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What mortgage brokers need to know as Treasury volatility rocks rates


By midday Tuesday, the 10-year had leveled off for the day after a surge early in the day. The 10-year Treasury hovered around 4.06%, still well below the year-to-date high of 4.31%. However, the volatility paused the excitement around mortgage rates in the 5s for the time being.

It’s been an eventful two months with the Treasury market, and one market analyst said that while some increases in rates could be good for some lenders, it’s not good for brokers who are looking for a stronger spring buying season.

Eric Hagen (pictured top) is the managing director and mortgage and specialty finance analyst at BTIG. He discussed how the first two months of the year have left the market spinning, starting with President Donald Trump ordering Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy government bonds, forcing rates lower.

“The MBS announcement from Trump at the beginning of January was totally unprecedented,” Hagen told Mortgage Professional America. “And so all these things have come to a head. I mean, it was nice to see mortgage rates below 6%. We feel like they can hang around that level. But rates went back up Monday.”

Pressure on Treasuries

Hagen said that an increase in rates can improve the quality of loans for lenders. However, for a stagnant housing market, a more substantial rate decline is needed to spur activity.

Cumberland (CPIX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript


Image source: The Motley Fool.

DATE

Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 4:30 p.m. ET

CALL PARTICIPANTS

  • Chief Executive Officer — A.J. Kazimi
  • Vice President, Organizational Development — Todd Anthony
  • Chief Financial Officer — John Hamm

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TAKEAWAYS

  • Annual Revenue — $44.5 million, an increase of 18% driven by increased sales across the portfolio.
  • Fourth-Quarter Revenue — $13.7 million, up by 31% largely due to Vibativ, Sancuso, and Talicia sales.
  • Full-Year Adjusted Earnings — $1.7 million, a turnaround of more than $2 million as stated by management.
  • Full-Year Cash Flow from Operations — $4.9 million, an improvement of $5.5 million from the previous year as described by management.
  • Key Product Contributions — Vibativ, Sancuso, and new Talicia brand led revenue gains, with initial Talicia sales commencing in Q4.
  • Balance Sheet Strengthened — Shareholder equity increased; line of credit balance reduced by over $10 million.
  • Regulatory Approvals — Vibativ approved in China and launched in Saudi Arabia; ibuprofen injection approved in Mexico.
  • Strategic Partnerships — Co-commercialization agreement for Talicia with RedHill Biopharma and formation of Talicia Holdings, Inc.
  • Caldolor J-code — CMS issued a J-code, providing enhanced reimbursement and access for hospital billing.
  • Ifetroban Clinical Progress — Phase II FIGHT DMD trial showed high-dose treatment improved LVEF by 3.3% versus placebo and 5.4% over propensity-matched controls, with Fast Track, Orphan Drug, and Rare Pediatric Disease designations confirmed.
  • Vibativ Commercial Progress — New agreements with Vizient, Inc. and Premier, Inc. expanded market access through national group purchasing organizations.
  • Operating Expenses — $47.3 million for the year, up from $44.3 million, related to higher royalties and cost of goods tied to sales growth.
  • Net Loss — $2.9 million for the year and $1.4 million for Q4, both improved from 2024 figures.
  • Total Assets and Liabilities — $76.8 million in assets and $52.3 million in liabilities at year-end; cash and cash equivalents totaled $11.4 million.
  • Tax Assets — Over $54 million in net operating loss carryforwards remain.

SUMMARY

Cumberland Pharmaceuticals (CPIX 5.37%) prioritized expanding its commercial and development pipeline, reporting tangible regulatory and market access wins in key international markets. The company emphasized its expanded oncology and gastroenterology offerings following the Sancuso and Talicia additions, noting collaborative arrangements and product launches as revenue drivers. Management confirmed progress in advanced clinical candidates, particularly ifetroban, with top-line data submitted and multiple FDA designations secured to potentially expedite review. The company reported the completion of a manuscript publication highlighting ifetroban’s oncology potential and disclosed ongoing investigator-sponsored trials targeting additional indications. Shareholder equity and operational cash generation both improved, aided by asset additions and financial discipline, resulting in greater balance sheet flexibility.

  • The company invested $2 million in the Talicia Holdings, Inc. joint venture and committed an additional $2 million, resulting in a 30% ownership stake accounted for under the equity method.
  • Kristalose prescription activity faced increased substitution pressure after new generic entrants, leading management to implement new protection strategies.
  • Vibativ’s comprehensive pharmacokinetic analysis in over 1,200 patients supported tailored dosing and informed marketing for severe infections as presented in a peer-reviewed journal.
  • CMS reimbursement milestones for Caldolor facilitated wider access and use in pediatric hospital environments after new FDA labeling for infants.
  • Board members implemented trading plans and made additional share purchases during the year to increase insider holdings.

INDUSTRY GLOSSARY

  • LVEF (Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction): Percentage measure of how much blood the left ventricle pumps out with each contraction, used as a key indicator in cardiomyopathy studies.
  • J-code: A reimbursement code assigned by CMS for medical billing in the United States, streamlining hospital claims processes.
  • Propensity-matched controls: A comparison group in clinical studies statistically matched for baseline characteristics to minimize bias in efficacy results.
  • Fast Track designation: FDA process designed to accelerate development and review of therapies for serious conditions with unmet need.

Full Conference Call Transcript

A.J. Kazimi, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s Chief Executive Officer; Todd Anthony, Vice President, Organizational Development; and John Hamm, Chief Financial Officer. Please keep in mind that their discussions may include some forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Reform Act. Those statements reflect the company’s current views and expectations concerning future events and may involve risks, as well as uncertainties. There are many factors that could affect Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s future results, including natural disasters, economic downturns, international conflicts, trade restrictions, public health epidemics, and others that are beyond the company’s control. Those issues are described under the caption Risk Factors in Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K and any subsequent updates filed with the SEC.

Any forward-looking statements made during today’s call are qualified by those risk factors. Despite the company’s best efforts, actual results may differ materially from expectations, so information shared on this call should be considered current as of today only. Also, please remember that the company is not responsible for updating any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information or due to future developments. During today’s call, there will be references to several of Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s marketed brands. Full prescribing and safety information for each brand is included on the individual product website, and you can find links to those sites on the corporate site at www.cumberlandpharma.com.

The company will also be providing some non-GAAP financial measures with respect to its performance. An explanation and reconciliation to GAAP measures can be found in the tables of the earnings release that I noted was issued earlier this afternoon. If you have any questions, please hold them until the end of the call, at which point we will be happy to answer them. Management is also prepared to hold a follow-up conversation with shareholders after the call if you prefer. With that introduction, I will turn the call over to Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s Chief Executive Officer, A.J. Kazimi.

A.J. Kazimi: Thank you, Emily. Good afternoon, everyone. We appreciate you joining us today. As Emily mentioned, we will provide a review of both our fourth quarter and our full year financial performance for 2025. We will also share an overall company update and discuss several recent developments that continue to underscore our optimism about the company’s future. I would like to start by stating that 2025 was an outstanding year for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. We announced breakthrough clinical study results, delivered strong financial performance, expanded our global reach, and added to our commercial portfolio, highlighting a year of consistent progress for our company.

Most importantly, we remain focused on our mission of delivering unique products that improve the quality of patient care. So let us begin with a review of our financial performance. Our portfolio of FDA-approved brands delivered combined revenues of $13,700,000 during 2025, representing a 31% increase over the prior-year period. For the full year, revenues totaled $44,500,000, up 18% over 2024, and we therefore achieved our goal of double-digit revenue growth for the year. This revenue growth resulted in a turnaround in adjusted earnings, which improved by over $2,000,000 to $1,700,000, or $0.11 a share. In addition, cash flow from operations improved by $5,500,000 and was just under $5,000,000 for the full year.

This financial performance reflects strong execution across our commercial organization with growing demand for our products. It was led by dramatic growth for Vibativ and Sancuso, along with the initial sales of our newest brand, Talicia, which we began shipping in the fourth quarter. We also strengthened our balance sheet during the year. We increased shareholder equity and reduced the balance on our line of credit by more than $10,000,000, further improving our financial position. Beyond our financial performance, we made significant progress expanding our global presence. In 2025, Vibativ received regulatory approval in China, the world’s second largest pharmaceutical market, creating a major new opportunity for the brand.

Also in 2025, Vibativ was successfully launched in Saudi Arabia, resulting in initial sales and the first patients receiving treatment with the product in that country. In addition, our ibuprofen injection product received regulatory approval in Mexico, which will enable our expansion into another important international market. Turning now to our business development efforts, we continue to execute on our strategy of acquiring rights to differentiated branded pharmaceuticals. We added Talicia, an FDA-approved treatment for Helicobacter pylori infections, expanding our presence in gastrointestinal care. Talicia complements our existing portfolio and represents an excellent strategic fit, leveraging our established commercial infrastructure. Meanwhile, the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, or CMS, issued a J-code for Caldolor.

This important reimbursement milestone enhances product access, simplifies hospital billing, and further supports Caldolor’s continued growth and its role as a standard of care for the treatment of pain and fever. During 2025, we also continued to advance our clinical programs, reinforcing our commitment to developing new therapies for patients with serious and underserved medical needs. Significantly, we continued to advance our clinical pipeline in 2025, highlighted by breakthrough results from our FIGHT DMD clinical study. That trial evaluated our ifetroban product candidate in patients with cardiomyopathy associated with Duchenne muscular dystrophy, which is the leading cause of death in those patients.

The top-line findings from that study were selected for a late-breaking presentation at the Muscular Dystrophy Association’s Clinical and Scientific Conference and were also presented at the Parent Project Muscular Dystrophy Annual Conference. We then completed the comprehensive analysis of the study results, prepared our clinical study report, and submitted it to the FDA, and began interactions with them to determine their remaining development requirements. The FDA has approved our request for orphan drug, rare pediatric disease, and, more recently, Fast Track designations for our DMD program. Overall, 2025 was a defining year for Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. We grew our commercial business, advanced our development pipeline, expanded our global footprint, and strengthened our financial foundation.

With that overview and developments, I would now like to turn to Todd Anthony, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s Vice President, Organizational Development, to further discuss both our brands and our organization. Todd?

Todd Anthony: Thank you, AJ. I will start by sharing an update on each of our major brands. Vibativ is our intravenous antibiotic designed for difficult-to-treat infections, such as hospital-acquired and ventilator-associated pneumonia, as well as complicated skin and skin structure infections caused by certain gram-positive bacteria, including those that are multidrug resistant. Unlike many antibiotics that are losing the ability to fight bacteria, Vibativ’s unique dual method of action was specifically designed to address drug-resistant bacteria. We therefore believe it has lifesaving potential to help many patients amid this growing antibiotic resistance crisis, which faces a fragile pipeline of new antibiotic development.

To reinforce this message, we are conducting a series of Infectious Insights, which are discussions with infectious disease experts that we are disseminating across the country. These video vignettes share the opportunity to use Vibativ as a solution for select patient types where other products have failed. We also shared that a comprehensive pharmacokinetic analysis of Vibativ was published in Antimicrobial Agents and Chemotherapy. The analysis utilized data from over 1,200 patients across varied demographics and comorbidity profiles. The findings support optimized dosing strategies for patients with different infection severities and renal function levels, reinforcing Vibativ’s critical role in treating life-threatening gram-positive infections.

In 2025, we also announced the availability of the Vibativ four-vial starter pack through a new supply arrangement with Vizient, making it accessible to their healthcare members nationwide. As the country’s largest provider-driven healthcare performance improvement company, Vizient serves more than 65% of the nation’s acute care providers, including 97% of our country’s academic medical centers. Through this agreement, Vizient members have access to Vibativ’s four-vial configuration, which supports flexible treatment initiation in both an inpatient and outpatient setting for this potentially lifesaving therapy. Vibativ was also added to a national group purchasing agreement with Premier, Inc., an alliance of approximately 4,350 U.S. hospitals designed to drive transformation across the healthcare system.

The product’s addition provides Premier’s membership with a cost-effective solution to treat resistant gram-positive infections. Moving next to Kristalose, which is our prescription-strength product provided in a convenient premeasured powder dose that dissolves quickly in just four ounces of water, resulting in a clear, taste-free, and grit-free solution. While our field sales division has been able to generate prescriptions of Kristalose through their promotional efforts, we have always faced substitution by pharmacies in favor of generic alternatives. That substitution has increased this year with the arrival of additional generic competition. We have taken appropriate action and are implementing strategies to protect and grow this business. Let us shift now to Caldolor, our intravenous ibuprofen product.

With its newest pediatric labeling cleared with the FDA, Caldolor now is the only non-opioid product approved to treat pain in infants that is delivered by injection. As a reminder, we are featuring Caldolor through sales and marketing initiatives highlighting this new indication, resulting in a growing use of the product in our country’s children’s hospitals. In 2025, we announced the publication of our study investigating Caldolor in Clinical Therapeutics, demonstrating the product’s safety and efficacy for managing postoperative pain in patients 60 years of age and older. The analysis, encompassing over 1,000 patients from our comprehensive postsurgical study, represents the first such evaluation in this vulnerable population where traditional pain management options such as opioids carry increased risk.

Turning now to Sancuso, our transdermal patch FDA approved for the management of chemotherapy-induced nausea, we continue to see favorable sales results following expansion of our oncology division. We have also launched a new Sancuso website along with promotional marketing resources and digital marketing campaigns to further support awareness and access to this product. Lastly, let us review our newest product, Talicia, an FDA-approved and leading treatment for Helicobacter pylori infection, provided in a single capsule that contains omeprazole, amoxicillin, and rifabutin. Talicia is now recommended as a first-line therapy for H. pylori infections via the American College of Gastroenterology’s clinical guidelines.

Also note that the effective treatment of gastric ulcers is an important step in the prevention of gastric cancers. The product’s outstanding profile includes three key advantages: a high eradication rate exceeding 90%, the convenience of an all-in-one capsule, and minimal antibiotic resistance. In 2025, we entered arrangements with RedHill Biopharma to jointly commercialize Talicia and formed a new company with RedHill named Talicia Holdings, Inc. Through our co-commercialization agreement, we have assumed responsibility for the distribution and sale of Talicia in the U.S. and equally share Talicia’s net revenues. We launched the promotion of Talicia at the beginning of the year, and our newest brand is supported by our field sales division that also details Kristalose.

We now have a national sales and medical organization that includes 50 customer-facing individuals who feature our brands. That completes my updates for today, so I will turn it back to you, AJ.

A.J. Kazimi: Thank you, Todd. I would now like to provide an update on our ongoing clinical activities. We continue to progress our pipeline of innovative products designed to improve patient care and their quality of life. Our ifetroban product candidate, a potent and selective thromboxane receptor antagonist, is being evaluated in several clinical programs for patients with a series of unmet medical needs. It has now been dosed in nearly 1,400 subjects and has been found to be safe and well tolerated in those individuals, resulting in an outstanding safety database.

In February 2025, we announced positive top-line results from our completed Phase II study in patients with cardiomyopathy associated with Duchenne muscular dystrophy, which is a rare, fatal, genetic neuromuscular disease that results in deterioration of the skeletal, heart, and lung muscles. Our study enrolled 41 DMD patients who received either low-dose ifetroban, high-dose ifetroban, or placebo. High-dose ifetroban treatment resulted in a 3.3% improvement in the patients’ left ventricular ejection fraction compared to the placebo group. When compared to the propensity-matched natural history controls, the difference was even more pronounced, with high-dose treatment providing a statistically significant 5.4% overall improvement in cardiac function as measured by LVEF.

Both doses of ifetroban were well tolerated, with no serious drug-related adverse events seen in the study, and all subjects who completed the 12-month treatment period opted into an open-label extension. They continue to receive ifetroban with long-term follow-up. As I mentioned, ifetroban previously received orphan drug designation and rare pediatric disease designation for DMD. I am pleased to report the program was also recently granted by the FDA Fast Track designation, and that will enable us to have more frequent FDA interactions and also enable us to submit our application for approval on a rolling basis. We held an end-of-Phase II meeting with the FDA last fall and a follow-up meeting in January.

We have been discussing with them the findings from our study and the path forward and the requirements for approval of this product. Meanwhile, we have also been evaluating ifetroban in a clinical program in patients with systemic sclerosis, or scleroderma (SSc). Enrollment in this study was completed last year, and we look forward to announcing the top-line findings this year. In addition, we have a Phase II clinical study, the Fighting Fibrosis trial, in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, the most common form of progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease. Patient enrollment is well underway in medical centers across the U.S., and the study includes both an interim safety analysis and an interim efficacy analysis.

Today I am pleased to announce that the interim safety analysis was completed, where it evaluated the first cohort of patients completing 12 weeks of treatment. The independent committee concluded that there were no new safety signals identified and no changes in study conduct were necessary. Based on those findings, enrollment has continued, and we expect to announce next the interim efficacy results this year. We are also pleased with the publication of a manuscript which discussed the use of ifetroban to target platelet–tumor interactions to reduce metastases in triple-negative breast cancer. That publication came out last November. It was peer-reviewed, and it highlights the novel mechanism of ifetroban and its potential to address serious and difficult-to-treat conditions.

The manuscript was accepted and published in the Journal of Experimental Hematology & Oncology, and we believe this recognition helps strengthen the scientific foundation supporting ifetroban and contributes to broader awareness in the scientific and medical community as we continue to advance this development. There are additional pilot patient studies of ifetroban also underway through several investigator-initiated trials. Based on the results from the FIGHT DMD study that I mentioned, we have decided to now pursue ifetroban’s registration for the DMD-associated cardiomyopathy as our lead indication, as we plan to pursue the requirements and approval of the drug.

We also plan to continue our systemic sclerosis and pulmonary fibrosis programs that we believe can provide additional potential indications for this, our first new chemical entity. With that update on our clinical activities, I will now turn it over to our Chief Financial Officer, John Hamm, to review our financial results. John?

John Hamm: Thank you, AJ. For the three months ending December 31, 2025, net revenue from continuing operations was $13,700,000, which represented a $3,200,000, or 31%, increase over the prior-year period. Net revenue by product for 2025 included $3,100,000 for Kristalose, $3,300,000 for Sancuso, $2,800,000 for Vibativ, $900,000 for Caldolor, and $3,300,000 for Talicia. As a reminder, due to quarterly fluctuations in our customers’ purchases, we believe our performance should be assessed based on annual sales results. With that in mind, I am pleased to report that net revenues for the full year of 2025 were $44,500,000, a $6,700,000, or 18%, increase over the prior year.

Full-year product revenues totaled $10,500,000 for Kristalose, $11,900,000 for Sancuso, $9,400,000 for Vibativ, $4,700,000 for Caldolor, and $3,300,000 for Talicia. We also received a $3,000,000 milestone payment associated with the approval of Vibativ in the Chinese market. Turning to our expenditures, total operating expenses for the fourth quarter were $15,000,000, compared to $12,000,000 for the prior-year period. We did see an increase in operating expenses due to the higher royalties, cost of goods, and other items associated with the growth in product sales during the period. For the full year 2025, total operating expenses were $47,300,000 compared to $44,300,000 during the prior year.

The net loss was approximately $1,400,000 for the fourth quarter and $2,900,000 for the full year, both significantly improved over 2024. When noncash expenses are added back, the resulting adjusted earnings for the year were $1,700,000, or $0.11 a share. In addition, cash flow from operations was $4,900,000 in 2025. Also, please note that the adjusted earnings calculations do not include the additional benefit of the $200,000 of Vibativ cost of goods during the fourth quarter. Those goods were received as part of the product’s acquisition. We are pleased to see that the additions of Vibativ, Sancuso, and Talicia to our portfolio are providing a significant positive impact to our financial performance.

As a result of the Vibativ acquisition, a total of $34,000,000 in new assets were added, including approximately $21,000,000 in inventory, $12,000,000 of intangible assets, and $1,000,000 of goodwill. The estimated value of those assets was $10,000,000 at the end of 2025. The financial terms for the Vibativ transaction included a $20,000,000 payment upon closing and a subsequent $5,000,000 milestone payment. We also continue to provide royalties tied to product sales. Sancuso added a total of $19,000,000 in new assets, including approximately $4,000,000 in inventory and $14,000,000 of intangibles. The estimated value of those assets was $10,000,000 at the end of 2025.

We provided $13,500,000 at closing for the Sancuso acquisition, and we paid $1,500,000 in milestone payments, and there are ongoing royalties that we pay based on the brand’s sales. We have formed a new company with RedHill Biopharma named Talicia Holdings, Inc. RedHill has contributed the worldwide rights to Talicia and the product’s assets to the new company. Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. invested $2,000,000 during 2025 and will provide another $2,000,000 later this year to participate in the new company’s joint ownership. As a result of this investment, Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. owns 30% of the new THI and are accounting for this holding using the equity method.

Turning to our balance sheet, as of 12/31/2025, we had $76,800,000 in total assets, including $11,400,000 in cash and cash equivalents. Liabilities totaled $52,300,000, including $5,200,000 on our credit facility. Total shareholders’ equity was $24,900,000 at the end of 2025. We continue to hold a bank line of credit which provides up to $15,000,000 in capital. The interest rate is based on benchmark terms, and is subject to a financial covenant determined on a quarterly basis, and we were in compliance at the end of the fourth quarter. We also continued the process of implementing trading plans for our board members in 2025, who purchased Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. shares throughout the year to increase their holdings in the company.

I would like to note that Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. continues to hold over $54,000,000 in tax net operating loss carryforwards, primarily resulting from the prior exercise of stock options. That completes our financial report for the fourth quarter and full year 2025. Back to you, AJ.

A.J. Kazimi: Thank you, John. I am very pleased with Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc.’s performance in 2025. We delivered strong sales, strengthened our financial position, broadened our international presence, enhanced our commercial portfolio, and continued advancing our clinical programs. These achievements reflect the disciplined execution of our strategy and the growing impact of our products. We remain focused on delivering differentiated medicines that address meaningful patient needs. Meanwhile, we are advancing our development programs as we work towards bringing new treatment options to patients facing serious unmet conditions. These accomplishments would not be possible without the dedication and experience of our team, and we appreciate the continued support of our shareholders, our partners, and our other stakeholders.

As we look ahead, we are once again targeting double-digit revenue growth in 2026, driven by the continued performance of our in-line brands combined with the additional sales from the newest addition, Talicia, as well as our growing international business. We are also again targeting meaningful positive cash flow from operations. With that report, we will now open for questions. Operator, please proceed.

Operator: Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes the company’s presentation. We will now open the call for any questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press the star key on your phone followed by the digit one twice. That is star-one-one. Please stand by.

A.J. Kazimi: If there are no questions, I want to thank everybody for joining today’s call. We understand many of our shareholders prefer a private discussion with management. If so, please just reach out. We will be happy to get a call scheduled with you and hold such a discussion. As always, we appreciate your time and interest in our company, and we look forward to providing another update in the coming months.

How Often Can You Change Jobs for More Money? The Rules of ‘Job-Hopping.’


You’ve been in your job for a few years now, and your salary hasn’t budged. Your thoughts turn to the want ads.

Changing jobs for a higher income is a time-honored tradition. Switch jobs too many times, however, and you risk being labeled a job-hopper.

With that red flag in mind, we posed a question to several career experts: How often can you safely change employers, if your goal is to earn more money?

American workers seem less loyal to their companies today than in the recent past. The median worker had a job tenure of 3.9 years in 2024, according to federal data, the lowest figure for employee tenure since 2002.

The typical active jobseeker has been in their current job for roughly two years and three months, according to Indeed, the employment website.

“The job market right now is a lot more fluid,” said Priya Rathod, workplace trends editor at Indeed.

Salaries are rising for many workers who remain in their jobs, but perhaps not as swiftly as they would like.

The average employer planned to award pay increases totaling 3.5% in 2026, according to an October survey of 1,000 organizations by Mercer, a human resources consultant.

With inflation hovering at an annual rate between 2% and 3%, a 3.5% pay raise is essentially flat.

One way to raise your pay, of course, is to land a higher-paying job.

Corporate recruiters are deluged with job letters. The number of applications filed on LinkedIn rose 45% between 2024 and 2025, The New York Times reports. AI has made it easier to apply.

When does job-hunting become job-hopping?

But when does job-hunting become job-hopping?

The term is “often defined as staying in roles for a little less than two years,” Rathod said.

Matthew Bidwell, a management professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School, agrees: “If you’re systematically in jobs less than two to three years, they start to get nervous.”

For potential employers, job-hopping can be a red flag. It suggests one of two things, Bidwell said: “Either it’s because you’re incompetent, and you keep getting edged out, or you have very itchy feet.”

Employers don’t like turnover. It takes time and money to train a replacement: the equivalent of one or two years’ salary, Bidwell said.

“That means I don’t want to hire you if you leave after one or two years,” he added.

Yet, the stigma associated with job-hopping may be fading.

Is workplace loyalty a thing of the past?

American workplace culture used to value loyalty, a theme embodied in the pension, a retirement savings vehicle that rewarded workers for long tenure. But those sensibilities have changed.

“Attitudes have shifted drastically in the last 20 years,” said Christine Sundry, associate director of the career center at Carnegie Mellon University’s Heinz College. “Career paths today aren’t necessarily linear.”

Young adults emerge from college today with more debt, Sundry said, and under immediate pressure to land a high salary.

The remote work revolution of the COVID-19 era simplified the logistics of changing jobs.

“Job-hopping became something very serious a few years ago,” said Jasmine Escalera, a career expert at the networking site Bold.

Recent corporate layoffs may embolden workers to circulate their resumes.

“The job seeker doesn’t feel that they have to be loyal, because the company isn’t being loyal,” Sundry said.

Changing jobs every year or two doesn’t necessarily equate to job-hopping, experts say.

Among twenty-somethings, some job-hopping is expected. Older workers might be expected to stay put longer.

“I think a lot depends on your job, and on your age,” Bidwell said. “Changing jobs every year in your early- to mid-20s isn’t likely to be a problem. Over the years, if you keep doing it, it does start to raise eyebrows.”

If you do job-hop, career experts say, be ready to explain your decision in future job interviews.

“What matters more than how often you switch jobs is whether each move makes sense and, more importantly, whether it can be explained to a potential employer,” Rathod said.

Here are some alternatives to job-hopping

If you don’t want to explain your job-hopping to future employers, then consider alternatives. Here are a few:

Negotiate higher pay

Most American workers report that they didn’t ask for a higher salary than they were offered when they took their current job, Pew Research reports. A higher salary becomes important, job experts say, if you don’t get meaningful raises in the years to come.

Ask for a raise

Most American workers feel they’re entitled to a pay raise, but many balk at asking for one, according to a 2023 survey from the site B2B Reviews. Employees say they’re not sure how to ask, fear rejection or worry about job security.

Clearly, a worker who doesn’t ask for a raise is less likely to get one.

Ask for a promotion

Better still, career experts say, ask for a promotion.

“The other way people raise their wages is changing jobs inside companies,” Bidwell said. “The nice thing about getting promoted is, you get a pay raise, and you also get bumped into a higher pay band.”

With a promotion, you become eligible for higher-paying jobs at other companies, as well.

Leverage a job offer for a raise

One way to persuade an employer to offer a raise or promotion, career experts say, is to say you’ve been offered another job. But the strategy is risky, and it can backfire.

If your company rewards you with higher pay for rejecting another offer, your colleagues may “look at you as a little bit disloyal,” Bidwell said. “And if I think you’re halfway out the door, how much am I going to invest in you?”

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: How often can you change jobs for more money? The rules of ‘job-hopping.’

Reporting by Daniel de Visé, USA TODAY / USA TODAY

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

Top economists says companies are close to a ‘Cortes moment’ on AI, saying there’s no turning back



American companies are approaching what one top economist is calling a “Cortés moment” on artificial intelligence—a point of irreversible commitment that could reshape the U.S. labor market in ways not yet visible in the data, but coming fast.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, invoked the Spanish conquistador Hernán Cortés— who burned his boats upon arriving in Mexico in 1519, eliminating any possibility of retreat—to describe the posture he believes corporate America is quietly assuming toward AI adoption. Companies are investing heavily, making structural bets, and cutting off their own escape routes. Whether that leads to conquest or catastrophe, Zandi suggests, may depend on timing. The analogy crystallized for Zandi after fintech company Block announced it was slashing its workforce by 40%.

“Businesses appear to be nearing a Cortes moment with artificial intelligence,” Zandi wrote on LinkedIn. “That’s my takeaway from fintech company Block’s move to slash its workforce by 40%. While Block didn’t explicitly pin the cuts on AI, it all but did.”

Zandi acknowledged the possibility that AI could be serving as a convenient cover story. “Of course, AI could be a smokescreen for other, less flattering reasons for the cuts,” he wrote, “but I suspect not.” And even if it were, he argued, the effect on the broader labor market may be the same, referring to Block’s stock surge following the announcement.

“Even so, it may not matter for the job market,” Zandi wrote, “as the jump in Block’s stock price signals to other companies that they will be rewarded if they follow suit.”

That dynamic—where one firm’s AI-driven restructuring is applauded by Wall Street, prompting peers to imitate it—is precisely the mechanism Zandi fears most. It’s not a single dramatic rupture, but a cascading series of rational corporate decisions, each one nudging the labor market closer to the edge.

“We’re not creating any jobs now and there’s no AI productivity gains,” Zandi said at a recent virtual event on AI and the economy joined by economists from Goldman Sachs and Yale. “What happens when we get some productivity gains here? Doesn’t that mean job loss?”

His concern is a familiar one dressed in new urgency. For years, economists have debated whether AI would be a net creator or destroyer of jobs—a debate that has mostly played out in conference rooms and research papers while the macro data remained stubbornly stable. But Zandi argues that stability is masking a slow-motion transformation. The impact of AI is starting to “kick in” across the economy, he told Bloomberg in February, and it’s already visible in one place above all: hiring.​

Tech jobs are falling. Hiring rates broadly are weak. And layoffs across the economy recently hit their highest level since 2009—although Zandi makes the distinction AI’s weighing effect on the job market “is due to weaker hiring, not layoffs.” Meanwhile, the National Bureau of Economic Research reports over 80% of firms in recent surveys say there is no impact from AI on employment or productivity over the past three years—yet those same firms forecast AI will boost productivity by 1.4% over the next three years. That disconnect between falling hiring numbers and rising productivity is precisely what worries Zandi and why he considers this a watershed Cortés moment.

When productivity gains do arrive, companies won’t ease into them. They’ll act on them at scale—like Block, cutting headcount, consolidating workflows, and deploying AI agents across functions that once required entire teams. That, in Zandi’s framing, is the Cortés moment: not when companies start investing in AI, but when they commit to it so fully that reverting to the old model becomes unthinkable.

The financial infrastructure of that commitment is already in place. The ten largest AI companies are on track to issue more than $120 billion in bonds—a record high that many are drawing parallels to the debt big tech took on during the dot-com boom of the late 1990s. Unlike that era, when the Y2K bubble’s collapse was largely absorbed by equity investors, today’s AI buildout is being financed with debt, meaning a market correction would ripple well beyond stock portfolios.

In a Moody’s report, Zandi has laid out four possible futures for the AI economy in 2026: a smooth AI-empowered productivity-led expansion (40% probability), a jobs upheaval where adoption outpaces labor market adjustment (20%), a scenario where AI falls flat and triggers a correction (25%), and a 1990s-style productivity boom (15%). The most likely outcome, he believes, is navigable, but none of them are cost-free.​

The labor market, for now, has one remaining buffer: healthcare, which has been the economy’s primary job-creation engine. “Without healthcare,” Zandi told Business Insider, “the economy would be losing lots of jobs.”​

Cortés won his gamble. His troops, with no ships to sail home on, had no choice but to fight forward. Corporate America, Zandi implies, may soon find itself in the same position—committed not by decree, but by the sheer weight of investment, debt, and competitive pressure. The boats, in other words, are already smoldering.

From Crypto To AI : Paradigm Plans $1.5B Fund For Robotics Push


Venture capital firm Paradigm is set to introduce a new fund valued at up to $1.5 billion. This initiative marks the firm’s ongoing expansion beyond its cryptocurrency focused initiatives into the ecosystem of artificial intelligence and robotics, signaling a broader embrace of high-potential technologies.

Founded in 2018 by Coinbase alumnus Fred Ehrsam and former Sequoia partner Matt Huang, Paradigm has long been a dominant force in the crypto space, managing assets worth around $12.7 billion and backing high-profile projects like Uniswap and Chainalysis.

Now, with this fresh capital injection, the San Francisco-based firm aims to diversify its portfolio while maintaining its core focus on blockchain technologies.

The fund’s announcement comes at a time when the boundaries between digital assets and other advanced fields are blurring. Paradigm’s leadership has emphasized that this isn’t an abandonment of crypto but rather an enhancement.

By channeling resources into AI and robotics, the firm seeks to capitalize on synergies that could revolutionize decentralized systems.

For instance, AI algorithms could optimize smart contract execution, detecting vulnerabilities in real-time—much like Paradigm’s earlier collaboration with OpenAI on EVMbench, a tool designed to evaluate AI’s prowess in spotting errors in Ethereum-based contracts.

Robotics, meanwhile, might integrate with blockchain for secure, tamper-proof supply chain management or autonomous operations in decentralized networks.

This strategic move reflects a growing recognition in the investment world that isolated tech silos are giving way to interconnected ecosystems.

Decentralized platforms, often powered by blockchain, stand to gain immensely from AI’s predictive capabilities and robotics’ physical-world applications.

Consider AI-driven oracles providing real-time data to smart contracts, or robotic fleets coordinated via decentralized ledgers for logistics in a trustless environment.

Such integrations could address longstanding challenges in scalability, security, and efficiency that have plagued crypto projects.

Industry observers note that this convergence is already underway, with AI enhancing non-fungible token (NFT) creation and robotics exploring blockchain for verifiable ownership of physical assets.

Paradigm’s expansion isn’t without context.

The firm has been exploring AI’s intersection with crypto since at least 2023, tinkering with ideas that blend machine learning with blockchain protocols.

This fund builds on that foundation, positioning Paradigm to avoid missing out on lucrative opportunities in advancing sectors.

With the global AI market projected to reach trillions in value and robotics transforming industries from manufacturing to healthcare, the timing seems opportune.

Yet, it also highlights a maturing crypto VC ecosystem, where firms like Paradigm are adapting to a post-hype era by seeking sustainable, cross-disciplinary growth.

Critics might argue that diluting focus could strain resources, but proponents see it as visionary.

Social media chatter around the announcement has been positive, with commentators hailing it as a “fusion frenzy” that accelerates the “agentic economy”—where intelligent agents operate autonomously across digital and physical domains.

Paradigm’s technical team, known for its expertise, is equipped to navigate this terrain, potentially bridging gaps between Silicon Valley’s AI hubs and crypto’s decentralized ethos.

Ultimately, this $1.5 billion endeavor exemplifies how diverse technologies can amplify one another, creating robust, complementary frameworks for the future. As Paradigm forges ahead, it may motivate other investors to explore similar hybrids, fostering innovation that transcends traditional boundaries.



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Where to Get a Student Loan in 2026: Federal vs. Private Options


Key Points

  • Start with federal student loans. They typically offer lower fixed interest rates and flexible repayment options compared with private loans.
  • Private loans fill gaps but come with trade-offs. Rates, terms, and borrower protections vary widely by lender and borrower credit.
  • Your choice affects repayment for years. The source of your loan determines interest costs, forgiveness eligibility, and flexibility if your income changes.

Students and families asking where to get a student loan are often overwhelmed by options. While there is an order of operations you should follow, the answer depends on how much you need, credit history, and long-term repayment plans. 

Federal loans remain the starting point for most borrowers, but private lenders, state agencies, and even some colleges offer alternatives.

Understanding where to get a student loan begins with knowing how each option works.

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Federal Student Loans First – Always

For most undergraduates, the primary answer to where to get a student loan is the U.S. Department of Education. Federal student loans are issued through the Direct Loan program and accessed by completing the Free Application for Federal Student Aid, or FAFSA.

There are three main types:

  • Direct Subsidized Loans for undergraduates with financial need. The government pays interest while the student is enrolled at least half-time.
  • Direct Unsubsidized Loans for undergraduates and graduate students. Interest accrues from the time the loan is disbursed.
  • Direct PLUS Loans for parents of undergraduates, which require a basic credit check.

Interest rates on federal student loans are fixed and set annually by Congress. For the 2025-26 academic year, rates range from about 6.39% for undergraduate loans to over 8.94% for Parent PLUS loans. These rates apply for the life of the loan.

Federal loans offer income-driven repayment plans, deferment options, and potential forgiveness programs such as Public Service Loan Forgiveness. Those protections are not typically available with private loans.

For families wondering where to get a student loan with the most borrower safeguards, federal loans are usually the safest starting point. Plus, private loans don’t generally offer much better rates for the same loan term.

Private Student Loans To Supplement

If federal loans do not cover the full cost of attendance, students often turn to private student loans. These include large banks, credit unions, and online financial companies.

When evaluating where to get a student loan from a private source, borrowers should compare:

  • Fixed versus variable interest rates
  • Fees and repayment terms
  • Cosigner requirements
  • Hardship and deferment options

Private loan interest rates depend heavily on credit scores and income. Borrowers with strong credit (or those with a creditworthy cosigner) may qualify for lower rates. Others may face significantly higher rates than federal loans.

Variable-rate loans can start lower but may increase over time, adding uncertainty to monthly payments. Unlike federal loans, private loans do not offer income-driven repayment or loan forgiveness programs.

Because private lenders evaluate credit, undergraduate students often need a parent or other adult to cosign. If the borrower misses payments, the cosigner is equally responsible.

What About State Non-Profit Lenders And Colleges Directly?

Some states operate their own student loan programs, either directly or through nonprofit agencies. These loans may offer competitive rates or borrower benefits tied to state residency.

Colleges themselves sometimes provide institutional loans. These are typically limited in amount and may be funded by alumni donations or endowments. Terms vary widely by institution.

Both of these types of loans should be treated as private loans – and compared to private loans. 

When exploring where to get a student loan, state and institutional programs can supplement federal loans before turning to national private lenders. But you should always compare rates before committing.

The Bottom Line

For most borrowers, the answer to where to get a student loan begins with federal aid through the Department of Education. Private lenders and state programs can supplement funding, but they come with different terms and risks.

The type of student loan shapes interest costs, repayment flexibility, and long-term financial stability. 

So remember: federal loans first, and supplement with private loans after.

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The post Where to Get a Student Loan in 2026: Federal vs. Private Options appeared first on The College Investor.

Venture capitalist Bill Gurley warns workers who went through the ‘college conveyor belt’ and chased safe jobs that they’ll feel AI’s disruption first



Professionals have taught for generations that succeeding in school and attending an elite university would guarantee a rewarding six-figure career. But within a matter of years, AI has disrupted the world of work, and it’s fast taking over the office roles humans were once promised. Now, venture capitalist Bill Gurley cautions workers against blindly following the career blueprint.

“This is new and fast, and it’s attacking jobs that haven’t been attacked in the past,” Gurley said recently during the On with Kara Swisher podcast. “It’s creating a lot of anxiety, but I don’t know that we can put it back in the bottle.”

The prolific tech financier, famous for his early investments in Uber and Zillow, is skeptical that the government could pass AI regulation or pull off a massive reskilling effort. So as the technology continues to automate traditionally stable and lucrative roles, like lawyers and software engineers, it’s imperative that workers actually be invested in their profession—or risk facing the chopping block. 

“The people that are most at risk are the ones that are sitting idly in the job and don’t really have a why or a purpose for it,” Gurley revealed. “A lot of the people that go through that college conveyor belt, that are chasing a safe job, that end up working as a widget or a cog in an industry they may not love—I think they are ripe for disruption.”

The Benchmark Capital general partner acknowledges it’s easier said than done, but the best path forward is to “craft your own career path” and tailor it to their distinct skills. 

For those who can’t switch sectors or become self-employed, AI can act as career “jet fuel” that can make them even better at their jobs and indispensable to their employers. 

“If it’s out of your control, I just would say understand what it’s capable of in your industry and be the most AI aware person in your job,” Gurley advised. “You’re going to then be the last person that they want to get rid of.”

The tech investor says college has turned into a ‘pressure cooker’ 

Gurley explores the idea that chasing a career of passion is a strategic edge, and not fluffy advice, in his new book “Runnin’ Down a Dream.” He’s also one of several business leaders questioning the efficacy of how young professionals are trained to approach college. 

The investor has noticed a few worrying trends that may inhibit young professionals from following their true aspirations, hurting their career success. Gurley explained that kids today are “programmed from a time perspective” more than other generations; the budding talent start worrying about having a stacked resume from a young age, and now, some colleges require students to apply with a major in mind. 

These restraints don’t allow them to freely explore what jobs they’d enjoy, and instead funnels them into a professional path very quickly. He believes that’s part of the reason why so many people are checked out at work—a group that’s most susceptible to disruption. 

“There seems to me to be somewhat of a problem out there in that people aren’t landing where they’re passionate about what they’re doing,” Gurley explained. “I don’t think it’s anyone’s fault, but I think we’ve turned the college matriculation process into this pressure cooker.”

Business leaders agree that AI-savvy, passionate workers will succeed 

The CEO of LinkedIn, Ryan Roslansky, echoes some of Gurley’s philosophy about career success in the AI era. Workers won’t be able to simply coast on a glitzy Ivy League degree—they need to have passion for their professions and the necessary tech skills to succeed in their careers. 

“My guess is that the future of work belongs not anymore to the people that have the fanciest degrees or went to the best colleges,” Roslansky said during a fireside chat at the platform’s San Francisco office last year. 

Instead, he predicted talent most likely to land a job and succeed are “the people who are adaptable, forward thinking, ready to learn, and ready to embrace these tools…It really kind of opens up the playing field in a way that I think we’ve never seen before.”

Fei-Fei Li, a Stanford professor and CEO of AI startup World Labs dubbed the “Godmother of AI,” says being tech-savvy on the job matters more than anything else. 

Now, it’s essential for professionals to “superpower” themselves quickly with the tools, she advised. And Nvidia leader Jensen Huang agrees that AI-savvy workers undeniably have a leg up in the tough labor market. 

He said that every job will be affected by the technology immediately—and it’s on workers to ensure their future success by keeping up with the program. 

“You’re not going to lose your job to an AI, but you’re going to lose your job to someone who uses AI,” Huang said at the Milken Institute’s Global Conference in 2025. 

“I would recommend 100% of everybody take advantage of AI. Don’t be that person who ignores this technology and as a result, loses your job.”

Mortgage Rates Jump After Iran Attack


Typically, mortgage rates fall shortly after geopolitical incidents unfold.

This time, they bounced higher on the Iran attack news, with 10-year bond yields climbing a big nine basis points on the day.

That will result in higher 30-year fixed mortgage rates just days after a joint U.S.-Israeli operation took out Iranian leadership.

The unexpected move led to an immediate increase in oil prices as stability in the Middle East is once again threatened.

Often, investors will seek so-called “safe haven” assets like government bonds when these things happen, but so far that hasn’t been the case.

Mortgage Rates Back Above 6% on War Rumblings

Mortgage rates are back above the key 6% threshold to start the week after experiencing their best week in years.

The 30-year fixed had been sub-6% for much of last week, reaching levels not seen since mid-2022 by some measures.

But now we’re back to a 6-handle as the conflict in the Middle East plays out.

The initial reaction by investors was to sell pretty much everything, including stocks and bonds.

Often, investors will make the “flight to safety” trade and move from high-risk stocks to low-risk bonds. But today it’s been a wider selloff.

At the same time, MBS prices are sharply lower, which will translate to higher mortgage rates for consumers.

Per Mortgage News Daily, MBS prices were “significantly weaker” to start the week, with “strong downward movement” likely to push mortgage rates up quite a bit higher.

And indeed they were back up to 6.12%, a big one-day move higher (+ 13 bps) that puts them firmly back into the 6s.

The company’s prior read from Friday was 5.99%.

They could stay there for some time as well, unless we see that typical move into bonds like we usually do when there are world conflicts.

Spiking Oil Prices Puts Pressure Back on Inflation

The issue this time is oil prices have surged higher in the wake of the conflict as major supply disruptions are expected.

For example, Saudi Arabia’s largest oil refinery halted production after it was hit by a drone.

And Iran reportedly shut down the Strait of Hormuz, which is referred to as the world’s most important oil route.

That led to a big jump in oil prices, which can/will trickle down to higher prices at the pump, along with higher prices on goods as increased transportation costs are passed along to consumers.

This can exacerbate inflation, which has been an ongoing battle and one we seemed to finally be making headway on.

Inflation is the enemy of bonds, so if this persists, expect mortgage rates to be higher all else equal.

But that’s the big question. On the one hand, bond yields (and mortgage rates) are a lot higher today.

On the other, they remain near lows not seen since 2022.

So while today and perhaps this week might be a setback, if you zoom out, they’re still at the lowest levels in years.

However, this level of global instability could dampen the home buying mood so it’s an intangible we need to consider as well, rates aside.

Will Mortgage Rates Resume Their Move Lower Soon?

Like prior conflicts, this situation could prove to be short-lived, and mortgage rates may resume their path lower.

While bond yields jumped today, they had fallen quite a bit leading up to this incident.

In fact, the 10-year bond yield was hovering around 4.30% a month ago, and fell below 4% last week.

Even after today’s move higher, it remains fairly close to 4%.

Similarly, the 30-year fixed, which had been priced around 6.20% a month ago, had fallen to around 6%.

So despite rates rising about .125% today on the news, we remain in a good place and the fact that bonds had already been on a winning streak might explain the pullback today.

That remains to be seen, and in the meantime you’ll need to be extra cautious if floating your mortgage rate.

Expect a lot of volatility with mortgage rates as this very fluid situation continues to develop, but remember that the 30-year fixed remains near a 3.5-year low, which is the big silver lining.

Colin Robertson
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Reeves promises to guide UK economy through Middle East conflict




Reeves promises to guide UK economy through Middle East conflict