming in and out, but if anyone ever questioned our intent, it was very clear from the beginning that as soon as we bought it, we immediately put guests into it.
It was never listed for sale. We didn’t even do any renovations on it. So it was very clear what our intent was. So for a flip, there’s basically no way to, I think, to avoid that. Now, if you want to do a delayed flip, that could be an option where say you buy a property, you renovate it, you immediately place a tenant in there and then maybe you hold it for 24 months. Then maybe there’s an opportunity for you to sell that on the backend and still be eligible for a 1031. But again, you want to talk that over with your qualified tax professional to make sure that you’re setting yourself up appropriately, but flipping and 1031 typically don’t go together.

Ashley Kehr:
One thing that I’ve been thinking about doing is, so I doing a live-in flip right now and I’ve already got my next property set up, but it hasn’t been two years yet. So it’s been over a year, so I fulfilled my mortgage requirements by living here for a year, but if I move out right now, I will have to pay capital gains tax when I end up selling the property because it hasn’t hit that two-year mark. So what I think I’m going to do is move out to my new house when it’s done, but rent this property for several years and then I’m going to go ahead and sell it into a 1031 exchange so I’m still avoiding taxes and then investing into another property.
I’m not getting just cash for free. I still have to do the 1031 exchange to put the money into another property, but honestly, I’d probably do that with the proceeds anyways of this property. So there are different ways that you can work to make something work out if you do have to pivot or change your strategy, but I would definitely not risk it with a flip of just doing the rehab, listing it and selling it and then saying I’m doing a 1031 exchange that if you’re audited, it’ll definitely be called out. Okay. Well, thank you guys so much for joining us today on this episode of Rookie Reply. If you have questions, make sure to check out the BiggerPockets forums. I’m Ashley, he’s Tony, and we’ll see you guys on the next episode.

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Surging Treasury yields show America has no margin for error on its $31 trillion debt



In the days before the Memorial Day weekend, rates on 30 year Treasury bonds hit their highest level in 19 years at 5.2%, and the benchmark 10-year reached 4.7%, the top reading since mid-2007. If those kinds of yields take hold, the scenario for federal interest expense posited in the CBO’s “Budget and Economic Outlook: 2026 to 2036,” released in February, descends from dire to near-disastrous. Takeaway: America’s track to fiscal safety has lost all margin for error, and nothing demonstrates that better than the long-term impact of loftier than expected rates. America’s got so little room to maneuver that even yields that modestly exceed the CBO’s “baseline,” as the numbers compound in the years ahead, deliver a huge extra blow by crowding out big chunks of revenue that would otherwise go towards funding such essentials as Defense, Social Security and Medicare.

The CBO forecasts that yields on the 30 and 10-year Treasuries will respectively average about 4.65% and 4.15% through FY 2036. That’s roughly 55 basis points lower than the multi-year summit briefly notched in late May. Doesn’t sound like much of a difference, right? And if the interest expense on our gigantic and ballooning national debt of $39 trillion weren’t already running at nearly $1 trillion a year, bigger than Medicare spending and equaling two-thirds of Social Security outlays, the half-point upward shift would likely prove manageable.

But a recent report from the non-partisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget quantifies the deep damage even a continuation at the recent peaks would inflict. By 2036, interest expense would jump from absorbing 14% of all revenues to devouring 30%, five points more than under the CBO’s forecast. At $2.5 trillion, 2.5x today’s number, the carrying costs would become the second largest budget category, beating Medicare by one-third. Interest cost per household would soar from $7,900 last year to $17,000 a decade hence.

Much of today’s extreme vulnerability to even slightly higher rates arises from the need to both refinance existing debt, and shoulder trillions more in newly-issued bonds to cover deficits, at much higher cost. All told, the federal government will need to borrow almost $10 trillion in the next 12 months, equivalent to one-third our total debt. That amount consists of around $7.5 trillion to repay the Treasuries coming due, and $2 trillion for plugging the shortfall between revenues and spending. A major reason the U.S. accumulated so much debt in the first place was the lure of ultra-bargain yields orchestrated by the Fed’s easy money policy during and following the COVID crisis. In 2021 through early 2022, Treasury Bills, instruments that mature within a year, offered around a minuscule 0.2%. Today, that cost’s 18 times fatter at 3.7%.

Rates have also climbed for the Treasury Notes running 5 to 30 years that account for over half of all federal debt outstanding. Because we could borrow so cheaply for so long, the average rate on the Notes stands at just 3.23%. But the U.S. is refinancing the bonds that roll off for a lot more, 5.2% on the 30 year as of just before Memorial Day, and 4.7% on the 10-year.

In fact, the borrowing blowout that got the U.S. in so much trouble resembles the rush into “teaser” home loans in the 2007 runup to the housing meltdown; folks fell for temporary, super-low “teasers” rates that when they reset higher, saddled the borrowers with monthly payments they couldn’t afford. A similar dynamic’s at play as the U.S. refinances low-yielding Treasuries issued when it looked like a deal to finance huge government spending—at today’s much higher rates.

As of May 26, news that the Iran War may end soon pushed yields for the 30 and 10 year down slightly, so that they’re now sitting around 35 basis points above the CBO forecast. Still, the threat they’ll bounce back to the half-point-plus margin that’s so scary raises a stern warning for the new Fed chief Kevin Warsh. It’s encouraging that Warsh publicly favors tightening monetary policy by lowering the immense holdings of Treasuries on Fed’s balance sheet, a policy that involves unloading a big portion of its portfolio to the public. That gambit transforms trillions that would otherwise be spent into savings.

The Fed balance sheet shrink would also shrink what’s causing the problem: Extremely high “aggregate demand” across the economy that sends too many dollars chasing a volume of goods that’s growing far more slowly. (Noted economist Will Luther described this phenomenon in my recent story.) Warsh can also raise the Fed Funds rate, or even announce he has no plans for a reduction, to cool the still relatively-plentiful credit that’s fueling big spending by consumers and of course, humongous outlays for AI data centers. But the primary reason aggregate demand’s way too high is excessive levels of government spending that if left unchecked, could lead to even higher rates than the peak numbers that just unleashed such a jolt. Warsh can help by lifting the cost of credit to throttle both consumer and corporate spending, and sell bonds the Fed’s holding to target the latter. But he can’t control the big one, the runaway federal budget.

That responsibility falls on the President and on Congress. As the CRFB states in their analysis on the impact of rising yields, “The best way to accomplish these goals is through deficit reduction, which can help the Federal Reserve lower rates by reducing near-term inflationary pressures, put downward pressure on long-term rates by reducing economic crowd-out [that diverts money needed for budget must-pays to interest], and reduce the debt burden on which the government must pay interest.” The CRFB adds that yields that hang in the pre-Memorial Day range or push higher threaten to “spark a fiscal crisis.”

Nothing better illustrates that AMERICA IS BROKE than how an increase in yields that wouldn’t seem to matter much in most times could spell a cataclysm now that our fiscal state’s so fragile. Neither party wants to talk about how broke we really are, or do much to address the problem. Unfortunately, it may take an outbreak of unaffordable interest rates to force our lawmakers into facing the peril of their own making.