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Which Is Best for Beginners?


When buying your first rental property, everyone gives you the same advice: play it safe, get a long-term tenant, and collect the rent. But that same house, run as an Airbnb, can often make two or three times the cash flow. So which investing strategy should you actually use for your first deal?

Welcome back to the Real Estate Rookie podcast! Today, we’re settling this debate once and for all: short-term rentals or long-term rentals? We both grabbed a real, middle-of-the-road property from our own portfolios, put them head to head, and broke down the three things that actually matter for rookie investors: the money, the workload, and the risk.

Ashley’s long-term rental might have the edge when it comes to ease of management, but Tony’s short-term rental tax loophole gives certain investors a way to (legally) slash their tax bills by thousands. There is no one-size-fits-all answer here. But by the end of this episode, you’ll know exactly which strategy fits your investing goals!

Ashley:
When you buy your first rental, everyone gives you the same advice, play it safe, get a long-term tenant and collect the rent every month. But that same house run as an Airbnb can make two or three times the cashflow. So which one should your first deal actually be?

Tony:
And today, me and Ashley are going to settle it and we’re not pulling our highlight reel. We each grabbed one real property from our portfolio, mine is short-term, actually is a long-term, and we’re putting them head to head on three things that decide this for a rookie, money, the work, and the risk.

Ashley:
This is the Real Estate Rookie Podcast. I’m Ashley Kehr.

Tony:
And I’m Tony J. Robinson. And if my voice sounds a little bit different today, it’s because I’m overcoming a cold.

Ashley:
Oh, you guys don’t listen to when we just got back from Vegas, pool party.

Tony:
I did just come back from Vegas, but I also am overcoming a cold, which maybe –

Ashley:
I think they call it laryngitis from too much yelling and partying, Tony.

Tony:
Maybe a little bit of both, but it’s still me. I’m still here. Still Tony. So yeah, Ash and I today, we just want to talk about the difference between short-term and long-term. It’s a question that a lot of rookie investors have, and each of us just wants to share our experience of what this looks like. And we both intentionally tried to pick a deal that wasn’t a bad deal because obviously we both had deals that we didn’t enjoy or our best deals or home runs that maybe someone wouldn’t be able to replicate. We just tried to pick these kind of middle of the road deals that are super attainable and reasonable for all of our Ricky audience who’s listening. So before Ashley and I really started arguing about any of this, we just want to get some real numbers on the table. So I’ll start with one of my properties.
This is a tiny home that we own in Joshua Tree in California. We bought this a few years ago. I want to say maybe two and a half years ago or maybe three years ago at this point. But we’ve had it for a couple of years now. It’s 390 square feet, so it’s like a very small property. We bought it for just over $300,000. Our all – in costs for down payment, closing costs, we got some seller credits in there as well. And furnishing the place was about 50,000 bucks, something 55, somewhere in that ballpark, I want to say. And this deal for all the 2025 net, net, net cashflow was just under $12,000 for the year. So we’re looking about, for the cash we put into it, about a 20% cash on cash return. Now obviously over the years that we’ve owned it, we’ve had to replace things and add things, but all that’s included in those operating expenses.
But for 2025, we netted on this deal just under 12,000 bucks. So again, not my best deal, not my worst deal, just a very middle of the pack, very reasonable purchase price for a lot of rookies that are listening, 300,000 bucks. 10% down payment that’s 30,000 bucks actually acquired this property. So very reasonable first deal. Ash, what about you? What property’s going head-to-head with my 390 square foot property in Joshua Tree?

Ashley:
Yeah, so this is a duplex that I purchased in a rural small town outside of Buffalo, New York. And I bought it for 37,000, which yes, I bought this in I think 2018. So you’re probably going to pay more, but this was a cheaper duplex. Part of the reason was because it’s in a small town. It wasn’t actually a gray area. I was kind of known for having a lot of drugs and some crime in the town, but it was great cashflow. So bought the property for 37,000. That’s what it was listed for. And we ended up going to a bank and the bank offered us the financing on it. At first, we didn’t know how we were going to pay for it. And so we offered or the bank offered to us to do a 90-day unsecured loan. So already this was a deal that was getting interesting for us and we purchased it with cash from the bank and then we immediately went to the bank and refinanced with them and ended up appraising for $55,000.
And all we had done was put a refrigerator in there for about $800. So when we were able to refinance, since it appraised for so much, we actually got to refinance for more than we bought it for, also pay for our fridge from that money. And we each, and my partner and I got about $2,000 to walk away with and own the property. So the cashflow wasn’t super great. We’re not talking thousand dollars a month here, but it was enough that we were $0 into this deal and walked away with $2,000 each. But this property, and we’ll talk about this more, wasn’t a home run deal for sure. And it was just on the MLS, so that’s how we found it and financed

Tony:
It. Got it. And after you refinanced Ash, do you remember what the ballpark cashflow was?

Ashley:
I think it was around $200 a month, I think, which I think is pretty good for just a $37,000 investment. Plus we didn’t use any of our own money. So it was a very standard typical deal. It wasn’t a loser, but also wasn’t a grand slam per se.

Tony:
So Ash, my deal cashflow is again, about 12,000 bucks a year on this tiny house in Joshua Tree. Yours is a couple hundred bucks, but you got into it with literally no money left in the deal. So for a rookie that’s looking at both of those two paths, what should they be thinking about as they try and make that decision?

Ashley:
Yeah, so I think this is a great example and question to ask about any deal you’re looking at because it is so hard to compare somebody’s cashflow to somebody else’s. Most of the time it’s not apples to apples. So Tony, you look at Tony’s deal and be like, “Wow, 11 grand is way better than a couple thousand dollars that Ashley’s making off this. I want Tony’s deal. He’s making a lot more money.” But as we learned, we both put different amounts of money into the deal. So Tony has money sitting in there that he’s not going to get back out right away. I have no money sitting in the deal and I’m making some money. So there’s things that you have to compare for yourself as first of all, can you afford to leave money into a deal and let it sit there? Do you need to do the cash out refinance to pull that money back out because you need to pay off a hard money lender or a private money lender?
Or that was literally your life savings and you need to put that back in your savings to have some comfort and security for your family. But really you need to look at the cash on cash return. So this is comparing how much you invest into the deal compared to how much you actually make off the deal. And this can actually give you a better comparison when you find out how much money somebody invested into that. You go on Instagram and you look and se, oh, Tony just posted he makes 10 grand a month on this property in cashflow. How come Ashley doesn’t make that on her properties? She must suck as an investor. What we don’t see behind the scenes is that some investors pay all cash and they don’t have any mortgage payment and that’s why their cashflow is so high where if I’m going and I’m taking a loan that’s 80% of the purchase price, I have that mortgage payment so some of my cashflow is going towards that, but I also have less money tied up in the deal.
So you have to go back to the very, very beginning and compare what is more important to you and why are you investing in real estate in the first place? Do you have the money to leave into the deal? Or maybe you have money that you continuously invest in the stock market and let’s sit in the stock market and now you’re deciding you want it to sit in equity in a property or maybe you don’t have a ton of cash. So to propel yourself and get started, you need to use as little money as possible with still being cautious of not over-leveraging yourself. Or maybe you don’t need the cashflow now and this is an appreciation play for you for down the road that you want the property to appreciate. So I think looking at the cash on cash return to really compare and also what do you need to get out of the deal to make it work for the life that you’re trying to build and what your goals are out of real estate investing are more important than just comparing the cashflow.

Tony:
100%. And I think that takes us into the next big point is just the actual cash that it takes to get into either a long-term versus a short-term. And I think one of the biggest mistakes that new short-term rental investors make, aside from picking a city just because they like to vacation there, I think that’s probably the biggest mistake I see new investors make. But the second biggest mistake I see people make is that they take all of their available capital and they use it on the acquisition of the property. So their down payment, their closing cost. And then when it comes time to actually set up the Airbnb and turn it into a short-term rental, they’re pinching pennies and doing everything super DIY. And then they’re upset that the property doesn’t perform, but it’s because they didn’t invest the necessary capital to actually get the deal up and running.
So I think that is one of the biggest decision points you have to make is how much capital do I have access to? And if I do want to buy a short-term rental, do I have enough to both acquire the property and effectively set it up to compete at a high level within that market? And if not, if your budget is maybe more limited, then maybe going after a long-term rental does make more sense. Even if the cashflow is maybe reduced, maybe it does make more sense because all you have to worry about with a traditional long-term rental is the acquisition side. And obviously with both these properties, there’s maybe some minor repairs and maintenance we’ll have to do as we’re getting into the deal, but assuming for the most part that we’re talking about relatively turnkey properties, then most of your work as a long-term rental stops once you actually acquire the property in terms of cash you have to spend.
So it’s just an important point to consider. So if you’ve got $30,000 saved up, then maybe that does work for you to go into a less expensive market as a long-term rental. But for me, there’s probably no market where just $30,000 is enough to go and put forward a really strong short-term rental. I typically tell folks that whatever your pile of money is, however big it is, ideally you don’t want to spend more than 40, at most, maybe 50% of that on the actual acquisition. That way the other half or 60% is leftover for the actual setup. So for example, if you have $100,000 to go invest, I’d want you to spend maybe 40,000 of that acquiring the property. So that’s like a $350,000 property and a 10% down payment with another two or 3% in closing costs. You’re somewhere around $40,000 to acquire the place and then you can spend the other $60,000 on the actual setup of the property.
So just having those numbers in the back of your mind is important as you try and make that distinction between how much cash do I have and which between short-term and long-term makes more sense.

Ashley:
Along with that, I also think in some circumstances that it’s easier to actually get financing on long-term rentals than short-term rentals. And I say that just because long-term rentals have been more popular, have been more established and have more proof of consistent income by showing a lease agreement that this property has had consistent rent every single month coming into the property. Where on the short-term rental side it is taken, like Tony, even think about when you first started how different financing for short-term rentals has even evolved over the last several years, but still you are at such an advantage going to a bank and getting financing on a long-term rental. I just talked to a credit union the other day and they don’t do any kind of financing on short-term rentals at all. It’s just not something that it’s in their wheelhouse or they’re willing to adapt as this, not that short-term rentals are new, but I would say the banking industry, most people who are on VRBO and rented out their homes and things like that probably just most commonly got second home loans on them to rent them out.
But things have definitely changed a lot as far as rules and regulations on that and everything. But I think as far as when you have the capital and financing and funding a deal, it is easier to fund a long-term rental than a short-term rental to start out. All

Tony:
Right, so the money makes short-term rentals kind of look like an easy winner, but there’s one number that never shows up in the spreadsheets and it’s the one that makes most people quit and that’s your time. So we’ll get into that right after a quick word from our show sponsors. All right, so on paper, the money says that Airbnbs kind of make more sense, but let’s talk about what it actually costs you to earn that money because this is where these two strategies start looking nothing alike. All right, so I just want to paint the picture of what running an Airbnb typically looks like. Now first I will say there are lots of tools and automation that allow you to automate a lot of what it means to be an Airbnb host. And generally speaking, if you’ve got one or two Airbnbs and you’ve got all the tools set up correctly, an hour or two a week on average is pretty reasonable for you to spend managing your short-term rental.
Some of that’s going to go to the actual guest, communicating with your guests, answering their questions. Some of that’s going to go toward the back of house operation. So dealing with maintenance tasks, managing your pricing. And then some of that’s going to go toward maybe admin type related things that you’re probably going to do as a real estate investor regardless. But the front of house and the back of house are the two things that are probably more so unique to short-term rentals, but it is definitely not passive. And I try and communicate that to anyone who’s thinking about buying an Airbnb is that if you want a truly passive income, don’t buy a short-term rental. If you want a truly passive investment, you need to go invest in someone else’s syndication. You need to go buy a REIT, you need to be maybe a private money lender.
Those are really the only avenues that are truly, truly passive where you’re just getting mailbox money on a regular basis in real estate investing. But on the spectrum of passiveness, short-term rentals are probably on the less passive side. Now that said, I know a lot of short-term rental investors, I’ve coached a lot of short-term rental investors who are able to do this while working full-time jobs, while having family commitments, while having commitments to their community, to their church, whatever it may be, who are still able to successfully manage the short-term rental without it turning into a full-time job. But big caveat here is that it is still more work probably than a traditional long-term rental. And I’ll just give you guys a really quick example of some things that have happened to us this past week. We had a pool pump go out at one of our properties and in the middle of summer, people want to use a pool.
So that’s not necessarily something that we can drag our feet on and people book our properties oftentimes because we have pools in the middle of the summer and it’s super house. We got to jump on that and make it happen. Memorial Day, we had a bunch of cleaners call off and it’s one of the biggest weekends of the year. So we’re scrambling to find backup cleaners to make sure that we can get coverage across some properties. So some weeks are busier than others. Some weeks are lighter than others, but again, I’d say about an hour or two on average across a normal week is pretty reasonable if you’ve got a small portfolio. What about on the long-term rental side, Ash? Wha kind of time investment should people be thinking about as they’re doing this? Yeah,

Ashley:
A lot of stuff for long-term rentals. Say you have everything rented out, you can spend a couple hours a week or even sometimes just a couple hours a month as you set one day aside and this is when you’re going to see if there’s any lease renewals you need to do. Confirm everybody paid their rent. There’s little things that may pop up on the daily such as a maintenance request or communication with a tenant or clarification on something. When you have a vacancy, coordinating contractors for the turnover. In New York State, you have to offer a tenant a pre-inspection when they’re moving out. So two weeks before their move out date, you go in, tell them all the things they would be charged for and they get two weeks to correct it. Then when they move out, you do another inspection. And then I think it’s 14 days within 14 days you have to mail back their security deposit to them.
So definitely when there is a turnover, there is a lot more management and activity you need to do, but definitely way less if you just have tenants in place, there’s way less to do than a short-term rental. My short-term rentals, the same questions get asked over and over again, which even if we put them in our guidebook, even if we have a sign in there, it’s still new people coming into a property or even before they even get to the property asking when we had our A – frame, when we had the pictures taken, we hadn’t put a TV in there yet. I cannot tell you how many people are concerned about going to a cabin in the woods and there not being a TV and confirming that there is a TV in there. But there is, but it’s not in the actual expensive, nice listing photos we got.
So we added that in specifically to our description. Yes, there is a TV, but we’ll still get the question. So luckily Hospitable has an AI agent that actually responds to all these, so it definitely has limited for the short-term rentals. For the long-term rentals, I don’t have any kind of AI yet that responds to my tenants for the long-term rentals, but I do have a maintenance AI. So when someone submits a maintenance request, the AI actually chats with them to get more information. I literally would get a text that says water leak or faucet leak. That would be the maintenance request. Is it the bathroom? Is it the kitchen? Is it gushing water? Is it just a little tiny drip? So the AI maintenance follows up with that. So property management has definitely come a long way, but even if you have property management in place, there’s still asset management.
You still have to quote out your insurance every year if you want to save money, you still have to do your lease renewals. There’s still a lot you have to do to actively manage, but it is less work, I would say, than the short-term rentals. And

Tony:
This is my hot take where I really do think in the next five to 10 years probably, a lot of the property management is probably going to be done by AI anyway. From the things I’ve seen in the last couple of years and the advancements that I’ve seen in the AI space specifically as it relates to property management, I wouldn’t be surprised if every single one of us has a personal AI agent managing at least our kind of client-facing, guest-facing, tenant-facing communication and maintenance requests in the next five to 10 years. So maybe this becomes a moot point anyway about the time that it takes because we’re going to have agents doing all this for us anyway. All right. But for a rookie who still has a full-time job, which one of these honestly fits into the life that’s maybe already full? So the short-term or do long-term?
Guys, again, I’ll say that as a short-term rental operator, we’ve got 26 single family homes in the portfolio right now that are active. We’ve got a 13-room hotel. And if I were to look across all the guests who are checking out, we’re recording this on a Wednesday. If I were to look at all the guests who checked out today on this Wednesday, I’d say maybe, I don’t know, say we have 15 people checking out. I maybe had to actually talk to two or three of those people. And the other 12, 13, they’re just going back and forth with all of the automations that we set up. And then they check out and they leave a five-star review and they talk about how communicative Tony and his team were. So it is a very common thing for us to not actually have to communicate to a guest.
Now we have set our properties up the right way. We invested a lot of time to make sure that guests have the right information when they need it inside the property through messages, guidebooks, QR codes, all those different things. So we’ve really optimized a lot of what our properties can do. So I think that’s why we’re able to do that. But if you have a full-time job, it is 100% possible assuming you set it up the right way to do this while working full-time. Now I will say the people who really hate being short-term rental hosts and who are just banging their heads against the wall when it comes to management are the people who haven’t spent enough time automating and building the proper systems. But honestly, I think that’s true for any form of investing. And Ash, I’m sure you’d probably echo that as well as even as a long-term rental investor, if you’re not spending the time to actually build the right systems and processes, that can also turn easily into a full-time job as well.

Ashley:
I think really the biggest thing you need to do is to have a boots on the ground, especially if you are long distance, but even if you live next door to your property, but you’re working full-time, or maybe you’re not even working full-time, but you’re on a vacation or something. But having either a maintenance person, a cleaner, the batteries are about to die in your code lock and need to be changed out. Having somebody that can run miscellaneous stuff and do that for you I think has been the big game changer for me as far as making my life easier and also because software can only do so much, but if you truly want to not have to worry and panic because you have a meeting that you have to be on, but your guest is saying that the lock isn’t working and something broke or they don’t…
I had one time somebody complained because there was no cookie pan, the cookies in there, no cookie sheet or whatever. I don’t know if somebody stole it or what happened to it, but that we were able to just Instacart them one. So I think just thinking of all the things, what would actually disrupt your W-2 job and how can you already have a plan in place to take care of that? And the easiest thing is you can find somebody super trustworthy that’s going to go over there. Even if they’re not somebody that can fix the problem, they’re just somebody who can go there, show up, show that you’re being proactive. This is especially good for long-term rentals. Show your tenant, you hear them, you’re listening, this is an issue, and you have somebody that’s coming over right now to look at it to help them take care of it, and then they can go and either report back to you what they think should be done or go ahead and just call the plumber, whatever needs to be done.
So I think having that boots on the ground person is really important, but putting that plan in place as to what happens if I’m not available, how does that process work and who do I turn to? So short-term earns more, but can eat into more of your life. But before you pick a side, there is a silver lining that can sink either bet overnight and one more tax move that can hand a high earner a giant check that is next. We’ll be right back.
All right, so we’ve covered the money and the work. Now the part nobody likes to think about until it happens. What can go wrong and how a rookie should actually choose? So let’s go over the nightmares, Tony. What is the risk that keeps a short-term rental investor up at night?

Tony:
Yeah, I think I’ll talk about the risk that people assume keeps me up at night, that actually doesn’t a whole lot. And honestly, Ashley, the two things I hear from aspiring short-term rental investors that kind of stops them. One is the remote management, which we just talked about. It’s like, “Hey, how do I manage this thing remotely?” But again, my first year Airbnb was 3000 miles away from our house and we figured it out. Most of the people that I work with also invest remotely as well. So remote management is one, but we talked about how to optimize most of that. But the other big thing is the regulatory risk and the regulatory landscape. And people are like, “Well, what happens if they ban short-term rentals?” It’s true that the regulatory landscape for short-term rentals has changed a ton, especially post – COVID, but that’s only because it’s still such a new industry that a lot of cities just simply hadn’t figured out how they were going to handle short-term rentals.
So a lot of the big headlines we see were people just or cities or local jurisdictions, municipalities reacting to the sudden surge in short-term rentals in their neighborhood. So the way that I approach it guys, and the way that I try and reduce the regulatory risk is in one of two ways. Number one is my first option is to choose a market that is economically dependent on the revenue generated by short-term rentals. And what that means in practice is if I go into a city and I do not see a large business headquarters or multiple business headquarters, or I don’t see a large university, or I don’t see a large international airport or shipping ports or all these different things, lots of sports teams, these things that drive inherently a lot of revenue. And really the only thing that’s driving that revenue are people coming in booking a short-term rental and then spending money at the local businesses and seeing some of the local attractions.
That is a sign to me that there’s strong economic dependence on that city, on the revenue generated by short-term rentals. I was on a call for one of the cities I invest in and they were just giving an update about the city that they want all the short-term rental operators to be on. And they were going through the city’s revenue generators and the number one highest revenue generator for the city was the transient occupancy taxes being paid by short-term rental guests and operators. That was their single largest line item. Their second largest line item was property taxes, which you have to assume was probably also a good percentage of those were short-term rental owners as well. And then the third line item was sales tax from local businesses. And you got to imagine the people walking into those shops and spending money in those local businesses are probably the majority short-term rental guests as well.
So short-term rentals were very clearly the number one revenue driver and had a big impact on number two and number three. That is a city that has a very strong economic incentive to still regulate short-term rentals so it’s safe and respectful to the neighborhood, but would probably never outright ban short-term rentals because of the economic dependence that it has. So that is the thing that I focus on when I talk about reducing the regulatory risk. And if I can’t get that, if I can’t find a market that is heavily economically dependent on short-term rentals, well, then I want to make sure that maybe I do have a backup option of something like a midterm or a long-term for that market, but that’s how I go about reducing the risk for myself. Ashley, what about you? What are some of the risks on the long-term side?

Ashley:
Yeah, I would say that mine has also significantly changed over the years. When I bought my first property, I was scared of being sued. I was scared of the roof flying off and not being able to pay for a new roof, having the money. And I think learning about having proper insurance in place has really eased my mind a lot on the liability things. Also having a really good attorney and then also having a cushiony reserves account where if a new roof does need to replace, well, that’s why I invested in real estate to keep up on my properties and maintain them so that one day I can exit and there’ll be a great property to sell. So I’ve had to get really comfortable with spending money on my properties and when things happen and that’s just the course of business. So I’d have to say right now the biggest nightmare that I have is probably not being able to figure out a maintenance request and the tenant stopped paying and the tenant moving out because we can’t figure out what the maintenance issue is.
So right now the good part I would say about having a lot of units is that if somebody does stop paying, your other unit’s cashflow can cover that payment. So unless a lot of people stop paying rent, that is a huge benefit that I used to have that fear that if somebody stopped paying now the second thing besides not being able to problem solve or figure out a solution for a property and it just sitting because we can’t figure out this maintenance issue, the second thing is a slow eviction due to New York state laws. And I’ve gone through one of them where it took over a year to evict this person. And then even after that we went to small claims court and it was just a long time and a lot of legal fees. And it was just like that was actually something that really kept me up at night.
And I had to keep reminding myself that this property had performed so well. This was one bump in the road and I’ve had a new tenant in there for over a year now and it’s been wonderful again and great again and I just had to frame my mindset. But that is a huge fear of having to go through that process again of just having to deal with someone and get them out of my property I would say is the biggest risk right now to me.

Tony:
Well, Ash, I want to pull my Trump card here, not related to the current president, but in the old sense, my Trump card and explain why I think for high income earning individuals, short-term rentals right now are probably the best asset class for those folks specifically to invest into because of the tax benefits associated with short-term rentals.

Ashley:
I mean, technically I guess you say the Trump card was a Trump card because Trump did give –

Tony:
Bring it back.
He did bring back 100 bonus depreciation. I guess a good word to say. Could work both ways, but Ash and I are not good in political or advocating for one side or the other, but that is the current state right now. But one of the biggest benefits of investing in real estate are the tax benefits associated with buying real estate and both short-term rentals and long-term rentals have the ability to produce these big paper losses where basically even though the property’s producing cashflow, apreciating in value, the real estate or the IRS, I’m sorry, allows us to depreciate real estate because eventually you have to replace things, like I actually said, the roof, your flooring, your appliances, and all these different parts of the home need to be replaced over time. So even as the value goes up, you as a homeowner still have to maintain that property and certain things wear and tear over time.
So because of that, the IRS allows us to depreciate real estate. And when you depreciate real estate, you get this big tax benefit. And I’m not a CPA, actually not a CPA, go talk to your CPA and I’ll try and keep this as quick and efficient as possible. But whether it’s a short-term rental or a long-term rental, you can do what’s called a cost segregation study, which basically is like a fancy word for an engineering study that allows you to accelerate the depreciation of real estate. If it’s traditional single family home, the usual depreciation schedule, Ash, check me if I’m wrong here, it’s 27 and a half years I think is the normal depreciation schedule. If it’s commercial, I think it’s like 39.5 years, but 27 and a half years is the normal depreciation schedule for real estate. But with this cost segregation study, you can actually bucket different parts of the house into different depreciation schedules.
And then what Ashley and I were talking about is this thing called 100% bonus depreciation where you can front load a lot of that depreciation in year one. So basically you buy a property and the very first year that you own it, you can front load a bunch of this depreciation that otherwise would’ve taken you 27 and a half years to realize. Now the difference between short-term and long-term is that with a long-term rental, the only way that you can apply those paper losses against your other forms of active income, i.e. Your job. So if you’re a high income earning individual, let’s say you get a $50,000 tax benefit from this property that you purchased. The only way that you can take that $50,000 and apply it against your W2 income is if you qualify for what’s called rep status or real estate professional. And the bar is effectively impossible to meet if you work a full-time job because you have to show that you work more hours in your real estate than you work in your full-time job.
So if you’re working 40 hours a week, you’ve got to prove that you’re consistently working 41 hours a week in real estate, which is just not reasonable for most people. With short-term rentals, there’s something called the short-term rental tax loophole that allows you to qualify for what’s called material participation. And the bar for material participation is significantly lower than working 41 hours a week in real estate. There’s a few different ways you can do it, but one way is that you work at least 500 hours over the entire year on your short-term rental or you work at least 100 hours and no one else combined works more than that 100 hours on your property yourself. So those are typically the two paths most folks take to qualify for material participation. But once you meet that threshold, you can then take all of those paper losses from the short-term rental and apply them against your W-2 income.
And that folks is how a lot of people who are high income earning individuals are significantly reducing or sometimes even eliminating legally their tax bill through what’s called the short-term rental tax loophole. So everything else that we’ve said so far guys, and whether short-term or long-term, I think it can kind of cut either way. But I have a very strong conviction that if you’re a high income earning W-2 individual, short-term rentals have a very, very unique positioning in the eyes of the IRS that they can give you a really, really strong benefit when it comes time to file your taxes. So if you’re tired of paying big tax bills and you want to legally and ethically reduce those tax bills, buy a short-term rental.

Ashley:
Yeah. I mean, how can I debate that? Well, if you maybe are already self-employed and maybe you already show a loss on your taxes, maybe you already own property that already has depreciation on it, that you can report that you don’t have a high income W-2 that you need to offset. With long-term rentals, you can still depreciate, get the depreciation, but you can get the 100% bonus depreciation if you qualify for real estate professional status. So there is some benefit to that, but basically there’s set rules and limits as to how many hours you have to put towards real estate investing. And if you have a full-time job, it typically won’t make sense for you. And that’s why a lot of spouses take one spouse and have them quit their W-2 job and they become the real estate professional status and then they get the bonus depreciation and it actually they end up saving enough money in taxes to be able to offset what they would’ve made in their W-2 income too.
So there are still benefits still long-term rentals on the tax side of things. Okay. So you guys decide based on what we have told you, there’s no way that only short-term rentals could be perfect for everyone or no way that long-term rentals could be perfect for everyone. So you need to decide. So let us know in the comments if you’re watching on YouTube, what strategy is perfect for you and why? Because this isn’t a one size fits all for each of these strategies. These are specific to what you want out of life. And remember, that is why we get into real estate investing because we all have goals we want to reach. We all have a lifestyle that we want and real estate is supposed to help us build that. We’re not supposed to build our life around real estate. I’m Ashley, he’s Tony, and thank you guys so much for joining us today and we’ll see you on the next episode of Real Estate Rookie.
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Silicon Photonics Investment Is Ramping Fast as AI Clusters Outgrow Copper Wiring. 2 AI Stocks Stand to Win.


Much of the AI conversation centers on chips, but there is a quieter bottleneck forming inside data centers, and it is all about how those chips talk to one another. As artificial intelligence clusters swell to tens and even hundreds of thousands of processors, the humble copper wiring that has connected computers for decades is running out of room.

The fix is silicon photonics, and investment in it is ramping quickly. Two companies look especially well placed to benefit.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why copper is hitting a wall in AI clusters

To train a modern AI model, thousands of chips must act like one enormous brain, constantly shuttling vast amounts of data among them. The more chips you add, the more traffic flows across the wires linking them, and that is where copper starts to break down. At the blistering signaling speeds these systems now demand, a passive copper cable can only carry a clean signal for less than a meter before it degrades. Push it further, and you have to pump in more and more electrical power just to keep the data intact, which generates heat and drives up the energy bill.

In a small server, that was never a problem. In a warehouse-sized cluster stretching across rows of racks, it becomes a hard physical ceiling that engineers now call the copper wall. When your bottleneck is measured in centimeters and watts, you cannot simply add more copper and hope for the best.

How silicon photonics breaks through

Silicon photonics solves the problem by sending information as pulses of light through fiber instead of electrons through metal. Light travels farther, carries far more data, and uses less power over distance, which is exactly what a giant AI cluster needs. The cutting edge of this shift is co-packaged optics, where the optical components are built right next to the switch chip rather than plugged in at the edge of the box. That tight integration slashes the power lost in translation and packs far more bandwidth into the same space.

Copper is not disappearing, but its job is shrinking to the shortest hops inside a package, while optics take over everything from board to rack scale. The money following this transition is real. The optical interconnect market for AI data centers is expected to grow several times over this decade, and the broader optical transceiver market is projected to jump about 60% in a single year to roughly $26 billion in 2026.

2 AI stocks that stand to win

The clearest beneficiaries are the companies that actually make the lasers, transceivers, and photonic components that this shift requires. Coherent (COHR +0.28%) is a global leader in the optical technology feeding AI data centers, and demand for its datacenter transceivers has surged as cloud giants build out. It has also deepened a partnership with Nvidia to pioneer next-generation silicon photonics, putting it close to the center of the build-out.

Coherent Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(0.28%) $0.79

Current Price

$277.75

Lumentum (LITE +3.66%) is the other pure-play worth watching. It supplies the lasers and optical components that power data center networking, and it has been expanding capacity to meet demand that’s been outpacing supply. As roadmaps push toward lower-power optics and tighter silicon photonics integration, Lumentum sits right in the flow of that spending.

These are not sleepy blue chips. Optical component makers are cyclical and lumpy, with their fortunes closely tied to a handful of huge customers whose orders can swing hard from quarter to quarter. Both stocks have run up on AI enthusiasm, so valuations leave little room for disappointment, and competition in optics is fierce.

Lumentum Stock Quote

Today’s Change

(3.66%) $25.85

Current Price

$732.08

The takeaway for investors

The move from copper to light is not a maybe; it is a physical necessity as AI clusters keep growing, and silicon photonics is how the industry gets there. Coherent and Lumentum are two focused ways to invest in that transition. I would treat them as higher-risk, higher-reward plays on a durable trend, sizing positions with the optical business’s volatility firmly in mind.

Builder confidence hits 15-month low as affordability crisis deepens


The gauge measuring current sales conditions slipped one point to 37, the index tracking future sales expectations fell two points to 43, and the measure of prospective buyer traffic dropped two points to 23, a reading that suggests demand is not recovering at the ground level.

“Many potential buyers remain on the sidelines as they wait for lower mortgage rates, more certainty on inflation and a clearer economic outlook,” said NAHB Chairman Bill Owens, a home builder and remodeler from Worthington, Ohio.

Discounts and incentives deepen

Builders continued to lean heavily on price cuts and sales concessions to sustain demand. According to the July HMI survey, 37% of builders reduced prices, up from 35% in June and 32% in May, while the average price reduction held steady at 6%.

The share deploying sales incentives, including mortgage rate buydowns and closing cost assistance, ticked up to 63% from 62% the prior month, marking the 16th consecutive month the figure has reached 60% or higher.

The broader sales picture is equally subdued. New home sales fell for the second straight month in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 580,000, down 7.3% from April and 6.8% below the year-ago pace, according to US Census Bureau data.

Dubai Gets First AI-Native Asset Manager With Deep Finance Capital Launch


Deep Finance Capital has launched in the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), positioning itself as the emirate’s first AI-native asset manager.

The DFSA-regulated firm will serve institutional and professional investors across real estate, private equity, commodities and special situations.

Deep Finance Capital emerged from Rasameel Investment House Ltd. and is based at Emirates Financial Towers in the DIFC.

At the heart of the business is NEXT, an artificial intelligence platform developed by its wholly owned technology subsidiary, Deep Finance Analytics. The company said the system is used across the investment process, from sourcing deals and carrying out due diligence to assessing risk and monitoring portfolios.

That means AI is not being used only as an additional research tool. Deep Finance Capital says it is built into the way the firm evaluates opportunities and manages investments.

The company describes itself as the first AI-native asset manager in the DIFC, although that claim could not be independently verified.

Chief Executive Axel Walek said the firm chose Dubai as its headquarters while drawing on a European network for institutional capital, deal flow and regulatory expertise.

Christian Kutscher, a board director and head of private equity, will oversee the firm’s private markets activities.

The launch comes as Dubai continues to attract asset managers, fintech companies and digital asset firms seeking a base in the Middle East.

Previous CrowdfundInsider reports have highlighted similar moves. Ripple secured a DFSA licence to provide regulated crypto payment services from Dubai, while institutional fund platform Gordian Capital expanded into the DIFC to serve alternative asset managers in the region.

The DFSA is also working to strengthen the emirate’s investment management sector. Earlier this month, the regulator proposed its biggest overhaul of the DIFC’s collective investment fund framework since 2010, with changes aimed at bringing the rules closer to international standards and supporting further growth in the funds industry.

Deep Finance Capital did not disclose its assets under management, fundraising plans, first client mandates or the size of its investment team.



From Apple Music’s price hike to Iron Maiden’s Pophouse deal… it’s MBW’s Weekly Round-up


Welcome to Music Business Worldwide’s Weekly Round-up – where we make sure you caught the five biggest stories to hit our headlines over the past seven days. MBW’s Round-up is exclusively supported by BMI, a global leader in performing rights management, dedicated to supporting songwriters, composers and publishers and championing the value of music.


Apple Music increased its subscription prices globally on Friday (July 17). In the US, the cost of an individual subscription has risen from $10.99 to $11.99. The company told MBW in a statement that, “as a result of rising licensing costs, Apple Music is increasing its subscription price beginning today”.

Elsewhere this week, AI music company Suno moved to hire a Director of Accounting to help it “build toward IPO readiness”.

Also this week, 404 Media reported that hacked source code revealed that Suno scraped YouTube Music, Deezer, and Genius to train its models.

Meanwhile, Sony Music Publishing completed its acquisition of the entire music rights portfolio of Recognition Music Group, in a deal reported to be worth between $3.5 billion and $4 billion.

Plus, Pophouse Entertainment acquired a stake in Iron Maiden’s catalog, plus the band’s name, image, and likeness rights.

Here are some of the biggest headlines from the past few days…


1. APPLE MUSIC HIKES SUBSCRIPTION PRICES

Apple Music has raised its subscription prices worldwide, in its first increase to the service since 2022.

The new pricing is already live on Apple‘s pricing pages in the US, the UK and Europe, and MBW understands it is rolling out across other markets.

In the US, the Individual plan rose to $11.99 per month from $10.99, the Family plan to $19.99 from $16.99 and the Student plan to $6.99 from $5.99.

The new pricing took effect today (July 17), and marks the first increase to Apple Music‘s prices since October 2022.

Apple confirmed the price increase and the reason behind the change in a statement provided to MBW:

“As a result of rising licensing costs, Apple Music is increasing its subscription price beginning today,” the company said. (MBW)


2. SUNO IS BUILDING TOWARD ‘IPO READINESS’

Suno wants its next senior finance hire to help the AI music company “build toward IPO readiness.” That’s according to a job listing for a Director of Accounting at the firm, spotted by MBW. Suno describes the position as “the Controller’s right hand and one of the first hires” on an accounting team it is building “from the ground up.”… (MBW)


3. DONE DEAL! SONY MUSIC PUBLISHING COMPLETES ACQUISITION OF RECOGNITION MUSIC GROUP’S CATALOG

Sony Music Publishing (SMP) has completed its acquisition of the entire music rights portfolio of Recognition Music Group. The deal, first announced in May, has closed following regulatory approvals in multiple territories, MBW can reveal.

“We can confirm that the acquisition of the entire music rights portfolio of Recognition Music Group by Sony Music Publishing has completed following regulatory approvals,” said a statement jointly issued to MBW by SMP and Recognition…. (MBW)


4. SUNO SCRAPED YOUTUBE, DEEZER AND GENIUS TO TRAIN ITS AI, HACKED CODE REVEALS

Hacked source code from AI music company Suno lists YouTube Music, Deezer, and Genius among the platforms it scraped to build its AI models, according to a report from 404 Media on Wednesday (July 15). The code was obtained by a hacker who breached Suno and shared it with the publication. The same hacker also accessed information on hundreds of thousands of Suno customers, including emails and/or phone numbers, and Stripe payment details, according to the report…. (MBW)


5. IRON MAIDEN SELL STAKE IN CATALOG, PLUS NAME, IMAGE, LIKENESS RIGHTS, TO POPHOUSE

Pophouse Entertainment has entered into a partnership with influential British heavy metal band Iron Maiden. The company has acquired a stake in their publishing and master music rights, as well as the name, image, and likeness (NIL) rights. The Sweden-based music investment firm confirmed the partnership in a statement on Tuesday (July 14), following Iron Maiden’s EddFest concert weekend at Knebworth in the UK on July 10-11…. (MBW)


Partner message: MBW’s Weekly Round-up is supported by BMI, the global leader in performing rights management, dedicated to supporting songwriters, composers and publishers and championing the value of music. Find out more about BMI hereMusic Business Worldwide

Nelnet FAQ Signals Department Of Education Cut SAVE Exit Timeline By 3 Months


Nelnet has quietly revised its end-of-SAVE-plan FAQ to shorten its notice timeline: every 90-day notice from the servicer will now go out by the end of 2026. The FAQ previously said notices would be delivered between July 2026 and March 2027, a window Nelnet has now cut by three months.

The updated FAQ states: “Nelnet is notifying nearly three million Nelnet borrowers, so we’re reaching out in waves. You’ll receive your notice by the end of 2026.

NelNet FAQ

Nelnet services federal student loans on behalf of the Department of Education, and servicers execute the Department’s schedule, not their own. When Nelnet’s timeline moves, it typically reflects a Department-wide change, which means all roughly 7 million SAVE borrowers, not just Nelnet’s 3 million, are likely to see their notices by the end of 2026.

This aligned with our previous SAVE timeline expectations of all notices going out by the end of the year.

The notification process began July 1, 2026, and some outlets had reported borrowers could be waiting nearly a year to leave SAVE under the old schedule, with final plan-selection deadlines stretching toward mid-2027. The revised timeline moves all of that up.

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Why It Matters

Nearly 3 million of the roughly 7 million borrowers still parked in the SAVE plan forbearance are serviced by Nelnet. Under the old FAQ language, a borrower whose notice arrived in the final March 2027 wave wouldn’t have faced a plan-selection deadline until late May or June 2027.

The new language means every Nelnet SAVE borrower will have their 90-day clock started by December 31, 2026. This puts the last possible plan-selection deadlines at the end of March 2027, three months sooner than the prior schedule. 

And because the Department of Education sets the schedule its servicers follow, borrowers at Edfinancial and other servicers should expect the same compressed window.

The Details

The 90-day notices tell SAVE borrowers they must select a new repayment plan or be automatically enrolled in the Standard or Tiered Standard plan once their window closes. Each borrower’s deadline is individual, tied to their own notice.

Borrowers who received notices in the first wave on July 1 faced a September 29, 2026 deadline. Notices have been going out in batches since then, from all servicers. Servicers are also denying all still-pending SAVE applications, giving those borrowers the same 90-day window.

Borrowers who want an income-driven plan (including the new Repayment Assistance Plan (RAP) or Income-Based Repayment (IBR)) must apply. Auto-enrollment only places borrowers on a standard plan.

How This Connects

Nelnet’s old July 2026 through March 2027 window was longer than the timeline we mapped out when the SAVE wind-down schedule first took shape: notices in two week tranches starting July 1, 2026.

The revised end-of-2026 date aligns with what we originally expected. Since servicers work from the Department of Education’s playbook, the entire SAVE migration (all 7 million borrowers across every servicer) could now wrap up by spring 2027, especially if the pace of borrowers leaving continues.

It also matches the pattern we’ve tracked since the Education Department sent its “courtesy” warning emails ahead of the formal notices: waves every few weeks, individual deadlines, and no extensions for borrowers who wait.

While a last-remaining lawsuit challenging the shutdown is still pending, the latest legal filings don’t really give a glimmer of hope. And even then, the lawsuit is asking fro REPAYE to be re-instated, not SAVE to be “saved”. 

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$180 Billion in Student Loans Are Now in Default, New Federal Data Shows

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The post Nelnet FAQ Signals Department Of Education Cut SAVE Exit Timeline By 3 Months appeared first on The College Investor.

MIT AI expert warns automating Gen Z entry-level jobs could backfire—and cost firms future workforces



Companies betting against entry-level Gen Z talent by automating their roles may be making a costly long-term mistake.

That’s the warning from MIT research scientist Andrew McAfee, who co-leads the school’s Initiative on the Digital Economy. Cutting off talent at its source, he argued, doesn’t just shrink today’s workforce—it disrupts the pipeline that produces tomorrow’s leaders.

“How else are people going to learn to do the job except via on-the-job learning and training apprenticeship?” McAfee told Harvard Business Review in April. “That’s how you learn to do difficult knowledge work is by helping somebody who’s good at that with the routine stuff. And when we put too much automation in that too quickly, we lose that apprenticeship ladder.”

The consequences extend beyond training gaps. By sidelining entry-level hiring, companies also risk losing a key competitive advantage: Gen Z’s fluency with AI. 

Roughly 76% of Gen Z reported using a standalone AI tool—the highest of any generation, according to a November 2025 Deloitte study. That familiarity, McAfee said, makes them uniquely valuable as companies race to integrate AI into their operations.

“There is a big demographic falloff. As people tend to get older, we tend to be more set in our ways and less willing to try crazy new things like AI,” McAfee, who is also the cofounder of Workhelix, a startup working to help companies understand their AI return-on-investment, added.

“So if you’re pulling back on your entry-level hiring, you are probably sacrificing future opportunities to learn and the skilled people of the future. You’re also turning off the spigot of the most enthusiastic power users of AI in your organization.”

Gen Z, already facing an uphill job market battle, is more pessimistic than ever

For many young people, McAfee’s warning may already be playing out as the job market has tightened. 

Postings on Handshake, a platform focused on entry-level roles, are down 2% year-over-year and 12% below pre-pandemic levels, according to its Class of 2026 Network Trends report. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate for college graduates aged 22 to 27 stands at 5.6%, per the New York Fed. 

As commencement season ramped up, anxiety climbed. Nearly nine in 10 graduates in the class of 2026 are concerned that AI or automation could replace entry-level roles, up sharply from 64% in 2025, according to Monster. 

Some business leaders have amplified those fears. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, for example, has long repeated—but later walked back—predictions AI could eliminate up to half of all entry-level white-collar jobs.

The dynamic is especially striking given entry-level roles are often the least expensive talent companies can hire—yet as McAfee argued, cutting them risks undermining both cost efficiency and long-term workforce development.

Yet, historical data suggests young workers may be more resilient than they think. A recent Goldman Sachs analysis found college-educated young workers tend to experience earnings losses roughly half as large as other displaced workers in the decade following job loss. They’re also more likely to switch occupations and move into roles that complement new technologies rather than compete with them.

“Contrary to current concerns that the costs of AI will fall especially hard on new graduates,” the report said, “younger workers have actually been able to adjust more flexibly through occupational mobility and skill upgrading in the past.”

Some tech firms are doubling down on early-career talent

Not every company is pulling back. Some major employers are leaning into entry-level hiring, betting that early-career workers will be essential to building—and scaling—AI. 

IBM, for example, said it would triple its entry-level hiring in part to build more durable skills and create greater long-term value.

“People are talking about either layoffs or freezing hiring, but I actually want to say that we are the opposite,” IBM CEO Arvind Krishna said in October 2025. “I expect we are probably going to hire more people out of college over the next 12 months than we have in the past few years, so you’re going to see that.”

In April, Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff announced his company is hiring 1,000 new graduates and interns to help build its AI systems. 

“You are right they said AI would kill entry-level jobs,” he wrote on X. “Meanwhile these grads and interns are building it—powering Agentforce and Headless360 at Salesforce.”

And even Amazon—which has faced scrutiny for laying off thousands of workers in recent years—is maintaining its pipeline of young talent.

The tech giant plans to bring on 11,000 software engineering interns in 2026, in line with prior years, according to Business Insider.

“I can tell you we are hiring just as many software developers as we ever had inside of Amazon,” AWS CEO Matt Garman said. “And in fact, I see the demand for that really accelerating.”

A version of this story originally published on Fortune.com on May 1, 2026.

More on the future of work

CMHC reports annual rate of housing starts in June down six per cent from May




Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. says the annual pace of housing starts in June fell six per cent compared with May.

Viator Amex Offer: Save Up to $140 on Two Bookings


Viator Amex Offer

A new Amex Offer has just dropped for Viator, giving cardholders an easy way to save up to $140 on their bookings. As with most Amex Offers, this is targeted, so you’ll want to check all of your cards to see where the deal landed. The offer is popping up on business credit cards. Here are the specifics and how to maximize the savings.

Offer Details

There are a few different versions of this offer:

  • Earn a $70 statement credit after using your enrolled eligible Card to make a single purchase of $450 or more online at viator.com by 9/16/2026. Limit of 2 statement credits (total of $140). 
  • Earn a $60 statement credit after using your enrolled eligible Card to make a single purchase of $350 or more online at viator.com by 9/16/2026. Limit of 2 statement credits (total of $120). 
  • Earn a $40 statement credit after using your enrolled eligible Card to make a single purchase of $250 or more online at viator.com by 9/16/2026. Limit of 2 statement credits (total of $80). 
  • Earn a $30 statement credit after using your enrolled eligible Card to make a single purchase of $300 or more online at viator.com by 9/16/2026. Limit of 2 statement credits (total of $60). 

Offer details and availability may vary by cardholder. Just login to your American Express account(s) to see if you are eligible to add this offer to your card(s).

Important Terms

  • Valid online only at US website viator.com or through the Viator app.
  • Offer valid only on purchases made in US dollars.
  • Offer only valid on purchases made directly with the merchant.
  • Not valid on purchases made using third parties, such as resellers, delivery services, or other intermediaries.

About Amex Offers

Amex Offers are an extra perk on all American Express credit cards, charge cards, and even prepaid cards. You can see these offers in your accounts either as a statement credit or extra Membership Rewards points for spending a certain amount at eligible merchants. You will need to add the offer to a specific card first, and then use that card to get the credit. Here are a few things you should know:

Guru’s Wrap-up

This offer that seems to be widely available for most cardholders. Check your accounts and add it now if you think you might book any activities through Viator. Just make sure you carefully read the spending requirement for your own offer.

Rakuten will also offer 22x on Viator purchases on June 22, so that should be a good day to make your purchases. Most Viator bookings have a free cancellation policy.

Remember that you can use the search bar within the “Amex Offers” section in the app to find this offer quickly, instead of scrolling through 100+ deals.