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Moderna Now Trades 61% Above Wall Street’s Average Price Target. Should You Sell?


Moderna (MRNA +14.21%) has been one of the market’s hottest stocks this year, surging more than 500% so far. The biotech stock has delivered these kinds of gains before, soaring more than 2,000% from the start of 2020 through early August of 2021, as its coronavirus vaccine delivered blockbuster revenue. Moderna was one of the stars of early pandemic days, bringing a vaccine to market in a matter of months — a vaccine that would become one of the world’s top-selling pharmaceutical products.

In the years to follow, though, Moderna’s earnings picture and stock performance fell into the doldrums. Demand for the vaccine, its only product at the time, slid in later pandemic days, and Moderna found itself cutting costs to account for this shift. Meanwhile, the company gained other product approvals and advanced its pipeline, but investors didn’t immediately jump on board. In fact, the stock slid in recent years.

This year, however, investors have gotten excited about Moderna again, particularly in response to the progress of its personalized cancer vaccine candidate. That’s supercharged Moderna’s stock performance, and as a result, Moderna now trades 61% above Wall Street’s average price target. Is it time to sell? Let’s find out.

Image source: Getty Images.

Moderna’s mRNA expertise

Moderna, as mentioned, experienced tremendous growth thanks to its first commercialized product, the coronavirus vaccine. At its peak in 2022, it generated more than $18 billion in product revenue. And, importantly, it proved the efficacy of Moderna’s messenger RNA technology, which the company uses across its pipeline. Moderna uses mRNA to teach the body to make certain proteins that protect against or fight certain diseases.

The biotech company has broadened its product portfolio and advanced its pipeline since early pandemic days. Today, it has four commercialized products in the U.S. — two coronavirus vaccines, a flu vaccine, and a vaccine for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). And it recently won approval in Europe for a combined flu/coronavirus vaccine.

Still, investors didn’t immediately recognize the potential of Moderna beyond its early coronavirus days successes, and the stock slid 83% over the past three years.

This year, however, has marked a clear turnaround. Investors have cheered the progress of Moderna’s personalized cancer vaccine and rushed to get in on the stock. Moderna is investigating the candidate in about 10 clinical trials, with the most advanced in phase 3. And just recently, Moderna said that its candidate, intismeran autogene, paired with Merck‘s Keytruda, met endpoints for recurrence-free survival and survival without cancer spreading to distant organs in a melanoma trial. Based on data from this phase 3 trial, Moderna says it will speak with regulators about filing submissions.

Moderna’s tremendous gain

Much of Moderna’s gain for this year came after the release of that data.

Moderna Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(14.21%) $28.00

Current Price

$225.00

Now, let’s return to our question: With Moderna now trading significantly above Wall Street’s average price target, is it time to sell the stock? Considering Moderna’s massive gain so far this year, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the stock stagnate or pull back at a certain point. It may have climbed too far, too fast.

That said, Moderna’s long-term story remains bright. While some of the good news may be priced in at today’s levels, this biotech company is in the early days of its growth. The company’s personalized vaccine is being studied across various types of cancer, so it could eventually be used for a broad range of patients. It is important to keep in mind, however, that personalized vaccines aren’t as easy to produce at scale as a treatment that isn’t personalized. So even product approval here may not drive rapid growth.

Moderna’s pipeline is strong, however, and could progressively transform this company into a biotech giant, with a wide range of products across treatment areas and a strong earnings picture. So the stock holds growth potential over time.

What should you do now? If you’ve held Moderna shares for a while and aim to lock in some gains, potentially to expand into other stocks or sectors, now may be a good time to do so. As I mentioned above, the stock could take a pause after its tremendous gain this year. But over time, as Moderna launches new products and advances its pipeline, the stock should have plenty of room to run — so overall, it is still a fantastic biotech player to own.

Blockchain.com Seeks CFTC Approval To Launch US Prediction Markets And Crypto Derivatives


Blockchain.com, a long-established digital asset platform, has moved to secure regulatory clearance that would allow it to expand into US prediction markets and cryptocurrency derivatives trading.

The company informed CNBC that it has submitted applications for two licenses from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the federal agency responsible for overseeing futures and derivatives markets.

The filings request a designated contract market license, which would authorize Blockchain.com to operate as a regulated futures exchange, and registration as a futures commission merchant, the status that permits a firm to act as a broker for derivatives contracts.

Approval of both would enable the platform to list event contracts—instruments that let participants take positions on the outcomes of real-world events—alongside cryptocurrency derivatives for retail and institutional customers in the United States.

Peter Smith, co-founder and CEO of Blockchain.com, framed the applications as part of a broader effort to simplify user experiences.

In a statement, he said customers should be able to manage digital assets, trade derivatives, and take positions on real-world events conveniently without needing to switch between separate applications.

He added that the DCM and FCM applications advance that integrated vision in the US by working through established regulatory channels.

The regulatory push follows activity the company has already launched outside the United States.

Earlier in 2026, Blockchain.com began offering prediction markets to certain international users through a partnership with Polymarket and introduced perpetual futures trading powered by Hyperliquid for a subset of those customers.

Those products currently remain unavailable to US clients.

If the new licenses are granted, Blockchain.com would gain the ability to provide similar offerings directly under its own regulated structure rather than routing them exclusively through third-party partners.

The applications arrive amid rising interest among crypto firms in prediction markets and among prediction market operators in crypto-style products.

Platforms such as Crypto.com and Gemini Space Station run their own event contract marketplaces, while Coinbase primarily offers such contracts through a partnership with Kalshi.

Separately, Kalshi and Polymarket have expanded into perpetual futures—one of the most actively traded instruments in crypto—for US and international users, respectively.

Blockchain.com joins eleven other companies that have filed for designated contract market licenses in 2026 alone.

The CFTC has approved six new DCMs so far this year.

The firm is also advancing plans to enter public markets.

It confidentially submitted a draft registration statement to the Securities and Exchange Commission in May for a proposed initial public offering.

Bloomberg reported the previous month that the company aims to go public this year, targeting a valuation between $4 billion and $6 billion.

The licenses remain under review, with no announced timeline for a potential US launch.

The move reflects a wider industry pattern in which digital asset platforms seek to consolidate custody, trading, derivatives, and event-based contracts into fewer regulated interfaces while navigating an evolving federal and state oversight landscape for prediction markets.

In September 2026, Blockchain.com also signed a memorandum of understanding with the New York Stock Exchange Group to explore providing its users access to tokenized US-listed stocks and ETFs through the exchange’s planned digital trading venue, subject to regulatory approvals.



You’ve Been Overlooking Your Best Idea People. AI Is About to Fix That.


Opinions expressed by Entrepreneur contributors are their own.

Key Takeaways

  • The modern workplace has long rewarded the ability to package thinking into tidy output over the quality of the thinking itself.
  • AI now handles structuring, summarizing and formatting, which favors fast, associative thinkers, including many people with ADHD.

Everyone is asking who AI will replace. Almost nobody is asking the better question: Who will AI release?

It will release the person whose mind produces 10 ideas before breakfast and loses eight by lunch. The person who sees connections nobody else in the room sees but cannot get them into a memo anyone will read. The person who has heard “so much potential, if you could get organized” in every performance review of their career.

For 100 years, the modern workplace sorted people on one dominant trait. It wasn’t intelligence, creativity or judgment. It was the ability to convert thought into tidy, linear output, on schedule and in the right format. If you could do that, you advanced. If you couldn’t, the quality of your thinking never mattered, because nobody saw it.

I have spent decades building software companies, and the pattern held in every one. The most original minds I worked with were rarely the most organized. They thought in webs, not lines. They could hold an entire system in their heads and still miss the status meeting about it. The promotions went to the people who wrote clean documents and answered email in order.

Entrepreneurship has always drawn heavily from these minds. Michael Freeman, a clinical professor of psychiatry at the University of California, San Francisco, found that 29% of the entrepreneurs he studied reported ADHD. The CDC estimates that 6% of U.S. adults, about 15.5 million people, currently have the diagnosis. Many founders with ADHD landed in company-building because it was the only structure that did not punish the way their minds work.

Then AI arrived, and over the past three years it has started removing an obstacle those minds have faced their entire lives.

The packaging problem

Before anyone takes an idea seriously, it has to be packaged. That means hours spent sequencing, structuring, formatting and polishing good thinking into an acceptable format. I think of it as an organization tax: the toll charged between having an insight and getting credit for one.

That work was never equally hard for everyone. A linear, methodical mind barely notices it, because thinking and packaging are the same motion. A fast, associative mind, of which the ADHD mind is the clearest example, finds it punishing. The thinking arrives in fragments, out of order, three threads at once. So the insight dies in a notes app, or arrives two weeks late, or comes out as a ramble in a meeting where a tidier person restates it and collects the credit.

The workplace has always treated difficulty packaging ideas as a character flaw: Lacks follow-through. Needs to prioritize. Not detail-oriented. Those performance-review phrases measure packaging. We spent a century grading packaging and calling it potential.

Now flip the lens. If your career was built on packaging, meaning faithful execution, clean formatting and polished delivery of ideas that mostly originated elsewhere, AI is pointed directly at you.

I wrote here recently about the Prompt Test: If the instructions for a task could be dropped into an AI tool and produce the same output, the role as currently performed is automatable. Packaging is the other side of that ledger. AI absorbed more than instruction-following. It absorbed organizing itself. Structuring, summarizing, sequencing and formatting are now available for the price of a streaming subscription.

The trait the old system selected for hardest is the first one AI fully commoditized. The people who fail in this era will not fail because AI outthinks them. They will fail because packaging was their product, packaging is now free, and they kept defending it instead of climbing above it.

The scattered mind gets a translator

On the other end of the spectrum, something new is happening. For the first time, a mind that produces thought in fragments has a tool that assembles fragments into wholes. You can talk at an AI in 10 directions, and it hands back the through-line. You can dump three weeks of half-formed notes into one window and get back a structure you recognize as yours.

People with ADHD often describe this the same way: For the first time, I can see the bigger picture of my own thinking. The dots were always there. Connecting them was the hard part, and AI connects.

There is evidence behind the anecdote. When the U.K.’s Department for Business and Trade ran a three-month evaluation of Microsoft 365 Copilot across 1,000 employees, neurodivergent staff reported significantly higher satisfaction than their neurotypical colleagues and were more likely to recommend the tool. One said it had leveled the playing field.

What the research shows

The pattern extends beyond neurodivergence. Stanford economist Erik Brynjolfsson, with MIT’s Danielle Li and Lindsey Raymond, studied more than 5,000 customer support agents given a generative AI assistant. Productivity rose 14% on average, 34% for the newest, least-skilled agents, while the most experienced barely moved. A Harvard Business School and Boston Consulting Group experiment with 758 consultants found the same shape: The bottom half of performers improved 43% with GPT-4, more than double the 17% gain of the top half.

Read together, the findings say AI compresses the execution gap and leaves the judgment gap. Whatever separated the bottom of the distribution from the top in speed, polish and format, AI closes. What it cannot supply is the quality of the raw thinking, the taste to know which of 10 threads matters, and the judgment to see that the assignment itself is wrong.

So the question that decides success is not whether you use AI. Everyone will. The question is what is left of you once the packaging is free. If your thinking was always better than your output, AI is the best thing that has ever happened to your career. If your output was always better than your thinking, you have a harder conversation ahead, and less time for it than you think.

The new sort

Every technology re-sorts the workforce. The assembly line rewarded punctuality. The corporation rewarded organization. AI rewards original judgment and the curiosity to keep feeding it.

That should worry some people and liberate others. For a century, work sorted people by how well they could organize their thoughts. It is starting to sort them by whether the thoughts were worth organizing. Some people are about to be found out. Others are about to be found.

Key Takeaways

  • The modern workplace has long rewarded the ability to package thinking into tidy output over the quality of the thinking itself.
  • AI now handles structuring, summarizing and formatting, which favors fast, associative thinkers, including many people with ADHD.

Everyone is asking who AI will replace. Almost nobody is asking the better question: Who will AI release?

It will release the person whose mind produces 10 ideas before breakfast and loses eight by lunch. The person who sees connections nobody else in the room sees but cannot get them into a memo anyone will read. The person who has heard “so much potential, if you could get organized” in every performance review of their career.

For 100 years, the modern workplace sorted people on one dominant trait. It wasn’t intelligence, creativity or judgment. It was the ability to convert thought into tidy, linear output, on schedule and in the right format. If you could do that, you advanced. If you couldn’t, the quality of your thinking never mattered, because nobody saw it.

Industry veteran says brokers are in a tunnel, not walking the plank


“A lot of really veteran originators are resisting something that I call the CEO oversight of sales, which is that we always have to be acquiring new clients and new referral partners,” she said. “I challenge them to examine and not assume that the poor referral base is just the market, to really look at what they’re getting and go back to the basics.”

She said the basics include scoping out a geographic area, using the industry’s vetting tools, and not writing off a realtor who already works with another lender. Independent brokers are CEOs of their own shops, she said, and nobody is coming to tell them to rebuild their sales funnels.

Beckwith also encouraged brokers not to write off cash-out refinances, even in an elevated market. JD Power’s 2026 U.S. Mortgage Servicer Satisfaction Study found 59% of borrowers are financially vulnerable, stressed, or overextended and 30% fear losing their home.

The focus needs to be on the benefit of the move, rather than the rate change, she said.

“Sure, your rate’s going to go up,” Beckwith said. “But if you get rid of this $30,000, $40,000 unprecedented high revolving compounding interest debt on credit cards and you maybe grab some cash, put yourself in a better reserve position, that increase to your mortgage rate, even though your mortgage payment may go up, your overall savings may be paramount. Your re-securing and resetting of your financial position may be paramount.”

GCrypto: How to start Cryptocurrency Trading in GCash & Earn Money #crypto #gcrypto #gcash #ginvest



Hi everyone! In this video, I want to share a simple walkthrough on how to get started with cryptocurrency trading using the GCrypto feature within the GInvest option in GCash.

I’m sharing this because I know many of us are curious about exploring new ways to manage our money. Please remember that trading comes with risks, so always do your own research and only invest what you are comfortable with. I hope this short guide helps you navigate the platform a little easier!

Timestamps / Chapters:
0:00 – Introduction
0:18 – Checking my Trading Wallet balance
0:38 – How to top up your GCrypto wallet
0:55 – Withdrawing funds from GCrypto
1:21 – Important note on email authentication for withdrawals
1:48 – Choosing and buying cryptocurrency (ADA example)
2:24 – Entering the trade amount
3:01 – Managing your investment and staying patient
3:50 – Final tips and sign-off

👉Follow Me🔔
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

source

News Roundup: Amex Fined $350M, WeBull China Ties, Cathay Suspends JAL Awards & More


You can stay in touch with us on Facebook/Twitter/Threads/Bluesky, or you can join the discussion with 5,000+ members in our DDG Facebook Group. You can also subscribe to get all news/deals via one daily email, or choose instant notifications for time sensitive deals. As always, thank you for reading and supporting the site!

News Roundup

It’s time for another look at some interesting stories from around the web. Webull is under scrutiny over alleged national security concerns tied to China, while American Express has been hit with a $350 million penalty over anti-money laundering failures.

On the travel side, JW Marriott has opened its first all-inclusive resort, Cathay Pacific has suspended Japan Airlines award bookings, and several major hotel brands are rolling out new and refreshed properties. There’s also a new Cardlytics partnership with Rove that could help members earn more toward future trips.

 

Trading platform Webull’s China ties create national security risk, congressional panel finds; stock drops 18%

Digital investment platform Webull, which counts 28 million global users, is quietly “tied in structural ways” to China’s government, representing a national security threat to U.S. finance, according to a bipartisan congressional panel’s findings
➡️ Read more at CNBC

 

JW Marriott Debuts Its First All-Inclusive Resort with the Opening of JW Marriott Costa Elena Resort & Spa

JW Marriott announced the highly anticipated opening of JW Marriott Costa Elena Resort & Spa, marking a significant milestone as the brand’s first-ever all-inclusive resort worldwide. More than a traditional all-inclusive getaway, the resort introduces JW Marriott’s all-immersive approach to luxury hospitality, creating the space and freedom for guests to enjoy each moment fully, without distraction.
➡️ Read press release

 

American Express fined $350 million for insufficient anti-money laundering program

US bank regulators fined American Express $350 million after they determined the lender’s programs to identify potential money laundering ​were insufficient and the company potentially missed billions of dollars in ​suspicious activity. The US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and ⁠the Federal Reserve announced the enforcement action on Thursday, saying the company, ​primarily via its national bank, failed to maintain a sufficient anti-money laundering compliance ​program, including inadequate resources, inexperienced staff, weak training and internal control gaps.
➡️ Read more at Reuters

 

Cathay Pacific Asia Miles Suspends Japan Airlines Awards

Cathay Pacific has stopped issuing awards on Japan Airlines flights, and you cannot even change existing tickets with JAL segments. It is unclear how long this suspension lasts or what the reasons behind it are.
➡️ Read more at LoyaltyLobby

 

The Ritz-Carlton Naples, Tiburón unveils new look

The Ritz-Carlton Naples, Tiburón officially unveils its fully reimagined resort, inviting guests and the local community to experience the next chapter of this iconic retreat. Spearheaded by Parker Torres Design, the multi-million-dollar transformation debuts a refreshed lobby, residential-style accommodations, an elevated Club Lounge, Swaying Palm event space, and three new culinary concepts: Palmera, Fenrose, and Café Fenrose. The redesign refines a lush resort rooted in classic leisure and recreation, serving as the inland counterpart to its beachfront sister property.
➡️ Read press release

 

Cardlytics and Rove Team Up to Help Travelers Earn Their Next Trip Faster

Cardlytics announced a new partnership with Rove, the first universal airline mile program built for Gen Z and Millennials, extending the Cardlytics Rewards Platform (CRP) and further diversifying Cardlytics’ supply footprint.
➡️ Read press release

 

Hilton Grand Vacations Opens Ka Haku, a Hilton Club in Waikiki

Hilton opened Ka Haku, a Hilton Club. Located in the heart of Waikiki, Ka Haku is the company’s 14th resort in the state and the first Hilton Club-branded property in Hawaii, a distinction reserved for a boutique, highly curated ownership experience. The property offers 205 studios, one-, two- and three-bedroom suites with ocean, mountain and city views, along with an arrival and departure lounge, a state-of-the-art fitness center, pool and bar..
➡️ Read press release

 

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What Matters Most in 2027 (Rookie Reply)


Should a rental property put cash in your pocket each month or build serious wealth over time? Cash flow versus appreciation is the oldest debate in real estate investing, but the answer depends on several factors. Today, you’ll learn how to pick the path that fits your goals and get the most out of your investments!

Welcome back to another Rookie Reply! We’re tackling three questions straight from the BiggerPockets Forums. First up, an investor who wants to house hack a small multifamily home is torn between cheaper towns with more cash flow and pricier towns with more appreciation. We have the answer!

Next, a high-income earner is weighing multiple investing strategies, from Section 8 and the BRRRR method to value-add deals and sober living facilities. Ashley and Tony go head-to-head on the best next step forward. Finally, a broker wants to learn the investor side of real estate, from acquisition to exit, before putting her own money on the line–and we discuss what to look out for when getting started!

Ashley:
Today’s rookie reply is about choosing a lien before you buy. A lot of rookies have savings, a market in mind, or professional experience, but really the hard part is narrowing down those options enough to take action.

Tony:
And today’s questions come from the BiggerPockets Forum, and we have a Connecticut rookie choosing between cash flow and appreciation, a high income earning beginner deciding what strategy actually fits with his life, and a broker who wants to understand the investor side before putting capital at risk.

Ashley:
This is the Real Estate Rookie Podcast. I’m Ashley Kehr.

Tony:
And I’m Tony J. Robinson. And with that, let’s get into today’s first question. So this question comes from Luke, and Luke says, “I’m a rookie investor looking for my first deal. I’m located in Central Connecticut and have saved about $50,000 for real estate investing, and I’ve decided that I would like to house hack a multifamily to get into my first property. I want to buy within about a 30 minute radius of Hartford, but not necessarily in Hartford itself. I’m curious what towns have worked well for others who’ve used this strategy. It seems like towns with the most inventory of multifamily homes have lower price points and property taxes, but may not appreciate as much compared to higher income towns like West Hartford and Weathersfield, where prices are higher, but there is a greater upside for appreciation. Do I focus on finding properties in nicer neighborhoods within the lower income towns?
Do I wait for more assets to hit markets in the higher income towns? Do you think appreciation or cash flow is more important for a first investment? I’m open to recommendations on towns and areas to look into, and I’d love to connect with other local investors.” All right. Luke, if we had a nickel for every time someone asks cashflow or appreciation, the truth is that real estate can do both, but it’s really up to you what you want to optimize for. And I don’t think me nor Ashley nor anyone else can answer that question for you. It’s like, what is more important to you? Where are you at in your life? What is your goal with real estate investing? If you are someone who wants to retire from their job early, then yes, maybe focusing on cash flow makes more sense because you househike a deal today, lived there for a year, repeat that same process next year.
And over the course of 10 years, you’ve got 10 beautiful house hacks, small multifamilies in Connecticut that are all cash flow and great. And maybe now you’ve got some optionality around jobs and life and what that looks like. If you’re someone who loves their career and loves what you do and you have no desire to retire before you turn 65, then yes, maybe appreciation is a better play. And over the course of 30 years, you’re not going to house hack forever, but say you house hack again for the next 10 or 15 years and you look up in 30 years and you’ve got a bunch of close to paid off properties, maybe you’re in a really, really good position. So I think it’s hard for us to really say cashflow or appreciation without us knowing what’s your motivations? What do you actually want?

Ashley:
I want to touch on the question he asked about should he find properties in nicer neighborhoods within the lower income towns or should he save up more and to invest in these higher end neighborhoods? And I think you need to look at the properties there in the markets to fully understand what it takes to invest in there and not only with how much capital. When I first started, I invested in those lower income towns. I was attracted to the $20,000 duplexes and I found out a lot of those were actually more headaches. And the properties that I kept in my portfolio, those were the ones that were better areas. There was less crime. There were better school districts. And because of that, I had a better pool of tenants to choose from, which gave me less headaches. The properties that were $20,000, they were pigs with lipstick slapped onto them.
They had been cosmetically updated, but they never actually had a good renovation where there was quality work done to the property. But unfortunately, because these were lower income towns, if I was going to go and do a full renovation, I wouldn’t be able to recoup my money because there was a cap that you could charge for rent. You couldn’t increase the rent, even if you did granite countertops, even if you did all brand new drywall throughout, updated the electric, updated the plumbing, you couldn’t increase the rents because nobody could afford over a certain amount in that market. And so I ended up offloading. Now those properties got me started. They did. And actually my timing was amazing. I sold most of them for double what I purchased them for, but that’s definitely not a guarantee and that was just luck. But I think you need to understand fully what actually goes into buying a nicer property and a nicer area compared to a lower end property that’s going to need more work.
So if you’re super handy, you have a lot of time, maybe one of these properties is better for you. You have the time to manage it. You have the time to put a great tenant in there to manage the tenant. You have the time to take care of the maintenance, the repairs. You want to make sure you have a lot of reserves, but I want you to compare those two and think, what do you actually want to deal with? Because when you’re looking at different classes of neighborhood, there are different issues that you’re going to deal with.

Tony:
And he also mentioned that he wants a house hack, right? So the other layer that we have to consider is just personal preference. He’s going to be living there. So for these areas where maybe the price points are lower, is that a place where you’ll enjoy living, where you’ll feel safe or is that a place where maybe you’re just not going to really enjoy being? So I think when you are house hacking, that is maybe the only type of real estate investing where you can get really emotional because

Ashley:
It’s going to be your home. It’s your house too. Yeah. If you’re living
An hour from your job because you could afford a property there, you’re probably going to be miserable on that commute and then you’re going to be spending two hours a day commuting and it’s going to kind of offset the whole purpose of investing in real estate to make your lifestyle better. Okay. So coming up, a 25-year-old with strong income has several investing paths in front of him. We’ll talk about how to choose the first strategy without trying to build the whole business at once. Okay, welcome back. So Luke is trying to narrow market. Our next question is from Mason who is trying to narrow a strategy. He has done a great job growing income and keeping expenses low, but now the challenge is choosing where to focus first. So Mason says, “I’m 25 and worked hard to grow income from 45K to 185K the last two years while keeping expenses the same.
I’ve always wanted to get into real estate growing up as I looked up to our landlord, super cool guy. I’d like to turn it into a business full-time eventually and feel ready to start while working full-time with my current financial situation. If any are terrible options, I’d like to know. I would like to help people, whether it’s providing people places to live or showing someone later down the line how to do the same thing. I’ve been considering Section eight, Burr and Dallas. I enjoy seeing things come to life, value add, single family homes, cosmetic start, or sober living homes since I lived in one for a while. I’m now three and a half years sober. And again, I want to help people.” Okay, Mason, this is awesome. And I think real estate is definitely an industry where you can have a moral compass, you can help people and you can make money.

Tony:
I think I also just want to give him credit, right? I mean, he 4Xed his income in a really short period of time. And we talk a lot about on the rookie podcast about the strategies to the Xs and Os of real estate investing, but one of the things that I feel like we don’t talk a lot about is getting a bigger shovel, being able to grow your income because investing at a $45,000 salary is much, much harder than investing at a $185,000 salary. So just for a lot of rookies, things just get easier when there’s more money to work with. So just kudos to Luke on that part. But the bigger question here is what strategy, right?

Ashley:
He definitely needs to narrow it down because if you’re looking at all different property types for all these different strategies, you’re going to get overwhelmed fast.

Tony:
There’s no right answer. And I feel like it’s so hard to tell someone like, “Hey, this is a strategy you need to focus on.” Because for every strategy that he listed, what do we have? We have Sober Living, we have Burr, Section eight, value add cosmetic. Some of those can be

Ashley:
Combined

Tony:
Into
One. Yeah. You could burr into a Section eight and then Burr and do sober living. But there are people who are uber successful in every single one of those strategies. And there are also people who are uber unsuccessful in all of those strategies. So the strategy is agnostic. I think it’s more so about which one aligns best with who he is, what his resources are, what his strengths, his challenges, all those things. Which one do you feel aligns best with who you are? Now for me, just kind of reading the question, sober living just kind of seems like one that you’re going to connect with the best because you said, “I like helping people. I’m three and a half years sober. I stayed an actual sober living facility.” That feels like the one that’s going to naturally align best with you and has really, really great upside in terms of being a good investment.
So you’re checking both boxes, helping someone and getting a really, really good return on your own investment.

Ashley:
I think I’m going to challenge that one because I think that one is the heaviest lift for first time investor because unless you’re buying it turnkey already where it’s, because this is also an operating business, which a short term rental would be too, is you’re going to need to know do you need any licensing requirements? Do you need any permits? How do you manage it? So I think there’s a whole other side to this to think about when doing sober living as to will you just provide the housing and another company will come in and manage it? So all of those factors, what do you have time for? Do you have time to not only research the real estate part of it, but also the sober living element of it too? We have done a couple great podcast episodes too of sober living where they break it down and explain the overall thing, but it does seem like it’s a lot more work than just managing a long-term tenant.
And it seems like once you get the systems and processes in place and it’s repeatable and gets easier. But that would be my challenge on that, that if he’s already working a full-time job, as in would he have time to know how to start that up? So I think I’m going to say no on that one. And I think I’m going to say starting with a burr. If he can’t do a house hack, I’m going to say do a burr and add value to a property. It sounds like he has the capital to buy the property and to cover the renovations, do the burr, get that property going. Then maybe go into the sober living.

Tony:
The only reason I disagree with you,
He’s 25. He doesn’t mention wife, doesn’t mention kids, 25, big income. This guy should be working 60 hours a week anyway, right? Yeah. And I think that he might actually have an advantage doing the sober living because he’s already lived it. He’s experienced it. So he’s seen it from the inside of how to actually operate it. But I was just talking to my son about this. So my son’s just graduated from high school, he’s 18. And I told him, I was like, “You can’t be broke and well rested. You got to pick one.” So it’s like if you’re going to be broke, at least be broken like hustling. So same thing. It’s like you’ve got the time. There’s no one else depending on you. Sounds like you’ve already done a really good job of growing your income, keeping expenses in line. But dude, if you grind for the next five years even, his life as a 30-year-old could be completely different, completely different.
So get to work, man. Mason, just go grind it out.

Ashley:
It’s been a really long time since you’ve given us a quote that you’ve given Sean. You used to give them all the time. That’s true. I was collecting them for a book to put together.

Tony:
That’s true. All right guys, after the break, a real estate broker who knows the transactional side of real estate investing wants to understand the actual real estate investing side before putting her own money at risk. So we’ll talk about what to learn, how to learn it, and how to be a good investor from start to finish. All right. Our last question comes from Jennifer and she already understands residential transactions as a real estate broker, but she wants to learn how investors think through the deal from acquisition to exit. So her question says, “I’m looking for recommendations and just useful resources that teach investors the investor side of real estate transactions from beginning to end. I’m already a real estate broker, so I’m already very comfortable with the transactional side of real estate transactions, property values, negotiations, contracts, inspections, and the processes from offering through closing.
What I haven’t done is invest in and flip real estate for myself. And I’d like to learn that side properly before putting significant money at risk. I’m also not married to one particular investment strategy yet. I’m interested in learning about single family homes, multifamily vacant land, rehabs, wholesaling assignments, and any other strategies before deciding where I want to focus. What I’m having trouble finding is a resource that really connects all the dots. How do experienced investors determine their maximum acquisition price and required margin? How are rehab costs, carrying costs, financing costs, ARV and risk factored into the numbers? How is the acquisition funded or structured? How does proof of funds work when using different financing strategies? What is due diligence and how is it different for different strategies? And then ultimately, how do you execute the exit? What’s the resale, assignment, refinance, rental, et cetera?
All right, it’s a great question. There’s a lot of questions in the question, but I think the fundamental thing that she’s asking is how do I build competence in one area? I think of it almost like a funnel where it’s like when you’re first starting out as a real estate investor, the goal is just broad exposure to as much information and as many different strategies as possible. So the first step is what you’re doing, consuming podcasts like the Real Estate Rookie podcast, binging as many YouTube channels as you can find, training your algorithm on TikTok, Instagram to teach you things as you’re going through, but just broad exposure to a lot of different strategies. And I think naturally, as you start to think about your own personal goals as an investor and as you think about which strategies actually align with those, naturally you’ll start leaning toward the one that starts to resonate with you.
But I think the biggest thing where a lot of aspiring real estate investors get stuck is analysis paralysis. And how do you teeter that line of, I want to be educated, but I don’t want to –

Ashley:
Make a mistake.

Tony:
Make a mistake, right? And I think the way that I think about it is that as a rookie investor, you have to, and really not even as a rookie investor, anyone who wants to do anything entrepreneurially, like anything that requires risk, we have to separate the ideas of comfort and confidence because they sound super similar, but they’re actually different things. And comfort only exists when you’re doing something that you’ve done before. For me, I’m very comfortable sitting here talking into a microphone about real estate because we’re on episode 781. So I’ve done this a lot. So I’m very comfortable on this microphone because I’ve done it. Confidence doesn’t necessarily require comfort because if I’m doing something brand new, the first time I sat in front of this microphone, I was nervous because I’d never done it before, but I was confident in my abilities to do it well, which is why I still did it.
So for the rookie investors that are listening, I think you have to accept that your first deal is going to feel uncomfortable. Build the confidence, but stop waiting for the comfort to appear because it never will.

Ashley:
Yeah. I think that’s a great point as to the analysis paralysis and really it’s all in your mind. A lot of it is mindset. I think you are overwhelmed with information about how to get started. It is definitely hard to give yourself a clear action plan, but you are also consuming all of these things that have gone wrong or even all of these things that have gone right that maybe you’re not doing the right strategy or not doing this right because this person did it better and got this result. And I think the first step is to really narrow down and define as much as you can, like defining your strategy, defining your buy box, defining what for due diligence, what’s a hard no for you? What are you going to accept under due diligence? But I think you have to look at all of the other people that have bought a property, not even an investment property.
Look at everybody that makes it from viewing the property to closing on a property. Sometimes real estate investors, especially with all of the knowledge out there, get so stuck in their head. I think one of the questions was the process of going from making the offer to closing. Think about how many people do that every single day that have no knowledge about real estate investing at all.
So I think that we get into our heads a lot and I think that it is a huge mindset shift that you need to remember that you already know more than a lot of other people know and that’s going to be your advantage and that’s going to be your head start and you’re never going to feel that comfort that Tony was talking about. We’re still doing bad deals. I have a property that’s been for sale for a year that I haven’t sold. Tony’s got one for two years for two years. Even if you have been doing it, I’ve been investing since 2013, there still are going to be mistakes made. There still are going to be lessons learned. But I will tell you what, that very first deal, that second deal, that third deal, since I bought them so long ago, they have made me so much money over the past 10 years where if I would’ve just kept waiting and waiting, I wouldn’t have had that opportunity of increasing rents to increase the cash flow appreciation over that time, mortgage pay down.
And now those properties have given me financial opportunity. And so don’t let analysis paralysis or that you don’t think you know everything because you already know more than most people out there.

Tony:
And I could tell she knows more just by the detailed question that she’s asking, right? It’s like you’ve already done a lot of the research. So for me it’s like, hey, what is… Brandon Turner used to talk about the most important next step, right? And I think that’s what Ricky investors should focus on is like, “Hey, what is the most important thing that I need to focus on now to continue to make progress?” And then the last thing I’ll say is that we can also reduce, because that’s usually what creates the fear for us is the risk of making the mistake. But if we simply take a smaller swing, then even if we do mess up, it’s not as impactful because it was small stakes to begin with. So say you have $100,000 to go invest into a property, what if instead of investing $100,000, you only invested 30,000 of that?
And hey, let’s go play with this 30K because even if I lose it all, I still have $70,000 left over. So can we start smaller? And sometimes that’s an easy way to bridge that gap and make the first deal feel less scary.

Ashley:
I think about this all the time, people with 401 s, millions of people just hand their money out to their 401 s, no questions asked, you get your job. Do you even know how to get your money out of your 401k? Do you know what form you would fill out or what process you would take to get that money back? Do you know what you’re invested in? Do you know if you even get dividends? Do you know anything about your 401? And I think people invest so much money into that. And with real estate, you could be putting the same amount of capital, but you have more control. You don’t have control over the S&P 500 unless you’re influencing Apple stock by buying Apple computers every single day to increase sales or something. But my point is that if you make a mistake, you also have the ability and the control to fix that mistake or to correct it somehow.
Well, thank you guys so much for joining us today on this episode of Real Estate Rookie. I’m Ashley and he’s Tony. If you guys are watching this on YouTube, make sure you are subscribed so you get notified when we have new video releases like this. If you have any questions that you want answered in our next rookie reply, you can go ahead and put them into the comments of this YouTube channel or you can message into the BiggerPockets forums and I bet another investor will answer it before we even get to it. Thanks so much for joining us.

 

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Trump’s Medicaid cuts deny health coverage to some legal immigrants—even human trafficking victims



New restrictions have stripped Medicaid coverage from certain legal immigrants, including refugees and victims of human trafficking, as part of broader federal changes to the health insurance program that are expected to force millions off their coverage.

The change effective Oct. 1 cut from Medicaid what is estimated to be hundreds of thousands of people who legally immigrated to the United States, many of whom work and pay taxes, in the latest Trump administration policy to target foreigners.

The move is part of sweeping changes to Medicaid under President Donald Trump’s 2025 tax cut and policy law, with many set to take effect early next year. The Medicaid changes are projected to result in 7.5 million fewer people with health insurance, according to the Congressional Budget Office’s 2025 estimate.

Advocates say that without Medicaid, people will not be able to afford private insurance and will either delay care or end up in emergency rooms, adding pressure to a strained health system. For immigrants, the cuts could be felt more acutely, compounding the effects of other administration efforts to restrict their access to public assistance as part of a broader immigration crackdown.

“This is about telling every immigrant in the United States that they are not welcome here and that they should leave,” said Ben D’Avanzo, a senior strategist at the National Immigration Law Center, which has pursued litigation against the Republican administration over its immigration agenda.

Refugees, asylum seekers, victims of human trafficking and domestic violence are among those who have lost coverage. Green-card holders were not impacted.

Lauren Bis, a White House spokesperson, said in a statement that “immigrants must be able to support themselves without taking from overburdened benefits programs paid for by hard-working American taxpayers.”

D’Avanzo said many people who have lost coverage will likely only realize when they need medical care. But for some, the change has been felt immediately.

Dwindling supplies of lifesaving medication

In Tucson, Arizona, María Chacon has been caring for her son Jesus for almost five years since a car accident at 17 left him unable to breathe on his own. He requires a ventilator, a feeding tube and daily medication, and must be turned once every two hours to stop sores from forming. Chacon said he sometimes opens his eyes.

The family is originally from Mexico and entered the U.S. on a T visa, offered to victims of human trafficking, in 2018.

Chacon said Medicaid has helped cover almost $25,000 per month of care for her son, which includes a small stipend for her and her husband as compensation for being long-term caregivers. She said doctors have explained that even if they both worked 24 hours a day, they would not be able to cover the cost of his care.

“Since that day I haven’t been able to sleep. We haven’t been able to eat or anything. We’re wondering what we’re going to do?” Chacon said.

Jesus takes medication that Chacon estimates costs $7,000 a month. The supply runs out in mid-October. Without coverage, she does not know how her son is going to survive.

Chacon found out just days before the cuts that she was losing care. She called the state’s Medicaid offices to appeal. Although she is in the process of obtaining a green card, Medicaid coverage would only kick in five years after she is approved.

Steven Camarota, research director for the Center for Immigration Studies, a right-leaning think tank that seeks less immigration, said the administration “is trying to nibble around the edges” with the Oct. 1 cuts, finding piecemeal ways to curb immigration into the U.S.

Camarota believes the government should screen legal immigrants for income potential and education, reducing the number who might rely on public benefits once they cross the border.

“You need immigrants who are unlikely to need welfare,” he said, or those with high educational attainment.

The administration recently revived a federal rule that could deny green cards to immigrants who use public benefits that could include food stamps, Medicaid, housing vouchers and others.

Chacon believes the cuts to Medicaid coverage are part of the administration’s clampdown on immigrants. She said her son is in no condition to travel.

“I know that’s what he’s doing, but, as my son is, I couldn’t go to Mexico,” Chacon said.

Millions more will be dropped from Medicaid

Medicaid, jointly funded by states and the federal government, has become a political focal point during Trump’s second term. The president has pushed to root out what he describes as fraud in the program. In July, the administration deferred over $1 billion in Medicaid payments to California and Minnesota, claiming there was suspected fraud; critics argued the move targeted Democratic-led states.

As more people are cut from Medicaid, the federal government is predicted to reduce program spending by $911 billion, according to healthcare research nonprofit KFF.

In Arizona, officials said 29,000 legal immigrants were cut from Medicaid rolls on Oct. 1. In Florida, estimates are closer to 177,000. Overall, more than 281,000 immigrants from nine states and the District of Columbia are estimated to lose Medicaid coverage, according to KFF.

As more states implement various restrictions to coverage, 7.5 million people are expected to lose coverage by 2034, according to analysis by the Congressional Budget Office.

Without coverage, people will turn to emergency rooms for care. When people delay seeing a doctor, conditions can worsen and become even more expensive to treat.

“At the end of the day, it does raise the cost for the states because once you get these people in for something that could have been prevented, they could not go to the doctor because they were uninsured; they most likely will end up at a hospital in an emergency room,” said Carmen Feliciano, the vice president of policy and advocacy at UnidosUS, a Latino civil rights organization.

UnidosUS partners with community organizations to help provide medical care, but Feliciano said they already are overwhelmed and would not be able to support the number of people who are going to lose medical coverage in the coming months.

“We are not going to have the capacity to serve all the people who need it,” Feliciano said.

Super El Niño Could Stock Small Retailers for the Wrong Winter. Weak Sales Aren’t the Only Risk



A warmer winter could leave sellers with excess coats and ski gear, forcing markdowns and lost sales.

20% Off Select Items With Promo Code COUNTDOWN20


The Offer

Direct link to offer (our affiliate link)

  • eBay is offering 20% off select items with promo code COUNTDOWN20, up to $500 off. Limit two uses, valid until 10/11/26

Our Verdict

Obviously not available on all items and make sure you price compare. Share any good deals you find in the comments below.

Hat tip to DDG