AI build‑out and ‘nonsensical’ bank rules
On technology, Dimon reiterated that “overall, the investment in AI is not a speculative bubble; rather, it will deliver significant benefits,” likening its impact to electricity and the internet and predicting it would have a “huge positive impact on productivity.”
At the same time, he wrote that all the capital spending by large tech firms – which he estimated at $450 billion in 2025 and roughly $725 billion in 2026 – is “probably inflationary in the short run.”
Dimon again attacked elements of US capital rules, calling parts of the Basel 3 Endgame and GSIB surcharge proposals “frankly nonsensical” and arguing they would force JPMorgan to hold “as much as 50% more capital across the vast majority of loans to US consumers and businesses” than some rivals.
While he acknowledged post‑2008 reforms had “accomplished some good things,” he said they also created “a fragmented, slow‑moving system” that “reduced productive lending” – an outcome mortgage bankers have long warned could push borrowers toward non‑bank channels.
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