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“A worker can oppose capitalism while still being forced to sell labor and buy necessities,” the reader wrote to me, “just as a prisoner can oppose incarceration while remaining confined.” Buying a secondhand jacket or a $5 treat—or waiting on a long line in a bout of “democratized snobbery” or “conspicuous waiting”—doesn’t abolish wages, rent, debt or the fact someone else owns the means of production. It just changes how a person survives inside a system they have no way to leave.
He’s right. Just because you spend money in capitalism doesn’t mean you love it as a way of organizing economic life. What’s interesting to me, though, is every generation since the original countercultural capitalists—the baby boomers—has expressed some version of this antipathy. What’s changing is what happens to that opposition afterward, as a generation grows up, gets a mortgage and a career, and joins the masses. Even if you think generational framing is like financial astrology, these dynamics reveal something genuine about the evolution of society—and business’ role in it.
Up until now, this tension has more or less resolved itself as generations grow up and grow less radical as the fruits of their labor are recognized. But economic data increasingly suggests this mechanism may be breaking down. And maybe, to paraphrase a cultural critic who still haunts these times, Gen Z is responding to a future that has slowly been getting canceled for a long time.
The prison that doesn’t need bars
The reader’s prisoner metaphor is useful beyond the economics. The British writer Mark Fisher, aka “K-punk,” spent much of his career arguing capitalism’s most effective tool isn’t coercion—it’s the capture of the imagination. His term for this was “capitalist realism“: the system’s capacity to make itself feel like the only conceivable arrangement. He built on Frederic Jameson‘s quote that “it is easier to imagine the end of the world than the end of capitalism” to argue it’s easier to imagine the end of capitalism than whatever comes afterward. To paraphrase my reader, the prison works not because the bars are strong, but because the prisoner can no longer picture the outside. Opposition persists; the idea of an alternative doesn’t.
Fisher’s related concept—”the slow cancellation of the future“—extended this to culture. Since the 1990s, he argued, art and music had been stuck recycling the past not because nothing was happening, but because the culture had lost the capacity to imagine a future meaningfully different from the present. The music critic Simon Reynolds reached the same destination from a different direction in his 2011 book Retromania: Pop culture had become addicted to its own past, the internet making all of recorded music history simultaneously accessible and paradoxically producing less genuine innovation rather than more. Where previous generations related to a specific, bounded nostalgia, the post-internet era recycled everything at once, all decades available for simultaneous revival, none of them pointing forward.
The writer Freddie deBoer has argued something compatible but distinct, what he calls “the long boring“: the stagnation isn’t a recent phenomenon. The American cultural and technological landscape has been flat since at least the 1970s, he contends—predating both 2008 and the internet—and most of what reads today as political urgency is really just content, media cycling through moral controversies that generate engagement but no leverage. Economic historian Marc Levinson offered up this thesis in book form with An Extraordinary Time, which argued everything following the 1970s in American culture and society has reflected a less innovative, less productive economy. Brad DeLong also took a spin on the subject in book form, arguing for a productivity boom in the 1990s, petering out by 2008.
Here is how the last four generations have weathered this great economic slowdown, and how it shaped their attitudes down to the present.
1971: the revolution’s own verdict on itself
In 1971, Pete Townshend wrote arguably the sharpest line the counterculture ever produced about itself. “Won’t Get Fooled Again” arrived on The Who’s classic album Who’s Next after Kent State, after the peak of New Left radicalism, and its refrain—meet the new boss, same as the old boss—was a warning revolution doesn’t touch the underlying structure of power; it just replaces the faces at the top. The man who had previously written the line, “hope I die before I get old” rode that message to massively lucrative rock stardom in his own old age and world tours that lasted until 2025, at the latest count.
Townshend’s cynicism proved prescient as the generation that marched, occupied, and dropped out in the late 1960s spent the 1970s watching the New Left splinter. Tom Wolfe caught the pivot in real time: His 1976 essay “The Me Decade” argued postwar prosperity had given ordinary Americans, for the first time in history, enough surplus wealth and leisure to stop thinking about collective politics and start thinking about themselves. Est, primal therapy, encounter groups—the communal energy of the 1960s didn’t die so much as it privatized. By the 1980s, the generation that had once marched on the Pentagon had become the yuppie class—homeowners, 401(k) pioneers, the cohort that built the modern investor class. Oliver Stone made Gordon Gekko a villain in 1987 and watched a generation decide he was actually the hero for saying “greed is good.”
Youthful radicalism wasn’t crushed so much as absorbed—capitalist realism operating exactly as Fisher would come to describe it, the system making ownership feel not just desirable but natural, inevitable, the only sane endpoint for a person who had been young once and was now just practical. Pew’s long-running surveys showed roughly seven in 10 baby boomers holding a positive view of capitalism as of 2022—the highest of any living generation. (More recent data, from Gallup, shows a decline in this faith, but doesn’t break out along generational lines.)
Baby boomers’ advice to their children was almost always the same: “Follow your heart and your intuition,” as Steve Jobs put it in the 2005 Stanford commencement address that became the most-watched graduation speech in history—and it likely stemmed from the fact it paid off for all the hippies-turned-stockbrokers and tech moguls just fine.
Generation X’s quieter dissent, and the decade that punished it
Generation X never got its own Kent State. Its anti-establishment current ran through grunge, slacker cinema, and the “sell-out” stigma that governed 1990s indie culture—a real skepticism of consumer capitalism that dissolved more often into irony and withdrawal than organized action. Kurt Cobain wrote the generation’s self-critique into the opening line of In Utero, his last studio album: “Teenage angst has paid off well / Now I’m bored and old.” He died at 27 the following year, which meant he never had to figure out how to age into the system the way Townshend did. The one moment it did mobilize at scale, the 1999 Seattle protests against the World Trade Organization, came right before the internet boom and bust reshuffled the economy again.
Then came 2008. They were 28 to 43 years old when the housing market collapsed—precisely the years most people buy their first homes and build retirement savings—and studies of the Great Recession found Gen X suffered the deepest home-equity losses of any cohort, with net worth down roughly 40% at the crisis’ trough. They did eventually recover, becoming the only generation to fully regain its lost wealth by the mid-2010s. But the recovery came through rising asset prices, not rising wages, and Gen X now carries the highest average credit-card debt of any generation. They didn’t get out from under capitalism’s demands. They got pulled back in on worse terms.
The fork in the road
The recovery from the 2008 crisis grew the value of assets—homes, stocks, and portfolios—faster than it grew wages or employment. Economists studying the post-recession years have found this asymmetry systematically rewarded people who already owned capital before the crash and penalized everyone who didn’t yet have any.
That single fact splits the four living generations into something more complicated than a clean divide. Baby boomers got out before the door closed; most had already built home equity and retirement savings by 2008. Gen X got hurt badly but had enough of a head start to claw back through the same asset appreciation that was leaving wage-earners behind. Older millennials appear to have caught the last window: In their late 20s and early 30s as the recovery took hold, many were able to lock in 30-year mortgages at 3% or 4% before the rate spike that followed—the final cohort to ride low interest rates into something resembling the asset-building ladder their parents climbed.
Younger millennials and Gen Z weren’t so lucky. They graduated into the worst hiring market in decades, and research on recession-era graduates shows that each additional point of unemployment at graduation costs a worker years of depressed wages. By the time they had saved enough to buy in, both prices and rates had moved against them. Gen Z arrived even later, inheriting a labor and housing market already reshaped by that double squeeze.
Gallup’s trend data captures the result. Compared with the same age bracket in 2010, today’s under-50 adults are dramatically less likely to hold a positive view of capitalism, while opinions among older Americans have barely moved. Some see it as just the way life goes; others see it as something more like a prison you can’t escape.
Millennials organized. Then the door stayed closed
Millennials did organize, chaotically, around this dynamic. Occupy Wall Street, in 2011, was the largest anti-capitalist mobilization in decades, and it put “the 99 percent” into permanent political vocabulary. It assumed, explicitly, the terms were negotiable—that naming the asymmetry loudly enough would compel the system to address it.
Five years later, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) converted that same energy into something the political system could almost absorb: a primary campaign that came closer to a major-party presidential nomination than any explicitly anti-capitalist candidate in a century. His platform—Medicare for All, student debt cancellation, and a wealth tax—was radical by American standards and entirely conventional by the standards of most rich democracies. It lost twice, on controversial terms some still debate. What followed wasn’t another organizing cycle; it was a slow dispersal of that energy into causes more legible to existing institutions, or into exhaustion.
Student debt remains a hot-button issue for the younger generations, as it both encouraged organization, preserved relative impoverishment, and fueled lingering resentment. You can’t become a homeowner-investor and a debtor simultaneously, not when housing prices are moving the way they have. Millennials spent the decade after 2008 demanding a fairer system while still trapped inside it.
Gen Z’s different starting point
Gen Z’s opposition looks different from the start, and the difference shows up in trust data before it shows up in memes. A Gallup and Walton Family Foundation survey found Gen Z’s confidence running low across most major institutions—just 16% in the news media, 17% in technology companies, and 23% in the criminal justice system—while Pew Research has separately found adults under age 30 consistently less confident than older Americans across a wide range of institutions, from the military (69% vs. 92% for those 65 and older) to police and religious leaders.
The phrases that followed—bare minimum Monday, quiet quitting, and “Gen Z does not dream of labor“—are not demands. They are descriptions: work as a transaction to be minimized, not a system worth arguing with. It’s a fitting takeaway for a generation whose childhood was defined by the “jobless recovery” of the 2010s.
The unsettling part is this isn’t only a story about 2008. It’s happening again, right now, without a recession to explain it. Labor force participation—the share of Americans age 16 and older working or actively looking for work—fell from about 62.5% last November to 61.4% in July, the lowest reading outside the pandemic in roughly 50 years, as Michigan State professor Jason Miller pointed out on LinkedIn after dramatically disappointing jobs report data.
Economists at the St. Louis Fed have flagged the speed of the drop as unusual: Participation had held in a narrow band for nearly three years before suddenly falling off, with the steepest declines concentrated not among retirees but among workers age 25 to 54—prime working age. That rules out the comfortable explanation older Americans are simply retiring early on appreciated stock portfolios. The people leaving the labor force are the people who are supposed to be building careers, buying homes, and raising families—the ones who need to see capitalism as a solution, not a prison.
Unemployment, meanwhile, sits at a placid 4.1%, and GDP growth remains modestly positive. Economists disagree about why. Some point to a genuine shortage of available workers as immigration slows and the population ages, others to discouraged workers giving up the search. But either explanation describes an economy quietly closing doors rather than opening them.
Layered onto this is a second problem: The productivity boom that AI enthusiasm has assumed is coming may not arrive on schedule. The U.S. has produced only two sustained productivity booms since World War II, in the 1960s and the 1990s, and both rode alongside above-trend growth in real GDP and the labor force itself. Most current forecasts, including Goldman Sachs’ and the Wharton Budget Model’s, project AI’s contribution to productivity as gradual—a percentage point or two of GDP over a decade, not a 1990s-style surge—because a shrinking, disengaged labor force can’t generate the kind of broad-based growth that made past booms feel real to ordinary workers.
A productivity gain achieved by fewer people working, rather than by more people working more effectively, won’t feel like prosperity. It will feel like exactly what the last two years have felt like: a healthy economy on paper, and a shrinking set of paths into it in practice. The future: still canceled.
Buyers are paying up for homes with more space and a favorable commute, providing opportunities for lenders in select areas.
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The 10 hottest ZIP codes in the United States were all located in the Northeast and Midwest, led by 01960 in Peabody, Massachusetts; 07042 in Montclair, New Jersey; and 08080 in Sewell, New Jersey, according to Realtor.com’s latest annual rankings. These ZIP codes commonly attract buyers with better credit scores willing to pay above the asking price.
“What’s especially notable is how financially prepared these buyers are,” said Hannah Jones, senior economist at Realtor.com, in a press release Monday. “Even in ZIP codes where typical local incomes aren’t enough to cover today’s home prices, buyers are showing up with larger down payments and stronger credit profiles than the national norm, which tells us this demand is real and well-capitalized.”
The average down payment across the list was 17.1%, well above 13.1% nationally, and the median credit score was 766, compared with 747 countrywide.
Montclair buyers posted the strongest profile in the sample, with a 22.1% average down payment alongside a median FICO score of 783. Even the ZIP codes at the lower end of the range, such as Westfield, Massachusetts, which ranked fifth on the list, and Peabody, still landed near the national FICO average while putting down $30,000 and $89,000, respectively, more than the national dollar norm of $25,300, according to the report.
Additionally, the typical home sold for about 2.3% below list price in the first half of this year, while nine of the 10 ZIP codes saw homes sell at or above asking, with an average sale-to-list ratio of about 103.8%. In Montclair and Fairport, New York, which ranked fourth on the list, homes sold 16.7% and 14.4% more than the asking price, respectively.
“This year’s hottest ZIP codes tell us that buyers aren’t simply chasing the lowest price tag anymore — they’re chasing space, character and a manageable commute to a major job center, and they’re willing to pay a premium to get it,” Jones said.
Across all 10 ZIP codes, the median home for sale measured 2,000 square feet, compared with an average of 1,600 in their surrounding metro and a national median of 1,800. In Montclair, homes for sale averaged 2,625 square feet in the first half of 2026, 85.6% larger than the surrounding New York metro norm, the report found.
These ZIP codes also sit roughly 10 to 20 miles from their metro’s central business district, close enough to support a regular in-office schedule but far enough to offer the benefits of suburban living. The housing stock skews older as well, with a median year built across the 10 ZIP codes averaging 1970, about a decade older than the national average, highlighting the importance of well-located, established neighborhoods, the report said.
Rounding out the top five were: Livonia, Michigan; Lititz, Pennsylvania; North Haven, Connecticut; New Berlin, Wisconsin; and Wheaton, Illinois.
The South and West failed to produce a single entry on the list for the fourth consecutive year. More robust homebuilding and softer price growth over the past two years have eased competition in those regions. Nationally, for-sale inventory was 11.3% below pre-pandemic norms in June, but in the hottest ZIP codes, that gap widened to 60.5%, sparking intense competition, according to the report.
The stock market has been hot but the job market has been cool, potentially leading some older workers to simply head for the exits sooner than they expected.
Friday’s jobs data showed that the overall labor force participation rate ticked down to 61.4% in July, the lowest since early 2021 when the economy was still reeling from the pandemic, from 61.5% in June and a full percentage point below December’s level.
That tracks with the participation rate among people 55 years and older, which dropped to 36.9% last month from 37.9% in December, while the rate for those in their prime (25-54) has only dipped by 0.4 percentage point in that span.
Of course, much of the drop among older Americans is due to retirement, with more and more baby boomers aging out of the workforce. But many boomers have also continued working past the typical retirement age, and the speed of the recent participation decline is also notable.
Adam Shapiro, vice president at the San Francisco Fed, pointed out that the drop in 55+ participation since the pandemic ended is comparable to the drop during the pandemic itself.
“My hunch is that this is as at least partially attributable to wealth effects from record highs in the stock market,” he posted on LinkedIn. “But also the hiring rate is still below 4%, meaning job search costs are high. So these individuals are likely just retiring instead of searching to find a new job.”
While the stock market has seen wild swings lately, the S&P 500 is up 13.5% so far in 2026 and has more than doubled since early 2021.
At the same time, the advent of generative AI in late 2022 has rippled through the labor market in ways economists are still debating, while President Donald Trump’s immigration crackdown and trade war are also keeping businesses cautious.
The result has been a prolonged low-hire, low-fire job market that’s left many workers of all ages stuck in limbo. In fact, even though the economy remains solid, finding a job has been harder for people out of work.
A report from the San Francisco Fed last week found the job-finding rate for the unemployed and those out of the workforce have both declined since January 2023, a reversal from the post-pandemic trend and an anomaly from typical economic expansions.
The slide in job finding among the unemployed is particularly large for college-educated workers, who normally find jobs quickly even in weaker labor markets.
“These patterns suggest that the current slowdown may reflect structural forces rather than being a signal of a cyclical downturn,” researchers wrote.
Given the tough hiring outlook, someone who was recently laid off may see how much their 401(k) has soared and decided to punch out early.
That’s what happened in previous stock market surges. A St. Louis Fed report from 2023 said the increase in wealth during 2020 and 2021 contributed to the fall in labor force participation.
Conversely, when the Federal Reserve began hiking interest rates aggressively in 2022 to rein in inflation, asset prices plummeted and the participation rate slightly recovered. Other factors may also have contributed, such as lower risk of getting COVID, tight labor markets, and more flexibility to work from home.
But RSM chief economist Joseph Brusuelas isn’t totally convinced. In a note on Monday, he acknowledged that some baby boomers and Gen Xers have left the workforce because of the wealth effect, but that’s also not enough to explain the outsized declines in the labor supply.
He noted there are now 27 million more Americans age 65 and older than there were in 2005, while the immigration crackdown is also having a significant impact on labor supply. Still, Brusuelas also nodded to the tough job market.
“In addition, with the search costs of finding a job—the hiring rate is below 4%—my takeaway is that we are simply witnessing a historic exit from the American labor market,” he said.
The private wealth industry in the Chinese Mainland (China) is entering a new chapter. The first major wave of intergenerational wealth transfer is unfolding alongside structural economic shifts, socioeconomic digital integration, and a capital market that remains policy-salient. For wealth management professionals in this environment, understanding how the next generation of affluent investors thinks and acts is no longer optional. Rather, this understanding forms the starting point for any future-ready advisory strategy.
This report provides a practical and forward-looking portrait of young, affluent investors in China for investment advisers and private wealth management professionals — including those at banks, securities firms, trusts, family offices, and wealth platforms. It is based on a survey of 300 young, wealthy investors in China (for details, see the Methodology portion of the section on the study’s results). The report is designed to inform practitioners how they can adjust their business strategy and operating models to capture young investors’ unique aspirations and portfolio demands. To meet the needs of this rising demographic of young clients, advisers must understand how trust is built and maintained in a digital-first environment and offer targeted advice that can withstand a market shaped by changing policy signals, sentiment cycles, and reinforcement dynamics.
A core storyline running through the findings is an aspiration–implementation gap. Young, affluent investors express clear long-term ambitions centered on wealth accumulation and preservation and report relatively high confidence, yet they also identify capability constraints, such as limited investing knowledge and limited access to skilled advice. Confidence is strongest for near-term financial tasks and weaker for more complex, long-horizon planning activities such as retirement and legacy/estate preparation. Their portfolios remain anchored in liquidity through cash-like instruments and bank/trust products. The practical implication is not that these investors lack ambition but rather that ambitious goals and typically shorter investment horizons compared with previous generations require more disciplined planning, education, and portfolio construction than many investors currently exhibit.
Portfolio posture in China is further shaped by preferences for domestic fixed assets (typically, housing) and offshore assets, which sit on top of a standard liquid portfolio baseline. Although a minority of young, wealthy Chinese investors hold investment real estate, the portfolio weight allocated to such assets among these investors can be material, averaging more than two-fifths of total assets. Despite capital controls, exposure to offshore assets is already mainstream among young, affluent investors, driven primarily by the need for asset preservation and international diversification. Together, these dynamics necessitate advisory capabilities that are balance-sheet aware and that integrate onshore and offshore exposures coherently.
Trust and adviser–client engagement in China also follow a distinctive architecture that differs from that of many mature wealth markets. Investors place unusually high weight on professional credentials and institutional credibility when choosing advisers, and ongoing trust is anchored most strongly in firms’ data security. Underperformance and data/confidentiality breaches are leading triggers for investors to switch advisers. Engagement expectations are for high-cadence and digital-first communications, with private messaging and in-person contact remaining central. These preferences indicate that service quality is increasingly judged on the basis of secure, compliant digital engagement practices rather than traditional periodic-reporting formats.
Finally, the China survey results reveal a behavioral challenge that calls for a more structured governance approach. Policy cues and market sentiment frequently influence investment actions, yet investors rarely perceive the outcomes of these actions as negative. The strategic takeaway is to combine a long-term core investment discipline with explicit guardrails and structured review so that short-term decisions driven by behavioral factors do not cause portfolios to deviate materially from strategic asset allocations.
UK artificial intelligence (AI) funding rocketed higher in the first six months of 2026, according to research from Traxcn.
The report says that from January to June of 2026, UK AI firms raised $9.6 billion, a dramatic increase compared with the same period last year, when AI firms raised $2.1 billion. Funding this year also trounced the second half of 2025, when AI firms raised $2.5 billion.
Much of the funding was driven by just five firms, which accounted for $8.1 billion in the first half of the year. The top funding companies were: Isomorphic Labs ($2.1 billion), Nscale ($2 billion), Wayve ($1.2 billion), Ineffable ($1.1 billion), and FluidStack ($843 million).
While the funding for UK AI firms grew significantly, the amount raised pales in comparison to other markets. In the US, $302.1 billion was raised, in Europe $13.6 billion, and in China $11.9 billion.
The total raised during the period, according to the report, was $331.1 billion.
The report states that Y Combinator, Entrepreneur First, and 20VC Fund were the most active Seed investors in the first half of the year, and Index Ventures, Octopus Ventures, and Google Ventures led Early Stage investments. SoftBank Vision Fund, Eclipse, and Atomico were the most active Late Stage investors.
There were 6 AI firm acquisitions in the UK during the first half of the year compared to 7 in the first half of 2025.
Transactions included TrueFoundry’s acquisition of Seldon, Coupa’s acquisition of Rossum, Cpgrp’s acquisition of Recycleye, Radiant’s acquisition of Ori, and Keyloop’s acquisition of Motortech.
Companies acquired in the first six months of 2026 had raised an average of $69.8 million prior to acquisition, compared to $52.0 million in H1 2025.
The average time from first funding to acquisition increased from 6.3 years to 7.9 years.
It should come as no surprise that London accounted for 98% of all UK AI funding in H1 2026.
While other AI funding reports use different numbers, UK funding of AI firms is dramatically lower on a per capita basis compared to the US. One report puts it at $1,040 per person in the US versus $170–180 per person in the UK.
When you look at the UK compared to other European countries like France and Germany, the UK has a clear lead. The UK also leads European countries in overall tech/startup funding.
This disparity in AI funding shows there are both challenges and opportunities for the UK.
Billionaire Mark Cuban’s warning that Nvidia‘s (NVDA +2.27%) aggressive artificial intelligence (AI) financing could “crumble” the market is one investors should take seriously. This isn’t because Nvidia is suddenly a bad business, but because its AI financing has quietly turned it into a central node in a very leveraged, very interconnected system.
Image source: Getty Images.
Cuban’s point is pretty simple. In his July posts, he compared Nvidia’s role in this AI boom to the IPO machine of the dot‑com era, arguing that “instead of IPOs, Nvidia is the IPO, funding everyone and anyone.” By offering financing, revenue‑sharing, and minimum‑revenue guarantees to data center operators and neoclouds, Nvidia is effectively subsidizing customers’ GPU purchases and build-outs. That makes sense if demand keeps soaring and everyone can pay their bills. It could be fragile if even one big customer stumbles.
Today’s Change
(2.27%) $4.97
Current Price
$223.96
Key Data Points
Market Cap
$5.4TMarket cap calculated using publicly traded shares outstanding only. Does not include unlisted, private, or dual-class non-traded shares. Implied market cap may vary.
Day’s Range
$220.66 – $224.76
52wk Range
$164.07 – $236.54
Volume
2.3M
Avg Vol
151.1M
Gross Margin
74.15%
Dividend Yield
0.13%
Under the hood, there is a lot of “creative” money at work. Nvidia has already committed more than $40 billion to AI investments in early 2026, including huge stakes and financing packages tied to OpenAI, Corning, and Iren. Deals like the proposed $100 billion OpenAI data center plan and multi‑billion-dollar SPV structures for xAI rely on GPUs as collateral, long‑dated lease obligations, and assumptions about AI revenue that are still unproven. Legal analysts are already warning that AI data center funding involves layered private credit, securitizations, and off‑balance‑sheet vehicles where distress in one node can propagate across banks, insurers, and pension funds.
Investors should take Cuban seriously
Cuban’s “crumble” language goes straight at that. If Nvidia is deeply intertwined with hundreds of operators who all borrowed to buy its chips, then a misstep — weaker AI demand, a faster‑than‑expected hardware cycle, or a rival chip breakthrough — could expose the fact that too much infrastructure was built too fast. GPUs depreciate faster than many models assume, and Nvidia itself has moved to a one‑year upgrade cadence, which raises the risk that collateral won’t hold its value if the cycle slows.
From a market‑wide perspective, the problem is not just Nvidia’s equity price. It is that Nvidia’s financing has become a pillar of the AI build-out, with junk bonds, SPVs, and private credit all leaning on the same bet. If those bets go wrong, you could see credit stress spread far beyond tech stocks into lenders and institutions that financed the data center boom.
So yes, I think investors should take Cuban’s warning seriously. Nvidia is still a phenomenal business, but the way it is now funding AI infrastructure means everyone exposed to this theme needs to think not just about earnings, but about counterparty risk and leverage across the ecosystem, especially if you own the lenders as well as the chips.
Purchase market share climbed to a company record of 6.2%, up from 5.5% in Q4 2025. Refinance market share rose to 14.3% from 12.2% over the same period, also a record.
Mortgage rates moved higher through May and June, depressing what is typically the strongest buying season of the year.
Broker channel growth comes at a cost
For independent mortgage brokers, the quarter’s most revealing figure was Rocket Pro’s 0.69% gain-on-sale margin. That’s well below the 4.13% direct-to-consumer margin and the 3.11% blended margin across non-correspondent originations. Rocket Pro closed $11.1 billion in loans during Q2.
Brian Brown, president and chief financial officer at Rocket Companies, confirmed on the earnings call that the compressed margin reflects pricing incentives tied to the Compass real estate brokerage partnership, unveiled at Ignite26 earlier this year.