GOLD Still in Downtrend : Is It Even Worth Holding Anymore ? Weekend Investing | Alok Jain

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31 COMMENTS

  1. Hello Sir, can you share 5 years rolling return in Gold and Silver since last decades and how much allocation we should have in Gold and Silver in current situation. Do we also consider other commodities like copper and Aluminium? And what would be the proxy stock in Indian Stock Market against these commodities. If you can make small video on above then it will be grateful.

  2. For people thinking why Gold is dropping despite Markets falling and also Geopolitical instability…its because ENERGY has become the most valuable commodity in the world right now. And USD is the currency that can buy this new most valuable commodity.

    The modern world will continue to exist even if Gold is not widely available. But its will completely disintegrate if ENERGY is not available.

    Simple.

  3. Thank you Mr.Jain. As you rightly put it, it is too early to judge the performance of an asset in a volatile market. People tend to flow with the news and panic it creates. That cannot be a yardstick.

  4. Hello Alok ji 🙏
    I just want to say that despite of so much red in the market my 4 years old MI 20 portfolio is still in green as I separately cushioned it with gold ; and my 4 years old MI Evergreen is doing great and so much in green also, you all know why. Yes, you are right that do think for long term. Thanks for your wonderful support and convincing databases for gold.

  5. Whenever one feel despondent looking at daily NIFTY / Gold movement, we can watch your videos and they will remove all that negativity and give conviction for long term views. Your analysis are worth gold everytime.

  6. Hi alok, RE + Gold + Silver has worked well for me in last 3 years. Overall in last 2 years , cagr has been 25 per plus thanks to above. Liquidated excess RE and increased PM exposure ( not trading). I think PM in indian context should do well with INR depreciating because commodities should go up with breaking of global trafe , each country securing its own natural assets + lack of structural reforms , corruption, current culture of giving dole ups all will take INR to lows much faster than sooner. PM is not only play on curr debasement but also a big play on INR DEPRECIATION.

  7. This video (0:00) addresses concerns regarding whether gold is still worth holding as an investment while it is in a downtrend. While gold has recently fallen along with equities during a liquidation event (1:19), the fundamental reasons for owning it—such as fiscal indiscipline worldwide, rising debt, and geopolitical tensions (0:410:55)—remain highly relevant.Key insights from the video include:
    Past Performance in Crashes: History shows that after similar sharp weekly declines (8th instance since 1970), gold has historically recovered, with an average 1-year return of roughly 19.8% (5:415:59).
    Contrarian Asset: Gold often acts as a hedge against equity declines. Data indicates that when the Nifty falls from all-time highs, gold tends to perform well over a one-year period (7:038:07).
    Technical Outlook: Gold has bounced off the 200-day moving average (12:59), suggesting a potential consolidation phase.Ultimately, the video advises investors to maintain asset allocation and not panic over short-term volatility, emphasizing that gold's long-term value proposition remains intact (14:0314:27).

  8. Dear Alok sir – thanks for all the useful information. Can we also explore scenario where market went up after a downturn. How does gold behave in such scenario in the past. This could be a likely scenario in next 12 months

  9. I heard many experts and no one really wanted to accept that they DoNOT know why GOLD FaLL. Accept it and let it go.

    There is no logic. Market falling, uncertainty is all time high, Bond yield is increasing, yen carry trade on the edge of unwinding, FIIs were selling, retailers are selling so who is selling the GOLD. Now it came out that central banks were not selling the GoLD. Then where was all money going??

    This is clear manipulation going on. NO one knows what is next move of smart money.

  10. I can’t Thank you enough for the awareness you created regarding the new practices that HDFC has adopted on their Gold ETF. Superb analysis of the current situation in this video too your slide decks are also very impressive. I recognise the time and effort that goes in bringing the videos, your passion is evident 😊 Request you to please provide your analysis/ insights to this long standing question of mine regarding when is it more advantageous to buy Gold in India now when the USD is stronger to INR or perhaps then when the INR is stronger to USD. I really want to know your point of view and the rationale behind it. Thank you so much for sharing your wisdom and generosity with us. Be blessed

  11. For all de-dolarization lovers, if de-dolarization was possible, russia and iran would be asking for gold or other currencies right now, not dollars 😂. Trump is not so stupid as you all wish to be. He will continue to make gold come down, otherwise dollar hegemony will have challenge

  12. Starting April 1, 2026, mutual funds must value physical gold using polled spot prices published by recognized Indian stock exchanges.
    This replaces the current practice of using international benchmarks from the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), which required complex adjustments for currency, import duties, and taxes.

  13. Sir pls consider this: only 2% paying direct taxes out of 150-crore population. Upto 12 lacs No-tax, so majority of this 2% is professionals (IT/tech guys, engineers, doctors, scientists etc,.), now with AI-displacing jobs rapidly for every 10 guys only 3 are needed so with layoffs reducing tax payers further, and with IT-taking massive hit and trump reducing outsourcing via H1B restrictions, work outsource to india will get reduced. With fuel prices up, all real-estate constructions,food, everything will go up.. with high inflation. So very very very less hope for Nifty to go up…. Last 15 yrs we had a good run in stocks and china did not have. So may be next is ourt turn for next 15 years NEVER to go up. Why not that possibility ??

  14. THE SINGLE POINT TO HOLD GOLD THE MOMENT IS PRIVATECREDIT RISK IS INCREASING IN USA WHICH CREATE CONTAGION IMPACT IN USA BANKS LIKE 2008 EVEN IN INDIA HOW MANY OF US ARE FEELING THERE MONEY IS SAFE IN BANK SPECIALLY AFTER HDFC BANK NEWS IDFC BANK LIST IS ENDLESS

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